2022-02-08 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0003

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-2.46%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

58.8%

in alpha space · 60.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.75%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5159	3.5318	+0.45%	3.8968	+10.83%	0.0902	✓	1.09	2.5M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01315	0.013209	+0.45%	0.01324	+0.68%	0.0036	✓	0.79	12k	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00724	0.007271	+0.43%	0.00744	+2.76%	0.0081	✓	2.00	20.0M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.15	16.2152	+0.40%	16.51	+2.23%	0.0102	✓	1.05	604k	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04001	0.040166	+0.39%	0.041	+2.47%	0.0122	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0791	1.0832	+0.38%	1.0976	+1.71%	0.0017	✓	1.54	680k	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.6515	+0.38%	6	+6.57%	0.0540	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.809	0.812054	+0.38%	0.827	+2.22%	0.0101	✓	1.09	1.7M	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92382	0.926977	+0.34%	0.94117	+1.88%	0.0041	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8111	6.834	+0.34%	7.0423	+3.39%	0.0234	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.422	1.4268	+0.34%	1.43	+0.56%	0.0070	✗	1.24	3.4M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0314	0.031505	+0.33%	0.0312	-0.64%	0.0164	✗	0.89	7.0M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.29	7.3129	+0.31%	7.48	+2.61%	0.0202	✓	0.32	1.1M	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4741	0.475581	+0.31%	0.4877	+2.87%	0.0153	✓	1.31	9.3M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.81	6.8306	+0.30%	7.06	+3.67%	0.0248	✓	1.10	789k	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.19	1.1935	+0.30%	1.43	+20.17%	0.1708	✓	1.33	523k	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.692	6.7117	+0.29%	6.897	+3.06%	0.0205	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.83	6.8492	+0.28%	7.18	+5.12%	0.0406	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.344	1.3477	+0.28%	1.3519	+0.59%	0.0046	✗	1.03	292k	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.1	20.1548	+0.27%	21.27	+5.82%	0.0410	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068059	0.06824	+0.27%	0.069943	+2.77%	0.0180	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.58	113.8813	+0.27%	114.04	+0.41%	0.0079	✗	1.24	182.7M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01184	0.011871	+0.26%	0.01253	+5.83%	0.0439	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2559	+0.26%	2.21	-1.78%	0.0294	✗	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.72	9.7455	+0.26%	10.06	+3.50%	0.0221	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.8649	+0.26%	1.93	+3.76%	0.0250	✓	1.25	1.6M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.41	192.8948	+0.25%	192.22	-0.10%	0.0125	✗	1.21	1.0M	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3589	2.3648	+0.25%	2.4	+1.74%	0.0059	✓	1.18	845k	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1243	0.124593	+0.24%	0.1237	-0.48%	0.0188	✗	1.56	1.5M	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.09211	+0.23%	0.0943	+2.61%	0.0143	✓	1.23	244k	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6264	0.627801	+0.22%	0.6233	-0.49%	0.0170	✗	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.13	6.1436	+0.22%	6.08	-0.82%	0.0182	✗	1.04	867k	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,119.57	3,126.28	+0.22%	3,246.22	+4.06%	0.0294	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1789	1.1814	+0.21%	1.1728	-0.52%	0.0182	✗	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.62	47.7202	+0.21%	47.83	+0.44%	0.0092	✗	1.54	504k	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.19	2.1946	+0.21%	2.28	+4.11%	0.0285	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.95	6.9638	+0.20%	7.14	+2.73%	0.0190	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.44	101.6404	+0.20%	101.5	+0.06%	0.0081	✗	0.90	1.5M	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3065	0.307104	+0.20%	0.3218	+4.99%	0.0352	✓	1.54	4.1M	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01176	0.011782	+0.19%	0.01205	+2.47%	0.0150	✓	1.00	588k	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0239	1.0258	+0.18%	1.0371	+1.29%	0.0028	✓	1.10	29.4M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022305	0.022345	+0.18%	0.024233	+8.64%	0.0721	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	335.57	336.1601	+0.18%	346.21	+3.17%	0.0219	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.95	11.971	+0.18%	12.33	+3.18%	0.0197	✓	1.32	12.9M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5288	0.529726	+0.18%	0.5406	+2.23%	0.0092	✓	1.49	2.2M	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04533	0.045408	+0.17%	0.0468	+3.24%	0.0219	✓	1.11	30k	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.78	2.7848	+0.17%	2.83	+1.80%	0.0085	✓	1.02	504k	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2693	1.2714	+0.16%	1.2907	+1.68%	0.0062	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.791	1.7939	+0.16%	1.832	+2.29%	0.0124	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.653	8.6672	+0.16%	9.329	+7.81%	0.0712	✓	0.32	38k	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	147.97	148.2117	+0.16%	144.23	-2.53%	0.0368	✗	1.28	65k	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.371	0.371601	+0.16%	0.406	+9.43%	0.0784	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1858	0.186099	+0.16%	0.1868	+0.54%	0.0016	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.82	30.8694	+0.16%	33.92	+10.06%	0.0831	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08606	0.086195	+0.16%	0.08573	-0.38%	0.0111	✗	0.76	89k	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	133.82	134.0259	+0.15%	140.21	+4.78%	0.0354	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,085.59	44,153.22	+0.15%	44,416.35	+0.75%	0.0015	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.045	1.0466	+0.15%	1.086	+3.92%	0.0268	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.215	5.2227	+0.15%	5.3633	+2.84%	0.0174	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1163	0.116464	+0.14%	0.1212	+4.21%	0.0321	✓	1.04	35k	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0786	0.078709	+0.14%	0.0794	+1.02%	0.0006	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.9653	+0.13%	4.17	+5.30%	0.0409	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22456	0.224859	+0.13%	0.23058	+2.68%	0.0133	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8682	1.8707	+0.13%	1.9982	+6.95%	0.0577	✓	1.09	78k	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.847	2.8507	+0.13%	3.083	+8.29%	0.0683	✓	1.34	1.1M	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.23	17.2522	+0.13%	18.16	+5.40%	0.0461	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05908	0.059152	+0.12%	0.05941	+0.56%	0.0063	✗	1.43	1.3M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7515	0.752407	+0.12%	0.7609	+1.25%	0.0002	✓	1.53	969k	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1335	0.13366	+0.12%	0.1429	+7.04%	0.0566	✓	1.37	3.2M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3139	0.314264	+0.12%	0.3185	+1.47%	0.0051	✓	1.11	538k	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.06	32.0955	+0.11%	33.84	+5.55%	0.0450	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.2646	+0.11%	3.347	+2.64%	0.0189	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	147.49	147.6431	+0.10%	150.18	+1.82%	0.0096	✓	1.00	7.8M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.0785	7.0856	+0.10%	7.2042	+1.78%	0.0058	✓	1.44	179k	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.561	2.5635	+0.10%	2.609	+1.87%	0.0097	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.51	6.5164	+0.10%	6.66	+2.30%	0.0144	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1764	1.1775	+0.10%	1.1947	+1.56%	0.0062	✓	1.11	113.2M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2258	0.226015	+0.10%	0.2412	+6.82%	0.0547	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.557	0.557517	+0.09%	0.591	+6.10%	0.0476	✓	1.43	4.6M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	179	179.1661	+0.09%	185.83	+3.82%	0.0288	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.237	20.2557	+0.09%	20.705	+2.31%	0.0119	✓	1.34	10.5M	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.26	2.2621	+0.09%	2.28	+0.88%	0.0024	✗	1.37	3.3M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.578	4.5822	+0.09%	4.801	+4.87%	0.0405	✓	0.83	346k	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5194	3.5225	+0.09%	3.885	+10.39%	0.0908	✓	0.95	2.0M	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2815	0.281728	+0.08%	0.2963	+5.26%	0.0424	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0344	0.034426	+0.08%	0.0337	-2.03%	0.0326	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.641	3.6437	+0.07%	3.796	+4.26%	0.0344	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	133.12	133.2057	+0.06%	126.05	-5.31%	0.0647	✗	1.27	6.6M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.242394	0.242538	+0.06%	0.238854	-1.46%	0.0230	✗	1.03	24.9M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	184.15	184.2577	+0.06%	188.2	+2.20%	0.0108	✓	1.39	9.8M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10219	0.102246	+0.05%	0.10785	+5.54%	0.0455	✓	1.05	49k	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1583	0.15838	+0.05%	0.159048	+0.47%	0.0035	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	112.75	112.8062	+0.05%	114.95	+1.95%	0.0104	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.283	0.283126	+0.04%	0.288	+1.77%	0.0099	✓	0.95	76k	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.681804	0.682106	+0.04%	0.706728	+3.66%	0.0269	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3	3.0012	+0.04%	2.94	-2.00%	0.0302	✗	1.28	407k	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.4688	3.4698	+0.03%	3.3415	-3.67%	0.0450	✗	0.98	2.8M	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,914.50	42,925.29	+0.03%	44,492.60	+3.68%	0.0287	✓	0.96	41k	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	10.4715	+0.01%	10.91	+4.20%	0.0358	✓	0.70	660k	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.99	25.9929	+0.01%	25.8	-0.73%	0.0192	✗	1.57	405k	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.632	7.6326	+0.01%	8.263	+8.27%	0.0719	✓	1.00	460k	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.11	2.11	-0.00%	2.16	+2.37%	0.0138	✗	1.28	1.3M	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.45	86.4482	-0.00%	90.18	+4.31%	0.0322	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.78	2.7799	-0.00%	2.81	+1.08%	0.0039	✗	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9872	0.987153	-0.00%	1.0216	+3.48%	0.0265	✗	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.65	8.6489	-0.01%	9.31	+7.63%	0.0711	✗	0.34	1.6M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009444	0.000094413	-0.03%	0.00009721	+2.93%	0.0207	✗	1.14	5.5M	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.22	57.2009	-0.03%	57.56	+0.59%	0.0042	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.4	18.3909	-0.05%	18.7	+1.63%	0.0078	✗	1.19	76.9M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1638	0.163715	-0.05%	0.1678	+2.44%	0.0169	✗	1.04	362k	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.68	21.6667	-0.06%	21.97	+1.34%	0.0038	✗	1.35	39.2M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.5263	-0.07%	5.84	+5.61%	0.0461	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.85	3.8466	-0.09%	4.04	+4.94%	0.0467	✗	0.32	1.5M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.034271	0.034231	-0.12%	0.03747	+9.33%	0.0810	✗	1.25	114k	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.6	24.571	-0.12%	24.32	-1.14%	0.0192	✓	1.19	10.5M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.4157	-0.13%	3.5	+2.34%	0.0140	✗	1.39	20.8M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3927	4.3869	-0.13%	4.4429	+1.14%	0.0029	✗	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.39	46.3289	-0.13%	47.97	+3.41%	0.0261	✗	1.17	33.0M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.65	4.6438	-0.13%	4.76	+2.37%	0.0145	✗	1.36	8.3M	2022-02-09
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000225	0.000002247	-0.13%	0.00000232	+3.11%	0.0245	✗	1.00	15.3M	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.08	27.0415	-0.14%	28.48	+5.17%	0.0446	✗	0.96	543k	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	101.7616	101.6004	-0.16%	107.0699	+5.22%	0.0418	✗	1.42	320k	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016889	0.016859	-0.17%	0.017007	+0.70%	0.0001	✓	1.18	2.0M	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.086347	-0.18%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0063	✓	1.38	548k	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01536	0.015333	-0.18%	0.01509	-1.76%	0.0271	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	66.79	66.6481	-0.21%	67.62	+1.24%	0.0054	✗	1.22	8.1M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003097	0.000030897	-0.24%	0.00003298	+6.49%	0.0548	✗	1.39	1.4M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9181	1.9135	-0.24%	1.9679	+2.60%	0.0234	✗	0.61	2.9M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.6711	3.6622	-0.24%	3.8694	+5.40%	0.0485	✗	0.88	27k	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0799	0.079688	-0.27%	0.086	+7.63%	0.0638	✗	1.66	27.8M	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.319	1.3154	-0.27%	1.3852	+5.02%	0.0402	✗	1.54	106k	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5993	0.597662	-0.27%	0.6017	+0.40%	0.0013	✓	1.07	1.3M	2022-02-09
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0569	-0.29%	1.07	+0.94%	0.0048	✗	1.00	287k	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.02	22.9423	-0.34%	23.1	+0.35%	0.0017	✓	1.15	26.9M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04912	0.048946	-0.36%	0.05819	+18.46%	0.1642	✗	1.17	8.8M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.42	30.3077	-0.37%	30.94	+1.71%	0.0124	✗	1.11	98.1M	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,530.13	25,428.25	-0.40%	26,293.98	+2.99%	0.0264	✗	0.94	11.8M	2022-02-09
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.166	2.1573	-0.40%	3.269	+50.92%	0.4082	✗	1.00	66k	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.05	1.0445	-0.52%	1.09	+3.81%	0.0281	✗	1.93	1.0M	2022-02-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.69	1.6812	-0.52%	1.72	+1.78%	0.0154	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5442	0.540299	-0.72%	0.5665	+4.10%	0.0339	✗	1.80	40.2M	2022-02-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.122066	-0.76%	0.128	+4.07%	0.0400	✗	1.00	81k	2022-02-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04628	0.045799	-1.04%	0.04699	+1.53%	0.0182	✗	1.00	5.0M	2022-02-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.831	5.7486	-1.41%	5.908	+1.32%	0.0199	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8556	0.84324	-1.44%	0.8202	-4.14%	0.0415	✓	1.85	1.8M	2022-02-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.195	-1.57%	2.46	+10.31%	0.1065	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3504	1.3285	-1.62%	1.351	+0.04%	0.0093	✓	1.00	2.1M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	7.5798	7.38	-2.64%	6.8052	-10.22%	0.0834	✓	0.31	389k	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.