8=======>

2022-02-16 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0332
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.3%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.601-1.52%11.44-2.89%0.0892✗1.303.1M2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.6066-1.47%1.4805-9.20%0.0420✗1.55140k2022-02-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.9891-1.13%4.316-14.47%0.0636✓1.02664k2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.05546-1.11%0.051055-8.97%0.0161✗1.247.6M2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0404-0.92%0.94-10.48%0.0597✗2.021.1M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.619263-0.92%0.5382-13.89%0.0119✗1.911.8M2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.4137-0.88%1.2511-12.28%0.0208✓1.272.4M2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.263-0.84%2.2781-0.18%0.0532✗0.582.9M2022-02-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.1924-0.79%1.2327+2.56%0.1082✗0.941.5M2022-02-17
PROPropyEthereum2.342.3217-0.78%2.17-7.26%0.0872✗1.94812k2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.8146-0.68%7.015-10.84%0.0092✗1.47153k2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.033276-0.67%0.0309-7.76%0.0457✗1.50499k2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.248.1854-0.66%7.1-13.83%0.1193✓0.291.7M2022-02-17
STXStacksnative1.551.5398-0.66%1.4-9.68%0.0156✓1.00980k2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.069053-0.64%0.0608-12.52%0.0131✗1.7664.3M2022-02-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115285-0.62%0.124+6.90%0.1525✗1.0064k2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0821.9451-0.61%19.86-10.05%0.0079✓1.1524.2M2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551594.9711-0.61%85.9444-10.05%0.0220✗1.53315k2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030769-0.59%0.00002821-8.85%0.0248✗1.402.8M2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.1516-0.58%2.91-8.20%0.0396✗1.5016.5M2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.013362-0.58%0.01178-12.35%0.0013✓1.571.8M2022-02-17
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.2908-0.58%2.89-12.69%0.0503✓1.00681k2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.719-0.57%3.4641-7.38%0.0032✓0.9330k2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01135.2611-0.55%123.7-9.05%0.0144✗1.3058k2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.2455-0.54%3.0801-5.61%0.0433✗1.203.3M2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.2771-0.53%3.95-8.14%0.0311✗1.397.9M2022-02-17
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.1532-0.53%2.92-7.89%0.0028✓1.00829k2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.089536-0.52%0.0825-8.33%0.0263✗1.36868k2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0023,568.53-0.51%22,441.70-5.27%0.0314✗1.017.2M2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero179.36178.4413-0.51%163.89-8.63%0.0043✓1.011.2M2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0323.9092-0.50%21.3-11.36%0.0072✗1.54387k2022-02-17
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.3363-0.50%2.105-10.35%0.0246✓1.0084k2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum4.874.8458-0.50%4.44-8.83%0.0119✗1.251.9M2022-02-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.045604-0.49%0.04378-4.47%0.0231✗0.802.2M2022-02-17
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002169-0.49%0.00000206-5.50%0.0279✗1.0014.3M2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.4968-0.49%3.268-7.00%0.0030✓0.89481k2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.5577-0.49%5+9.17%0.1215✗0.361.8M2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.6684-0.49%15.35-8.36%0.0295✓0.661.5M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.9425-0.49%1.741-10.81%0.0016✓1.401.1M2022-02-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.44609-0.47%0.4073-9.13%0.0470✗1.7321.4M2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum6.076.0415-0.47%5.54-8.73%0.0058✓1.02701k2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.484939-0.46%0.4369-10.32%0.0073✗1.408.9M2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5128.3786-0.46%28.08-1.51%0.0771✗1.1066.4M2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum46.3846.168-0.46%43.72-5.74%0.0404✗1.1930.4M2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016893-0.45%0.015816-6.79%0.0243✗1.13450k2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3994.9719-0.44%88.28-7.45%0.0426✗1.45104.0M2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.7304-0.44%6.42-5.03%0.0225✗0.88430k2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075379-0.42%0.0698-7.79%0.0088✗1.0817k2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.1153-0.42%1.07-4.46%0.0692✗1.39694k2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.155543-0.42%0.1568+0.38%0.1154✗1.353.2M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.1214-0.40%1.9-10.80%0.0037✓1.342.1M2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.9879-0.40%20.54-11.01%0.0159✓1.2110.5M2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.9358-0.40%3.3132-16.15%0.1017✓0.892.3M2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.889824-0.39%0.8222-7.96%0.0060✗1.0711.9M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.5047-0.39%6.03-7.66%0.0047✗1.011.9M2022-02-17
DIADIAEthereum0.970.966263-0.39%1.2+23.71%0.2962✗1.00269k2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013837-0.38%0.01258-9.43%0.0330✓0.7814k2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.2077-0.38%7.107-13.74%0.1226✓0.2737k2022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.599754-0.37%0.5558-7.67%0.0049✓0.89840k2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.537075-0.36%0.493-8.53%0.0283✗1.434.5M2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.0789-0.36%15.6-8.98%0.0050✗1.2070.2M2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8827-0.35%4.59-6.33%0.0378✗1.252.6M2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.8463-0.35%5.5502-5.40%0.0244✓0.35441k2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.2058-0.35%3.08-4.26%0.0235✗0.80215k2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6408-0.35%2.56-3.40%0.0694✗1.26390k2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash125.58125.1468-0.34%113.58-9.56%0.0004✓1.217.4M2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.287025-0.34%0.268-6.94%0.0055✗0.9373k2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3128.2167-0.33%26.61-6.00%0.0173✗0.951.2M2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.7445-0.33%10.24-5.01%0.0049✗0.67821k2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.8541-0.32%1.69-9.14%0.0180✗1.392.9M2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0799-0.32%1.0203-5.82%0.0340✗1.14106.9M2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.011710.011673-0.31%0.0107-8.63%0.0192✗1.331.2M2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.268463-0.31%0.2525-6.24%0.0205✗1.031.8M2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.080919-0.31%0.07416-8.64%0.0274✓0.7589k2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.03824.0259-0.30%3.6686-9.15%0.0094✗1.292.4M2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021707-0.30%0.020359-6.49%0.0349✗1.242.4M2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.8148-0.30%4.3951-8.99%0.0043✗1.20335k2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.305799-0.29%0.2746-10.47%0.0180✓1.13538k2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.113865-0.29%0.1047-8.32%0.0032✓1.0137k2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.5012-0.29%6.03-7.52%0.0095✓0.83463k2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.7892-0.29%4.567-4.91%0.0184✗0.83379k2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.8011-0.28%2.668-5.02%0.0583✗1.341.0M2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.8633-0.28%50.27-10.26%0.0075✗1.426.3M2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4547-0.28%5.36-2.01%0.0455✗0.79407k2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.167333-0.28%0.1536-8.46%0.0034✓1.03470k2022-02-17
DASHDashDash115.33115.0173-0.27%104.76-9.17%0.0052✓1.111.9M2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.5545-0.26%25.54-10.79%0.0088✗1.512.0M2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.566806-0.26%0.542-4.63%0.0635✗1.362.4M2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.032076-0.26%0.02995-6.87%0.0007✓0.856.2M2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5924-0.26%3.227-10.40%0.0268✓1.012.5M2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.4347-0.26%6.499-12.81%0.0577✓0.96407k2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.8054-0.25%1.65-8.84%0.0092✗1.251.3M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.148361-0.25%0.138407-6.95%0.0113✗1.016.1M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.028215-0.25%0.026932-4.78%0.0563✗1.2989k2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.804-0.24%19.71-5.49%0.0475✗1.2710.1M2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.11251.1098-0.24%1.0138-8.87%0.0362✗1.591.9M2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.057454-0.24%0.05215-9.45%0.0139✗1.391.2M2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.833426-0.23%0.76017-9.00%0.0283✗1.51334k2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.6093-0.23%15.78-10.59%0.0281✗1.733.4M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.218237-0.23%0.202261-7.53%0.0060✗1.0321.9M2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.174302-0.23%0.1642-6.01%0.0073✓0.66388k2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000085197-0.23%0.00007849-8.08%0.0088✗1.144.7M2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4263.2822-0.22%56.37-11.12%0.0150✓1.269.2M2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2532.1801-0.22%29.43-8.74%0.0046✓1.065.5M2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,801.85-0.21%40,536.73-7.65%0.0021✓1.00642.7M2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum129.55129.2739-0.21%119.39-7.84%0.0011✓1.017.8M2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration166.77166.4181-0.21%155.14-6.97%0.0252✗1.20973k2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.372214-0.21%0.334-10.46%0.0002✓1.362.3M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010757-0.21%0.00987-8.44%0.0027✓1.05483k2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2251-0.21%7.46+3.04%0.0535✗0.271.2M2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.345-0.20%6.1-4.06%0.0276✗0.8472k2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.675719-0.20%0.62107-8.27%0.0071✗1.153.6M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6846-0.20%1.541-8.71%0.0029✗1.162.1M2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.474458-0.20%0.4344-8.62%0.0300✗1.481.9M2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44170.1034-0.20%152.99-10.24%0.0063✗1.418.0M2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,118.30-0.20%2,893.56-7.39%0.0155✗1.13581.4M2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6649-0.19%2.47-7.49%0.0062✗1.03373k2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2716-0.19%1.142-10.36%0.0093✓1.233.4M2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.5428-0.19%36.74-9.55%0.0273✗1.58364k2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.697577-0.19%0.6239-10.73%0.0074✗1.50665k2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,879.65-0.18%40,651.20-7.53%0.0011✓0.9751k2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.097715-0.18%0.0902-7.86%0.0081✗1.1150k2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.981303-0.17%0.894-9.05%0.0156✗1.372.4M2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.084954-0.17%0.0849-0.24%0.0958✗1.21194k2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.977427-0.17%0.8983-8.25%0.0135✗1.2326.7M2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.3961-0.16%2.13-11.25%0.0375✓1.013.2M2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84127.6415-0.16%116.39-8.96%0.0058✗1.2332.4M2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.0707-0.15%5.45-10.36%0.0247✓1.04555k2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.17599-0.14%0.16982-3.64%0.0922✗1.6132k2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.21989-0.14%0.2015-8.49%0.0236✗1.393.7M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.066381-0.14%0.062402-6.12%0.0058✗0.85344k2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.694.4804-0.13%87.71-7.28%0.0035✓0.891.1M2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.78607-0.12%0.742-5.72%0.0306✗1.111.9M2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1902-0.11%1.0731-9.94%0.0169✓1.09193k2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.2079-0.11%10.41-7.22%0.0328✗1.3412.2M2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8224-0.09%1.6695-8.47%0.0028✗1.1469k2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8769-0.08%6.58-4.40%0.0243✗0.863.8M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.959471-0.08%0.883-8.04%0.0375✗1.52552k2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55334.3169-0.07%313.15-6.40%0.0136✗0.998.9M2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.257-0.06%2.1008-6.98%0.0285✗1.26367k2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.284828-0.06%0.2558-10.25%0.0148✗1.544.0M2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.006007-0.06%0.0054-10.15%0.0536✗2.0117.9M2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.7694-0.05%18.16-8.19%0.0236✗1.3633.6M2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8591-0.05%1.66-10.75%0.0170✓1.211.3M2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.9024-0.05%14.58-8.36%0.0043✓1.04483k2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4511-0.04%2.231-9.01%0.0106✓1.0520k2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.044647-0.03%0.04103-8.13%0.0036✗1.1131k2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.031972-0.03%0.02758-13.76%0.0415✓1.3410.7M2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.105185-0.01%0.0969-7.89%0.0411✗1.55996k2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana101.94101.9403+0.00%93.56-8.22%0.0151✓1.27179.7M2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.