2022-02-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0137

149 of 149 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.25%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.9%

in alpha space · 89.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.62%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1041	0.100949	-3.03%	0.0869	-16.52%	0.1140	✓	1.35	555k	2022-02-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.908	2.8385	-2.39%	2.551	-12.28%	0.0802	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.533	5.4575	-1.36%	5.157	-6.80%	0.0327	✓	0.90	1.0M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003081	0.00003042	-1.27%	0.00002872	-6.78%	0.0201	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.64	2.609	-1.17%	2.28	-13.64%	0.1082	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6635	0.656347	-1.08%	0.6358	-4.17%	0.0177	✗	1.86	1.8M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.1336	6.0704	-1.03%	6.1868	+0.87%	0.0272	✗	0.31	420k	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.01	17.8321	-0.99%	16.98	-5.72%	0.0303	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3101	1.2975	-0.96%	1.2269	-6.35%	0.0294	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.22	1.21	-0.82%	1.1	-9.84%	0.0588	✓	1.37	589k	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3202	1.3096	-0.81%	1.1483	-13.02%	0.0902	✓	1.55	109k	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1	0.992161	-0.78%	0.92	-8.00%	0.0237	✓	1.95	1.1M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0744	0.073818	-0.78%	0.0654	-12.10%	0.0756	✓	1.71	31.3M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.48	4.4459	-0.76%	3.97	-11.38%	0.1055	✓	0.29	1.6M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.5386	3.5145	-0.68%	3.5941	+1.57%	0.0461	✗	0.89	30k	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.035	0.034767	-0.67%	0.0319	-8.86%	0.0466	✓	1.49	490k	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5138	0.510447	-0.65%	0.4503	-12.36%	0.0776	✓	1.80	39.0M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.06	27.8774	-0.65%	28.06	+0.00%	0.0322	✗	0.97	619k	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.52	8.4663	-0.63%	7.97	-6.46%	0.0508	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.39	34.1739	-0.63%	32.74	-4.80%	0.0149	✓	1.05	4.3M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	21.455	-0.63%	19.82	-8.20%	0.0486	✓	1.16	26.1M	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.62	1.6099	-0.62%	1.51	-6.79%	0.0375	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.12323	-0.62%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0253	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.408	0.405488	-0.62%	0.375	-8.09%	0.0424	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050395	0.050092	-0.60%	0.047719	-5.31%	0.0163	✓	1.21	8.8M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1482	0.147311	-0.60%	0.149	+0.54%	0.0476	✗	1.36	3.2M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,454.91	24,309.35	-0.60%	23,115.13	-5.48%	0.0251	✓	0.95	9.7M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.035501	0.035296	-0.58%	0.032124	-9.51%	0.0603	✓	1.27	112k	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.2	3.1818	-0.57%	2.89	-9.69%	0.0590	✓	1.40	20.5M	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04637	0.04611	-0.56%	0.05111	+10.22%	0.1295	✗	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.41	4.3853	-0.56%	4.09	-7.26%	0.0332	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.874	1.8637	-0.55%	1.9151	+2.19%	0.0437	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	179.36	178.3977	-0.54%	169.21	-5.66%	0.0252	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	28.948	-0.52%	26.56	-8.73%	0.0565	✓	1.12	88.1M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.000002219	-0.51%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0002	✓	1.00	14.9M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01337	0.013305	-0.49%	0.01244	-6.96%	0.0269	✓	1.52	1.7M	2022-02-11
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.39	3.3748	-0.45%	3.11	-8.26%	0.0552	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.281	0.279761	-0.44%	0.301	+7.12%	0.0986	✗	0.96	70k	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.84	6.81	-0.44%	6.47	-5.41%	0.0277	✓	0.89	416k	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.654	3.638	-0.44%	3.6	-1.48%	0.0153	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	94.3677	93.9548	-0.44%	84.8321	-10.10%	0.0641	✓	1.43	320k	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.86	33.7166	-0.42%	29.96	-11.52%	0.0783	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.562	0.559627	-0.42%	0.52	-7.47%	0.0352	✓	1.44	4.9M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017169	0.017097	-0.42%	0.015872	-7.55%	0.0433	✓	1.17	1.1M	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.023319	0.023223	-0.41%	0.022611	-3.04%	0.0055	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01219	0.012142	-0.39%	0.01151	-5.58%	0.0170	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.6401	-0.39%	7.7	+0.39%	0.0162	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	91.18	90.8251	-0.39%	81.81	-10.28%	0.0689	✓	1.34	89.7M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.55	44.3798	-0.38%	43.46	-2.45%	0.0103	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,566.60	43,400.69	-0.38%	42,347.70	-2.80%	0.0011	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.23	5.2104	-0.38%	4.9	-6.31%	0.0287	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	23.69	23.6011	-0.38%	22.36	-5.61%	0.0122	✓	1.57	397k	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.4449	-0.37%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0410	✓	1.20	75.4M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.6	10.5609	-0.37%	10.1	-4.72%	0.0259	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.75	5.7288	-0.37%	5.47	-4.87%	0.0253	✓	0.79	377k	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.16	2.1521	-0.37%	2.07	-4.17%	0.0043	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.0063	-0.37%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0205	✓	1.00	284k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1649	0.164308	-0.36%	0.1566	-5.03%	0.0204	✓	1.04	430k	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1139	0.113499	-0.35%	0.1086	-4.65%	0.0162	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.241	3.2297	-0.35%	3.154	-2.68%	0.0022	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1273	4.1131	-0.34%	4.3129	+4.50%	0.0825	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	23.14	23.0604	-0.34%	21.09	-8.86%	0.0576	✓	1.20	10.5M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.075744	-0.34%	0.072	-5.26%	0.0217	✓	1.09	20k	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1401	3.1296	-0.34%	2.9222	-6.94%	0.0423	✓	0.99	3.0M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.987	1.9805	-0.33%	1.833	-7.75%	0.0429	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.756	7.7309	-0.32%	7.219	-6.92%	0.0415	✓	1.02	407k	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9488	0.945761	-0.32%	0.8754	-7.74%	0.0494	✓	1.05	13.5M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5753	0.573475	-0.32%	0.5956	+3.53%	0.0664	✗	1.07	1.1M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000925	0.000092208	-0.32%	0.00008391	-9.29%	0.0638	✓	1.15	5.6M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.584	3.5728	-0.31%	3.29	-8.20%	0.0592	✓	0.87	533k	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.86	6.8389	-0.31%	6.24	-9.04%	0.0701	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.76	2.7517	-0.30%	2.54	-7.97%	0.0461	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2098	0.2092	-0.29%	0.18907	-9.88%	0.0587	✓	1.60	40k	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.719	1.7142	-0.28%	1.637	-4.77%	0.0154	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5527	3.5428	-0.28%	3.4051	-4.15%	0.0101	✓	1.11	2.5M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	124.85	124.5046	-0.28%	116.54	-6.66%	0.0327	✓	1.26	7.1M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1515	1.1483	-0.28%	1.0803	-6.18%	0.0315	✓	1.11	117.8M	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.1425	7.1232	-0.27%	6.5603	-8.15%	0.0440	✓	1.44	156k	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.07	2.0644	-0.27%	1.95	-5.80%	0.0202	✓	1.39	3.0M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	140.08	139.7033	-0.27%	129.51	-7.55%	0.0490	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01369	0.013654	-0.26%	0.01359	-0.73%	0.0161	✗	0.78	13k	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3045	0.30371	-0.26%	0.2842	-6.67%	0.0368	✓	1.11	538k	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.32	52.1869	-0.25%	50.35	-3.77%	0.0021	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1096	1.1069	-0.25%	1.074	-3.21%	0.0087	✗	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2774	0.276748	-0.24%	0.2594	-6.49%	0.0358	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.28	6.2654	-0.23%	5.96	-5.10%	0.0241	✓	0.97	1.9M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.23172	0.231206	-0.22%	0.215393	-7.05%	0.0437	✓	1.02	24.5M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.495	8.4768	-0.21%	7.923	-6.73%	0.0585	✓	0.34	38k	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.151631	0.15131	-0.21%	0.14485	-4.47%	0.0162	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	175.4	175.0327	-0.21%	163.71	-6.66%	0.0296	✓	1.40	9.5M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.68	132.4051	-0.21%	124.54	-6.14%	0.0272	✓	1.28	65k	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10255	0.102339	-0.21%	0.09752	-4.90%	0.0200	✓	1.06	50k	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.091712	-0.20%	0.0868	-5.55%	0.0224	✓	1.23	209k	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.6009	-0.20%	4.453	-3.41%	0.0104	✓	0.84	346k	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	63.35	63.2257	-0.20%	59.07	-6.76%	0.0355	✓	1.22	8.8M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,527.71	43,442.38	-0.20%	42,386.47	-2.62%	0.0020	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6038	0.602642	-0.19%	0.5696	-5.66%	0.0216	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.473	20.4338	-0.19%	19.087	-6.77%	0.0327	✓	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.821	2.8156	-0.19%	2.754	-2.38%	0.0140	✗	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0828	0.082643	-0.19%	0.07747	-6.44%	0.0444	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.02	44.9351	-0.19%	40.36	-10.35%	0.0664	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.7	9.6818	-0.19%	8.92	-8.04%	0.0476	✓	1.29	2.6M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.8927	-0.19%	4.25	+8.97%	0.1216	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.59	2.5852	-0.19%	2.31	-10.81%	0.0875	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8836	1.8803	-0.17%	1.7756	-5.73%	0.0279	✓	1.11	79k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01138	0.011361	-0.17%	0.01056	-7.21%	0.0462	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.029	1.0273	-0.16%	0.96	-6.71%	0.0313	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.69	5.6808	-0.16%	5.4	-5.10%	0.0231	✓	1.04	755k	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.88264	0.881232	-0.16%	0.82329	-6.72%	0.0285	✓	1.49	311k	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4615	0.460767	-0.16%	0.4181	-9.40%	0.0621	✓	1.32	9.1M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,074.85	3,070.00	-0.16%	2,929.08	-4.74%	0.0174	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.0692	5.0613	-0.16%	4.7016	-7.25%	0.0415	✓	1.21	442k	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068608	0.068502	-0.15%	0.063958	-6.78%	0.0448	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5118	0.511059	-0.14%	0.4583	-10.45%	0.0697	✓	1.48	2.3M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.845	0.843822	-0.14%	0.771	-8.76%	0.0614	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	134.59	134.4107	-0.13%	125.69	-6.61%	0.0325	✓	1.30	34.8M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04451	0.044451	-0.13%	0.04188	-5.91%	0.0298	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.505	2.5017	-0.13%	2.354	-6.03%	0.0328	✓	1.06	22k	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.466	6.4575	-0.13%	6.01	-7.05%	0.0477	✓	0.91	73k	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.7	2.6966	-0.13%	2.58	-4.44%	0.0171	✓	1.02	474k	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2242	0.223925	-0.12%	0.2056	-8.30%	0.0480	✓	1.41	3.9M	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.94	18.9178	-0.12%	17.24	-8.98%	0.0467	✓	1.74	3.8M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2095	1.2081	-0.12%	1.0976	-9.25%	0.0644	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	111.66	111.5336	-0.11%	103.99	-6.87%	0.0400	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.677039	0.676296	-0.11%	0.616904	-8.88%	0.0613	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		98.35	98.2434	-0.11%	94.64	-3.77%	0.0133	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9043	6.897	-0.11%	6.7399	-2.38%	0.0006	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.8	1.7982	-0.10%	1.71	-5.00%	0.0169	✓	1.26	1.5M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.323	1.3217	-0.10%	1.257	-4.99%	0.0171	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7205	0.719811	-0.10%	0.6537	-9.27%	0.0556	✓	1.53	849k	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	341.1	340.7801	-0.09%	321.01	-5.89%	0.0328	✓	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.41	11.4012	-0.08%	10.65	-6.66%	0.0329	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1806	0.180463	-0.08%	0.1735	-3.93%	0.0204	✓	0.71	419k	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	179.15	179.0176	-0.07%	165.1	-7.84%	0.0488	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03045	0.030429	-0.07%	0.03298	+8.31%	0.1041	✗	0.89	6.4M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.43	6.4257	-0.07%	5.99	-6.84%	0.0407	✓	1.11	689k	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2595	1.2587	-0.07%	1.1623	-7.72%	0.0520	✓	1.04	260k	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9822	0.981576	-0.06%	0.9169	-6.65%	0.0388	✓	1.11	29.2M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.26	16.2511	-0.05%	14.96	-8.00%	0.0551	✓	1.04	576k	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3689	2.3679	-0.04%	2.1819	-7.89%	0.0503	✓	1.19	791k	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3093	0.309181	-0.04%	0.2888	-6.63%	0.0270	✓	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0397	0.039685	-0.04%	0.03653	-7.98%	0.0533	✓	1.11	9.2M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.5049	-0.02%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0408	✓	1.35	36.9M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05799	0.057976	-0.02%	0.05622	-3.05%	0.0072	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.07	2.0696	-0.02%	1.99	-3.86%	0.0077	✓	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00696	0.006961	+0.01%	0.0062	-10.92%	0.0625	✗	2.00	19.6M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0404	1.0409	+0.05%	0.9345	-10.18%	0.0668	✗	1.54	637k	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1163	0.116357	+0.05%	0.1086	-6.62%	0.0276	✗	1.56	1.5M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	106.25	106.3171	+0.06%	96.5	-9.18%	0.0639	✗	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.