8=======>

2022-02-02 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1578
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.7%
in alpha space · 40.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.361.3154-3.28%1.24-8.82%0.0751✓1.46490k2022-02-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07860.077627-1.24%0.0779-0.89%0.0244✓2.5525.7M2022-02-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.30423.2716-0.99%3.1745-3.93%0.0397✓0.8725k2022-02-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5891.5759-0.82%1.629+2.52%0.0203✗1.171.6M2022-02-03
XTZTezosTezos3.75243.7254-0.72%3.8358+2.22%0.0141✗1.382.5M2022-02-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.13554.1073-0.68%4.1115-0.58%0.0009✓0.01376k2022-02-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.86131.8492-0.65%2.0312+9.13%0.0862✗0.713.2M2022-02-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2352.2229-0.54%2.366+5.86%0.0507✗1.0722k2022-02-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1190.118406-0.50%0.119+0.00%0.0059✓1.00125k2022-02-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.335.3045-0.48%5.09-4.50%0.0551✓1.273.0M2022-02-03
FTTFTXEthereum42.942.7013-0.46%42.77-0.30%0.0119✓1.2337.0M2022-02-03
STXStacksnative1.411.4038-0.44%1.43+1.42%0.0075✗1.001.6M2022-02-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.191180.190442-0.39%0.19482+1.90%0.0049✗1.6325k2022-02-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.0914.0375-0.37%14.45+2.56%0.0213✗0.70851k2022-02-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13480.134299-0.37%0.139+3.12%0.0235✗1.00337k2022-02-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03523.0245-0.35%3.0916+1.86%0.0107✗1.032.2M2022-02-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.5723.4884-0.35%23.46-0.47%0.0100✓0.80484k2022-02-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.2780.277056-0.34%0.2929+5.36%0.0431✗1.14545k2022-02-03
IMXImmutableEthereum3.033.0207-0.31%3.39+11.88%0.0995✗1.452.2M2022-02-03
HIVEHivenative0.94550.942712-0.29%1.0602+12.13%0.1007✗1.531.9M2022-02-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.250.249282-0.29%0.254+1.60%0.0084✗0.9470k2022-02-03
PROPropyEthereum2.122.1142-0.27%2.01-5.19%0.0615✓1.002.9M2022-02-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53610.534647-0.27%0.5612+4.68%0.0358✗1.161.7M2022-02-03
QNTQuantEthereum113.54113.2487-0.26%135.16+19.04%0.1659✗1.007.6M2022-02-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.5921.5383-0.24%20.81-3.61%0.0478✓1.2234.3M2022-02-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5372.5311-0.23%2.6813+5.69%0.0472✗0.953.1M2022-02-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.241.2371-0.23%1.2058-2.76%0.0366✓1.002.9M2022-02-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.369.3386-0.23%9.57+2.24%0.0162✗0.76709k2022-02-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.064157-0.22%0.0657+2.18%0.0117✗1.1021k2022-02-03
ADACardanoCardano1.02681.0245-0.22%1.061+3.33%0.0224✗1.15113.2M2022-02-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.056.0367-0.22%6.12+1.16%0.0042✗0.87529k2022-02-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8835.871-0.20%6.085+3.43%0.0246✗1.03341k2022-02-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.0256.0129-0.20%6.0981+1.21%0.0017✓1.44174k2022-02-03
XEMNEMnative0.10150.101297-0.20%0.1027+1.18%0.0028✗1.0041k2022-02-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147830.014754-0.20%0.014662-0.82%0.0189✓1.162.7M2022-02-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.2926.2402-0.19%27.88+6.05%0.0488✗1.083.4M2022-02-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53980.538829-0.18%0.5436+0.70%0.0056✓1.322.8M2022-02-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.43.3941-0.17%3.4+0.00%0.0008✓0.231.5M2022-02-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.073790.073667-0.17%0.07603+3.04%0.0235✗0.7480k2022-02-03
GTGateEthereum6.80166.7906-0.16%6.7329-1.01%0.0189✓0.944.2M2022-02-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.86660.865206-0.16%0.8308-4.13%0.0566✓1.46103k2022-02-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089410.089267-0.16%0.09321+4.25%0.0319✗1.0346k2022-02-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,682.662,678.65-0.15%2,697.59+0.56%0.0051✓1.11575.5M2022-02-03
KCSKuCoinnative17.77617.7494-0.15%17.927+0.85%0.0066✓1.5110.6M2022-02-03
XYMSymbolnative0.17560.17534-0.15%0.1775+1.08%0.0047✗0.69457k2022-02-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.3326.294-0.14%29.72+12.88%0.1096✗1.17120.6M2022-02-03
ZECZcashZcash98.3598.2227-0.13%101.02+2.71%0.0135✗1.337.0M2022-02-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6961.6938-0.13%1.695-0.06%0.0132✓1.271.4M2022-02-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1371040.136928-0.13%0.13787+0.56%0.0048✓1.067.1M2022-02-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1663.162-0.13%3.456+9.16%0.0794✗0.87766k2022-02-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1931510.192921-0.12%0.19506+0.99%0.0003✓1.0326.2M2022-02-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.026.0129-0.12%6.17+2.49%0.0171✗0.80504k2022-02-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810120.809191-0.11%0.8263+2.00%0.0020✗1.72419k2022-02-03
XECeCashnative0.000075820.000075737-0.11%0.0000764+0.76%0.0037✓1.145.7M2022-02-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.412.4074-0.11%2.44+1.24%0.0023✗1.02667k2022-02-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009830.009819-0.11%0.01026+4.37%0.0326✗1.03565k2022-02-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.13573.1325-0.10%3.2104+2.38%0.0125✗1.102.7M2022-02-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5822.5794-0.10%2.618+1.39%0.0015✓1.50986k2022-02-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2791.2778-0.09%1.294+1.17%0.0011✓1.253.5M2022-02-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9943-0.09%4.136+3.45%0.0259✗0.82351k2022-02-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.536.5242-0.09%6.88+5.36%0.0505✗0.241.1M2022-02-03
ZENHorizenBase38.1338.0967-0.09%38.69+1.47%0.0021✓1.60626k2022-02-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07940.079332-0.09%0.0807+1.64%0.0037✗1.22299k2022-02-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5526.5273-0.09%25.37-4.44%0.0628✓1.662.5M2022-02-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0920.073-0.08%19.28-4.03%0.0575✓1.57438k2022-02-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01260.01259-0.08%0.01236-1.90%0.0281✓0.8813k2022-02-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043590.043555-0.08%0.04805+10.23%0.0873✗1.005.3M2022-02-03
GITCOINGITCOIN7.5647.558-0.08%7.128-5.76%0.0614✓0.2641k2022-02-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.033.0278-0.07%3.09+1.98%0.0114✗0.81262k2022-02-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.0117.9976-0.07%18.42+2.28%0.0031✗1.833.9M2022-02-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.04231.0416-0.07%1.0898+4.56%0.0314✗1.272.4M2022-02-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84040.839843-0.07%0.9279+10.41%0.0876✗1.1015.7M2022-02-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.547.5353-0.06%7.27-3.58%0.0391✓0.301.8M2022-02-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.113.1081-0.06%3.11+0.00%0.0155✓1.4723.3M2022-02-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.462.4586-0.06%2.49+1.22%0.0007✓1.22566k2022-02-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.045.0373-0.05%5.17+2.58%0.0178✗0.75404k2022-02-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.60051.5996-0.05%1.6279+1.71%0.0055✗1.0979k2022-02-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.63074.6285-0.05%4.7256+2.05%0.0065✗1.30365k2022-02-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.639733-0.04%0.66+3.12%0.0107✗1.871.0M2022-02-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10920.109158-0.04%0.1138+4.21%0.0271✗1.333.6M2022-02-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.57180.571591-0.04%0.613557+7.30%0.0577✗1.203.3M2022-02-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,029.3623,021.08-0.04%23,620.52+2.57%0.0151✗0.9714.8M2022-02-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,923.3936,910.89-0.03%37,329.91+1.10%0.0003✓1.00717.4M2022-02-03
TRXTRONTron0.0586390.058621-0.03%0.05985+2.07%0.0107✗0.92403k2022-02-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.029270.029262-0.03%0.02918-0.31%0.0123✓0.878.4M2022-02-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92350.923251-0.03%0.936+1.35%0.0009✗1.1734.5M2022-02-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV9089.9759-0.03%89.8-0.22%0.0123✓0.941.6M2022-02-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.871.8695-0.03%1.89+1.07%0.0034✓1.312.8M2022-02-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.225.2187-0.03%5.12-1.92%0.0306✓1.051000k2022-02-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1920.1865-0.02%20.37+0.89%0.0041✓1.2011.3M2022-02-03
COMPCompoundEthereum121.22121.2023-0.01%125+3.12%0.0165✗1.3159k2022-02-03
LUNATerraTerra 247.647.5932-0.01%51.23+7.63%0.0549✗1.718.8M2022-02-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05990.059892-0.01%0.0616+2.84%0.0141✗1.29554k2022-02-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.631.6298-0.01%1.66+1.84%0.0042✗1.302.0M2022-02-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.182.1798-0.01%2.25+3.21%0.0159✗1.442.3M2022-02-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42770.427665-0.01%0.4435+3.69%0.0207✗1.432.2M2022-02-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009520.00952-0.00%0.00935-1.79%0.0321✓1.291.9M2022-02-03
SOLSolanaSolana101.99101.9879-0.00%101.93-0.06%0.0139✓1.22187.6M2022-02-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053250.053251+0.00%0.05362+0.69%0.0086✗1.421.6M2022-02-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23140.231403+0.00%0.2361+2.03%0.0073✓1.171.9M2022-02-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0340.034001+0.00%0.0321-5.59%0.0735✗1.46513k2022-02-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.27830.278309+0.00%0.2853+2.52%0.0069✓1.634.3M2022-02-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,883.4037,886.06+0.01%37,210.50-1.78%0.0290✗1.0151k2022-02-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.110009+0.01%0.1064-3.27%0.0498✗1.501.6M2022-02-03
BANDBandEthereum3.373.3704+0.01%3.38+0.30%0.0109✗1.252.4M2022-02-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40480.404852+0.01%0.4067+0.47%0.0102✗1.3510.0M2022-02-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.7915.7922+0.01%16.31+3.29%0.0189✓1.2285.9M2022-02-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.36108.3754+0.01%111.02+2.45%0.0093✓1.3633.8M2022-02-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4650.465086+0.02%0.526+13.12%0.1065✓1.524.6M2022-02-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.8767.8867+0.02%68.49+0.91%0.0062✗1.3789.7M2022-02-03
XMRMoneroMonero145.08145.1178+0.03%146.89+1.25%0.0012✓1.001.8M2022-02-03
DASHDashDash93.0593.0808+0.03%95.23+2.34%0.0099✓1.182.9M2022-02-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.11251.1129+0.04%1.1541+3.74%0.0253✓1.01338k2022-02-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8830.883401+0.05%0.874-1.02%0.0258✗1.382.3M2022-02-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039130.039148+0.05%0.04063+3.83%0.0250✓1.1129k2022-02-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3160.316157+0.05%0.328+3.80%0.0219✓1.361.8M2022-02-03
XVGVergenative0.009780.009785+0.05%0.00994+1.64%0.0012✓1.321.5M2022-02-03
NANOnanopayBase2.10642.1076+0.06%2.0772-1.39%0.0279✗1.22888k2022-02-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7545.7574+0.06%5.773+0.33%0.0066✗0.85116k2022-02-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62810.628471+0.06%0.6171-1.75%0.0352✗1.541.2M2022-02-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7613.7683+0.06%13.95+1.38%0.0022✓1.00762k2022-02-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46660.4669+0.06%0.4765+2.12%0.0007✗1.9346.2M2022-02-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.18030.180436+0.08%0.1839+2.00%0.0044✓1.333.7M2022-02-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7618.7754+0.08%18.93+0.91%0.0071✗1.4047.3M2022-02-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.1249.1626+0.09%48.5-1.26%0.0266✗1.198.0M2022-02-03
KSMKusamaHydration162.31162.4566+0.09%162.76+0.28%0.0111✗1.181.3M2022-02-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.775.7756+0.10%5.65-2.08%0.0324✗0.95835k2022-02-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.495.4959+0.11%5.71+4.01%0.0262✓1.102.1M2022-02-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash278278.2978+0.11%281.46+1.24%0.0001✓1.046.8M2022-02-03
AAVEAaveEthereum151.26151.4326+0.11%152.86+1.06%0.0061✗1.4212.2M2022-02-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.5423+0.12%10.39-1.33%0.0293✗1.3512.5M2022-02-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020640.000020664+0.12%0.00002075+0.53%0.0112✗1.401.6M2022-02-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0202460.020277+0.15%0.020346+0.49%0.0078✗1.032.7M2022-02-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7190.720147+0.16%0.718-0.14%0.0147✗1.071.7M2022-02-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04180.041873+0.18%0.03949-5.53%0.0708✗1.119.1M2022-02-03
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.0976+0.19%4.09+0.00%0.0171✗1.408.8M2022-02-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.91.9036+0.19%2.04+7.37%0.0527✓1.513.9M2022-02-03
MOVRMoonriverBase73.597273.7577+0.22%74.5146+1.25%0.0039✗1.29383k2022-02-03
XVSVenusEthereum7.837.8474+0.22%8.19+4.60%0.0283✓1.312.7M2022-02-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0358720.035953+0.23%0.036103+0.64%0.0095✗1.259.4M2022-02-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0815.0936+0.25%4.748-6.55%0.0812✗1.001.4M2022-02-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86640.868608+0.25%0.8505-1.84%0.0412✗1.83852k2022-02-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0372040.037327+0.33%0.03828+2.89%0.0086✓1.52149k2022-02-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.371387+0.37%0.3716+0.43%0.0177✗1.671.9M2022-02-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006070.006099+0.47%0.00612+0.82%0.0220✗2.3322.6M2022-02-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.