2022-02-06 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1472

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.14%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

57.4%

in alpha space · 80.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.43%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.007	0.00704	+0.57%	0.00701	+0.14%	0.0724	✗	2.02	20.0M	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01348	0.013544	+0.47%	0.01354	+0.45%	0.0280	✗	0.82	13k	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4089	3.4249	+0.47%	3.5646	+4.57%	0.0028	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.46	5.4842	+0.44%	5.62	+2.93%	0.0014	✓	0.77	356k	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.56	15.628	+0.44%	16.8	+7.97%	0.0377	✓	1.03	616k	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040974	+0.43%	0.04107	+0.66%	0.0350	✗	1.11	9.0M	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.91	8.9481	+0.43%	10.33	+15.94%	0.1010	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.816	0.819331	+0.41%	0.854	+4.66%	0.0046	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.25	7.2753	+0.35%	7.41	+2.21%	0.0075	✓	0.32	1.1M	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03208	0.03219	+0.34%	0.03323	+3.58%	0.0016	✓	0.89	7.4M	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.473	0.474624	+0.34%	0.5065	+7.08%	0.0204	✓	1.32	9.3M	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.279	6.3001	+0.34%	6.962	+10.88%	0.0701	✓	0.88	81k	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.79	5.8094	+0.33%	6	+3.63%	0.0030	✓	1.05	802k	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01152	0.011558	+0.33%	0.01222	+6.08%	0.0117	✓	1.31	1.3M	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.489	1.4938	+0.32%	1.495	+0.40%	0.0424	✗	1.28	3.4M	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94262	0.945577	+0.31%	0.96686	+2.57%	0.0285	✗	1.51	334k	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.64	6.6605	+0.31%	6.79	+2.26%	0.0102	✗	0.88	444k	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0894	0.089673	+0.31%	0.0948	+6.04%	0.0146	✓	1.22	244k	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066256	0.066452	+0.30%	0.068517	+3.41%	0.0002	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2381	2.2447	+0.30%	2.3627	+5.57%	0.0118	✓	1.17	845k	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1222	1.1254	+0.29%	1.1664	+3.94%	0.0154	✗	1.52	672k	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.91	6.9299	+0.29%	7.38	+6.80%	0.0287	✓	1.02	818k	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3479	1.3517	+0.28%	1.3981	+3.73%	0.0015	✓	1.05	326k	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	140.8	141.1975	+0.28%	145.96	+3.66%	0.0102	✗	1.29	59k	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5976	0.599276	+0.28%	0.6374	+6.66%	0.0177	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.86	20.9183	+0.28%	21.81	+4.55%	0.0165	✗	1.73	3.8M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.28	16.3253	+0.28%	16.23	-0.31%	0.0295	✗	0.70	908k	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0712	0.071398	+0.28%	0.0915	+28.51%	0.2041	✓	1.30	540k	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.8651	+0.27%	1.93	+3.76%	0.0084	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	115.32	115.6251	+0.26%	117.62	+1.99%	0.0248	✗	1.25	181.0M	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.5	6.5172	+0.26%	6.65	+2.31%	0.0067	✗	0.80	441k	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.1624	7.1811	+0.26%	7.3085	+2.04%	0.0124	✗	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.33	2.336	+0.26%	2.38	+2.15%	0.0214	✗	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.7	11.7291	+0.25%	12.38	+5.81%	0.0098	✓	1.31	12.2M	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	195.98	196.4595	+0.24%	198.23	+1.15%	0.0323	✗	1.23	1.0M	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	324.8	325.5884	+0.24%	343.12	+5.64%	0.0183	✓	1.02	6.8M	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,058.22	3,065.51	+0.24%	3,141.89	+2.74%	0.0127	✗	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.22	1.2229	+0.24%	1.24	+1.64%	0.0316	✗	1.35	490k	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0259	1.0283	+0.23%	1.0706	+4.36%	0.0035	✓	1.09	29.2M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.197	1.1998	+0.23%	1.3002	+8.62%	0.0405	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.270624	+0.23%	0.285	+5.56%	0.0197	✓	0.95	67k	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.18	2.185	+0.23%	2.27	+4.13%	0.0060	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1121	0.112356	+0.23%	0.1175	+4.82%	0.0094	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04503	0.045133	+0.23%	0.04657	+3.42%	0.0066	✗	1.13	29k	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5074	0.508533	+0.22%	0.535	+5.44%	0.0024	✓	1.43	2.0M	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.367	0.367807	+0.22%	0.384	+4.63%	0.0016	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.49	47.5916	+0.21%	48.2	+1.50%	0.0401	✗	1.57	531k	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0116	0.011625	+0.21%	0.01211	+4.40%	0.0068	✓	1.01	550k	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02203	0.022075	+0.21%	0.023054	+4.65%	0.0026	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.95	136.2288	+0.21%	154.1	+13.35%	0.0907	✓	0.97	7.5M	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		98.65	98.8514	+0.20%	101.78	+3.17%	0.0015	✓	0.91	1.5M	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.466	8.4829	+0.20%	8.971	+5.97%	0.0448	✓	0.33	39k	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,415.16	42,497.76	+0.19%	43,868.07	+3.43%	0.0019	✗	1.00	638.9M	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0768	0.076948	+0.19%	0.079	+2.86%	0.0107	✗	1.10	21k	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.778	1.7814	+0.19%	1.868	+5.06%	0.0084	✓	1.16	1.5M	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	173.57	173.8972	+0.19%	182.29	+5.02%	0.0000	✓	1.40	10.2M	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.89	29.9461	+0.19%	32.66	+9.27%	0.0517	✓	1.04	3.5M	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.129	0.129242	+0.19%	0.1248	-3.26%	0.0888	✗	1.60	1.6M	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	127.68	127.916	+0.18%	137.43	+7.64%	0.0288	✓	1.27	30.6M	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.311	0.311567	+0.18%	0.3247	+4.41%	0.0115	✗	1.57	4.1M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039748	0.03982	+0.18%	0.042745	+7.54%	0.0320	✓	1.15	8.4M	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.97	3.977	+0.18%	4.06	+2.27%	0.0224	✗	1.28	2.0M	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1636	5.1727	+0.18%	5.4029	+4.63%	0.0020	✓	1.23	406k	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.016	1.0178	+0.17%	1.073	+5.61%	0.0063	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.73	2.7345	+0.16%	2.82	+3.30%	0.0033	✗	1.01	542k	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.44	6.4506	+0.16%	6.61	+2.64%	0.0093	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,902.90	41,971.45	+0.16%	43,893.50	+4.75%	0.0124	✓	0.96	36k	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2607	0.261104	+0.15%	0.2714	+4.10%	0.0040	✓	1.03	1.7M	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.8	174.0685	+0.15%	185.08	+6.49%	0.0264	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	31.33	31.3776	+0.15%	32.06	+2.33%	0.0278	✗	1.47	2.0M	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8521	1.8548	+0.15%	1.9231	+3.84%	0.0012	✓	1.11	72k	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.17	2.1731	+0.14%	2.26	+4.15%	0.0067	✗	1.36	3.4M	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.82	2.824	+0.14%	2.86	+1.42%	0.0187	✗	0.93	2.3M	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.2655	+0.14%	3.306	+1.38%	0.0149	✗	0.81	206k	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	124.6	124.7715	+0.14%	128.86	+3.42%	0.0110	✗	1.28	6.6M	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.223926	0.224234	+0.14%	0.239623	+7.01%	0.0321	✓	1.02	24.4M	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0353	0.035347	+0.13%	0.0369	+4.53%	0.0085	✗	1.53	490k	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.131	0.131168	+0.13%	0.1382	+5.50%	0.0059	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008613	0.000086239	+0.13%	0.00009007	+4.57%	0.0050	✓	1.14	5.4M	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.556	0.55667	+0.12%	0.583	+4.86%	0.0025	✗	1.45	4.6M	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1436	1.145	+0.12%	1.1991	+4.85%	0.0087	✓	1.11	108.7M	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2177	1.2191	+0.12%	1.2317	+1.15%	0.0396	✗	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.784	2.7871	+0.11%	2.945	+5.78%	0.0104	✓	1.33	911k	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7752	0.776066	+0.11%	0.7902	+1.93%	0.0342	✗	1.55	1.1M	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.533	4.538	+0.11%	4.576	+0.95%	0.0198	✗	0.84	351k	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.1257	7.1329	+0.10%	7.4703	+4.84%	0.0029	✗	1.46	156k	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2472	3.2504	+0.10%	3.4602	+6.56%	0.0311	✓	0.93	2.0M	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.001	20.02	+0.10%	20.309	+1.54%	0.0312	✗	1.35	10.4M	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.101161	+0.09%	0.10441	+3.30%	0.0038	✗	1.05	47k	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1538	0.153939	+0.09%	0.165291	+7.47%	0.0366	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08812	0.088199	+0.09%	0.08985	+1.96%	0.0078	✗	0.78	86k	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	108.83	108.9267	+0.09%	115.9	+6.50%	0.0239	✓	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.659906	0.660478	+0.09%	0.67955	+2.98%	0.0106	✗	1.16	3.3M	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0126	0.012611	+0.09%	0.01584	+25.71%	0.1803	✓	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3003	3.303	+0.08%	3.2878	-0.38%	0.0380	✗	0.99	2.8M	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.637	3.6398	+0.08%	3.76	+3.38%	0.0036	✓	0.86	649k	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05974	0.059786	+0.08%	0.06292	+5.32%	0.0029	✓	1.43	1.5M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.583	2.5849	+0.07%	2.656	+2.83%	0.0089	✗	1.07	22k	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1904	0.190534	+0.07%	0.1916	+0.63%	0.0188	✗	0.72	423k	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.154	0.154105	+0.07%	0.1593	+3.44%	0.0016	✗	1.03	337k	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3194	0.319609	+0.07%	0.3267	+2.29%	0.0160	✗	1.13	533k	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.05	79.0994	+0.06%	83.23	+5.29%	0.0057	✓	1.34	85.1M	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9592	0.959758	+0.06%	0.9985	+4.10%	0.0041	✓	1.05	13.5M	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.04	3.0415	+0.05%	3.09	+1.64%	0.0259	✗	1.24	407k	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.232	0.23209	+0.04%	0.2345	+1.08%	0.0365	✗	1.39	3.6M	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.83	0.830276	+0.03%	0.95	+14.46%	0.0713	✓	1.88	996k	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	91.4575	91.4826	+0.03%	105.8832	+15.77%	0.0992	✓	1.39	319k	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	22.46	22.466	+0.03%	24.52	+9.17%	0.0481	✓	1.17	10.4M	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.26	10.2625	+0.02%	10.4	+1.36%	0.0103	✗	0.70	627k	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.063	2.0635	+0.02%	2.094	+1.50%	0.0291	✗	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.63	3.6304	+0.01%	3.79	+4.41%	0.0331	✓	0.30	1.5M	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.58	8.5807	+0.01%	9.06	+5.59%	0.0425	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.06	18.0602	+0.00%	18.88	+4.54%	0.0048	✓	1.18	76.9M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.292	7.292	+0.00%	7.753	+6.32%	0.0272	✓	1.01	341k	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	56.13	56.1135	-0.03%	59.48	+5.97%	0.0109	✗	1.40	8.4M	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000285	0.000028491	-0.03%	0.00003255	+14.21%	0.0876	✗	1.35	1.3M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.65	24.6422	-0.03%	25.54	+3.61%	0.0172	✓	1.57	411k	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.038392	0.038377	-0.04%	0.038389	-0.01%	0.0424	✓	1.27	117k	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.91	21.9002	-0.04%	22.37	+2.10%	0.0250	✓	1.37	41.9M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.39	3.3884	-0.05%	3.56	+5.01%	0.0018	✗	1.41	20.8M	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23556	0.235412	-0.06%	0.22724	-3.53%	0.0901	✓	1.63	34k	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1073	1.1066	-0.06%	1.2268	+10.79%	0.0527	✗	1.50	103k	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016835	0.016824	-0.07%	0.01721	+2.23%	0.0175	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9256	3.9227	-0.07%	4.1408	+5.48%	0.0097	✗	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.81	5.8028	-0.12%	5.9	+1.55%	0.0255	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.81	4.8038	-0.13%	4.96	+3.12%	0.0146	✓	1.38	8.3M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.0878	5.0799	-0.16%	4.8233	-5.20%	0.0613	✓	0.28	376k	2022-02-07
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000228	0.000002276	-0.17%	0.00000235	+3.07%	0.0017	✓	1.00	14.9M	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.65	46.5582	-0.20%	47.22	+1.22%	0.0259	✓	1.19	33.0M	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.86	27.8033	-0.20%	28.02	+0.57%	0.0253	✓	0.98	513k	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4668	3.4584	-0.24%	3.7993	+9.59%	0.0649	✗	0.86	26k	2022-02-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5826	0.581029	-0.27%	0.6483	+11.28%	0.0483	✗	1.82	1.8M	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,634.41	24,566.33	-0.28%	26,559.72	+7.82%	0.0465	✗	0.94	12.3M	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6191	0.617327	-0.29%	0.6257	+1.07%	0.0230	✓	1.08	1.4M	2022-02-07
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.007	-0.30%	1.07	+5.94%	0.0270	✗	1.00	298k	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.36	23.279	-0.35%	24.04	+2.91%	0.0072	✓	1.17	26.9M	2022-02-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0929	0.092572	-0.35%	0.0901	-3.01%	0.0859	✓	1.75	26.7M	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.076	2.0685	-0.36%	1.9987	-3.72%	0.0565	✓	0.66	3.2M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.31	31.1893	-0.39%	31.63	+1.02%	0.0247	✓	1.15	103.8M	2022-02-07
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.241	2.2307	-0.46%	2.308	+2.99%	0.0004	✓	1.00	66k	2022-02-07
STX	Stacks	native	1.68	1.6713	-0.52%	1.72	+2.38%	0.0049	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5305	0.527667	-0.53%	0.602	+13.48%	0.0716	✗	1.79	42.5M	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.32	67.9541	-0.54%	68.32	+0.00%	0.0364	✓	1.24	7.8M	2022-02-07
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.126148	-0.67%	0.133	+4.72%	0.0192	✗	1.00	96k	2022-02-07
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04888	0.0485	-0.78%	0.04778	-2.25%	0.0486	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-07
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3266	1.3095	-1.29%	1.299	-2.08%	0.0418	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-07
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.13	2.1017	-1.33%	2.2	+3.29%	0.0120	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-07
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.143	6.0494	-1.52%	6.287	+2.34%	0.0049	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.