2022-02-19 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1325

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

58.0%

in alpha space · 93.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.27%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.47	7.1836	-3.83%	6.97	-6.69%	0.0206	✓	0.22	2.0M	2022-02-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8854	1.8449	-2.15%	1.8141	-3.78%	0.0497	✗	1.52	189k	2022-02-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059376	0.058591	-1.32%	0.051219	-13.74%	0.0813	✓	1.22	7.5M	2022-02-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.94	30.5656	-1.21%	27.93	-9.73%	0.0491	✓	0.94	1.3M	2022-02-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.0008	-0.91%	0.94	-6.93%	0.0190	✓	1.00	274k	2022-02-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.135	0.134057	-0.70%	0.127	-5.93%	0.0066	✓	1.09	54k	2022-02-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.8967	-0.68%	4.38	-11.16%	0.0581	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-02-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.186	2.1723	-0.63%	2.039	-6.72%	0.0197	✓	1.00	76k	2022-02-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5576	0.554691	-0.52%	0.516	-7.46%	0.0151	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.03	0.029867	-0.44%	0.028	-6.67%	0.0011	✓	1.45	499k	2022-02-20
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.16	2.1504	-0.44%	1.96	-9.26%	0.0146	✓	1.79	708k	2022-02-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1472	0.146558	-0.44%	0.1343	-8.76%	0.0307	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.82	2.8078	-0.43%	2.76	-2.13%	0.0265	✗	1.00	698k	2022-02-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0593	0.059047	-0.43%	0.0531	-10.46%	0.0305	✓	1.73	64.3M	2022-02-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4814	0.479343	-0.43%	0.4602	-4.40%	0.0412	✗	1.88	1.9M	2022-02-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9802	1.972	-0.42%	2.0176	+1.89%	0.0465	✗	0.54	2.9M	2022-02-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.31	1.3046	-0.41%	1.23	-6.11%	0.0030	✓	1.28	845k	2022-02-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.281	3.2676	-0.41%	3.107	-5.30%	0.0117	✓	0.89	502k	2022-02-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015145	0.015084	-0.40%	0.01318	-12.97%	0.0871	✓	1.10	170k	2022-02-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.74	2.7292	-0.39%	2.57	-6.20%	0.0165	✓	1.00	723k	2022-02-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.664	1.6579	-0.37%	1.532	-7.93%	0.0196	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.78	42.6247	-0.36%	40.84	-4.53%	0.0081	✗	1.17	28.5M	2022-02-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	161.12	160.5401	-0.36%	153.87	-4.50%	0.0020	✓	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8917	2.8814	-0.36%	2.6921	-6.90%	0.0169	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.787	6.7628	-0.36%	6.2326	-8.17%	0.0182	✓	1.45	198k	2022-02-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.3881	-0.34%	6.14	-4.21%	0.0022	✓	0.86	430k	2022-02-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.99	6.9665	-0.34%	6.57	-6.01%	0.0423	✓	0.37	1.4M	2022-02-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.27	7.2456	-0.34%	7.17	-1.38%	0.0014	✓	0.21	1.4M	2022-02-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.48	20.412	-0.33%	18.79	-8.25%	0.0160	✓	1.53	371k	2022-02-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.5568	84.2807	-0.33%	74.3242	-12.10%	0.0613	✓	1.47	305k	2022-02-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01191	0.011871	-0.32%	0.01078	-9.49%	0.0282	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.69	26.605	-0.32%	26.09	-2.25%	0.0263	✗	1.05	61.0M	2022-02-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20	19.9366	-0.32%	18.7	-6.50%	0.0136	✓	1.16	23.2M	2022-02-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.85	0.847352	-0.31%	0.78	-8.24%	0.0032	✗	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000202	0.000002014	-0.31%	0.00000197	-2.48%	0.0217	✗	1.00	14.4M	2022-02-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0806	0.08036	-0.30%	0.0744	-7.69%	0.0186	✓	1.34	1.1M	2022-02-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.273	0.272192	-0.30%	0.2525	-7.51%	0.0273	✓	1.09	538k	2022-02-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.489	0.487583	-0.29%	0.471	-3.68%	0.0260	✗	1.39	4.7M	2022-02-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8149	-0.28%	1.73	-4.95%	0.0104	✗	1.34	2.0M	2022-02-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	112.33	112.0163	-0.28%	108.11	-3.76%	0.0178	✗	1.22	7.6M	2022-02-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000275	0.000027424	-0.28%	0.00002547	-7.38%	0.0137	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-02-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.99	9.9623	-0.28%	8.95	-10.41%	0.0532	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.827	0.824724	-0.28%	0.7859	-4.97%	0.0011	✓	1.08	10.1M	2022-02-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.987332	-0.27%	0.9	-9.09%	0.0376	✓	1.26	818k	2022-02-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.8025	-0.27%	2.55	-9.25%	0.0285	✓	1.51	15.0M	2022-02-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.472	4.4602	-0.26%	4.211	-5.84%	0.0223	✓	0.81	395k	2022-02-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141002	0.14063	-0.26%	0.136714	-3.04%	0.0156	✗	1.01	5.2M	2022-02-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.586	2.5792	-0.26%	2.5	-3.33%	0.0249	✗	1.28	845k	2022-02-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5485	0.547058	-0.26%	0.5119	-6.67%	0.0271	✓	0.90	741k	2022-02-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.265	6.2486	-0.26%	5.697	-9.07%	0.0496	✓	0.98	361k	2022-02-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,669.76	21,613.22	-0.26%	20,667.46	-4.63%	0.0007	✓	1.01	6.2M	2022-02-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.11	15.0706	-0.26%	14.71	-2.65%	0.0057	✗	0.69	1.7M	2022-02-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9969	0.994326	-0.26%	0.9319	-6.52%	0.0166	✓	1.11	97.3M	2022-02-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.4	25.3362	-0.25%	23.63	-6.97%	0.0042	✓	1.50	1.9M	2022-02-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0784	0.078203	-0.25%	0.0729	-7.02%	0.0215	✓	1.12	194k	2022-02-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0659	3.0583	-0.25%	2.9539	-3.65%	0.0068	✗	0.95	2.5M	2022-02-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.1018	0.101549	-0.25%	0.0988	-2.95%	0.0170	✗	1.02	39k	2022-02-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.3592	-0.25%	4.06	-7.09%	0.0178	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0679	0.067733	-0.25%	0.0654	-3.68%	0.0121	✗	1.08	16k	2022-02-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012629	-0.25%	0.01266	+0.00%	0.0377	✗	0.81	15k	2022-02-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.69	5.6761	-0.24%	5.36	-5.80%	0.0134	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.9	9.8759	-0.24%	9.77	-1.31%	0.0180	✗	0.66	821k	2022-02-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.973	2.9658	-0.24%	2.798	-5.89%	0.0242	✓	0.78	206k	2022-02-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.42	2.4142	-0.24%	2.48	+2.48%	0.0796	✗	1.21	383k	2022-02-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.06	16.0226	-0.23%	15.23	-5.17%	0.0231	✗	1.69	3.0M	2022-02-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.82	20.7717	-0.23%	19.82	-4.80%	0.0064	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6074	3.599	-0.23%	3.2624	-9.56%	0.0433	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.52	15.4842	-0.23%	14.6	-5.93%	0.0061	✓	1.21	67.7M	2022-02-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2512	0.250621	-0.23%	0.2401	-4.42%	0.0006	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.7961	5.7828	-0.23%	5.735	-1.05%	0.0083	✗	0.38	441k	2022-02-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.204174	0.203711	-0.23%	0.194647	-4.67%	0.0007	✓	1.03	22.0M	2022-02-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.46	50.3458	-0.23%	49.33	-2.24%	0.0411	✗	1.41	5.3M	2022-02-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.87	3.8612	-0.23%	3.63	-6.20%	0.0017	✓	1.38	7.4M	2022-02-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.25	120.9758	-0.23%	116.98	-3.52%	0.0225	✗	1.29	66k	2022-02-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03967	0.039582	-0.22%	0.03634	-8.39%	0.0546	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4172	0.416286	-0.22%	0.3917	-6.11%	0.0002	✓	1.39	8.8M	2022-02-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.839	19.7956	-0.22%	18.962	-4.42%	0.0098	✗	1.21	9.9M	2022-02-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75237	0.75073	-0.22%	0.70618	-6.14%	0.0036	✗	1.48	334k	2022-02-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.253448	-0.22%	0.24	-5.51%	0.0144	✓	0.92	73k	2022-02-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.31	5.299	-0.21%	7.05	+32.77%	0.3306	✗	1.03	682k	2022-02-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.92	5.9078	-0.21%	5.7	-3.72%	0.0004	✓	0.83	398k	2022-02-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1581	0.157775	-0.21%	0.154	-2.59%	0.0060	✗	0.69	362k	2022-02-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	38.0516	-0.21%	34.75	-8.86%	0.0225	✓	1.56	405k	2022-02-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9816	0.979603	-0.20%	0.95	-3.22%	0.0025	✗	0.76	1.5M	2022-02-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3752	-0.20%	2.28	-4.20%	0.0037	✗	1.02	327k	2022-02-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020617	0.020576	-0.20%	0.019255	-6.61%	0.0164	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.749	0.747509	-0.20%	0.7	-6.54%	0.0196	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.42	102.2174	-0.20%	98.1	-4.22%	0.0073	✗	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4201	0.41927	-0.20%	0.3961	-5.71%	0.0056	✗	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1527	1.1505	-0.20%	1.1176	-3.04%	0.0263	✗	1.27	2.6M	2022-02-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2985	4.2902	-0.19%	4.0929	-4.78%	0.0047	✗	1.19	330k	2022-02-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	85.07	84.905	-0.19%	77.39	-9.03%	0.0318	✓	1.39	110.8M	2022-02-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02609	0.02604	-0.19%	0.025474	-2.36%	0.0278	✗	1.14	89k	2022-02-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02878	0.028725	-0.19%	0.02715	-5.66%	0.0196	✓	0.84	5.2M	2022-02-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00967	0.009652	-0.19%	0.00912	-5.69%	0.0116	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-20
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9635	0.961703	-0.19%	0.9158	-4.95%	0.0192	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01032	0.010301	-0.19%	0.00962	-6.78%	0.0119	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-02-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.28	5.2704	-0.18%	5.01	-5.11%	0.0175	✓	0.76	415k	2022-02-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.419	0.41824	-0.18%	0.3785	-9.67%	0.0276	✓	1.65	17.3M	2022-02-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08925	0.089094	-0.18%	0.08575	-3.92%	0.0095	✗	1.09	50k	2022-02-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07126	0.071138	-0.17%	0.06754	-5.22%	0.0185	✓	0.76	88k	2022-02-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0416	3.0364	-0.17%	3.02	-0.71%	0.0377	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.873	6.8615	-0.17%	6.591	-4.10%	0.0248	✓	0.35	36k	2022-02-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6691	1.6664	-0.16%	1.6203	-2.93%	0.0208	✗	1.12	75k	2022-02-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007811	0.000077987	-0.16%	0.00007437	-4.79%	0.0019	✗	1.13	4.8M	2022-02-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.7	28.6558	-0.15%	27.23	-5.12%	0.0044	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9001	0.89873	-0.15%	0.8455	-6.07%	0.0070	✓	1.24	25.9M	2022-02-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.325	0.324512	-0.15%	0.3	-7.69%	0.0204	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.132	1.1303	-0.15%	1.063	-6.10%	0.0073	✓	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,101.94	40,043.03	-0.15%	38,389.03	-4.27%	0.0015	✗	1.00	646.5M	2022-02-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.57	1.5678	-0.14%	1.41	-10.19%	0.0466	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.84	54.7638	-0.14%	52.1	-5.00%	0.0057	✗	1.27	9.2M	2022-02-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.5779	-0.14%	1.49	-5.70%	0.0037	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1444	0.144205	-0.14%	0.1362	-5.68%	0.0123	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05154	0.05147	-0.13%	0.0487	-5.51%	0.0045	✗	1.37	951k	2022-02-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,764.44	2,760.90	-0.13%	2,622.47	-5.14%	0.0028	✓	1.11	588.4M	2022-02-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,901.00	39,850.23	-0.13%	38,642.80	-3.15%	0.0118	✗	0.98	51k	2022-02-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.71	110.5693	-0.13%	107.71	-2.71%	0.0178	✗	1.01	7.2M	2022-02-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063482	0.063402	-0.13%	0.06201	-2.32%	0.0147	✗	0.84	330k	2022-02-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.491	1.4892	-0.12%	1.454	-2.48%	0.0262	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.766	5.7598	-0.11%	5.516	-4.34%	0.0086	✓	0.79	65k	2022-02-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.197789	-0.11%	0.1863	-5.91%	0.0003	✓	1.36	3.5M	2022-02-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594043	0.593415	-0.11%	0.570834	-3.91%	0.0109	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-02-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.98	1.978	-0.10%	1.82	-8.08%	0.0378	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.08	5.0749	-0.10%	4.65	-8.46%	0.0417	✓	1.05	510k	2022-02-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	151.15	151.0087	-0.09%	138.87	-8.12%	0.0326	✓	1.17	973k	2022-02-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.64	87.5623	-0.09%	84.46	-3.63%	0.0028	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.071	2.0692	-0.09%	1.9689	-4.93%	0.0045	✗	1.24	263k	2022-02-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.860292	-0.08%	0.796	-7.55%	0.0191	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-02-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8878	0.887074	-0.08%	0.8239	-7.20%	0.0103	✓	1.46	453k	2022-02-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.59	115.5027	-0.08%	110.69	-4.24%	0.0104	✗	1.21	31.4M	2022-02-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	312.05	311.8193	-0.07%	302.87	-2.94%	0.0136	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-02-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6548	6.6505	-0.06%	6.2563	-5.99%	0.0251	✓	0.83	3.6M	2022-02-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15998	0.159882	-0.06%	0.15607	-2.44%	0.0389	✗	1.44	32k	2022-02-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.06	14.0517	-0.06%	12.98	-7.68%	0.0344	✓	1.03	483k	2022-02-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0275	1.0269	-0.06%	0.98512	-4.12%	0.0042	✗	1.05	193k	2022-02-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04064	0.040623	-0.04%	0.03914	-3.69%	0.0104	✗	1.09	32k	2022-02-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.3136	2.3126	-0.04%	2.1375	-7.61%	0.0383	✓	0.93	28k	2022-02-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.03	10.0261	-0.04%	9.36	-6.68%	0.0118	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-02-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5475	0.547304	-0.04%	0.5079	-7.23%	0.0128	✓	1.42	610k	2022-02-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.246917	-0.03%	0.2213	-10.40%	0.0431	✓	1.52	3.7M	2022-02-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.18	146.1488	-0.02%	137.55	-5.90%	0.0014	✗	1.42	6.8M	2022-02-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.86	17.8594	-0.00%	16.92	-5.26%	0.0046	✗	1.34	32.4M	2022-02-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.34	91.3479	+0.01%	90.78	-0.61%	0.0486	✓	1.26	179.7M	2022-02-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0051	0.005101	+0.02%	0.00465	-8.82%	0.0077	✗	1.94	13.6M	2022-02-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0963	0.096321	+0.02%	0.091	-5.50%	0.0088	✓	1.50	903k	2022-02-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.58	1.5804	+0.02%	1.44	-8.86%	0.0400	✗	1.21	1.2M	2022-02-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.168	2.1691	+0.05%	2.067	-4.66%	0.0027	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02516	0.02521	+0.20%	0.02116	-15.90%	0.1150	✗	1.38	10.9M	2022-02-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.675	3.6831	+0.22%	2.828	-23.05%	0.2152	✗	1.12	579k	2022-02-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.