8=======>

2022-02-14 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2163
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.0%
in alpha space · 74.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum9.589.8549+2.87%8.55-10.75%0.0963✗1.352.9M2022-03-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.66338.5656+2.39%299.84-9.32%0.0876✗1.008.9M2022-03-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074950.07544+0.65%0.07308-2.49%0.0065✓0.7484k2022-03-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9090.912487+0.38%0.819-9.90%0.0617✗1.362.4M2022-03-16
SOLSolanaSolana96.4396.7239+0.30%87.82-8.93%0.0535✗1.27179.7M2022-03-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.227.2289+0.12%6.02-16.62%0.1731✗0.291.2M2022-03-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.04372+0.05%0.04049-7.35%0.0365✗1.1930k2022-03-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.62124.6782+0.05%111.35-10.65%0.0704✗1.2634.8M2022-03-16
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6210.6248+0.04%9.09-14.41%0.1107✗1.3312.5M2022-03-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.029760.029767+0.02%0.02106-29.23%0.3070✗1.1510.0M2022-03-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7590.757676-0.17%0.635-16.34%0.1396✓1.091.6M2022-03-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052260.052114-0.28%0.04945-5.38%0.0048✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5939720.592201-0.30%0.511443-13.89%0.1074✓1.163.5M2022-03-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.75561.7455-0.58%2.0762+18.26%0.2121✗1.1467k2022-03-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.415.3077-0.60%13.23-14.09%0.1103✓1.05483k2022-03-16
SCSiacoinnative0.010330.010267-0.61%0.00895-13.36%0.1023✓1.03483k2022-03-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.27420.272267-0.71%0.2051-25.20%0.2301✓1.574.2M2022-03-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08190.081282-0.75%0.0705-13.92%0.1007✓1.23195k2022-03-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.09830.097546-0.77%0.0882-10.27%0.0485✓1.541.1M2022-03-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.17190.17056-0.78%0.1473-14.31%0.0913✓1.6334k2022-03-16
NANOnanopayBase2.14322.1231-0.94%2.3037+7.49%0.1241✗1.25436k2022-03-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.841.8227-0.94%1.08-41.30%0.4833✓1.181.4M2022-03-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20460.202587-0.98%0.2037-0.44%0.0537✗1.423.7M2022-03-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.13011.1188-1.00%1.053-6.82%0.0256✓1.03211k2022-03-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6314.5832-1.03%4.679+1.04%0.0493✗0.84379k2022-03-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.029450.02914-1.05%0.02522-14.36%0.1157✓0.856.2M2022-03-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44780.442995-1.07%0.3185-28.87%0.2790✓1.502.0M2022-03-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.3412.3155-1.09%2.135-8.80%0.0436✓1.1021k2022-03-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.807090.797881-1.14%0.82098+1.72%0.0800✗1.51299k2022-03-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,931.012,897.35-1.15%2,774.89-5.33%0.0051✓1.12572.6M2022-03-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92830.917352-1.18%0.7151-22.97%0.1969✓1.54588k2022-03-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.0391.0265-1.20%1.174+12.99%0.1749✗1.202.3M2022-03-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.2618-1.23%1.646-28.12%0.2848✓0.973.2M2022-03-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.718.4689-1.24%19.04+1.82%0.0767✗1.3634.9M2022-03-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0416.8289-1.24%14.44-15.26%0.0937✓1.753.7M2022-03-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.4426.0996-1.29%24.32-8.02%0.0181✓1.552.0M2022-03-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094360.093127-1.31%0.09466+0.32%0.0554✗1.1551k2022-03-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.5262-1.32%2.32-9.38%0.0503✓1.03406k2022-03-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3640.359191-1.32%0.447+22.80%0.2642✗1.342.3M2022-03-16
ZENHorizenBase41.2740.7218-1.33%38.67-6.30%0.0014✓1.56400k2022-03-16
TRXTRONTron0.0644840.063613-1.35%0.061066-5.30%0.0109✓0.88327k2022-03-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.8256.0486-1.36%50.45-11.21%0.0629✓1.258.8M2022-03-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40390.397929-1.48%0.455+12.65%0.1790✗1.338.7M2022-03-16
GTGateEthereum6.65576.5567-1.49%6.5078-2.22%0.0225✗0.883.9M2022-03-16
QNTQuantEthereum121.35119.5342-1.50%117.28-3.35%0.0153✗1.017.8M2022-03-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005660.005575-1.51%0.00348-38.52%0.4027✓2.0218.8M2022-03-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.4230.9335-1.55%27.36-12.92%0.0871✓1.055.1M2022-03-16
QTUMQtumQtum6.58036.4763-1.58%6.0075-8.71%0.0261✓1.45130k2022-03-16
KCSKuCoinnative19.60719.2943-1.59%18.299-6.67%0.0081✓1.3210.2M2022-03-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.280379-1.62%0.228-20.00%0.1745✓0.9577k2022-03-16
KSMKusamaHydration167.33164.6116-1.62%130.7-21.89%0.1900✓1.20930k2022-03-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54810.538733-1.71%0.7347+34.04%0.3564✗1.362.4M2022-03-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.5626-1.72%4.14-26.86%0.2592✓1.06590k2022-03-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,156.2041,403.86-1.78%41,103.10-2.50%0.0259✗0.9851k2022-03-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7932.7408-1.87%6.401+129.18%0.8943✗1.361.1M2022-03-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.367-1.88%6.66+21.76%0.2427✗0.79404k2022-03-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0175.9001-1.94%5.005-16.82%0.1351✓0.8772k2022-03-16
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1286.9882-1.96%5.736-19.53%0.1875✓0.2938k2022-03-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.627-1.97%6.49-3.99%0.0096✓0.90426k2022-03-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07080.069386-2.00%0.0732+3.39%0.0913✗1.1119k2022-03-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.54013.4692-2.00%4.461+26.01%0.2881✗1.082.5M2022-03-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.611.5776-2.01%1.529-5.03%0.0085✓1.171.9M2022-03-16
XVGVergenative0.011320.011087-2.06%0.009-20.49%0.1610✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2680.262425-2.08%0.2435-9.14%0.0388✓1.061.6M2022-03-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.63760.624293-2.09%0.4194-34.22%0.3455✓1.54718k2022-03-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.28860.28257-2.09%0.2713-5.99%0.0024✓1.13538k2022-03-16
HIVEHivenative1.04521.0233-2.10%0.8746-16.32%0.1008✓1.651.9M2022-03-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4927.8894-2.11%28.13-1.26%0.0412✗0.961.2M2022-03-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,548.7141,647.09-2.12%41,127.97-3.34%0.0214✓1.00642.7M2022-03-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1458210.142552-2.24%0.116967-19.79%0.1631✓1.026.7M2022-03-16
ZECZcashZcash120.62117.8973-2.26%154.1+27.76%0.3092✗1.227.2M2022-03-16
XECeCashnative0.000081780.000079927-2.27%0.00008028-1.83%0.0431✗1.145.1M2022-03-16
XEMNEMnative0.10940.106911-2.27%0.099-9.51%0.0410✓1.0639k2022-03-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.476.3213-2.30%8.59+32.77%0.3351✗0.84463k2022-03-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2107090.205729-2.36%0.18936-10.13%0.0481✓1.0321.9M2022-03-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8479.8988-2.37%74.12-9.43%0.0266✓1.4398.9M2022-03-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.878713-2.38%0.7371-18.11%0.1380✓1.1126.7M2022-03-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2288-2.40%1.181-6.20%0.0022✓1.233.2M2022-03-16
COMPCompoundEthereum123.15120.1862-2.41%110-10.68%0.0444✓1.3059k2022-03-16
DASHDashDash103.84101.1761-2.57%98.4-5.24%0.0101✓1.122.0M2022-03-16
XYMSymbolnative0.17480.17025-2.60%0.1357-22.37%0.2025✓0.72388k2022-03-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0212380.020652-2.76%0.01695-20.19%0.1560✓1.222.5M2022-03-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV93.7691.1048-2.83%78.23-16.56%0.1216✓0.901.2M2022-03-16
ADACardanoCardano1.051.0198-2.88%0.8393-20.07%0.1565✓1.13115.7M2022-03-16
LUNATerraTerra 253.9452.3639-2.92%89.17+65.31%0.5810✗1.436.9M2022-03-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.65-2.94%1.51-11.18%0.0457✓1.261.3M2022-03-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.395.2286-2.99%4.47-17.07%0.1198✓1.09682k2022-03-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.84382.7564-3.07%2.4922-12.36%0.0653✓1.042.8M2022-03-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.4211.0683-3.08%11.83+3.59%0.0908✗0.71706k2022-03-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0461330.044692-3.12%0.040705-11.77%0.0518✓1.226.5M2022-03-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4027.1695-3.14%4.733-36.06%0.3814✓1.00407k2022-03-16
XTZTezosTezos3.94733.8179-3.28%3.1013-21.43%0.1636✓1.302.4M2022-03-16
AAVEAaveEthereum161.11155.7944-3.30%141.71-12.04%0.0468✓1.418.1M2022-03-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16260.157064-3.40%0.1519-6.58%0.0018✓1.04470k2022-03-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15730.151842-3.47%0.128-18.63%0.1248✓1.363.2M2022-03-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.61554.455-3.48%4.1763-9.52%0.0230✓1.22349k2022-03-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7531.6909-3.54%1.428-18.54%0.1241✓1.321.1M2022-03-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012190.011756-3.56%0.01117-8.37%0.0016✓1.551.7M2022-03-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013660.013166-3.61%0.01185-13.25%0.0792✓0.7713k2022-03-16
DODODODOEthereum0.5020.483339-3.72%0.399-20.52%0.1430✓1.444.5M2022-03-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.941.8677-3.73%1.81-6.70%0.0131✓1.312.2M2022-03-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.9041-3.82%0.62-34.04%0.3105✓1.961.0M2022-03-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7519.9412-3.90%17.42-16.05%0.0940✓1.2110.5M2022-03-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.584.3999-3.93%4.216-7.95%0.0009✓1.232.6M2022-03-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029580.000028405-3.97%0.00002273-23.16%0.1749✓1.412.3M2022-03-16
BANDBandEthereum4.214.0427-3.97%3.642-13.49%0.0623✓1.241.9M2022-03-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84590.811882-4.02%0.7237-14.45%0.0770✓1.1212.4M2022-03-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0732-4.18%1.186+5.89%0.1466✗1.38694k2022-03-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0877-4.26%3.572+10.76%0.1735✗0.82218k2022-03-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95523.7866-4.26%4.0815+3.19%0.1080✗0.972.3M2022-03-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.9217.1394-4.36%13.13-26.73%0.2422✓0.721.1M2022-03-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08680.082968-4.41%0.0703-19.01%0.1189✓1.38674k2022-03-16
FTTFTXEthereum44.8542.8603-4.44%42.72-4.75%0.0365✓1.1731.2M2022-03-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.7294-4.45%1.322-26.96%0.2217✓1.382.9M2022-03-16
UMAUMAEthereum65.728-4.53%7.808+30.13%0.3451✗1.041.9M2022-03-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.682.5574-4.57%1.86-30.60%0.2746✓1.29390k2022-03-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.220.1964-4.73%19.73-6.93%0.0286✓1.53375k2022-03-16
ORCAOrcaSolana3.092.9394-4.87%2.1-32.04%0.3023✓1.00914k2022-03-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0166210.015792-4.99%0.011683-29.71%0.2619✓1.16535k2022-03-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.333.161-5.08%3.975+19.37%0.2585✗0.86502k2022-03-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002130.000002021-5.10%0.00000185-13.15%0.0546✓1.0014.3M2022-03-16
DIADIAEthereum0.940.891737-5.13%0.92-2.13%0.0652✗1.00271k2022-03-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.915.0704-5.22%14.68-7.67%0.0144✓1.2070.2M2022-03-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56440.534907-5.23%0.5055-10.44%0.0208✓1.051.0M2022-03-16
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3552.2243-5.55%1.611-31.59%0.2886✓1.0084k2022-03-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.5149-5.56%6.0499+3.60%0.1039✗0.33430k2022-03-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.842.6791-5.66%2.28-19.72%0.1274✓1.00693k2022-03-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.0945-5.87%4.743+9.03%0.1579✗0.322.0M2022-03-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.25121.1755-6.05%1.413+12.93%0.2374✗1.57123k2022-03-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92241.8023-6.25%3.0607+59.21%0.5496✗0.592.8M2022-03-16
XMRMoneroMonero176.38165.025-6.44%189.66+7.53%0.1739✗1.021.2M2022-03-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1625.3846-6.54%28.97+6.66%0.1702✗1.1271.8M2022-03-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06880.064244-6.62%0.0619-10.03%0.0231✓1.7864.3M2022-03-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.176.6913-6.68%5.8-19.11%0.1324✓0.311.7M2022-03-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1140.10601-7.01%0.105-7.89%0.0244✓1.0071k2022-03-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48063.235-7.06%2.1072-39.46%0.3991✓0.8730k2022-03-16
MOVRMoonriverBase83.6877.6549-7.20%51.8123-38.08%0.3549✓1.47315k2022-03-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43990.40701-7.48%0.3368-23.44%0.1287✓1.7926.1M2022-03-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.689-7.59%2.091-28.14%0.2028✓1.4418.3M2022-03-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.073.7472-7.93%3.12-23.34%0.1360✓1.398.0M2022-03-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043610.040148-7.94%0.03622-16.95%0.0784✓0.722.6M2022-03-16
STXStacksnative1.471.3499-8.17%1.28-12.93%0.0192✓1.001.0M2022-03-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03380.030891-8.61%0.02474-26.80%0.1713✓1.49490k2022-03-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286570.026148-8.76%0.017177-40.06%0.3757✓1.31102k2022-03-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5450.496622-8.88%0.3835-29.63%0.1935✓1.911.8M2022-03-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.7418.7297-9.69%16.49-20.49%0.0879✓1.1624.7M2022-03-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,089.9020,550.72-11.00%19,215.35-16.78%0.0351✓0.947.6M2022-03-16
PROPropyEthereum2.231.9636-11.94%1.46-34.53%0.2288✓1.99923k2022-03-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2261.076-12.23%0.7108-42.02%0.3848✓0.881.6M2022-03-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.6663.9041-16.33%2.572-44.88%0.3861✓0.92709k2022-03-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.