8=======>

2022-02-11 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0710
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.3%
in alpha space · 49.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.085898-1.15%0.0956+10.01%0.1116✗1.39567k2022-02-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1575.1015-1.08%4.904-4.91%0.0364✓0.921.0M2022-02-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.147406-1.07%0.1393-6.51%0.0520✓1.353.2M2022-02-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.29796-1.01%0.338+12.29%0.1292✗0.9476k2022-02-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000028439-0.98%0.0000292+1.67%0.0312✗1.421.7M2022-02-12
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.5273-0.93%2.404-5.76%0.0467✓1.0068k2022-02-12
PROPropyEthereum2.282.2597-0.89%2.22-2.63%0.0144✓1.001.4M2022-02-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.63037-0.85%0.6015-5.39%0.0406✓1.871.8M2022-02-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.050683-0.84%0.04741-7.24%0.0634✓1.004.9M2022-02-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.217-0.81%1.2939+5.46%0.0643✗0.901.8M2022-02-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.8595-0.71%18.05+6.30%0.0706✗0.71919k2022-02-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.6476-0.68%7.93+2.99%0.0373✗0.301.0M2022-02-12
STXStacksnative1.511.5-0.66%1.52+0.66%0.0166✗1.001.2M2022-02-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.5709-0.65%3.527-1.87%0.0094✓0.8830k2022-02-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.8804-0.64%30.19+7.59%0.0828✗0.96679k2022-02-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.116264-0.63%0.116-0.85%0.0011✓1.0072k2022-02-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18686.1484-0.62%5.9446-3.91%0.0327✓0.32447k2022-02-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.9035-0.61%1.8422-3.81%0.0307✓0.612.9M2022-02-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.065018-0.58%0.0682+4.28%0.0536✗1.7542.7M2022-02-12
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.000002148-0.55%0.00000217+0.46%0.0135✗1.0014.6M2022-02-12
ORCAOrcaSolana3.113.0931-0.54%3.03-2.57%0.0173✓1.002.0M2022-02-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.915209-0.52%0.94+2.17%0.0333✗1.961.1M2022-02-12
BANDBandEthereum4.254.2283-0.51%4.27+0.47%0.0140✗1.241.9M2022-02-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.5818-0.50%3.7974+5.48%0.0617✗0.972.2M2022-02-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.1427-0.48%1.2471+8.60%0.0927✗1.59114k2022-02-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.7266-0.47%20.07+1.26%0.0211✗1.1625.3M2022-02-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1323,006.47-0.47%23,131.85+0.07%0.0086✗0.968.0M2022-02-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.9328-0.47%7.78-2.38%0.0182✓0.371.7M2022-02-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032838-0.43%0.03125-5.25%0.0467✓0.866.4M2022-02-12
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.2944-0.43%4.109-4.73%0.0398✓1.302.4M2022-02-12
XMRMoneroMonero169.21168.4864-0.43%173.82+2.72%0.0347✗1.051.4M2022-02-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.593058-0.43%0.5785-2.87%0.0213✓1.061.1M2022-02-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5626.447-0.43%27.07+1.92%0.0271✗1.1376.9M2022-02-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.448386-0.43%0.4544+0.91%0.0194✗1.8335.7M2022-02-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.6301-0.42%1.618-1.16%0.0036✓1.161.6M2022-02-12
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.9534-0.42%4.07+2.52%0.0302✗0.341.8M2022-02-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.031767-0.42%0.0322+0.94%0.0185✗1.49490k2022-02-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7432.6045-0.41%31.67-3.27%0.0255✓1.064.6M2022-02-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.015807-0.41%0.015897+0.16%0.0096✗1.17689k2022-02-12
FTTFTXEthereum43.4643.2853-0.40%44.18+1.66%0.0244✗1.1832.3M2022-02-12
DIADIAEthereum0.960.956142-0.40%0.96+0.00%0.0074✗1.00281k2022-02-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0956-0.40%1.12+1.82%0.0266✗1.39655k2022-02-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.047534-0.39%0.044288-7.19%0.0667✓1.218.7M2022-02-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.8789-0.38%2.87-0.69%0.0016✓1.4120.0M2022-02-12
DODODODOEthereum0.520.518152-0.36%0.514-1.15%0.0032✓1.454.9M2022-02-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.012396-0.35%0.01276+2.57%0.0340✗1.521.7M2022-02-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.883-0.35%4.89-0.20%0.0056✗1.242.6M2022-02-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.373712-0.34%0.37-1.33%0.0054✓1.361.9M2022-02-12
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.0761-0.34%4.15+1.47%0.0226✗1.388.0M2022-02-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0632-0.33%2.02-2.42%0.0168✓1.302.3M2022-02-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3622.2883-0.32%22.54+0.81%0.0165✗1.57387k2022-02-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.110.0697-0.30%11.03+9.21%0.0935✗0.71660k2022-02-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.4511-0.29%6.67+3.09%0.0364✗0.89406k2022-02-12
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832184.588-0.29%85.8439+1.19%0.0196✗1.44319k2022-02-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2216.1743-0.28%15.97-1.54%0.0087✓1.2173.6M2022-02-12
XEMNEMnative0.10860.108296-0.28%0.1086+0.00%0.0063✗1.0635k2022-02-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.9141-0.28%2.9115-0.36%0.0025✓1.003.0M2022-02-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.8279-0.28%1.812-1.15%0.0044✓1.311.2M2022-02-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1543.1454-0.27%3.162+0.25%0.0080✗0.81206k2022-02-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013553-0.27%0.01362+0.22%0.0075✗0.7813k2022-02-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.071813-0.26%0.0717-0.42%0.0021✓1.1019k2022-02-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.2816-0.26%3.312+0.67%0.0122✗0.89525k2022-02-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7042,240.80-0.25%42,568.00+0.52%0.0110✗0.9741k2022-02-12
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0776-0.25%1.0596-1.92%0.0131✓1.12115.7M2022-02-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.032046-0.24%0.028632-10.87%0.1083✓1.29111k2022-02-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.022556-0.24%0.021888-3.20%0.0260✓1.212.4M2022-02-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9629.8881-0.24%28.49-4.91%0.0429✓1.502.0M2022-02-12
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.5339-0.24%2.5-1.57%0.0091✓1.29401k2022-02-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.397-0.24%3.5079+3.02%0.0358✗1.112.5M2022-02-12
XVGVergenative0.011510.011484-0.23%0.01149-0.17%0.0052✗1.381.3M2022-02-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4575-0.23%5.48+0.18%0.0068✗0.79377k2022-02-12
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.9464-0.23%6.32+6.04%0.0642✗0.981.9M2022-02-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.87345-0.22%0.8744-0.11%0.0046✗1.0613.0M2022-02-12
LUNATerraTerra 250.3550.2385-0.22%51.96+3.20%0.0385✗1.437.8M2022-02-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.156262-0.22%0.1672+6.77%0.0712✗1.05430k2022-02-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2197.2035-0.22%6.939-3.88%0.0340✓1.02407k2022-02-12
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0717-0.21%1.052-2.05%0.0137✓1.461.9M2022-02-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0921.0461-0.21%20.86-1.09%0.0048✓1.2110.8M2022-02-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.144561-0.20%0.144281-0.39%0.0015✓1.037.1M2022-02-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.9461-0.20%1.91-2.05%0.0141✓1.393.0M2022-02-12
ZECZcashZcash116.54116.3101-0.20%117.83+1.11%0.0172✗1.277.3M2022-02-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.7486-0.19%2.76+0.22%0.0086✗1.351.1M2022-02-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.283689-0.18%0.2852+0.35%0.0091✗1.12538k2022-02-12
QNTQuantEthereum129.51129.278-0.18%133.7+3.24%0.0370✗1.027.8M2022-02-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4742,312.06-0.18%42,244.97-0.33%0.0018✓1.00642.7M2022-02-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.188743-0.17%0.18496-2.17%0.0148✓1.6240k2022-02-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.086651-0.17%0.0857-1.27%0.0069✓1.23209k2022-02-12
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.21503-0.17%0.218218+1.31%0.0182✗1.0324.3M2022-02-12
XECeCashnative0.000083910.000083776-0.16%0.0000823-1.92%0.0139✓1.175.6M2022-02-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.258999-0.15%0.2514-3.08%0.0261✓1.091.6M2022-02-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8181.6838-0.15%81.34-0.57%0.0003✓1.3592.3M2022-02-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.568725-0.15%0.562-1.33%0.0075✓1.312.6M2022-02-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.4464-0.15%4.786+7.48%0.0764✗0.84346k2022-02-12
KCSKuCoinnative19.08719.0596-0.14%19.111+0.13%0.0072✗1.3410.4M2022-02-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.2311-0.14%6.4+2.56%0.0295✗0.83441k2022-02-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.097382-0.14%0.09377-3.85%0.0342✓1.0750k2022-02-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,925.07-0.14%2,919.99-0.31%0.0020✗1.12572.6M2022-02-12
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.5514-0.14%6.7389+2.72%0.0331✗1.45145k2022-02-12
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54124.3828-0.13%127.26+2.18%0.0271✗1.2865k2022-02-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.82226-0.13%0.80694-1.99%0.0138✓1.50311k2022-02-12
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.9131-0.13%7.781-1.79%0.0157✓0.3538k2022-02-12
ZENHorizenBase40.3640.3104-0.12%40.89+1.31%0.0195✗1.56461k2022-02-12
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71163.5126-0.12%162.52-0.73%0.0014✓1.419.5M2022-02-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.577-0.12%2.56-0.78%0.0032✓1.02457k2022-02-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.958941-0.11%0.942-1.88%0.0132✓1.382.4M2022-02-12
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.3941-0.11%5.34-1.11%0.0066✓1.04701k2022-02-12
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.010549-0.11%0.01068+1.14%0.0158✗1.02550k2022-02-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.6965-0.11%4.7989+2.07%0.0257✗1.23442k2022-02-12
GTGateEthereum6.73996.733-0.10%6.758+0.27%0.0067✗0.904.0M2022-02-12
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.173326-0.10%0.1736+0.06%0.0040✗0.72406k2022-02-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2417.2231-0.10%17.04-1.16%0.0048✓1.753.8M2022-02-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.417699-0.10%0.4191+0.24%0.0078✗1.338.9M2022-02-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2559-0.09%1.267+0.80%0.0130✗1.253.2M2022-02-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0759.0179-0.09%59.18+0.19%0.0069✗1.238.8M2022-02-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6494.5571-0.09%94.11-0.56%0.0017✓0.911.3M2022-02-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.077404-0.09%0.07609-1.78%0.0145✓0.7789k2022-02-12
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.063905-0.08%0.063473-0.76%0.0038✓0.90357k2022-02-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69125.5936-0.08%126.78+0.87%0.0138✗1.3135.7M2022-02-12
DASHDashDash103.99103.9123-0.07%104.19+0.19%0.0065✗1.142.2M2022-02-12
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.3083-0.07%2.3-0.43%0.0003✓0.972.9M2022-02-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041849-0.07%0.04235+1.12%0.0156✗1.1230k2022-02-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.7088-0.07%1.69-1.17%0.0068✓1.261.4M2022-02-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.9868-0.05%5.98-0.17%0.0026✗1.12689k2022-02-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.056196-0.04%0.05601-0.37%0.0015✗1.431.2M2022-02-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.7749-0.04%1.7725-0.17%0.0024✗1.1178k2022-02-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.458112-0.04%0.4604+0.46%0.0100✗1.502.2M2022-02-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.016.0076-0.04%5.916-1.56%0.0123✓0.9272k2022-02-12
KSMKusamaHydration165.1165.0365-0.04%166.09+0.60%0.0104✗1.22973k2022-02-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.0972-0.03%1.0443-4.85%0.0454✓1.202.3M2022-02-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.653515-0.03%0.6501-0.55%0.0001✓1.54743k2022-02-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.162-0.03%1.1541-0.70%0.0033✓1.05239k2022-02-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.616759-0.02%0.617618+0.12%0.0053✗1.173.5M2022-02-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01320.9473-0.02%330.64+3.00%0.0332✗1.028.9M2022-02-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.916742-0.02%0.9188+0.21%0.0060✗1.1228.1M2022-02-12
XVSVenusEthereum8.928.9185-0.02%8.98+0.67%0.0112✗1.302.8M2022-02-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9897-0.02%1.92-3.52%0.0317✓1.191.5M2022-02-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3536-0.02%2.354+0.00%0.0037✗1.0622k2022-02-12
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.6494-0.01%10.64-0.09%0.0036✗1.3312.5M2022-02-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.205622+0.01%0.2064+0.39%0.0085✓1.423.7M2022-02-12
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1822+0.01%2.1781-0.18%0.0021✓1.20675k2022-02-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.28886+0.02%0.2838-1.73%0.0125✗1.554.2M2022-02-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.9639+0.03%15.16+1.34%0.0165✓1.05576k2022-02-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.9958+0.03%18.82-0.90%0.0047✗1.3636.1M2022-02-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.036542+0.03%0.03381-7.45%0.0740✗1.129.5M2022-02-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.771276+0.04%0.745-3.37%0.0310✗1.101.7M2022-02-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.108671+0.07%0.1035-4.70%0.0435✗1.571.3M2022-02-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.935395+0.10%0.9401+0.60%0.0103✓1.57672k2022-02-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.006206+0.10%0.00616-0.65%0.0007✓2.0218.8M2022-02-12
SOLSolanaSolana96.596.6067+0.11%95.95-0.57%0.0026✗1.25179.7M2022-02-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.