8=======>

2022-02-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3473
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 36.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum6.976.0688-12.93%4.907-29.60%0.2379✓0.262.0M2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.81411.6303-10.13%1.466-19.19%0.2557✓1.51189k2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.961.7767-9.35%1.54-21.43%0.3215✓1.81690k2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0391.8834-7.63%1.793-12.06%0.1481✓1.0084k2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.950.879568-7.41%0.78-17.89%0.1934✓0.741.5M2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.46020.427253-7.16%0.4064-11.69%0.2421✓1.942.0M2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum7.056.5453-7.16%4.97-29.50%0.3637✓0.89682k2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,667.4619,226.21-6.97%20,305.82-1.75%0.0463✓1.026.0M2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase74.324269.6532-6.28%66.9272-9.95%0.1894✓1.51281k2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.231.1561-6.01%1.3+5.69%0.0087✓1.28817k2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.119512-5.90%0.105-17.32%0.2376✓1.0951k2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036340.0342-5.89%0.03923+7.95%0.0657✗0.721.9M2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.717.6034-5.86%18.02-3.64%0.0919✓1.1723.0M2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.0924.6128-5.66%28.03+7.44%0.0239✓1.0757.6M2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.01761.905-5.58%3.292+63.16%0.4965✗0.512.8M2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37850.357702-5.49%0.3714-1.88%0.1276✓1.6716.9M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7355.4249-5.41%6.1887+7.91%0.0937✗0.38430k2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05310.050235-5.40%0.0657+23.73%0.0954✗1.7564.3M2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.013180.012471-5.38%0.013307+0.96%0.0478✓1.1481k2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51190.485662-5.13%0.5151+0.63%0.0313✓0.91724k2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.572.4402-5.05%2.21-14.01%0.1979✓1.00681k2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero153.87146.127-5.03%193.89+26.01%0.1836✗1.001.0M2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0512190.048655-5.01%0.040562-20.81%0.3095✓1.297.5M2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.576.2424-4.99%6.98+6.24%0.0714✗0.411.4M2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.762.6249-4.89%2.16-21.74%0.2938✓1.00696k2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum4.384.168-4.84%3.81-13.01%0.2129✓1.251.9M2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8282.6931-4.77%2.762-2.33%0.1017✓1.28579k2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.0138-4.73%13.32-9.45%0.1210✓0.711.8M2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.552.4309-4.67%2.268-11.06%0.2265✓1.5914.5M2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0280.026709-4.61%0.026-7.14%0.1716✓1.46499k2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.940.89874-4.39%0.95+1.06%0.0434✓1.00277k2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum40.8439.0765-4.32%45.28+10.87%0.0322✓1.1627.9M2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.3743-4.26%2.15-13.31%0.2167✓1.19359k2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07440.071308-4.16%0.0724-2.69%0.1184✓1.351.1M2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.95392.8342-4.05%3.8754+31.20%0.2155✗0.982.5M2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13430.128983-3.96%0.1349+0.45%0.0836✓1.303.3M2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.750246-3.81%0.67-14.10%0.3078✓1.971.2M2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001895-3.81%0.00000186-5.58%0.1175✓1.0014.3M2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4710.45309-3.80%0.446-5.31%0.1526✓1.384.5M2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025470.000024512-3.76%0.00002344-7.97%0.1819✓1.393.7M2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.7918.0836-3.76%20.78+10.59%0.0135✓1.54350k2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.633.4937-3.75%3.45-4.96%0.1486✓1.387.2M2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06540.062981-3.70%0.07627+16.62%0.0861✗1.0715k2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1072.9933-3.66%4.136+33.12%0.2338✗0.91492k2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.614.0723-3.61%15.43+5.68%0.0264✓1.2063.5M2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5321.4771-3.58%1.457-4.90%0.1544✓1.421.0M2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9326.934-3.57%29.9+7.05%0.0090✓0.971.4M2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.4249-3.53%13.41+37.26%0.2864✗0.67821k2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum5.365.1711-3.52%7.622+42.20%0.2900✗0.991.8M2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.25250.243685-3.49%0.31+22.77%0.1301✗1.12518k2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0254740.024589-3.47%0.025067-1.60%0.0888✓1.0989k2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010780.010406-3.47%0.01179+9.37%0.0298✓1.562.2M2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7982.7023-3.42%4.168+48.96%0.3536✗0.81206k2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6975.5029-3.41%5.07-11.01%0.1850✓1.04327k2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.1540.148807-3.37%0.1371-10.97%0.1567✓0.76350k2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 249.3347.6949-3.31%93.09+88.71%0.5320✗1.385.1M2022-03-22
DASHDashDash98.194.8748-3.29%130.57+33.10%0.2098✗1.111.5M2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8219.1685-3.29%18.31-7.62%0.1673✓1.2310.5M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.69212.6058-3.21%2.4316-9.68%0.1916✓1.243.2M2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,642.8037,413.49-3.18%42,512.10+10.01%0.0322✓0.9742k2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.84550.819014-3.13%0.8268-2.21%0.1134✓1.2424.6M2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1367140.132436-3.13%0.122365-10.50%0.1784✓1.004.7M2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012265-3.12%0.01287+1.66%0.0324✓0.8215k2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.93190.903588-3.04%0.9753+4.66%0.0342✓1.1297.3M2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.731.6775-3.04%1.93+11.56%0.0086✓1.332.0M2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.491.4452-3.00%1.547+3.83%0.0537✓1.231.1M2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78590.762684-2.95%0.7746-1.44%0.0950✓1.129.9M2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.90.873589-2.93%1.719+91.00%0.5505✗1.28878k2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2114.0895-2.89%5.543+31.63%0.2213✗0.84395k2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.2326.4491-2.87%51.65+89.68%0.5631✗1.075.2M2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos3.26243.1695-2.85%3.302+1.21%0.0854✓1.282.1M2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.30.291577-2.81%0.693+131.00%0.7346✗1.332.2M2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085750.083345-2.80%0.09728+13.45%0.0474✗1.0849k2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.706180.686577-2.78%0.80946+14.63%0.0170✓1.49298k2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000074370.000072308-2.77%0.00008348+12.25%0.0317✗1.134.7M2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.6322.9748-2.77%27.98+18.41%0.0480✗1.511.8M2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1946470.189287-2.75%0.20689+6.29%0.0134✓1.0421.8M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.23266.0627-2.73%7.6005+21.95%0.0811✗1.47172k2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.5464-2.69%8.37+46.84%0.3282✗0.84398k2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.233561-2.68%0.253+5.42%0.0130✓0.9468k2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39610.385527-2.67%0.3622-8.56%0.2039✓1.431.6M2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09293.9853-2.63%4.8022+17.33%0.0692✗1.19327k2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.11761.0887-2.59%1.1525+3.12%0.0756✓1.342.5M2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.150.7511-2.59%52.46+0.69%0.0939✓1.298.7M2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52.436-2.56%6.234+149.36%0.8143✗1.27845k2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.821.7738-2.54%2.315+27.20%0.1619✗1.063.2M2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.063.9572-2.53%5.175+27.46%0.1468✗1.232.3M2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.91580.893114-2.48%0.9224+0.72%0.1222✓1.561.8M2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4541.4181-2.47%1.626+11.83%0.0237✓1.142.1M2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.145.991-2.43%6.43+4.72%0.0152✓0.87430k2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.3975.5207-2.42%83.98+8.52%0.0371✓1.45106.7M2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.5391-2.38%4.5-3.23%0.1158✓1.08510k2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2264-2.35%2.44+7.02%0.0094✓1.02299k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash108.11105.5752-2.34%174.59+61.49%0.3851✗1.197.6M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0192550.018806-2.33%0.01899-1.38%0.1038✓1.152.4M2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,389.0337,515.92-2.27%42,378.26+10.39%0.0230✓1.00633.0M2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.027150.026548-2.22%0.02633-3.02%0.0933✓0.865.0M2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase1.96891.9253-2.22%2.2499+14.27%0.0326✗1.25233k2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.09880.09662-2.21%0.1082+9.51%0.0135✓1.0138k2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.022.955-2.15%4.2393+40.37%0.2631✗0.992.4M2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.96218.5575-2.13%18.261-3.70%0.1343✓1.209.8M2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82390.806544-2.11%0.8086-1.86%0.1480✓1.52417k2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2314.9103-2.10%17.58+15.43%0.0034✓1.703.0M2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.62031.5863-2.10%2.188+35.04%0.2092✗1.1475k2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.411.3814-2.03%1.582+12.20%0.0003✓1.372.2M2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39170.383772-2.02%0.4105+4.80%0.0704✓1.398.7M2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0631.0418-1.99%1.26+18.53%0.0668✗1.253.0M2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13620.133485-1.99%0.1543+13.29%0.0432✗1.03470k2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.4682.8501-1.91%91.76+8.64%0.0146✓0.891.1M2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5160.506312-1.88%1.1707+126.88%0.7079✗1.322.3M2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004650.004566-1.81%0.00429-7.74%0.2543✓1.9413.2M2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum107.71105.8034-1.77%127.12+18.02%0.0840✗1.016.6M2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.18630.183036-1.75%0.2091+12.24%0.0033✓1.383.2M2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24010.236066-1.68%0.253+5.37%0.0301✓1.011.9M2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5708340.56177-1.59%0.561881-1.57%0.1122✓1.143.5M2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase34.7534.2037-1.57%45.47+30.85%0.1306✗1.56364k2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration138.87136.6951-1.57%158.4+14.06%0.0312✗1.17930k2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.441.4178-1.54%1.31-9.03%0.2006✓1.231.2M2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.25636.1618-1.51%6.4277+2.74%0.0416✓0.853.5M2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum116.98115.2133-1.51%114.7-1.95%0.1305✓1.2766k2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13752.1055-1.50%2.6489+23.93%0.1362✗0.9428k2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,622.472,584.62-1.44%2,970.51+13.27%0.0288✗1.12581.4M2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.062010.061143-1.40%0.063447+2.32%0.0456✓0.84307k2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5916.5026-1.34%6.962+5.63%0.0311✗0.3835k2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9812.8063-1.34%16.17+24.58%0.1312✗1.03448k2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07290.071937-1.32%0.0759+4.12%0.0582✓1.13194k2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.009120.009004-1.27%0.0096+5.26%0.0376✓1.03504k2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.009620.009498-1.27%0.00999+3.85%0.0777✓1.301.2M2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.22130.218498-1.27%0.218-1.49%0.1543✓1.543.6M2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50790.501704-1.22%0.758+49.24%0.2721✗1.42610k2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039140.038677-1.18%0.04222+7.87%0.0207✓1.1032k2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.014.9554-1.09%6.75+34.73%0.2321✗0.78431k2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.177.0947-1.05%6.67-6.97%0.0815✓0.201.4M2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum137.55136.1201-1.04%152.91+11.17%0.0259✓1.446.8M2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9216.7452-1.03%20.22+19.50%0.0562✗1.3431.3M2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.0910.090116-0.97%0.0905-0.55%0.1450✓1.51807k2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04870.048233-0.96%0.05567+14.31%0.0065✓1.38903k2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5165.4655-0.91%5.986+8.52%0.0123✗0.8065k2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.0672.0588-0.39%2.255+9.10%0.0122✓1.0420k2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana90.7890.4429-0.37%90.48-0.33%0.1212✓1.23171.7M2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156070.155496-0.37%0.15608+0.01%0.1376✓1.4330k2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.067540.067311-0.34%0.07561+11.95%0.0394✗0.7884k2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.985120.981842-0.33%1.1249+14.19%0.0311✗1.06180k2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7960.794017-0.25%0.91+14.32%0.0010✓1.372.2M2022-03-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.70.699843-0.02%0.722+3.14%0.0736✓1.062.0M2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.69110.7182+0.03%122.81+10.95%0.0158✗1.2130.0M2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum9.369.3889+0.31%9.76+4.27%0.0916✗1.3211.4M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash302.87305.9777+1.03%375.54+23.99%0.1083✓0.988.0M2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021160.021504+1.63%0.03998+88.94%0.4611✓1.6110.9M2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.959.1835+2.61%9.38+4.80%0.1080✗1.313.2M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.