8=======>

2022-02-08 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1886
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.3%
in alpha space · 82.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.8314.6471-20.30%2.532-56.58%0.4957✓1.001.0M2022-03-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0342710.029882-12.81%0.015274-55.43%0.5313✓1.25114k2022-03-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.85560.746236-12.78%0.4126-51.78%0.3866✓1.851.8M2022-03-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.35041.1803-12.60%0.7483-44.59%0.3442✓1.002.1M2022-03-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,530.1322,399.33-12.26%19,059.42-25.35%0.0563✓0.9411.8M2022-03-10
SUSHISushiEthereum4.654.0975-11.88%2.98-35.91%0.1664✓1.368.3M2022-03-10
PROPropyEthereum2.231.9703-11.64%1.6-28.25%0.0967✓1.001.7M2022-03-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.0220.5548-10.71%16.62-27.80%0.0843✓1.1526.9M2022-03-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum7.57986.8084-10.18%5.8363-23.00%0.1199✓0.31389k2022-03-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.67113.3173-9.64%2.155-41.30%0.3337✓0.8827k2022-03-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54420.493117-9.39%0.3311-39.16%0.1975✓1.8040.2M2022-03-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.111-9.03%2.046-40.18%0.2642✓1.3920.8M2022-03-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.657.8841-8.85%5.7-34.10%0.2864✓0.341.6M2022-03-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.072991-8.65%0.0588-26.41%0.0312✓1.6627.8M2022-03-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03440.03166-7.96%0.02397-30.32%0.1106✓1.50490k2022-03-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046280.042747-7.63%0.04023-13.07%0.0508✓1.005.0M2022-03-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.4228.1807-7.36%28.05-7.79%0.1191✗1.1198.1M2022-03-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3191.2288-6.84%1.4191+7.59%0.3157✗1.54106k2022-03-10
STXStacksnative1.691.5775-6.66%1.51-10.65%0.0678✓1.001.2M2022-03-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.115097-6.43%0.107-13.01%0.0386✓1.0081k2022-03-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91811.7957-6.38%2.7676+44.29%0.5011✗0.612.9M2022-03-10
MOVRMoonriverBase101.761695.5155-6.14%51.3064-49.58%0.4635✓1.42320k2022-03-10
XMRMoneroMonero179168.3131-5.97%178.98-0.01%0.1771✗1.041.6M2022-03-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.417.3704-5.60%13.18-28.37%0.1435✓1.1976.9M2022-03-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.1375-5.42%1.201-46.86%0.4232✓1.373.3M2022-03-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59930.568749-5.10%0.5014-16.34%0.0068✓1.071.3M2022-03-10
API3Api3Ethereum3.853.6595-4.95%5.224+35.69%0.3916✗0.321.5M2022-03-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.050.998279-4.93%0.61-41.90%0.2768✓1.931.0M2022-03-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.9924.7504-4.77%18.43-29.09%0.1197✓1.57405k2022-03-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168890.01609-4.73%0.011453-32.19%0.2088✓1.182.0M2022-03-10
AAVEAaveEthereum184.15175.5557-4.67%119.26-35.24%0.2313✓1.399.8M2022-03-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030970.000029568-4.53%0.00002262-26.96%0.1126✓1.391.4M2022-03-10
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1662.0683-4.51%1.676-22.62%0.0988✓1.0066k2022-03-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.2826-4.47%4.473-19.11%0.0308✓1.222.7M2022-03-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.082846-4.22%0.0684-20.92%0.0375✓1.38548k2022-03-10
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0175-4.01%0.91-14.15%0.0001✓1.00287k2022-03-10
BTTCBTTC0.000002250.000002161-3.95%0.00000181-19.56%0.0658✓1.0015.3M2022-03-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2316.5508-3.94%13.72-20.37%0.1097✓0.70919k2022-03-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.623.6542-3.84%17.9-27.24%0.1457✓1.1910.5M2022-03-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.98720.951083-3.66%0.732-25.85%0.1458✓1.0413.5M2022-03-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.191.1467-3.64%0.979-17.73%0.0103✓1.33523k2022-03-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.1448-3.56%2.591-20.55%0.1038✓0.81206k2022-03-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015360.014815-3.55%0.01209-21.29%0.0366✓1.491.7M2022-03-10
FTTFTXEthereum46.3944.757-3.52%40.75-12.16%0.0361✗1.1733.0M2022-03-10
MINAMina Protocolnative32.8945-3.52%1.79-40.33%0.3375✓1.28407k2022-03-10
XTZTezosTezos4.39274.2405-3.46%3.0579-30.39%0.1806✓1.312.3M2022-03-10
COMPCompoundEthereum147.97142.9431-3.40%103.46-30.08%0.1809✓1.2865k2022-03-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51943.4024-3.32%2.8703-18.44%0.0639✓0.952.0M2022-03-10
QNTQuantEthereum147.49142.7614-3.21%116.66-20.90%0.0903✓1.007.8M2022-03-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.224560.217445-3.17%0.15896-29.21%0.1363✓1.5936k2022-03-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6327.3906-3.16%4.75-37.76%0.3303✓1.00460k2022-03-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16380.158747-3.08%0.1518-7.33%0.0715✗1.04362k2022-03-10
LUNATerraTerra 257.2255.4744-3.05%101.21+76.88%0.7580✗1.418.8M2022-03-10
UMAUMAEthereum6.516.3229-2.87%7.407+13.78%0.2680✗0.981.9M2022-03-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.07637-2.84%0.0702-10.69%0.0369✗1.0921k2022-03-10
XEMNEMnative0.11630.113007-2.83%0.0965-17.02%0.0416✓1.0435k2022-03-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.192.1283-2.82%1.67-23.74%0.0979✓1.302.2M2022-03-10
MANADecentralandEthereum3.46883.3758-2.68%2.3707-31.66%0.2446✓0.982.8M2022-03-10
GITCOINGITCOIN8.6538.4218-2.67%5.737-33.70%0.3483✓0.3238k2022-03-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8125-2.56%1.374-26.13%0.1377✓1.251.6M2022-03-10
ADACardanoCardano1.17641.147-2.50%0.807-31.40%0.2280✓1.11113.2M2022-03-10
BANDBandEthereum3.963.8616-2.49%3.473-12.30%0.0344✗1.261.9M2022-03-10
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.543376-2.45%0.386-30.70%0.1823✓1.434.6M2022-03-10
XECeCashnative0.000094440.000092139-2.44%0.00008054-14.72%0.0073✓1.145.5M2022-03-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.4498.9701-2.43%78.54-22.57%0.1305✓0.901.5M2022-03-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.2157-2.43%10.26-2.01%0.0822✗0.70660k2022-03-10
RADRadworksEthereum6.135.9812-2.43%4.46-27.24%0.1775✓1.04867k2022-03-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02391.0012-2.22%0.7308-28.63%0.1924✓1.1029.4M2022-03-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.112.0635-2.20%1.33-36.97%0.2961✓1.281.3M2022-03-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6413.5618-2.18%2.69-26.12%0.1836✓0.87536k2022-03-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,914.5042,007.73-2.11%39,505.90-7.94%0.0460✗0.9641k2022-03-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.6821.2735-1.87%16.97-21.73%0.0756✓1.3539.2M2022-03-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15830.155333-1.87%0.116797-26.22%0.1706✓1.037.1M2022-03-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2423940.238011-1.81%0.178633-26.30%0.1726✓1.0324.9M2022-03-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.75150.738185-1.77%0.4164-44.59%0.4017✓1.53969k2022-03-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.308345-1.77%0.2624-16.41%0.0376✓1.11538k2022-03-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007240.007112-1.76%0.00366-49.45%0.4417✓2.0020.0M2022-03-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.8277-1.76%7.54+8.49%0.1891✗0.81463k2022-03-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7911.7599-1.73%1.536-14.24%0.0081✓1.151.6M2022-03-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51593.4549-1.73%2.8775-18.16%0.0612✓1.092.5M2022-03-10
HIVEHivenative1.17891.1589-1.69%0.928-21.28%0.0593✓1.461.9M2022-03-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.4585.0348-1.64%73.95-14.46%0.0103✓1.3587.1M2022-03-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,085.5943,389.26-1.58%39,433.71-10.55%0.0159✓1.00682.8M2022-03-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4221.3998-1.56%1.175-17.37%0.0369✓1.243.4M2022-03-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.923820.909439-1.56%0.68631-25.71%0.1167✓1.48311k2022-03-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102190.100671-1.49%0.08882-13.08%0.0077✓1.0549k2022-03-10
DASHDashDash112.75111.0767-1.48%104.65-7.18%0.0668✗1.132.3M2022-03-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.5612.5239-1.45%2.141-16.40%0.0471✓1.0522k2022-03-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013150.012966-1.40%0.01203-8.52%0.0136✓0.7912k2022-03-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13350.131935-1.17%0.1198-10.26%0.0563✗1.373.2M2022-03-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.0826.7698-1.15%27.97+3.29%0.1511✗0.96543k2022-03-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.049120.048574-1.11%0.040695-17.15%0.0460✓1.178.8M2022-03-10
ZENHorizenBase47.6247.0987-1.09%42.28-11.21%0.0641✗1.54504k2022-03-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.30650.303257-1.06%0.2025-33.93%0.2316✓1.544.1M2022-03-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8472.8169-1.06%3.236+13.66%0.2879✗1.341.1M2022-03-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.0631.7252-1.04%26.7-16.72%0.0547✓1.064.0M2022-03-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.2155.1631-0.99%4.2989-17.57%0.0468✓1.22442k2022-03-10
GTGateEthereum6.81116.7433-0.99%6.3304-7.06%0.0361✗0.894.1M2022-03-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28150.278828-0.95%0.2216-21.28%0.1097✓1.081.7M2022-03-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.836.7683-0.90%6.06-11.27%0.0129✓0.88416k2022-03-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.26931.2586-0.85%1.1927-6.04%0.0783✗1.182.3M2022-03-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.040010.039671-0.85%0.01693-57.69%0.7272✓1.119.1M2022-03-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.6926.6381-0.81%4.672-30.19%0.2506✓0.9081k2022-03-10
NANOnanopayBase2.35892.3403-0.79%1.6882-28.43%0.1946✓1.18845k2022-03-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.635.5864-0.77%5.2-7.64%0.0148✗0.78377k2022-03-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.8230.5952-0.73%24.22-21.41%0.0673✓1.492.0M2022-03-10
KCSKuCoinnative20.23720.09-0.73%18.083-10.64%0.0442✗1.3410.5M2022-03-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.280971-0.72%0.23-18.73%0.0938✓0.9576k2022-03-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.573,097.27-0.71%2,608.22-16.39%0.0485✓1.11557.7M2022-03-10
KSMKusamaHydration192.41191.0626-0.70%126.53-34.24%0.2776✓1.211.0M2022-03-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2351-0.66%1.12-50.22%0.5593✓1.181.7M2022-03-10
XVGVergenative0.011840.011765-0.63%0.00985-16.81%0.0264✓1.361.3M2022-03-10
IMXImmutableEthereum2.782.7641-0.57%1.512-45.61%0.5004✓0.922.6M2022-03-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.12361-0.55%0.0821-33.95%0.2356✓1.561.5M2022-03-10
ZECZcashZcash133.12132.453-0.50%157.3+18.16%0.3137✗1.276.6M2022-03-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5784.5552-0.50%4.112-10.18%0.0099✓0.83346k2022-03-10
QTUMQtumQtum7.07857.0456-0.47%6.006-15.15%0.0014✓1.44179k2022-03-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.3441.3379-0.45%1.0319-23.22%0.1449✓1.03292k2022-03-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.816.7879-0.32%4.08-40.09%0.3866✓1.10789k2022-03-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.225076-0.32%0.1964-13.02%0.0184✗1.393.7M2022-03-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09190.09164-0.28%0.068-26.01%0.1612✓1.23244k2022-03-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62640.624711-0.27%0.6973+11.32%0.2568✗1.322.7M2022-03-10
TRXTRONTron0.0680590.06788-0.26%0.059896-11.99%0.0252✓0.90362k2022-03-10
UNIUniswapEthereum11.9511.9227-0.23%8.68-27.36%0.1706✓1.3212.9M2022-03-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223050.022265-0.18%0.01703-23.65%0.1332✓1.212.5M2022-03-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1516.1214-0.18%12.75-21.05%0.1178✓1.05604k2022-03-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.7966.7076-0.12%46.78-29.96%0.2191✓1.228.1M2022-03-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6818040.681294-0.07%0.503035-26.22%0.1754✓1.153.5M2022-03-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.47410.473751-0.07%0.3255-31.34%0.2288✓1.319.3M2022-03-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045330.045302-0.06%0.03918-13.57%0.0210✓1.1130k2022-03-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.7785-0.05%2.2-20.86%0.1203✓1.02504k2022-03-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.86821.8687+0.02%2.1814+16.76%0.2768✓1.0978k2022-03-10
SCSiacoinnative0.011760.011766+0.05%0.00902-23.30%0.1537✗1.00588k2022-03-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.03140.031426+0.08%0.02578-17.90%0.0985✗0.897.0M2022-03-10
XYMSymbolnative0.18580.186078+0.15%0.1369-26.32%0.2274✗0.71423k2022-03-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3710.371763+0.21%0.266-28.30%0.1841✗1.351.8M2022-03-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.52880.529947+0.22%0.2987-43.51%0.4073✗1.492.2M2022-03-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.297.3406+0.69%6.04-17.15%0.1592✗0.321.1M2022-03-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086060.086677+0.72%0.07709-10.42%0.0326✗0.7689k2022-03-10
SOLSolanaSolana113.58114.4674+0.78%82.92-26.99%0.1845✗1.24182.7M2022-03-10
LRCLoopringEthereum1.07911.0882+0.84%0.7156-33.69%0.2471✗1.54680k2022-03-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059080.059754+1.14%0.0474-19.77%0.0720✗1.431.3M2022-03-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0451.0572+1.17%0.827-20.86%0.0931✗1.372.3M2022-03-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin133.82135.424+1.20%102.58-23.34%0.1330✗1.3032.4M2022-03-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.120.3471+1.23%14-30.35%0.1823✗1.723.8M2022-03-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8090.820608+1.43%0.618-23.61%0.1621✗1.091.7M2022-03-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash335.57344.4414+2.64%289.59-13.70%0.0602✗1.027.9M2022-03-10
XVSVenusEthereum9.7210.0371+3.26%8.5-12.55%0.0222✓1.292.5M2022-03-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.