8=======>

2022-02-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1584
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.1%
in alpha space · 83.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.5334.4387-19.78%2.375-57.08%0.5219✓0.901.0M2022-03-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.31011.1399-12.99%0.7095-45.84%0.3595✓1.001.9M2022-03-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0355010.030948-12.83%0.014171-60.08%0.6350✓1.27112k2022-03-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,454.9121,448.87-12.29%18,392.25-24.79%0.0447✓0.959.7M2022-03-12
SUSHISushiEthereum4.413.932-10.84%2.91-34.01%0.1436✓1.378.0M2022-03-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.5919.2606-10.79%16.07-25.57%0.0487✓1.1626.1M2022-03-12
PROPropyEthereum2.642.3602-10.60%1.47-44.32%0.3588✓1.001.7M2022-03-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.66350.602921-9.13%0.3897-41.27%0.2228✓1.861.8M2022-03-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.51380.467943-8.93%0.2995-41.71%0.2400✓1.8039.0M2022-03-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.22.919-8.78%1.978-38.19%0.2288✓1.4020.5M2022-03-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.53863.2288-8.76%1.9953-43.61%0.3792✓0.8930k2022-03-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.527.8186-8.23%5.31-37.68%0.3456✓0.361.7M2022-03-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0350.032127-8.21%0.0232-33.71%0.1551✓1.49490k2022-03-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10410.095757-8.01%0.0665-36.12%0.2098✓1.35555k2022-03-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046370.042706-7.90%0.04102-11.54%0.0744✓1.004.9M2022-03-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07440.068656-7.72%0.0539-27.55%0.0457✓1.7131.3M2022-03-12
STXStacksnative1.621.5007-7.37%1.32-18.52%0.0136✓1.001.2M2022-03-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.126.9774-7.29%27.21-6.49%0.1365✗1.1288.1M2022-03-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.115934-6.50%0.109-12.10%0.0530✓1.0072k2022-03-12
XMRMoneroMonero179.36168.0988-6.28%184.77+3.02%0.2141✗1.041.5M2022-03-12
MOVRMoonriverBase94.367788.4758-6.24%48.5533-48.55%0.4359✓1.43320k2022-03-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8741.7581-6.18%2.7465+46.56%0.5174✗0.622.8M2022-03-12
API3Api3Ethereum4.484.2055-6.13%5.01+11.83%0.2085✗0.291.6M2022-03-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.32021.24-6.07%1.3548+2.62%0.2663✗1.55109k2022-03-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.5116.511-5.71%13.16-24.84%0.0897✓1.2075.4M2022-03-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.13365.8123-5.24%5.8489-4.64%0.0417✓0.31420k2022-03-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57530.545652-5.15%0.4939-14.15%0.0234✓1.071.1M2022-03-12
BTTCBTTC0.000002230.000002121-4.88%0.00000178-20.18%0.0607✓1.0014.9M2022-03-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.071.9691-4.88%1.181-42.95%0.3521✓1.393.0M2022-03-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0171690.016347-4.79%0.01151-32.96%0.2168✓1.171.1M2022-03-12
DIADIAEthereum1.010.96247-4.71%0.9-10.89%0.0475✓1.00284k2022-03-12
FIDABonfidaSolana2.9082.7723-4.67%1.65-43.26%0.4042✓1.0068k2022-03-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.234.992-4.55%4.182-20.04%0.0357✓1.232.6M2022-03-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.6922.6686-4.31%17.7-25.28%0.0669✓1.57397k2022-03-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030810.000029503-4.24%0.00002213-28.17%0.1261✓1.411.7M2022-03-12
AAVEAaveEthereum175.4168.0055-4.22%120.43-31.34%0.1723✓1.409.5M2022-03-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.0117.2811-4.05%13.7-23.93%0.1518✓0.70919k2022-03-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum10.960523-3.95%0.59-41.00%0.2637✓1.951.1M2022-03-12
UMAUMAEthereum6.286.0358-3.89%7.768+23.69%0.3640✗0.971.9M2022-03-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.221.1732-3.84%0.972-20.33%0.0306✓1.37589k2022-03-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2413.1198-3.74%2.927-9.69%0.0291✓0.81206k2022-03-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.94880.914345-3.63%0.7-26.22%0.1467✓1.0513.5M2022-03-12
FTTFTXEthereum44.5542.9751-3.54%40.93-8.13%0.0860✗1.1832.3M2022-03-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.1422.3253-3.52%17.68-23.60%0.0962✓1.2010.5M2022-03-12
MINAMina Protocolnative2.762.6659-3.41%1.71-38.04%0.2973✓1.28401k2022-03-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16490.159311-3.39%0.1478-10.37%0.0444✗1.04430k2022-03-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.6543.5312-3.36%4.1135+12.58%0.2638✗0.972.2M2022-03-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.7567.4955-3.36%4.615-40.50%0.3684✓1.02407k2022-03-12
ORCAOrcaSolana3.393.2833-3.15%2.06-39.23%0.3515✓1.002.0M2022-03-12
BANDBandEthereum3.93.7783-3.12%3.377-13.41%0.0333✗1.271.9M2022-03-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.073674-3.06%0.06846-9.92%0.0518✗1.0920k2022-03-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5843.475-3.04%3.05-14.90%0.0302✓0.87533k2022-03-12
LUNATerraTerra 252.3250.8013-2.90%86.03+64.43%0.6906✗1.438.4M2022-03-12
XEMNEMnative0.11390.110713-2.80%0.0933-18.09%0.0505✓1.0535k2022-03-12
XTZTezosTezos4.12734.0147-2.73%3.0195-26.84%0.1336✓1.322.4M2022-03-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.162.1012-2.72%1.63-24.54%0.1046✓1.302.2M2022-03-12
DODODODOEthereum0.5620.547254-2.62%0.377-32.92%0.2078✓1.444.9M2022-03-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013370.013027-2.56%0.01145-14.36%0.0448✗1.521.7M2022-03-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV98.3595.8591-2.53%77.75-20.95%0.1057✓0.901.3M2022-03-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013690.013349-2.49%0.01176-14.10%0.0368✓0.7813k2022-03-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.81.756-2.45%1.329-26.17%0.1344✓1.261.5M2022-03-12
ADACardanoCardano1.15151.1234-2.44%0.7897-31.42%0.2250✓1.11117.8M2022-03-12
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68129.475-2.42%102.32-22.88%0.0887✓1.2865k2022-03-12
GITCOINGITCOIN8.4958.2919-2.39%5.344-37.09%0.4004✓0.3438k2022-03-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche91.1889.0116-2.38%70.94-22.20%0.0733✓1.3489.7M2022-03-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14820.144708-2.36%0.1151-22.33%0.0726✓1.363.2M2022-03-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20980.204905-2.33%0.14642-30.21%0.1528✓1.6040k2022-03-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9871.9407-2.33%1.318-33.67%0.2383✓1.301.2M2022-03-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.610.3555-2.31%11.93+12.55%0.2224✗0.71660k2022-03-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1516310.148153-2.29%0.11473-24.34%0.1375✓1.037.1M2022-03-12
RADRadworksEthereum5.695.5597-2.29%4.32-24.08%0.1333✓1.04755k2022-03-12
QNTQuantEthereum140.08136.88-2.28%115.96-17.22%0.0503✓1.017.6M2022-03-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72050.704594-2.21%0.4107-43.00%0.3640✓1.53849k2022-03-12
XECeCashnative0.00009250.000090471-2.19%0.00007339-20.66%0.0774✓1.155.6M2022-03-12
MANADecentralandEthereum3.14013.072-2.17%2.3104-26.42%0.1715✓0.993.0M2022-03-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,566.6042,624.87-2.16%39,000.00-10.48%0.0219✗0.9741k2022-03-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.98220.962289-2.03%0.7051-28.21%0.1841✓1.1129.2M2022-03-12
XLMStellarStellar0.231720.227306-1.90%0.18515-20.10%0.0879✓1.0224.5M2022-03-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.30450.299254-1.72%0.2576-15.40%0.0223✓1.11538k2022-03-12
DASHDashDash111.66109.7567-1.70%99.09-11.26%0.0275✗1.132.2M2022-03-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3231.301-1.67%1.119-15.42%0.0077✓1.253.2M2022-03-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,527.7142,805.42-1.66%38,813.02-10.83%0.0167✗1.00642.7M2022-03-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.06924.9855-1.65%3.9946-21.20%0.0827✓1.21442k2022-03-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006960.006848-1.61%0.0035-49.71%0.4413✓2.0019.6M2022-03-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7191.6913-1.61%1.467-14.66%0.0100✓1.151.6M2022-03-12
GTGateEthereum6.90436.7987-1.53%6.4519-6.55%0.0498✗0.894.1M2022-03-12
HIVEHivenative1.10961.0927-1.52%0.8661-21.94%0.0647✓1.461.9M2022-03-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0503950.04964-1.50%0.039692-21.24%0.0847✓1.218.8M2022-03-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.8633.3537-1.50%22.97-32.16%0.2012✓1.502.0M2022-03-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.6472-1.47%27.62-1.57%0.1097✗0.97619k2022-03-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102550.101044-1.47%0.09108-11.18%0.0181✗1.0650k2022-03-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.866.7594-1.47%8.14+18.66%0.2789✗0.81463k2022-03-12
QTUMQtumQtum7.14257.0378-1.47%5.817-18.56%0.0252✓1.44156k2022-03-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.5120.2102-1.46%18.13-11.60%0.0466✗1.3536.9M2022-03-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27740.273383-1.45%0.2192-20.98%0.0962✓1.091.6M2022-03-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.3933.9028-1.42%26.29-23.55%0.1334✓1.054.3M2022-03-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.4666.3807-1.32%4.691-27.45%0.2034✓0.9173k2022-03-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0233190.023017-1.29%0.01679-28.00%0.1766✓1.212.5M2022-03-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.5052.4749-1.20%2.126-15.13%0.0309✓1.0622k2022-03-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.755.6815-1.19%5.69-1.04%0.0917✗0.79377k2022-03-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.55273.5119-1.15%5.032+41.64%0.4871✗1.112.5M2022-03-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.03970.039257-1.12%0.01355-65.87%0.9364✓1.119.2M2022-03-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.846.7674-1.06%6.54-4.39%0.0674✗0.89416k2022-03-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044510.044039-1.06%0.039-12.38%0.0068✓1.1230k2022-03-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8212.7913-1.05%6.597+133.85%1.0162✗1.361.1M2022-03-12
KCSKuCoinnative20.47320.2594-1.04%18.015-12.01%0.0359✗1.3410.4M2022-03-12
NANOnanopayBase2.36892.3452-1.00%1.7181-27.47%0.1751✓1.19791k2022-03-12
XVGVergenative0.012190.012076-0.94%0.00964-20.92%0.0681✓1.371.3M2022-03-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.882640.874732-0.90%0.66287-24.90%0.1068✓1.49311k2022-03-12
ZECZcashZcash124.85123.7641-0.87%151.6+21.43%0.3470✗1.267.1M2022-03-12
ETHEthereumEthereum3,074.853,048.54-0.86%2,569.30-16.44%0.0432✓1.11557.7M2022-03-12
TRXTRONTron0.0686080.068025-0.85%0.059631-13.08%0.0288✓0.90362k2022-03-12
ZENHorizenBase45.0244.6438-0.84%37.48-16.75%0.0017✓1.54461k2022-03-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.30930.306773-0.82%0.1934-37.47%0.2837✓1.554.2M2022-03-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.20951.1997-0.81%1.1484-5.05%0.0924✗1.192.3M2022-03-12
KSMKusamaHydration179.15177.8204-0.74%123.75-30.92%0.2237✓1.211.0M2022-03-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.46150.458204-0.71%0.3185-30.99%0.2125✓1.329.1M2022-03-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.11630.115475-0.71%0.0788-32.24%0.2034✓1.561.5M2022-03-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.072.0559-0.68%1.07-48.31%0.5169✓1.191.6M2022-03-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.436.3863-0.68%3.76-41.52%0.4025✓1.11689k2022-03-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60380.599871-0.65%0.6724+11.36%0.2643✗1.312.7M2022-03-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09190.091321-0.63%0.0679-26.12%0.1553✓1.23209k2022-03-12
SCSiacoinnative0.011380.011316-0.56%0.00875-23.11%0.1411✓1.01572k2022-03-12
XYMSymbolnative0.18060.17959-0.56%0.1353-25.08%0.2014✓0.71419k2022-03-12
IMXImmutableEthereum2.592.5759-0.55%1.865-27.99%0.2150✓0.942.6M2022-03-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.614.5868-0.50%4.45-3.47%0.0657✗0.84346k2022-03-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.25951.2532-0.50%1.0261-18.53%0.0805✓1.04260k2022-03-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2810.279814-0.42%0.225-19.93%0.1083✓0.9670k2022-03-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.72.6899-0.37%2.16-20.00%0.1024✓1.02474k2022-03-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770390.67456-0.37%0.494996-26.89%0.1774✓1.153.5M2022-03-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.2616.2029-0.35%12.71-21.83%0.1232✓1.04576k2022-03-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.030450.030343-0.35%0.02468-18.95%0.1047✓0.896.4M2022-03-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.22420.223703-0.22%0.2006-10.53%0.0522✗1.413.9M2022-03-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.3563.2277-0.19%46.61-26.42%0.1647✓1.228.8M2022-03-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4080.407216-0.19%0.263-35.54%0.2827✓1.351.9M2022-03-12
LRCLoopringEthereum1.04041.0393-0.11%0.69-33.68%0.2327✓1.54637k2022-03-12
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4111.4258+0.14%8.45-25.94%0.1497✗1.3312.5M2022-03-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.88361.8883+0.25%2.1318+13.18%0.2481✓1.1179k2022-03-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8450.847289+0.27%0.626-25.92%0.1783✗1.081.7M2022-03-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.51180.513226+0.28%0.2875-43.83%0.4102✗1.482.3M2022-03-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.677.6943+0.32%5.85-23.73%0.2379✗0.321.0M2022-03-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9419.0361+0.51%13.59-28.25%0.1378✗1.743.8M2022-03-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057990.058303+0.54%0.04815-16.97%0.0276✗1.431.2M2022-03-12
SOLSolanaSolana106.25107.0003+0.71%81.44-23.35%0.1305✗1.24179.7M2022-03-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin134.59135.6199+0.77%105.58-21.55%0.1010✗1.3034.8M2022-03-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08280.083628+1.00%0.07134-13.84%0.0716✗0.7689k2022-03-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0291.0402+1.09%0.777-24.49%0.1344✗1.372.3M2022-03-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash341.1349.2317+2.38%290.92-14.71%0.0661✗1.028.9M2022-03-12
XVSVenusEthereum9.710.0691+3.81%8.57-11.65%0.0130✓1.292.6M2022-03-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.