8=======>

2022-02-11 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1891
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.8%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1574.1946-18.66%2.25-56.37%0.5177✓0.921.0M2022-03-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.0682-12.93%0.7095-42.17%0.3059✓0.901.8M2022-03-13
PROPropyEthereum2.281.9986-12.34%1.5-34.21%0.1723✓1.001.4M2022-03-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1320,406.61-11.72%18,034.56-21.98%0.0137✓0.968.0M2022-03-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8217.7849-10.27%15.75-20.53%0.0119✓1.1625.3M2022-03-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.028851-10.19%0.015747-50.98%0.4576✓1.29111k2022-03-13
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.7415-8.52%2.78-32.03%0.1388✓1.388.0M2022-03-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.58181-8.49%0.364-42.75%0.2550✓1.871.8M2022-03-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.2939-8.35%2.0246-43.67%0.3854✓0.8830k2022-03-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.046845-8.35%0.0383-25.06%0.0867✓1.004.9M2022-03-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.413953-8.07%0.2937-34.78%0.1334✓1.8335.7M2022-03-13
STXStacksnative1.511.3908-7.89%1.22-19.21%0.0163✓1.001.2M2022-03-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.6708-7.58%1.919-33.60%0.1688✓1.4120.0M2022-03-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.060708-7.17%0.0539-17.58%0.0815✗1.7542.7M2022-03-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.029623-7.14%0.02245-29.62%0.1062✓1.49490k2022-03-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.4218-6.88%5.25-34.13%0.3034✓0.371.7M2022-03-13
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832179.0431-6.82%45.1-46.84%0.3954✓1.44319k2022-03-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5624.7499-6.82%26.25-1.17%0.1884✗1.1376.9M2022-03-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.109632-6.30%0.106-9.40%0.0810✗1.0072k2022-03-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.7961-6.22%2.5839+34.92%0.4340✗0.612.9M2022-03-13
XMRMoneroMonero169.21158.728-6.19%176.15+4.10%0.2243✗1.051.4M2022-03-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18685.8462-5.50%5.8335-5.71%0.0342✓0.32447k2022-03-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.562841-5.50%0.478-19.74%0.0422✓1.061.1M2022-03-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2215.3373-5.44%12.71-21.64%0.0495✓1.2173.6M2022-03-13
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.000002044-5.39%0.00000174-19.44%0.0461✓1.0014.6M2022-03-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.7645-5.18%4.835+21.79%0.2889✗0.341.8M2022-03-13
DIADIAEthereum0.960.910547-5.15%0.87-9.38%0.0692✗1.00281k2022-03-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.015074-5.03%0.011138-29.83%0.1682✓1.17689k2022-03-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.0947-4.67%1.3+13.21%0.3543✗1.59114k2022-03-13
ORCAOrcaSolana3.112.9653-4.65%2.04-34.41%0.2593✓1.002.0M2022-03-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.6836-4.42%3.91-20.20%0.0386✓1.242.6M2022-03-13
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.4389-4.39%1.578-38.14%0.3207✓1.0068k2022-03-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.083091-4.38%0.0636-26.81%0.1083✓1.39567k2022-03-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3621.3999-4.29%17.54-21.56%0.0187✓1.57387k2022-03-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.8671-4.25%1.151-40.97%0.3245✓1.393.0M2022-03-13
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.7099-4.20%7.326+22.92%0.3620✗0.981.9M2022-03-13
FTTFTXEthereum43.4641.7342-3.97%39.8-8.42%0.0878✗1.1832.3M2022-03-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1543.0335-3.82%3.576+13.38%0.2575✗0.81206k2022-03-13
BANDBandEthereum4.254.0934-3.69%3.308-22.16%0.0709✓1.241.9M2022-03-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.1688-3.69%4.399+33.71%0.4302✗0.89525k2022-03-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.886328-3.66%0.58-36.96%0.1990✓1.961.1M2022-03-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.3922-3.46%13.44-20.85%0.1171✓0.71919k2022-03-13
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71158.0554-3.45%115.63-29.37%0.1511✓1.419.5M2022-03-13
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.1667-3.39%2.9117-32.49%0.2092✓1.302.4M2022-03-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.845735-3.39%0.6804-22.28%0.0959✓1.0613.0M2022-03-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.4792-3.35%3.9184+8.84%0.2296✗0.972.2M2022-03-13
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.4567-3.28%1.63-35.83%0.2619✓1.29401k2022-03-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000027783-3.26%0.00002153-25.03%0.0923✓1.421.7M2022-03-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0920.4228-3.16%17.25-18.21%0.0303✓1.2110.8M2022-03-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0076-3.01%1.59-23.19%0.0839✓1.302.3M2022-03-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.151993-2.94%0.1446-7.66%0.0701✗1.05430k2022-03-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.144641-2.93%0.1131-24.09%0.0908✓1.353.2M2022-03-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.069941-2.86%0.0678-5.83%0.0947✗1.1019k2022-03-13
DODODODOEthereum0.520.505631-2.76%0.364-30.00%0.1627✓1.454.9M2022-03-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0697-2.76%0.926-15.82%0.0156✓1.39655k2022-03-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.0121-2.74%0.01121-9.89%0.0983✗1.521.7M2022-03-13
LUNATerraTerra 250.3548.9878-2.71%87.46+73.70%0.7435✗1.437.8M2022-03-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013225-2.69%0.01167-14.13%0.0356✓0.7813k2022-03-13
XEMNEMnative0.10860.105747-2.63%0.0913-15.93%0.0258✓1.0635k2022-03-13
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0532-2.50%0.7875-27.10%0.1624✓1.12115.7M2022-03-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.046524-2.50%0.039353-17.53%0.0283✓1.218.7M2022-03-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.7875-2.48%1.3-29.08%0.1683✓1.311.2M2022-03-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6492.3265-2.44%75.36-20.37%0.0991✓0.911.3M2022-03-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.141338-2.42%0.111494-23.03%0.1185✓1.037.1M2022-03-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2197.0463-2.39%4.381-39.31%0.3577✓1.02407k2022-03-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.6703-2.32%1.312-23.27%0.0971✓1.261.4M2022-03-13
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.28-2.22%4.43-17.96%0.0562✓1.04701k2022-03-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.8871-2.11%11.77+16.53%0.2557✗0.71660k2022-03-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.211098-1.99%0.176342-18.13%0.0614✓1.0324.3M2022-03-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.640938-1.95%0.4011-38.64%0.2919✓1.54743k2022-03-13
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54122.1249-1.94%98.79-20.68%0.0654✓1.2865k2022-03-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.8659-1.92%2.256-22.80%0.1243✓1.003.0M2022-03-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.022194-1.85%0.01603-29.11%0.1861✓1.212.4M2022-03-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.900011-1.84%0.6813-25.70%0.1503✓1.1228.1M2022-03-13
DASHDashDash103.99102.163-1.76%93.78-9.82%0.0448✗1.142.2M2022-03-13
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0558-1.69%0.829-22.81%0.0743✓1.461.9M2022-03-13
GTGateEthereum6.73996.6258-1.69%6.2488-7.29%0.0444✗0.904.0M2022-03-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.185883-1.69%0.14262-24.57%0.0797✓1.6240k2022-03-13
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.7905-1.67%5.225-34.05%0.3590✓0.3538k2022-03-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4741,678.40-1.67%37,793.01-10.84%0.0168✗1.00642.7M2022-03-13
QNTQuantEthereum129.51127.3589-1.66%111.99-13.53%0.0118✓1.027.8M2022-03-13
XECeCashnative0.000083910.000082531-1.64%0.00007348-12.43%0.0175✗1.175.6M2022-03-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7041,651.96-1.64%37,704.30-10.96%0.0114✓0.9741k2022-03-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2373-1.57%1.073-14.64%0.0010✓1.253.2M2022-03-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.296297-1.56%0.221-26.58%0.1856✓0.9476k2022-03-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8180.5465-1.54%67.97-16.92%0.0153✓1.3592.3M2022-03-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.6298-1.53%27.22-2.99%0.0952✗0.96679k2022-03-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.6299-1.53%3.931-16.39%0.0231✓1.23442k2022-03-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.279888-1.52%0.2459-13.48%0.0010✓1.12538k2022-03-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.096067-1.49%0.0888-8.94%0.0438✗1.0750k2022-03-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.6147-1.36%1.398-14.60%0.0114✓1.161.6M2022-03-13
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.171296-1.27%0.133-23.34%0.1708✓0.72406k2022-03-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.256108-1.27%0.2266-12.64%0.0022✓1.091.6M2022-03-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4041-1.21%6.27+14.63%0.2395✗0.79377k2022-03-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.7218-1.17%5.547+101.42%0.8673✗1.351.1M2022-03-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.1678-1.16%8.22+31.73%0.3821✗0.83441k2022-03-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7432.3631-1.15%25.38-22.48%0.1217✓1.064.6M2022-03-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.3977-1.12%6.56+1.39%0.1275✗0.89406k2022-03-13
ZECZcashZcash116.54115.2775-1.08%155+33.00%0.4414✗1.277.3M2022-03-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.4893-1.08%5.5491-15.41%0.0098✓1.45145k2022-03-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.7894-1.06%17.22-9.32%0.0689✗1.3636.1M2022-03-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.3708-1.01%4.8654+42.89%0.4943✗1.112.5M2022-03-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.08718.8956-1.00%17.691-7.31%0.0880✗1.3410.4M2022-03-13
KSMKusamaHydration165.1163.4823-0.98%117.74-28.69%0.1883✓1.22973k2022-03-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041489-0.93%0.03768-10.03%0.0326✗1.1230k2022-03-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9629.6837-0.92%22.26-25.70%0.1153✓1.502.0M2022-03-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.006145-0.89%0.00336-45.81%0.3716✓2.0218.8M2022-03-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.334-0.85%2.066-12.23%0.0002✓1.0622k2022-03-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.9406-0.82%3.71-38.06%0.3419✓1.12689k2022-03-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.107729-0.80%0.0962-11.42%0.0665✗1.571.3M2022-03-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,906.10-0.78%2,516.41-14.09%0.0155✓1.12572.6M2022-03-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.414825-0.78%0.3341-20.09%0.0638✓1.338.9M2022-03-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.565244-0.76%0.6265+9.99%0.2535✗1.312.6M2022-03-13
XVGVergenative0.011510.011422-0.76%0.00883-23.28%0.0989✓1.381.3M2022-03-13
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.06348-0.75%0.059286-7.30%0.0354✗0.90357k2022-03-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032737-0.74%0.02433-26.23%0.1976✓0.866.4M2022-03-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.4243-0.64%4.823+8.31%0.1825✗0.84346k2022-03-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.036304-0.62%0.01279-64.99%0.9144✓1.129.5M2022-03-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.81842-0.59%0.67151-18.44%0.0261✓1.50311k2022-03-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.0911-0.59%1.0999+0.21%0.1457✗1.202.3M2022-03-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.015.976-0.57%4.629-22.98%0.1497✓0.9272k2022-03-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.5657-0.55%2.09-18.99%0.0876✓1.02457k2022-03-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9796-0.52%1.05-47.24%0.4981✓1.191.5M2022-03-13
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1712-0.49%1.6373-24.96%0.1448✓1.20675k2022-03-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0758.7904-0.47%45.18-23.51%0.1222✓1.238.8M2022-03-13
ZENHorizenBase40.3640.1811-0.44%36.36-9.91%0.0790✗1.56461k2022-03-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.2999-0.44%1.693-26.71%0.1947✓0.972.9M2022-03-13
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.010515-0.43%0.0083-21.40%0.1192✓1.02550k2022-03-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.287748-0.36%0.1939-32.86%0.2169✓1.554.2M2022-03-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.086497-0.35%0.0674-22.35%0.1079✓1.23209k2022-03-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.1594-0.25%0.99147-14.70%0.0358✓1.05239k2022-03-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.9408-0.13%12.22-18.32%0.0805✓1.05576k2022-03-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.374592-0.11%0.354-5.60%0.0995✗1.361.9M2022-03-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2417.2256-0.08%12.73-26.16%0.1019✓1.753.8M2022-03-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.616701-0.03%0.47407-23.15%0.1290✓1.173.5M2022-03-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.93496+0.05%0.6829-26.92%0.1343✗1.57672k2022-03-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.205983+0.19%0.194-5.64%0.1031✓1.423.7M2022-03-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.056359+0.25%0.04657-17.16%0.0271✗1.431.2M2022-03-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.460065+0.39%0.2898-36.77%0.2904✗1.502.2M2022-03-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.7354+0.46%5.75-25.32%0.2617✗0.301.0M2022-03-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.7838+0.46%2.0346+14.58%0.2591✓1.1178k2022-03-13
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.7094+0.56%8.2-23.00%0.1141✗1.3312.5M2022-03-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.776664+0.73%0.605-21.53%0.1237✗1.101.7M2022-03-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69126.8068+0.89%101.69-19.09%0.0706✗1.3135.7M2022-03-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.971314+1.18%0.745-22.40%0.1073✗1.382.4M2022-03-13
SOLSolanaSolana96.597.6551+1.20%78.75-18.39%0.0716✗1.25179.7M2022-03-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.07847+1.29%0.0675-12.87%0.0620✗0.7789k2022-03-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01329.5241+2.65%279.78-12.84%0.0462✗1.028.9M2022-03-13
XVSVenusEthereum8.929.2797+4.03%8.26-7.40%0.0328✓1.302.8M2022-03-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.