8=======>

2022-02-03 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1510
147 of 147 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.7%
in alpha space · 63.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.7484.1683-12.21%2.927-38.35%0.4076✓1.001.2M2022-03-05
PROPropyEthereum2.011.8171-9.60%1.77-11.94%0.0803✓1.002.8M2022-03-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20581.0916-9.47%0.8021-33.48%0.3622✓1.002.8M2022-03-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,620.5221,658.85-8.30%20,264.00-14.21%0.1193✓0.9813.6M2022-03-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.03121.8747-7.71%2.3445+15.42%0.1847✗0.723.5M2022-03-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.8119.386-6.84%17.68-15.04%0.1576✓1.2131.5M2022-03-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048050.044797-6.77%0.03865-19.56%0.2016✓1.005.4M2022-03-05
STXStacksnative1.431.3337-6.74%1.14-20.28%0.2109✓1.001.3M2022-03-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1190.11121-6.55%0.105-11.76%0.1115✓1.00118k2022-03-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07790.07298-6.32%0.0573-26.44%0.3784✓2.5326.7M2022-03-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7227.8715-6.22%30.85+3.80%0.0371✓1.19114.8M2022-03-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.038280.035945-6.10%0.018318-52.15%0.7581✓1.55131k2022-03-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.47650.448797-5.81%0.3623-23.97%0.3181✓1.9244.4M2022-03-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56120.529603-5.63%0.5331-5.01%0.0566✓1.171.6M2022-03-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17452.9977-5.57%2.3731-25.24%0.2803✓0.8626k2022-03-05
DIADIAEthereum0.950.902028-5.05%1.01+6.32%0.0590✗1.00391k2022-03-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.112.9573-4.91%2.247-27.75%0.3540✓1.4722.3M2022-03-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0146620.013985-4.62%0.012109-17.41%0.2065✓1.162.7M2022-03-05
BTTCBTTC0.000002070.000001974-4.62%0.00000186-10.14%0.1137✓1.0018.2M2022-03-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.1847-4.46%1.06-14.52%0.1893✓1.44490k2022-03-05
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.9149-4.28%3.1-24.21%0.3087✓1.398.5M2022-03-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.276.9844-3.93%6.06-16.64%0.1576✓0.291.7M2022-03-05
FTTFTXEthereum42.7741.093-3.92%41.16-3.76%0.0647✓1.2335.8M2022-03-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09162.9745-3.79%2.9968-3.07%0.0482✓1.032.2M2022-03-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.3115.7083-3.69%14.02-14.04%0.1801✓1.2385.9M2022-03-05
MOVRMoonriverBase74.514671.8607-3.56%60.0292-19.44%0.2496✓1.29351k2022-03-05
LUNATerraTerra 251.2349.433-3.51%87.53+70.86%0.4779✗1.738.8M2022-03-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.094.9123-3.49%3.861-24.15%0.3086✓1.253.0M2022-03-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03210.030985-3.47%0.0275-14.33%0.1974✓1.44490k2022-03-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0855.8788-3.39%5.173-14.99%0.1836✓1.03341k2022-03-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.11153.9759-3.30%5.3562+30.27%0.2978✗0.00376k2022-03-05
XMRMoneroMonero146.89142.1957-3.20%166.09+13.07%0.1012✗1.001.7M2022-03-05
XTZTezosTezos3.83583.7169-3.10%3.141-18.11%0.2431✓1.382.5M2022-03-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.579.2768-3.06%10.56+10.34%0.0886✗0.76706k2022-03-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.37160.36036-3.02%0.4561+22.74%0.1454✗1.671.8M2022-03-05
ADACardanoCardano1.0611.0291-3.01%0.8654-18.44%0.2356✓1.15113.2M2022-03-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4514.0188-2.98%17.27+19.52%0.1706✗0.70879k2022-03-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.092.9987-2.96%2.877-6.89%0.0855✓0.82237k2022-03-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4563.3563-2.89%2.898-16.15%0.1946✓0.88766k2022-03-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06570.063832-2.84%0.0689+4.87%0.0170✓1.1021k2022-03-05
IMXImmutableEthereum3.393.294-2.83%1.282-62.18%1.0237✓1.482.2M2022-03-05
DODODODOEthereum0.5260.511191-2.82%0.424-19.39%0.2701✓1.544.6M2022-03-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.43.3074-2.72%6.513+91.56%0.6651✗0.231.5M2022-03-05
QNTQuantEthereum135.16131.4861-2.72%120.94-10.52%0.1394✓1.037.8M2022-03-05
HIVEHivenative1.06021.0318-2.68%0.9161-13.59%0.2023✓1.541.9M2022-03-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.492.4268-2.54%2.01-19.28%0.2546✓1.22524k2022-03-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.715.5686-2.48%9.313+63.10%0.4544✗1.112.0M2022-03-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.29290.285723-2.45%0.268-8.50%0.1261✓1.15590k2022-03-05
XEMNEMnative0.10270.100186-2.45%0.0978-4.77%0.0784✓1.0141k2022-03-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.2818.8113-2.43%19.06-1.14%0.0714✓1.56422k2022-03-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093210.090959-2.42%0.09015-3.28%0.0650✓1.0447k2022-03-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.92790.90604-2.36%0.7364-20.64%0.2678✓1.1214.7M2022-03-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6214-2.32%1.359-18.13%0.2468✓1.301.8M2022-03-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194820.190297-2.32%0.15295-21.49%0.3066✓1.6329k2022-03-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.137870.134687-2.31%0.124887-9.42%0.1328✓1.067.1M2022-03-05
GTGateEthereum6.73296.5787-2.29%6.7967+0.95%0.0182✓0.944.1M2022-03-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.3719.9082-2.27%19.09-6.28%0.1070✓1.2010.4M2022-03-05
BANDBandEthereum3.383.3039-2.25%3.81+12.72%0.0749✗1.252.4M2022-03-05
XYMSymbolnative0.17750.173522-2.24%0.14-21.13%0.2518✓0.69423k2022-03-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6951.6576-2.20%1.419-16.28%0.2236✓1.261.3M2022-03-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.82630.808188-2.19%0.6759-18.20%0.2719✓1.72378k2022-03-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.041.996-2.16%1.334-34.61%0.4859✓1.533.9M2022-03-05
XLMStellarStellar0.195060.190899-2.13%0.180332-7.55%0.1127✓1.0325.9M2022-03-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.9360.916354-2.10%0.7744-17.26%0.2316✓1.1731.5M2022-03-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.248944-1.99%0.246-3.15%0.0628✓0.9470k2022-03-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2683-1.99%1.162-10.20%0.1549✓1.253.5M2022-03-05
DASHDashDash95.2393.3613-1.96%89.69-5.82%0.1039✓1.182.8M2022-03-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83080.814692-1.94%1.4397+73.29%0.4915✗1.4499k2022-03-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.888.0941-1.90%81.26-9.51%0.1315✓0.941.6M2022-03-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.3662.3233-1.80%2.18-7.86%0.1219✓1.0822k2022-03-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.28530.280301-1.75%0.2122-25.62%0.3667✓1.644.2M2022-03-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.891.8571-1.74%1.81-4.23%0.0962✓1.312.5M2022-03-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6182.5736-1.70%3.29+25.67%0.1646✗1.50986k2022-03-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6291.6017-1.68%1.459-10.44%0.1567✓1.171.6M2022-03-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.4623.0691-1.67%29.9+27.45%0.2163✗0.80484k2022-03-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.176.0679-1.65%8.2+32.90%0.2579✗0.80504k2022-03-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.8827.4209-1.65%27.83-0.18%0.0438✓1.093.6M2022-03-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.72564.6488-1.62%4.0278-14.77%0.2138✓1.30364k2022-03-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.126.021-1.62%6.28+2.61%0.0050✓0.87503k2022-03-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1364.0692-1.62%4.51+9.04%0.0582✗0.83351k2022-03-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009350.0092-1.61%0.01183+26.52%0.1820✗1.291.8M2022-03-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21043.1593-1.59%2.9894-6.88%0.1149✓1.102.7M2022-03-05
XECeCashnative0.00007640.000075308-1.43%0.00007291-4.57%0.0938✓1.145.6M2022-03-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.08981.0748-1.38%1.2868+18.07%0.1114✗1.272.4M2022-03-05
ZENHorizenBase38.6938.1835-1.31%34.69-10.34%0.1826✓1.60596k2022-03-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.68132.6469-1.29%2.5502-4.89%0.0890✓0.963.1M2022-03-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11380.112353-1.27%0.118+3.69%0.0232✓1.343.4M2022-03-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,210.5036,761.19-1.21%39,586.40+6.39%0.0200✗1.0051k2022-03-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,329.9136,883.03-1.20%39,402.43+5.55%0.0120✗1.00682.8M2022-03-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.62791.6085-1.19%1.9409+19.23%0.1288✗1.0976k2022-03-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0361030.035681-1.17%0.04506+24.81%0.1661✗1.259.4M2022-03-05
QTUMQtumQtum6.09816.0273-1.16%6.0793-0.31%0.0694✓1.44174k2022-03-05
KCSKuCoinnative17.92717.725-1.13%18.59+3.70%0.0337✓1.5110.5M2022-03-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012360.012222-1.12%0.01233-0.24%0.0385✓0.8713k2022-03-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08070.079826-1.08%0.0692-14.25%0.2088✓1.22299k2022-03-05
COMPCompoundEthereum125123.6738-1.06%109.66-12.27%0.1912✓1.3154k2022-03-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06160.060969-1.02%0.0709+15.10%0.0813✗1.29548k2022-03-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.029180.028892-0.99%0.02701-7.44%0.1143✓0.878.0M2022-03-05
AAVEAaveEthereum152.86151.3729-0.97%124.61-18.48%0.2711✓1.4211.9M2022-03-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.4175-0.92%2.26-7.38%0.1225✓1.02644k2022-03-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.654378-0.85%0.66+0.00%0.0929✓1.881.0M2022-03-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,697.592,675.18-0.83%2,665.77-1.18%0.0632✓1.10573.1M2022-03-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54360.539128-0.82%0.7277+33.87%0.2287✗1.322.7M2022-03-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44350.440122-0.76%0.3617-18.44%0.2736✓1.432.1M2022-03-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1390.137976-0.74%0.146+5.04%0.0026✓1.00337k2022-03-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.3725.1984-0.68%23.37-7.88%0.1645✓1.652.3M2022-03-05
KSMKusamaHydration162.76161.6649-0.67%122.67-24.63%0.3399✓1.181.2M2022-03-05
NANOnanopayBase2.07722.065-0.59%1.8157-12.59%0.1943✓1.22888k2022-03-05
SCSiacoinnative0.010260.010203-0.56%0.00862-15.98%0.2245✓1.03572k2022-03-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.655.6192-0.55%4.15-26.55%0.3541✓0.94832k2022-03-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.10640.105848-0.52%0.088-17.29%0.2651✓1.491.6M2022-03-05
ZECZcashZcash101.02100.5076-0.51%116.52+15.34%0.0758✗1.336.6M2022-03-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0945-0.50%5-2.34%0.0753✓1.05971k2022-03-05
TRXTRONTron0.059850.059588-0.44%0.060417+0.95%0.0360✓0.92396k2022-03-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9318.8532-0.41%17.32-8.51%0.1602✓1.3946.2M2022-03-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6135570.611403-0.35%0.500783-18.38%0.2651✓1.213.5M2022-03-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.175.1546-0.30%5.41+4.64%0.0074✗0.76398k2022-03-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3280.327281-0.22%0.281-14.33%0.2261✓1.361.8M2022-03-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23610.235623-0.20%0.238+0.80%0.0531✓1.171.8M2022-03-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40670.405914-0.19%0.347-14.68%0.2295✓1.349.7M2022-03-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.18390.183607-0.16%0.2326+26.48%0.1644✗1.333.6M2022-03-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9513.9315-0.13%13.16-5.66%0.1109✓1.00731k2022-03-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.4218.4051-0.08%14.85-19.38%0.3137✓1.833.9M2022-03-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61710.616903-0.03%0.4583-25.73%0.3803✓1.541.2M2022-03-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020750.000020747-0.01%0.00002459+18.51%0.0943✗1.401.6M2022-03-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.886.8793-0.01%6.34-7.85%0.0950✓0.251.1M2022-03-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.548.5031+0.01%51.87+6.95%0.0031✓1.197.8M2022-03-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0203460.020354+0.04%0.01871-8.04%0.1401✗1.042.7M2022-03-05
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1287.131+0.04%6.001-15.81%0.1857✗0.2440k2022-03-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.4968.5371+0.07%76.71+12.00%0.0388✓1.3789.7M2022-03-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040630.040672+0.10%0.03857-5.07%0.1133✗1.1128k2022-03-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.15411.1565+0.21%0.96031-16.79%0.2406✗1.01338k2022-03-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.039490.039603+0.28%0.01395-64.67%1.1031✗1.109.0M2022-03-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053620.053773+0.29%0.05203-2.97%0.1098✗1.421.6M2022-03-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7735.7911+0.31%5.094-11.76%0.1741✗0.85115k2022-03-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2574+0.33%1.22-45.78%0.6935✗1.452.5M2022-03-05
XVGVergenative0.009940.009979+0.40%0.00954-4.02%0.1165✗1.321.4M2022-03-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076030.076349+0.42%0.06626-12.85%0.1818✗0.7480k2022-03-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.879449+0.62%0.821-6.06%0.1429✗1.372.3M2022-03-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.85050.858776+0.97%0.7607-10.56%0.2200✗1.83852k2022-03-05
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3910.512+1.17%9.02-13.19%0.2257✗1.3412.5M2022-03-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006120.006199+1.30%0.0041-33.01%0.5392✗2.3321.3M2022-03-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7180.727443+1.32%0.687-4.32%0.1150✗1.071.6M2022-03-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.02112.5394+1.37%104.9-5.51%0.1436✗1.3633.8M2022-03-05
SOLSolanaSolana101.93103.4164+1.46%89.62-12.08%0.2087✗1.21191.4M2022-03-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash281.46289.7464+2.94%294.47+4.62%0.0400✗1.047.6M2022-03-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.198.4875+3.63%8.84+7.94%0.0307✓1.322.5M2022-03-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.