2022-02-12 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1968

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+20.46%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.0%

in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.09%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	9.3025	+3.59%	8.49	-5.46%	0.0091	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-03-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.64	338.4697	+2.37%	289.43	-12.46%	0.0923	✗	1.02	8.9M	2022-03-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07609	0.076845	+0.99%	0.0694	-8.79%	0.0546	✗	0.75	86k	2022-03-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.942	0.949641	+0.81%	0.768	-18.47%	0.1256	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-03-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	95.95	96.6977	+0.78%	81.24	-15.33%	0.0952	✗	1.26	179.7M	2022-03-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.78	127.412	+0.50%	105.58	-16.72%	0.1066	✗	1.30	35.7M	2022-03-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.64	10.6887	+0.46%	8.48	-20.30%	0.1475	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-03-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.745	0.748283	+0.44%	0.622	-16.51%	0.1157	✗	1.10	1.6M	2022-03-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.93	7.9539	+0.30%	5.85	-26.23%	0.2881	✗	0.30	1.1M	2022-03-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05601	0.056162	+0.27%	0.04611	-17.68%	0.1080	✗	1.42	1.2M	2022-03-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7725	1.7716	-0.05%	2.0564	+16.02%	0.2192	✗	1.12	73k	2022-03-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4604	0.459411	-0.21%	0.3223	-30.00%	0.2598	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2064	0.205923	-0.23%	0.1955	-5.28%	0.0372	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-03-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03381	0.033729	-0.24%	0.01958	-42.09%	0.4731	✓	1.13	9.7M	2022-03-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9401	0.937374	-0.29%	0.6963	-25.93%	0.2004	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80694	0.804138	-0.35%	0.72186	-10.54%	0.0136	✓	1.50	311k	2022-03-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.16	15.0991	-0.40%	12.66	-16.49%	0.1093	✓	1.06	535k	2022-03-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2838	0.282638	-0.41%	0.1945	-31.47%	0.2756	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-03-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.617618	0.615037	-0.42%	0.490244	-20.62%	0.1530	✓	1.18	3.5M	2022-03-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1781	2.1679	-0.47%	1.7056	-21.69%	0.1644	✓	1.20	547k	2022-03-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0443	1.0393	-0.48%	1.1348	+8.66%	0.1641	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-03-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03125	0.031095	-0.50%	0.02467	-21.06%	0.1770	✓	0.87	6.4M	2022-03-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0857	0.085157	-0.63%	0.0683	-20.30%	0.1429	✓	1.24	201k	2022-03-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.37	0.367611	-0.65%	0.421	+13.78%	0.2215	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1464	-0.67%	0.9939	-13.88%	0.0771	✓	1.05	239k	2022-03-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01068	0.010609	-0.67%	0.00877	-17.88%	0.1258	✓	1.03	514k	2022-03-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	16.9257	-0.67%	13.52	-20.66%	0.1149	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-03-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1035	0.102673	-0.80%	0.0894	-13.62%	0.0393	✓	1.58	1.2M	2022-03-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.5395	-0.80%	2.18	-14.84%	0.0878	✓	1.03	431k	2022-03-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.3	2.2808	-0.84%	1.651	-28.22%	0.2620	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-03-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.92	1.9024	-0.92%	1.04	-45.83%	0.5294	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-03-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.18	58.629	-0.93%	47.89	-19.08%	0.1247	✓	1.24	8.8M	2022-03-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.89	40.5036	-0.95%	38.54	-5.75%	0.0486	✗	1.57	420k	2022-03-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.916	5.8578	-0.98%	4.77	-19.37%	0.1495	✓	0.89	72k	2022-03-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.49	28.2061	-1.00%	23.42	-17.80%	0.0905	✓	1.52	2.0M	2022-03-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,919.99	2,890.70	-1.00%	2,590.23	-11.29%	0.0391	✓	1.13	572.6M	2022-03-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04235	0.041896	-1.07%	0.03912	-7.63%	0.0023	✓	1.13	30k	2022-03-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063473	0.062787	-1.08%	0.060064	-5.37%	0.0121	✗	0.90	351k	2022-03-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	18.6079	-1.13%	17.69	-6.00%	0.0353	✗	1.37	36.1M	2022-03-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4191	0.414275	-1.15%	0.3655	-12.79%	0.0411	✓	1.34	8.7M	2022-03-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.67	31.301	-1.17%	25.92	-18.16%	0.1220	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-03-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.562	0.5554	-1.17%	0.6427	+14.36%	0.2291	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-03-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.111	18.883	-1.19%	18.087	-5.36%	0.0411	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00616	0.006085	-1.22%	0.00363	-41.07%	0.3895	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-03-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01149	0.011346	-1.25%	0.00916	-20.28%	0.1261	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.3245	-1.25%	2.098	-10.88%	0.0354	✓	1.07	22k	2022-03-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.618	1.5964	-1.34%	1.459	-9.83%	0.0171	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-03-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.98	5.9001	-1.34%	3.73	-37.63%	0.3885	✓	1.12	645k	2022-03-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09377	0.092445	-1.41%	0.09014	-3.87%	0.0418	✗	1.07	50k	2022-03-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.83	116.1101	-1.46%	149.64	+27.00%	0.3333	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-03-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.786	4.7135	-1.51%	4.541	-5.12%	0.0155	✗	0.84	348k	2022-03-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7389	6.6367	-1.52%	5.7568	-14.57%	0.0514	✓	1.45	145k	2022-03-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	166.09	163.5554	-1.53%	120.47	-27.47%	0.2291	✓	1.22	930k	2022-03-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2514	0.247507	-1.55%	0.2384	-5.17%	0.0312	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.76	2.7171	-1.56%	5.312	+92.46%	0.7554	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18496	0.182055	-1.57%	0.1444	-21.93%	0.1298	✓	1.62	40k	2022-03-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000823	0.000080978	-1.61%	0.00007592	-7.75%	0.0084	✓	1.16	5.6M	2022-03-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5079	3.4503	-1.64%	4.315	+23.01%	0.2940	✗	1.12	2.5M	2022-03-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.48	5.3884	-1.67%	6.81	+24.27%	0.2840	✗	0.79	377k	2022-03-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.67	6.5544	-1.73%	6.85	+2.70%	0.1003	✗	0.90	406k	2022-03-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.4	6.2846	-1.80%	8.06	+25.94%	0.3009	✗	0.83	428k	2022-03-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.34	79.8544	-1.83%	68.98	-15.20%	0.0612	✓	1.36	98.5M	2022-03-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2852	0.279987	-1.83%	0.2584	-9.40%	0.0103	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.052	1.0327	-1.84%	0.8427	-19.90%	0.1113	✓	1.47	1.9M	2022-03-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.758	6.6317	-1.87%	6.346	-6.10%	0.0128	✓	0.90	4.0M	2022-03-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.781	7.6328	-1.90%	5.436	-30.14%	0.3172	✓	0.35	38k	2022-03-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,244.97	41,408.84	-1.98%	39,674.17	-6.09%	0.0200	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1736	0.170125	-2.00%	0.1322	-23.85%	0.2072	✓	0.72	406k	2022-03-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1393	0.136494	-2.01%	0.1186	-14.86%	0.0556	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-03-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9188	0.900062	-2.04%	0.7063	-23.13%	0.1714	✓	1.13	27.1M	2022-03-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.267	1.2411	-2.04%	1.144	-9.71%	0.0027	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-03-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6501	0.636618	-2.07%	0.3858	-40.66%	0.4034	✓	1.55	743k	2022-03-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	133.7	130.8866	-2.10%	113.5	-15.11%	0.0788	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-03-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.19	101.97	-2.13%	98.24	-5.71%	0.0344	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.939	6.7874	-2.18%	4.522	-34.83%	0.3416	✓	1.03	407k	2022-03-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	127.26	124.4448	-2.21%	99.59	-21.74%	0.1420	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.218218	0.213346	-2.23%	0.180075	-17.48%	0.1044	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-03-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7989	4.6865	-2.34%	4.0362	-15.89%	0.0718	✓	1.24	399k	2022-03-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9115	2.8427	-2.36%	2.3068	-20.77%	0.1456	✓	1.01	2.8M	2022-03-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021888	0.021367	-2.38%	0.01619	-26.03%	0.2005	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,568.00	41,542.77	-2.41%	39,373.20	-7.51%	0.0072	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.105881	-2.50%	0.0947	-12.80%	0.0452	✓	1.06	36k	2022-03-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.69	1.6476	-2.51%	1.336	-20.95%	0.1304	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-03-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.19	29.432	-2.51%	27.37	-9.34%	0.0122	✓	0.96	830k	2022-03-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.144281	0.140604	-2.55%	0.113913	-21.05%	0.1454	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-03-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.2006	-2.61%	4.39	-17.79%	0.1036	✓	1.05	682k	2022-03-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.11	91.6341	-2.63%	75.63	-19.64%	0.1352	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-03-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0596	1.0316	-2.64%	0.8028	-24.24%	0.1802	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-03-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0717	0.06972	-2.76%	0.06877	-4.09%	0.0556	✗	1.10	17k	2022-03-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.96	50.494	-2.82%	94.79	+82.43%	0.7195	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-03-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.812	1.7594	-2.90%	1.327	-26.77%	0.1998	✓	1.31	1.1M	2022-03-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013221	-2.93%	0.01174	-13.80%	0.0697	✓	0.78	13k	2022-03-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.03	10.7015	-2.98%	11.32	+2.63%	0.1012	✗	0.72	660k	2022-03-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.109	3.985	-3.02%	3.0001	-26.99%	0.2017	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.514	0.498272	-3.06%	0.369	-28.21%	0.2090	✓	1.46	4.9M	2022-03-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044288	0.042903	-3.13%	0.039855	-10.01%	0.0030	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.0836	-3.25%	0.942	-15.89%	0.0520	✓	1.40	655k	2022-03-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.86	20.1718	-3.30%	17.46	-16.30%	0.0683	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-03-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01276	0.012332	-3.35%	0.01143	-10.42%	0.0211	✓	1.55	1.7M	2022-03-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.02	1.9519	-3.37%	1.69	-16.34%	0.0619	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	162.52	156.9583	-3.42%	118.38	-27.16%	0.1935	✓	1.41	9.3M	2022-03-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000292	0.000028181	-3.49%	0.00002203	-24.55%	0.1572	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-03-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.27	4.1167	-3.59%	3.366	-21.17%	0.1230	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.5	2.4099	-3.60%	1.67	-33.20%	0.2850	✓	1.30	390k	2022-03-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1672	0.16115	-3.62%	0.1527	-8.67%	0.0119	✓	1.05	470k	2022-03-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.338	0.325552	-3.68%	0.228	-32.54%	0.2968	✓	0.94	76k	2022-03-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8744	0.842044	-3.70%	0.7121	-18.56%	0.1006	✓	1.07	12.7M	2022-03-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.904459	-3.78%	0.58	-38.30%	0.3212	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-03-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7974	3.6487	-3.92%	3.6677	-3.42%	0.0659	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-03-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.162	3.0339	-4.05%	3.453	+9.20%	0.1805	✗	0.81	212k	2022-03-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.89	4.6815	-4.26%	3.965	-18.92%	0.0885	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-03-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.8277	-4.31%	1.236	-35.29%	0.3040	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-03-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.312	3.1662	-4.40%	4.071	+22.92%	0.3076	✗	0.90	502k	2022-03-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.18	42.2171	-4.44%	41.47	-6.13%	0.0564	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-03-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.32	6.0386	-4.45%	7.574	+19.84%	0.2879	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.05	17.2451	-4.46%	13.26	-26.54%	0.2179	✓	0.71	984k	2022-03-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.54	21.5062	-4.59%	18.64	-17.30%	0.0441	✓	1.58	383k	2022-03-14
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.912583	-4.94%	0.89	-7.29%	0.0377	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-14
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.404	2.2845	-4.97%	1.61	-33.03%	0.2871	✓	1.00	68k	2022-03-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015897	0.01509	-5.08%	0.01177	-25.96%	0.1749	✓	1.17	630k	2022-03-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5785	0.547913	-5.29%	0.4889	-15.49%	0.0476	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-03-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.97	15.1202	-5.32%	13.41	-16.03%	0.0439	✓	1.21	72.0M	2022-03-14
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000217	0.000002054	-5.33%	0.00000175	-19.35%	0.0976	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9446	5.6249	-5.38%	5.8951	-0.83%	0.0664	✗	0.31	447k	2022-03-14
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.03	2.8664	-5.40%	2	-33.99%	0.2971	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.07	3.849	-5.43%	4.765	+17.08%	0.2346	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-03-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2471	1.1752	-5.76%	1.4082	+12.92%	0.2806	✗	1.59	119k	2022-03-14
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.7	2.5407	-5.90%	2.3	-14.81%	0.0368	✓	1.00	779k	2022-03-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8422	1.7308	-6.05%	2.9	+57.42%	0.5548	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-03-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0956	0.089761	-6.11%	0.0663	-30.65%	0.2155	✓	1.39	585k	2022-03-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.82	162.6614	-6.42%	185.79	+6.89%	0.1987	✗	1.05	1.3M	2022-03-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.78	7.2694	-6.56%	5.44	-30.08%	0.2666	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.07	25.2511	-6.72%	26.83	-0.89%	0.1322	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-03-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0682	0.063511	-6.87%	0.0558	-18.18%	0.0197	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-03-14
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.107917	-6.97%	0.104	-10.34%	0.0258	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8439	79.6726	-7.19%	46.9295	-45.33%	0.4389	✓	1.44	315k	2022-03-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0322	0.029856	-7.28%	0.0228	-29.19%	0.1773	✓	1.47	490k	2022-03-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.6526	-7.58%	1.952	-31.99%	0.2174	✓	1.42	19.1M	2022-03-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.527	3.2537	-7.75%	2.033	-42.36%	0.4148	✓	0.88	30k	2022-03-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4544	0.419077	-7.77%	0.3117	-31.40%	0.1835	✓	1.79	32.6M	2022-03-14
STX	Stacks	native	1.52	1.3992	-7.95%	1.28	-15.79%	0.0263	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-14
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04741	0.043606	-8.02%	0.03625	-23.54%	0.1393	✓	0.72	4.4M	2022-03-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.15	3.8029	-8.36%	2.9	-30.12%	0.1840	✓	1.39	8.0M	2022-03-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028632	0.026212	-8.45%	0.021474	-25.00%	0.1183	✓	1.29	111k	2022-03-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6015	0.550647	-8.45%	0.3874	-35.59%	0.2325	✓	1.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.07	18.0622	-10.00%	16.18	-19.38%	0.0368	✓	1.17	25.0M	2022-03-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,131.85	20,510.83	-11.33%	18,523.08	-19.92%	0.0419	✓	0.96	7.8M	2022-03-14
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	1.9419	-12.53%	1.43	-35.59%	0.1809	✓	1.99	1.1M	2022-03-14
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2939	1.13	-12.67%	0.7046	-45.54%	0.4161	✓	0.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.904	4.0465	-17.49%	2.368	-51.71%	0.4781	✓	0.92	909k	2022-03-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.