8=======>

2022-02-16 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2256
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.0%
in alpha space · 79.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.1502-17.75%2.369-53.05%0.5101✓1.02664k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.0596-11.84%0.74-38.43%0.3124✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.342.0864-10.84%1.4-40.17%0.3027✓1.94812k2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0021,222.83-10.41%20,575.06-13.15%0.0190✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.56353-9.84%0.4549-27.22%0.1195✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.025709-9.11%0.017275-38.92%0.3336✓1.2989k2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0820.1339-8.81%16.88-23.55%0.1191✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.030574-8.73%0.0271-19.10%0.0461✓1.50499k2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.33.9256-8.71%3.31-23.02%0.1017✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.491-8.56%1.578-3.22%0.1337✗1.55140k2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.172.9262-7.69%2.251-28.99%0.1881✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.042385-7.52%0.03367-26.53%0.1904✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.6248-7.47%5.95-27.79%0.2338✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.415147-7.37%0.3368-24.85%0.1233✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.4388-7.17%1.3-16.13%0.0519✓1.00980k2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.06474-6.85%0.0633-8.92%0.0648✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551589.2015-6.65%54.2608-43.21%0.4213✓1.53315k2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.4923-6.63%2.1916-41.40%0.4198✓0.9330k2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.1391-6.27%3.3831+48.24%0.4873✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.108827-6.18%0.105-9.48%0.0137✓1.0064k2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5126.8001-6.00%28.63+0.42%0.1206✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.3093-5.91%4.609+0.63%0.0852✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36168.7746-5.90%195+8.72%0.1946✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2165-5.60%1.639-30.20%0.2523✓1.0084k2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.7637-5.18%1.365-26.61%0.1874✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.5697-5.06%6.0844+3.71%0.1055✗0.35441k2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.5718-5.02%0.512-14.95%0.0662✓0.89840k2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.0564-4.99%3.346+4.01%0.1300✗0.80215k2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.3401-4.95%3.671+4.47%0.1384✗0.89481k2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016145-4.85%0.011938-29.65%0.2458✓1.13450k2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1416.3091-4.85%15.02-12.37%0.0229✓1.2070.2M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0322.8669-4.84%20.21-15.90%0.0472✓1.54387k2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.066-4.82%1.515+35.27%0.4203✗1.39694k2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000029471-4.78%0.00002236-27.75%0.2067✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.085739-4.73%0.0711-21.00%0.1200✓1.36868k2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.2293-4.60%7.638+16.97%0.2539✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0019-4.58%0.68-35.24%0.2873✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002082-4.49%0.00000186-14.68%0.0632✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.926869-4.45%0.94-3.09%0.0636✗1.00269k2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5325-4.43%2.26-14.72%0.0514✓1.26390k2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.020811-4.42%0.01673-23.16%0.1567✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.854189-4.38%0.7285-18.45%0.1062✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.7823-4.28%3.8721-2.01%0.0673✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.6617-4.28%3.723-23.55%0.1631✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.106-4.22%17.61-23.70%0.1673✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3844.4244-4.22%44.58-3.88%0.0625✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013318-4.12%0.01224-11.88%0.0457✓0.7814k2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.824-4.05%4.31-29.00%0.2508✓1.02701k2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.0418-4.05%2.19-30.91%0.2790✓1.00829k2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.0895-3.94%13.06-22.03%0.1757✓0.661.5M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.517766-3.94%0.402-25.42%0.1822✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.8752-3.93%1.451-25.67%0.1874✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.18-3.93%2.07-37.46%0.3798✓1.00681k2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.161433-3.79%0.1516-9.65%0.0117✓1.03470k2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.1445-3.64%2.4451-25.07%0.1921✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.012955-3.61%0.0115-14.43%0.0416✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.6549-3.61%4.289-11.19%0.0225✓1.20335k2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.150743-3.49%0.1214-22.28%0.1497✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.8994-3.44%3.1614-21.71%0.1461✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.0582-3.37%1.85-13.15%0.0404✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.3021-3.34%8.18+25.46%0.3017✗0.83463k2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.737-3.33%5.029+2.63%0.1218✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.211-3.26%4.924-33.94%0.3337✓0.96407k2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3992.2989-3.24%85.76-10.10%0.0015✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01131.6936-3.17%119.38-12.23%0.0336✓1.3058k2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7531-3.15%1.591-12.10%0.0353✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2397.9841-3.09%5.917-28.18%0.2863✓0.2737k2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0512-2.96%0.852-21.35%0.1537✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33111.9459-2.93%98.87-14.27%0.0694✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44165.5717-2.86%160.34-5.93%0.0378✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.6515-2.75%6.123-22.18%0.1500✓1.47153k2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000083045-2.75%0.00008127-4.82%0.0349✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.3871-2.74%1.1296-20.80%0.1423✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.261936-2.73%0.2478-7.98%0.0046✓1.031.8M2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.7347-2.65%6.275+123.39%0.8971✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5067-2.64%4.3273+20.15%0.2603✗1.012.5M2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.054613-2.62%0.0395-29.57%0.2625✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.4974-2.62%12.43+15.31%0.2020✗0.67821k2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.680675-2.61%0.4424-36.70%0.3568✓1.50665k2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.953764-2.59%0.7552-22.87%0.1725✓1.2326.7M2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0254.5809-2.57%88.61+58.18%0.5548✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.01141-2.57%0.00928-20.75%0.1405✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.692.2047-2.53%80.59-14.81%0.0906✓0.891.1M2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.144992-2.52%0.119322-19.78%0.1446✓1.016.1M2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.36363-2.51%0.616+65.15%0.5944✗1.362.3M2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.280795-2.50%0.233-19.10%0.1405✓0.9373k2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.111348-2.50%0.1-12.43%0.0573✓1.0137k2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6465-2.46%1.574-6.75%0.0122✓1.162.1M2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.073849-2.45%0.0728-3.83%0.0390✗1.0817k2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58122.5591-2.41%172.57+37.42%0.4023✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2435-2.40%1.216-4.55%0.0387✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.0859-2.39%0.9186-17.43%0.0886✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.3397-2.38%6.43+17.55%0.2250✗0.79407k2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.21353-2.38%0.192891-11.82%0.0507✓1.0321.9M2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.29941-2.38%0.3002-2.12%0.0584✗1.13538k2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.005879-2.18%0.00358-40.43%0.3965✓2.0117.9M2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.555953-2.17%0.8733+53.67%0.5189✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2531.5608-2.14%28.05-13.02%0.0652✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3127.7179-2.09%28.09-0.78%0.0606✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.0348-2.08%25.79-9.92%0.0086✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55126.8905-2.05%116.39-10.16%0.0362✓1.017.8M2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.6236-2.02%6.37-5.77%0.0043✓0.88430k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,021.68-1.99%41,774.98-4.83%0.0201✗1.00642.7M2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.085.9609-1.96%4.24-30.26%0.2889✓1.04555k2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.171312-1.94%0.133-23.87%0.2205✓0.66388k2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.7103-1.93%4.828+0.52%0.0657✗0.83379k2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,126.60-1.90%41,510.70-5.57%0.0100✓0.9751k2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.943051-1.79%0.7275-24.23%0.1845✓1.52552k2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4262.2941-1.78%50.47-20.42%0.1479✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.4926-1.74%18.259-12.45%0.0523✓1.2710.1M2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.3588-1.72%1.645-31.46%0.3105✓1.013.2M2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.479188-1.64%0.4108-15.68%0.0846✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.821948-1.61%0.84294+0.91%0.1001✗1.51334k2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.216688-1.59%0.2087-5.22%0.0315✗1.393.7M2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.467971-1.56%0.3288-30.84%0.2794✓1.481.9M2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.103579-1.54%0.0868-17.49%0.1001✓1.55996k2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.2615-1.52%5.34-16.01%0.1176✓0.8472k2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.5038-1.40%18.96-4.15%0.0392✗1.3633.6M2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.096534-1.38%0.0956-2.34%0.0451✗1.1150k2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.031728-1.34%0.02515-21.80%0.1901✓0.856.2M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6365-1.25%2.4-10.11%0.0429✓1.03373k2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.1119-1.25%41.26+1.58%0.1065✗1.58364k2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,087.35-1.19%2,939.17-5.93%0.0070✓1.13581.4M2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.4469-1.15%15.01-14.96%0.0647✓1.733.4M2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4246-1.12%2.189-10.73%0.0503✓1.0520k2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8088-1.07%6.34-7.88%0.0287✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.056978-1.06%0.04977-13.58%0.0663✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2347-1.05%2.3491+4.02%0.1123✗1.26367k2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.282115-1.01%0.2119-25.65%0.2101✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77165.2099-0.94%148.53-10.94%0.0471✓1.20973k2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.065853-0.93%0.061738-7.12%0.0225✓0.85344k2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8444-0.84%1.05-43.55%0.5035✓1.211.3M2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1827-0.74%1.0729-9.96%0.0435✓1.09193k2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.01071-0.65%0.00919-14.75%0.1012✓1.05483k2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.8064-0.65%13.65-14.20%0.0954✓1.04483k2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.08455-0.65%0.0717-15.75%0.1049✓1.21194k2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8144-0.53%2.1269+16.60%0.2152✗1.1469k2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.031822-0.49%0.04379+36.93%0.3854✗1.3410.7M2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.17541-0.47%0.1531-13.13%0.0565✓1.6132k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84127.2662-0.45%111.9-12.47%0.0677✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.674919-0.32%0.537425-20.63%0.1709✓1.153.6M2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2234-0.23%6.14-15.19%0.1491✓0.271.2M2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.785643-0.17%0.64-18.68%0.1501✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.2075-0.11%9.62-14.26%0.0864✓1.3412.2M2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.94102.0108+0.07%89.87-11.84%0.0639✗1.27179.7M2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.983983+0.10%0.836-14.95%0.0953✗1.372.4M2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.081799+0.77%0.07318-9.84%0.0741✗0.7589k2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.045121+1.03%0.04078-8.69%0.0463✗1.1131k2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.9176+1.17%8.77-25.55%0.2425✗1.303.1M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55341.6834+2.13%305.71-8.62%0.0621✗0.998.9M2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.