8=======>

2022-02-19 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3386
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.3%
in alpha space · 58.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum9.9910.2113+2.22%9.37-6.21%0.1139✗1.243.2M2022-03-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash312.05315.5149+1.11%334.93+7.33%0.0376✓0.988.4M2022-03-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025160.025327+0.66%0.03588+42.61%0.3172✓1.3810.9M2022-03-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.59115.4475-0.12%116.13+0.47%0.0215✓1.2131.4M2022-03-21
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0310.0163-0.14%9.35-6.78%0.0983✓1.3111.7M2022-03-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159980.159663-0.20%0.15226-4.83%0.0801✓1.4432k2022-03-21
SOLSolanaSolana91.3491.104-0.26%88.62-2.98%0.0560✓1.26179.7M2022-03-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.858467-0.29%0.85-1.28%0.0402✓1.342.4M2022-03-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.02751.0226-0.47%1.1049+7.54%0.0538✗1.05193k2022-03-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7490.744628-0.58%0.657-12.28%0.1490✓1.052.0M2022-03-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.1682.1545-0.62%2.211+1.98%0.0023✓1.0420k2022-03-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071260.07081-0.63%0.07422+4.15%0.0298✗0.7688k2022-03-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040640.040368-0.67%0.04126+1.53%0.0028✓1.0932k2022-03-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.277.2117-0.80%6.45-11.28%0.1163✓0.211.4M2022-03-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.09630.09532-1.02%0.0897-6.85%0.0947✓1.50903k2022-03-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07840.077543-1.09%0.0752-4.08%0.0559✓1.12194k2022-03-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051540.050969-1.11%0.05358+3.96%0.0190✗1.37951k2022-03-21
TRXTRONTron0.0634820.062648-1.31%0.06179-2.67%0.0329✓0.84330k2022-03-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7665.6887-1.34%6.034+4.65%0.0410✗0.7965k2022-03-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.581.5587-1.35%1.12-29.11%0.3579✓1.211.2M2022-03-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5940430.586036-1.35%0.550176-7.38%0.0888✓1.143.6M2022-03-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,764.442,726.61-1.37%2,891.08+4.58%0.0334✗1.11588.4M2022-03-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8617.6008-1.45%18.75+4.98%0.0329✗1.3432.4M2022-03-21
SCSiacoinnative0.009670.009528-1.47%0.00956-1.14%0.0200✓1.03504k2022-03-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0613.8464-1.52%16.52+17.50%0.1533✗1.03483k2022-03-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.2470.242905-1.66%0.212-14.17%0.1704✓1.523.7M2022-03-21
GTGateEthereum6.65486.5416-1.70%6.3691-4.29%0.0454✓0.833.6M2022-03-21
AAVEAaveEthereum146.18143.691-1.70%153.89+5.27%0.0365✗1.426.8M2022-03-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.1884-1.73%6.4+21.21%0.1927✗0.76415k2022-03-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54750.537967-1.74%0.6232+13.83%0.1151✗1.42610k2022-03-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00510.00501-1.76%0.00441-13.53%0.1716✓1.9413.6M2022-03-21
QNTQuantEthereum110.71108.7648-1.76%119.55+7.98%0.0718✗1.017.2M2022-03-21
NANOnanopayBase2.0712.0341-1.78%2.212+6.81%0.0558✗1.24263k2022-03-21
ZENHorizenBase38.1337.4416-1.81%43.59+14.32%0.1167✗1.56405k2022-03-21
COMPCompoundEthereum121.25118.9675-1.88%113.52-6.38%0.0759✓1.2966k2022-03-21
KSMKusamaHydration151.15148.2879-1.89%154.99+2.54%0.0177✓1.17973k2022-03-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.66911.6374-1.90%2.1544+29.08%0.2491✗1.1275k2022-03-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8736.7393-1.95%6.529-5.01%0.0397✓0.3536k2022-03-21
XVGVergenative0.010320.010118-1.96%0.0099-4.07%0.0510✓1.291.2M2022-03-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.31362.268-1.97%2.3043-0.40%0.0051✓0.9328k2022-03-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0615.7386-2.00%15.85-1.31%0.0311✓1.693.0M2022-03-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.1939-2.07%0.2032+2.63%0.0160✓1.363.5M2022-03-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25120.245902-2.11%0.2506-0.24%0.0036✓1.001.9M2022-03-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1321.1075-2.16%1.228+8.48%0.0753✗1.243.1M2022-03-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6485.7442-2.16%84.98-3.04%0.0290✓0.891.1M2022-03-21
KCSKuCoinnative19.83919.3971-2.23%18.09-8.82%0.0971✓1.219.9M2022-03-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41720.407802-2.25%0.4118-1.29%0.0216✓1.398.8M2022-03-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.55760.544992-2.26%0.9468+69.80%0.5227✗1.312.3M2022-03-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,101.9439,185.44-2.29%41,017.71+2.28%0.0231✓1.00646.5M2022-03-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.325-2.31%2.37-0.42%0.0039✓1.02327k2022-03-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.981.9325-2.40%2.141+8.13%0.0790✗1.043.2M2022-03-21
XEMNEMnative0.10180.099349-2.41%0.1071+5.21%0.0521✗1.0239k2022-03-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88780.866102-2.44%0.8075-9.04%0.1029✓1.46453k2022-03-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.028780.028076-2.45%0.02617-9.07%0.0893✓0.845.2M2022-03-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,901.0038,922.91-2.45%41,105.80+3.02%0.0325✗0.9851k2022-03-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.15271.1239-2.50%1.1654+1.10%0.0077✓1.272.6M2022-03-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.416.2495-2.50%6.22-2.96%0.0241✓0.86430k2022-03-21
ZECZcashZcash112.33109.4259-2.59%181.56+61.63%0.4788✗1.227.6M2022-03-21
HIVEHivenative0.96350.938341-2.61%0.9143-5.11%0.0612✓1.561.8M2022-03-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04162.961-2.65%4.1232+35.56%0.3088✗0.992.4M2022-03-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.084.9452-2.65%4.42-12.99%0.1359✓1.05510k2022-03-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4911.4513-2.66%1.618+8.52%0.0828✗1.152.1M2022-03-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089250.086864-2.67%0.09486+6.29%0.0634✗1.0950k2022-03-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42010.408722-2.71%0.3415-18.71%0.2120✓1.431.6M2022-03-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.7876.6028-2.71%6.8236+0.54%0.0001✓1.45198k2022-03-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3250.316075-2.75%0.694+113.54%0.7564✗1.332.3M2022-03-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2041740.198537-2.76%0.203692-0.24%0.0025✓1.0322.0M2022-03-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8453.3142-2.78%50.17-8.52%0.0895✓1.279.2M2022-03-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.0782.6431-2.85%86.26+1.40%0.0113✓1.39110.8M2022-03-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0206170.020027-2.86%0.01896-8.04%0.0806✓1.142.4M2022-03-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.727.8789-2.86%38.41+33.83%0.2963✗1.075.2M2022-03-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14440.140246-2.88%0.1524+5.54%0.0599✗1.03470k2022-03-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.424.6539-2.94%26.75+5.31%0.0477✗1.501.9M2022-03-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.752370.730168-2.95%0.81655+8.53%0.0783✗1.48334k2022-03-21
RADRadworksEthereum5.315.1515-2.98%4.74-10.73%0.1066✓1.03682k2022-03-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4724.3383-2.99%4.983+11.43%0.1203✗0.81395k2022-03-21
XECeCashnative0.000078110.000075759-3.01%0.00008042+2.96%0.0342✗1.134.8M2022-03-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5862.5081-3.01%6.191+139.40%0.8746✗1.28845k2022-03-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.246349-3.01%0.254+0.00%0.0098✓0.9273k2022-03-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012273-3.06%0.01262-0.32%0.0097✓0.8115k2022-03-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.571.5211-3.11%1.608+2.42%0.0248✓1.362.7M2022-03-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.065777-3.13%0.07444+9.63%0.0993✗1.0816k2022-03-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.925.7347-3.13%8.09+36.66%0.3254✗0.83398k2022-03-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.29854.1622-3.17%4.8275+12.30%0.1215✗1.19330k2022-03-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.581.5295-3.19%1.531-3.10%0.0267✓1.231.2M2022-03-21
LUNATerraTerra 250.4648.8328-3.22%95.82+89.89%0.6423✗1.415.3M2022-03-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.871021-3.23%0.828-8.01%0.0786✓1.2425.9M2022-03-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1410020.136421-3.25%0.119184-15.47%0.1578✓1.015.2M2022-03-21
ADACardanoCardano0.99690.964267-3.27%0.9179-7.92%0.0742✓1.1197.3M2022-03-21
XYMSymbolnative0.15810.152784-3.36%0.1371-13.28%0.1239✓0.69362k2022-03-21
DASHDashDash102.4298.8637-3.47%123.68+20.76%0.1989✗1.111.5M2022-03-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.374.2174-3.49%4.971+13.75%0.1369✗1.222.5M2022-03-21
XTZTezosTezos3.60743.4789-3.56%3.2407-10.17%0.0993✓1.262.2M2022-03-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8270.797551-3.56%0.7443-10.00%0.0935✓1.0810.1M2022-03-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89172.7878-3.59%2.4089-16.69%0.1725✓1.173.3M2022-03-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8220.0676-3.61%17.82-14.41%0.1464✓1.2210.8M2022-03-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.2730.263124-3.62%0.2933+7.44%0.0838✗1.09538k2022-03-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.99.5314-3.72%13.7+38.38%0.3479✗0.66821k2022-03-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.7505-3.82%1.89+3.85%0.0465✗1.342.0M2022-03-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.990.951616-3.88%1.518+53.33%0.4385✗1.26818k2022-03-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6641.5993-3.89%1.433-13.88%0.1405✓1.361.1M2022-03-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011910.011444-3.91%0.01178-1.09%0.0063✓1.562.2M2022-03-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.850.8154-4.07%0.64-24.71%0.2867✓1.971.2M2022-03-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.2656.0098-4.07%5.006-20.10%0.2049✓0.98361k2022-03-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9732.8517-4.08%3.313+11.44%0.1323✗0.78206k2022-03-21
UMAUMAEthereum5.695.4575-4.09%7.575+33.13%0.3051✗1.011.9M2022-03-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4890.468505-4.19%0.419-14.31%0.1430✓1.394.7M2022-03-21
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.000001935-4.23%0.00000183-9.41%0.0781✓1.0014.4M2022-03-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2813.1415-4.25%3.851+17.37%0.1836✗0.89502k2022-03-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.3137-4.39%2.09-13.64%0.1289✓1.21383k2022-03-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06592.9297-4.44%3.772+23.03%0.2313✗0.952.5M2022-03-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14720.140657-4.45%0.1326-9.92%0.0883✓1.303.3M2022-03-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.9429.5596-4.46%29.57-4.43%0.0209✓0.941.3M2022-03-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.5214.8235-4.49%15-3.35%0.0154✓1.2167.7M2022-03-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002750.000026247-4.55%0.00002294-16.58%0.1659✓1.383.8M2022-03-21
FTTFTXEthereum42.7840.7925-4.65%44.67+4.42%0.0645✗1.1728.5M2022-03-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4819.5265-4.66%19.75-3.56%0.0232✓1.53371k2022-03-21
DIADIAEthereum1.010.961484-4.80%0.94-6.93%0.0452✓1.00274k2022-03-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08060.076694-4.85%0.0712-11.66%0.1046✓1.341.1M2022-03-21
ORCAOrcaSolana2.822.6824-4.88%2.15-23.76%0.2438✓1.00698k2022-03-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1114.3715-4.89%12.88-14.76%0.1251✓0.691.7M2022-03-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026090.024795-4.97%0.025644-1.71%0.0079✓1.1489k2022-03-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.6035-4.98%2.27-17.15%0.1597✓1.00723k2022-03-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.873.6754-5.03%3.31-14.47%0.1358✓1.387.4M2022-03-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54850.519382-5.31%0.5105-6.93%0.0376✓0.90741k2022-03-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.79615.4874-5.33%6.1969+6.91%0.1130✗0.38441k2022-03-21
BANDBandEthereum4.934.6594-5.49%3.749-23.96%0.2450✓1.221.9M2022-03-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151450.014313-5.49%0.012814-15.39%0.1354✓1.10170k2022-03-21
XMRMoneroMonero161.12152.2437-5.51%191.87+19.09%0.2084✗1.021.1M2022-03-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98021.8701-5.56%3.1635+59.76%0.5135✗0.542.9M2022-03-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593760.055975-5.73%0.040344-32.05%0.3550✓1.227.5M2022-03-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.6469-5.81%2.196-21.85%0.2208✓1.5115.0M2022-03-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05930.055809-5.89%0.0625+5.40%0.0741✗1.7364.3M2022-03-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.6925.1071-5.93%27.93+4.65%0.0828✗1.0561.0M2022-03-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030.028168-6.11%0.02575-14.17%0.1226✓1.45499k2022-03-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.996.5626-6.11%6.55-6.29%0.0103✓0.371.4M2022-03-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.126457-6.33%0.103-23.70%0.2297✓1.0954k2022-03-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4190.392259-6.38%0.3439-17.92%0.1689✓1.6517.3M2022-03-21
STXStacksnative1.311.2223-6.69%1.3-0.76%0.0327✓1.28845k2022-03-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039670.03695-6.86%0.03903-1.61%0.0388✓0.711.9M2022-03-21
MOVRMoonriverBase84.556878.5882-7.06%62.2596-26.37%0.2662✓1.47305k2022-03-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2018.5132-7.43%16.97-15.15%0.1131✓1.1623.2M2022-03-21
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1862.0209-7.55%1.687-22.83%0.2032✓1.0076k2022-03-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,669.7619,888.59-8.22%20,359.40-6.05%0.0006✓1.016.2M2022-03-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.48140.44145-8.30%0.41-14.83%0.1163✓1.881.9M2022-03-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.98160.89552-8.77%0.7969-18.82%0.1338✓0.761.5M2022-03-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6753.298-10.26%2.763-24.82%0.2023✓1.12579k2022-03-21
PROPropyEthereum2.161.9335-10.49%1.59-26.39%0.2360✓1.79708k2022-03-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.88541.6702-11.42%1.499-20.49%0.1426✓1.52189k2022-03-21
API3Api3Ethereum7.476.294-15.74%4.917-34.18%0.2518✓0.222.0M2022-03-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.