2022-02-18 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1133

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-2.40%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

67.3%

in alpha space · 59.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.30%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.01	5.8714	-2.31%	7.47	+24.29%	0.2402	✗	0.20	1.8M	2022-02-19
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0523	-1.66%	1.01	-5.61%	0.0440	✓	1.00	271k	2022-02-19
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.139	0.137491	-1.09%	0.135	-2.88%	0.0215	✓	1.09	57k	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6049	1.5893	-0.97%	1.8854	+17.48%	0.1664	✗	1.51	164k	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.08	28.8618	-0.75%	30.94	+6.40%	0.0668	✗	0.93	1.2M	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.6222	-0.62%	7.27	-5.22%	0.0479	✓	0.19	1.4M	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.35	10.2907	-0.57%	9.99	-3.48%	0.0333	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2333	7.1921	-0.57%	6.787	-6.17%	0.0623	✓	1.45	179k	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.7	4.6739	-0.56%	4.93	+4.89%	0.0497	✗	1.22	1.9M	2022-02-19
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.93	2.9139	-0.55%	2.74	-6.48%	0.0645	✓	1.00	736k	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.1176	2.1065	-0.52%	1.9802	-6.49%	0.0634	✓	0.55	3.1M	2022-02-19
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.017	2.0076	-0.47%	2.186	+8.38%	0.0822	✗	1.00	68k	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5205	0.518096	-0.46%	0.4814	-7.51%	0.0790	✓	1.86	1.9M	2022-02-19
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.85	2.8369	-0.46%	2.82	-1.05%	0.0089	✓	1.00	737k	2022-02-19
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.1402	-0.46%	2.16	+0.47%	0.0039	✓	1.79	744k	2022-02-19
STX	Stacks	native	1.35	1.3441	-0.44%	1.31	-2.96%	0.0286	✓	1.00	911k	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015984	0.015916	-0.43%	0.015145	-5.25%	0.0529	✓	1.10	335k	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.767715	-0.43%	0.749	-2.85%	0.0278	✓	1.05	1.9M	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0602	0.059953	-0.41%	0.0593	-1.50%	0.0161	✓	1.73	64.3M	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.88638	-0.41%	0.85	-4.49%	0.0477	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	160.94	160.3198	-0.39%	161.12	+0.11%	0.0020	✓	1.01	1.2M	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0302	0.030084	-0.38%	0.03	-0.66%	0.0071	✓	1.44	493k	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.97	2.959	-0.37%	2.8917	-2.64%	0.0265	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048519	-0.37%	0.059376	+21.92%	0.1984	✗	1.21	7.5M	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.9309	-0.37%	42.78	-0.72%	0.0070	✓	1.17	29.5M	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01204	0.011996	-0.36%	0.01191	-1.08%	0.0119	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-02-19
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.0542	1.0504	-0.36%	0.9816	-6.89%	0.0700	✓	0.77	1.5M	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.674	1.668	-0.36%	1.664	-0.60%	0.0064	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002815	0.000028049	-0.36%	0.0000275	-2.31%	0.0238	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.37	6.3474	-0.35%	6.41	+0.63%	0.0073	✗	0.86	449k	2022-02-19
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000205	0.000002043	-0.35%	0.00000202	-1.46%	0.0142	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.716	4.6998	-0.34%	4.472	-5.17%	0.0521	✓	0.81	383k	2022-02-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0797	0.079427	-0.34%	0.0784	-1.63%	0.0163	✓	1.11	210k	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0812	0.080932	-0.33%	0.0806	-0.74%	0.0080	✓	1.33	1.1M	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.1979	82.9259	-0.33%	84.5568	+1.63%	0.0151	✗	1.47	315k	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.181	3.1708	-0.32%	3.281	+3.14%	0.0315	✗	0.88	481k	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.85	26.7651	-0.32%	26.69	-0.60%	0.0059	✓	1.04	64.2M	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	20.446	-0.31%	20.48	-0.15%	0.0029	✓	1.53	383k	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1365	0.136088	-0.30%	0.1472	+7.84%	0.0747	✗	1.27	3.3M	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.559512	-0.30%	0.5485	-2.26%	0.0225	✓	0.90	780k	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.494	0.492527	-0.30%	0.489	-1.01%	0.0113	✓	1.39	4.7M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0682	0.068004	-0.29%	0.0679	-0.44%	0.0047	✓	1.07	17k	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	19.5538	-0.29%	20	+1.99%	0.0192	✗	1.15	23.7M	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.196	1.1926	-0.29%	1.1527	-3.62%	0.0377	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.93	6.9105	-0.28%	6.99	+0.87%	0.0103	✗	0.37	1.6M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01279	0.012754	-0.28%	0.01266	-1.02%	0.0098	✓	0.80	15k	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,934.46	21,873.90	-0.28%	21,669.76	-1.21%	0.0124	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8151	-0.27%	1.82	+0.00%	0.0012	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.92	5.904	-0.27%	5.69	-3.89%	0.0399	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.43	2.4235	-0.27%	2.42	-0.41%	0.0050	✓	1.21	390k	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.987383	-0.26%	0.99	+0.00%	0.0011	✓	1.27	818k	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.17	10.1432	-0.26%	9.9	-2.65%	0.0262	✓	0.66	821k	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.261	0.260322	-0.26%	0.254	-2.68%	0.0273	✓	0.91	73k	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2677	0.26701	-0.26%	0.273	+1.98%	0.0190	✗	1.09	538k	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.2	15.161	-0.26%	15.11	-0.59%	0.0054	✓	0.68	1.7M	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9958	0.993258	-0.26%	0.9969	+0.11%	0.0004	✓	1.11	98.1M	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.8029	-0.25%	2.81	+0.00%	0.0019	✓	1.51	15.4M	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.02	20.9669	-0.25%	20.82	-0.95%	0.0106	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.581	2.5746	-0.25%	2.586	+0.19%	0.0006	✓	1.28	911k	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9795	2.9721	-0.25%	2.3136	-22.35%	0.2533	✓	0.95	27k	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2543	0.253669	-0.25%	0.2512	-1.22%	0.0127	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.02	3.0127	-0.24%	2.973	-1.56%	0.0156	✓	0.78	212k	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.91	3.9006	-0.24%	3.87	-1.02%	0.0119	✓	1.38	7.8M	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	109.21	108.9484	-0.24%	112.33	+2.86%	0.0271	✗	1.18	7.6M	2022-02-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138612	0.138282	-0.24%	0.141002	+1.72%	0.0165	✗	1.01	5.6M	2022-02-19
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04094	0.040845	-0.23%	0.03967	-3.10%	0.0313	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.708	5.6949	-0.23%	5.7961	+1.54%	0.0165	✗	0.37	441k	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1093	3.1022	-0.23%	3.0659	-1.40%	0.0146	✓	0.96	2.5M	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.389	6.3745	-0.23%	6.265	-1.94%	0.0203	✓	0.99	407k	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.3601	-0.23%	4.37	+0.00%	0.0014	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5229	0.521732	-0.22%	0.5576	+6.64%	0.0626	✗	1.30	2.3M	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8015	0.799734	-0.22%	0.827	+3.18%	0.0304	✗	1.07	10.8M	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.32	105.09	-0.22%	102.42	-2.75%	0.0290	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.61	50.5	-0.22%	50.46	-0.30%	0.0050	✓	1.41	5.6M	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.552	19.5102	-0.21%	19.839	+1.47%	0.0131	✗	1.21	10.0M	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9999	0.997766	-0.21%	0.9635	-3.64%	0.0395	✓	1.55	1.9M	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.01	24.9568	-0.21%	25.4	+1.56%	0.0132	✗	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,196.70	40,111.20	-0.21%	39,901.00	-0.74%	0.0081	✓	0.97	58k	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1609	0.16056	-0.21%	0.1581	-1.74%	0.0174	✓	0.66	372k	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.52	121.2644	-0.21%	121.25	-0.22%	0.0039	✓	1.29	59k	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01063	0.010608	-0.21%	0.01032	-2.92%	0.0313	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6234	3.6158	-0.21%	3.6074	-0.44%	0.0061	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.200634	0.20022	-0.21%	0.204174	+1.76%	0.0165	✗	1.02	22.0M	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4126	0.411756	-0.20%	0.4172	+1.11%	0.0090	✗	1.39	9.0M	2022-02-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.77	15.7381	-0.20%	16.06	+1.84%	0.0152	✗	1.70	3.1M	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.35	4.3412	-0.20%	4.2985	-1.18%	0.0134	✓	1.19	330k	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.2	15.1697	-0.20%	15.52	+2.11%	0.0193	✗	1.20	69.3M	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.97	5.9581	-0.20%	5.92	-0.84%	0.0089	✓	0.83	398k	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.75	83.5861	-0.20%	85.07	+1.58%	0.0135	✗	1.39	110.8M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1011	0.100902	-0.20%	0.1018	+0.69%	0.0059	✗	1.02	37k	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02928	0.029224	-0.19%	0.02878	-1.71%	0.0178	✓	0.85	5.3M	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	5.2399	-0.19%	5.28	+0.57%	0.0054	✗	0.76	415k	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75452	0.753098	-0.19%	0.75237	-0.28%	0.0054	✓	1.48	334k	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.3	5.2902	-0.19%	5.31	+0.19%	0.0007	✓	1.03	701k	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4211	0.420323	-0.18%	0.4201	-0.24%	0.0048	✓	1.44	1.6M	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3756	-0.18%	2.38	+0.00%	0.0012	✓	1.02	342k	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.11	37.0446	-0.18%	38.13	+2.75%	0.0243	✗	1.53	405k	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00961	0.009593	-0.17%	0.00967	+0.62%	0.0049	✗	1.02	504k	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09046	0.09031	-0.17%	0.08925	-1.34%	0.0150	✓	1.09	50k	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000786	0.00007847	-0.17%	0.00007811	-0.62%	0.0079	✓	1.13	4.8M	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.076	3.0711	-0.16%	3.0416	-1.12%	0.0126	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07167	0.071555	-0.16%	0.07126	-0.57%	0.0064	✓	0.77	88k	2022-02-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4198	0.419149	-0.15%	0.419	-0.19%	0.0053	✓	1.66	17.8M	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.96	28.9183	-0.14%	28.7	-0.90%	0.0107	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.903	6.8932	-0.14%	6.873	-0.43%	0.0040	✓	0.35	36k	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.58	113.4238	-0.14%	110.71	-2.53%	0.0272	✓	1.01	7.5M	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.895	0.893775	-0.14%	0.9001	+0.57%	0.0034	✗	1.24	26.6M	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5878	-0.14%	1.58	-0.63%	0.0086	✓	1.22	1.3M	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,983.56	39,930.75	-0.13%	40,101.94	+0.30%	0.0013	✗	1.00	690.2M	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063085	0.063004	-0.13%	0.063482	+0.63%	0.0051	✗	0.84	330k	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.08	2,776.53	-0.13%	2,764.44	-0.56%	0.0077	✓	1.12	588.4M	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.58	1.578	-0.13%	1.57	-0.63%	0.0091	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.518	1.5161	-0.13%	1.491	-1.78%	0.0201	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17101	0.170797	-0.12%	0.15998	-6.45%	0.0697	✓	1.44	32k	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019599	0.019575	-0.12%	0.020617	+5.19%	0.0485	✗	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.1027	-0.12%	1.132	+2.54%	0.0226	✗	1.23	3.3M	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	55.5233	-0.12%	54.84	-1.35%	0.0161	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.321623	-0.12%	0.325	+0.93%	0.0065	✗	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.881	5.8743	-0.11%	5.766	-1.96%	0.0210	✓	0.80	68k	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1446	0.144453	-0.10%	0.1444	-0.14%	0.0034	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.05	2.0479	-0.10%	1.98	-3.41%	0.0368	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04965	0.0496	-0.10%	0.05154	+3.81%	0.0343	✗	1.37	1.0M	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6654	1.6638	-0.10%	1.6691	+0.22%	0.0001	✓	1.12	72k	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.29	5.2851	-0.09%	5.08	-3.97%	0.0427	✓	1.04	517k	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594984	0.594444	-0.09%	0.594043	-0.16%	0.0040	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	150.07	149.9373	-0.09%	151.15	+0.72%	0.0046	✗	1.17	973k	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1967	0.196542	-0.08%	0.198	+0.66%	0.0033	✗	1.37	3.5M	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.85	114.76	-0.08%	115.59	+0.64%	0.0036	✗	1.21	31.6M	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.44	87.3729	-0.08%	87.64	+0.23%	0.0004	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6403	6.6358	-0.07%	6.6548	+0.22%	0.0004	✓	0.83	3.6M	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0419	1.0413	-0.06%	1.0275	-1.39%	0.0165	✓	1.06	193k	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.86	0.859457	-0.06%	0.861	+0.12%	0.0022	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0548	2.0535	-0.06%	2.071	+0.79%	0.0048	✗	1.24	292k	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.877	0.87649	-0.06%	0.8878	+1.23%	0.0085	✗	1.46	464k	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	310.22	310.0734	-0.05%	312.05	+0.59%	0.0035	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.44	14.4333	-0.05%	14.06	-2.63%	0.0292	✓	1.02	483k	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5682	0.567994	-0.04%	0.5475	-3.64%	0.0410	✓	1.43	665k	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04101	0.040997	-0.03%	0.04064	-0.90%	0.0120	✓	1.09	31k	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.16	10.1573	-0.03%	10.03	-1.28%	0.0165	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026937	0.026934	-0.01%	0.02609	-3.14%	0.0352	✓	1.14	88k	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.246983	-0.01%	0.247	+0.00%	0.0044	✓	1.52	3.8M	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.64	145.6355	-0.00%	146.18	+0.37%	0.0005	✓	1.42	7.3M	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.222	2.2221	+0.01%	2.168	-2.43%	0.0278	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.83	17.8315	+0.01%	17.86	+0.17%	0.0024	✗	1.34	32.8M	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0978	0.097811	+0.01%	0.0963	-1.53%	0.0200	✗	1.50	919k	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.61	1.6104	+0.03%	1.58	-1.86%	0.0227	✗	1.21	1.2M	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.9	89.9371	+0.04%	91.34	+1.60%	0.0118	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00516	0.005162	+0.04%	0.0051	-1.16%	0.0179	✗	1.94	15.8M	2022-02-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.889	3.8933	+0.11%	3.675	-5.50%	0.0610	✗	1.13	593k	2022-02-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02552	0.025573	+0.21%	0.02516	-1.41%	0.0204	✗	1.38	10.9M	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.