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2022-02-01 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1096
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.9%
in alpha space · 62.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3654.6855-12.67%3.084-42.52%0.5106✓1.001.4M2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,472.1822,988.50-9.75%21,698.86-14.81%0.1451✓0.9515.1M2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20441.0882-9.64%0.865-28.18%0.3220✓1.003.0M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum2.232.0165-9.57%1.92-13.90%0.1414✓1.003.1M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08610.079256-7.95%0.0637-26.02%0.4578✓2.5925.7M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52960.488141-7.83%0.3687-30.38%0.4544✓1.8848.9M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0426170.0394-7.55%0.020258-52.46%0.8019✓1.48163k2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.87421.738-7.27%2.773+47.96%0.4002✗0.733.1M2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.12336-7.25%0.118-11.28%0.1368✓1.00133k2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.51.3928-7.14%1.21-19.33%0.2331✓1.001.8M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1518.7561-6.92%19.97-0.89%0.0553✓1.2834.3M2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.463.2249-6.79%2.508-27.51%0.3861✓1.4624.0M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048290.045146-6.51%0.03435-28.87%0.3657✓1.005.4M2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.8627.0123-6.40%34.01+17.84%0.1237✗1.15120.6M2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.20913.0154-6.04%2.2899-28.64%0.3589✓0.9123k2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55750.525494-5.74%0.5501-1.33%0.0625✓1.171.8M2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.1034-5.67%3.3-24.14%0.3473✓1.408.9M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.067.6115-5.56%6.34-21.34%0.2091✓0.291.8M2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum45.242.9814-4.91%44.86-0.75%0.0715✓1.2439.5M2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum1716.2059-4.67%14.89-12.41%0.1970✓1.2288.8M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.375.1196-4.66%3.808-29.09%0.4157✓1.303.0M2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151730.014535-4.20%0.011953-21.22%0.3042✓1.182.7M2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1211-4.18%1.176+0.51%0.0976✓1.57490k2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03580.034305-4.18%0.0283-20.95%0.3283✓1.47540k2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09592.9738-3.94%2.95-4.71%0.1048✓1.052.0M2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 252.2150.1727-3.90%90.56+73.45%0.4344✗1.698.8M2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206590.198616-3.86%0.16147-21.84%0.3571✓1.6225k2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.25894.0991-3.75%5.6206+31.97%0.3158✗-0.00375k2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4403-3.63%7.315+104.90%0.7358✗0.201.4M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9795.7682-3.53%5.584-6.61%0.1289✓1.04341k2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43270.417559-3.50%0.4722+9.13%0.0247✓1.602.0M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1253.0167-3.46%2.882-7.78%0.1210✓0.81299k2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano1.09651.0592-3.40%0.9021-17.73%0.2667✓1.15113.2M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4613.9767-3.34%16.42+13.55%0.0963✗0.70841k2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.729.3987-3.31%10.07+3.60%0.0008✓0.76744k2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase76.287473.8069-3.25%66.5878-12.71%0.2207✓1.27383k2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5658-3.18%2.04-23.02%0.3419✓1.22577k2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero146.32141.6876-3.17%172.04+17.58%0.0999✗1.021.8M2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9420.2888-3.11%19.77-5.59%0.1727✓1.59465k2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.74793.634-3.04%3.3937-9.45%0.1983✓1.412.5M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88340.857904-2.89%1.6497+86.74%0.5135✗1.52103k2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.063917-2.86%0.0725+10.18%0.0236✓1.1121k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.93646.7452-2.76%6.7949-2.04%0.0803✓0.954.3M2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum3.493.3949-2.72%3.962+13.52%0.0372✗1.272.5M2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8371.7879-2.67%1.479-19.49%0.3043✓1.241.4M2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9220.3669-2.64%20.13-3.78%0.1238✓1.2112.4M2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.9670.941608-2.63%0.7967-17.61%0.2759✓1.1834.5M2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.28260.275202-2.62%0.2824-0.07%0.0805✓1.15557k2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3373.2516-2.56%2.941-11.87%0.1795✓0.86819k2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4724.8187-2.56%30.05+17.98%0.1190✗0.78462k2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.9298-2.54%1.85-6.57%0.1628✓1.312.5M2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.843670.822538-2.50%0.7113-15.69%0.3053✓1.73458k2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.18250.17793-2.50%0.146-20.00%0.2604✓0.68472k2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1424890.138928-2.50%0.129579-9.06%0.1681✓1.077.1M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.6578-2.48%1.437-15.47%0.2629✓1.302.1M2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.30870.301073-2.47%0.2283-26.04%0.4261✓1.624.2M2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2020280.19706-2.46%0.187901-6.99%0.1436✓1.0426.2M2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.985.8362-2.41%9.598+60.50%0.3971✗1.092.1M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4880.476276-2.40%0.448-8.20%0.2031✓1.544.7M2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.248977-2.36%0.273+7.06%0.0037✓0.9667k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash97.2394.943-2.35%96.75-0.49%0.0904✓1.182.9M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum2.882.8128-2.33%1.46-49.31%0.8007✓1.572.2M2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.031.9828-2.33%1.545-23.89%0.3909✓1.534.2M2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089020.086992-2.28%0.09337+4.89%0.0301✓1.0946k2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.1040.101652-2.26%0.1029-1.06%0.0820✓1.0243k2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum164.05160.3907-2.23%129.96-20.78%0.3397✓1.4012.5M2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.6989.6623-2.21%83.45-8.99%0.1593✓0.951.6M2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83910.820748-2.19%0.7596-9.47%0.1816✓1.1316.8M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.95490.934434-2.14%0.9796+2.59%0.0943✓1.531.9M2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.627-2.09%2.873+7.08%0.0517✓1.53986k2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3161.2888-2.07%1.174-10.79%0.2096✓1.263.5M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,691.9037,906.17-2.03%42,572.60+10.03%0.0222✗1.0251k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2284.1424-2.02%4.418+4.49%0.0105✓0.81351k2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.89914.8029-1.96%4.2636-12.97%0.2348✓1.25406k2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.14751.1262-1.86%1.4091+22.80%0.1105✗1.232.4M2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.1672-1.80%6.33+0.80%0.0543✓0.87529k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.826.3236-1.78%30.25+12.87%0.0380✗1.093.3M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18683.1315-1.74%2.9519-7.37%0.1633✓1.132.7M2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012830.012608-1.73%0.01236-3.66%0.1021✓0.8913k2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009570.009406-1.71%0.01199+25.29%0.1228✗1.302.1M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.1335-1.71%7.63+22.28%0.1448✗0.80504k2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000077220.00007592-1.68%0.00007449-3.54%0.1232✓1.135.7M2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.17976.082-1.58%6.3922+3.44%0.0854✓1.46174k2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.65.5121-1.57%5.51-1.61%0.0975✓1.051.0M2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47370.466415-1.54%0.381-19.57%0.3317✓1.402.2M2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,716.8838,126.38-1.53%42,464.41+9.68%0.0154✗1.00717.4M2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11610.114438-1.43%0.1221+5.17%0.0581✓1.333.8M2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5251.504-1.38%1.523-0.13%0.0990✓1.211.6M2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.60481.5828-1.37%2.1075+31.33%0.1831✗1.1282k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14250.140589-1.34%0.1559+9.40%0.0122✓0.99337k2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08220.081114-1.32%0.072-12.41%0.2335✓1.24299k2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.49618.2517-1.32%19.526+5.57%0.0734✓1.5210.6M2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum128.16126.4803-1.31%116.89-8.79%0.2004✓1.3259k2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.68032.6454-1.30%2.6368-1.62%0.0926✓0.973.1M2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.218-1.29%2.212-1.56%0.1033✓1.0922k2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN8.0527.9485-1.29%6.363-20.98%0.2450✓0.2441k2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.11890.117372-1.29%0.095-20.10%0.3498✓1.501.7M2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0620.061234-1.24%0.0725+16.94%0.0475✗1.31556k2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.030080.029716-1.21%0.02753-8.48%0.1598✓0.908.7M2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.276.1945-1.20%4.42-29.51%0.4249✓0.95835k2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.532.5001-1.18%2.38-5.93%0.1432✓1.02697k2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase39.2138.7465-1.18%38.18-2.63%0.1645✓1.62626k2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038340.037925-1.08%0.046937+22.42%0.0979✗1.259.4M2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5650.559123-1.04%0.8058+42.62%0.2419✗1.342.7M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,789.662,760.93-1.03%2,833.66+1.58%0.0765✓1.11560.6M2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.692876-1.02%0.72+2.86%0.1349✓1.881.1M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.3772.6407-0.99%78.49+6.98%0.0470✓1.3587.3M2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.6726.4073-0.98%25.18-5.59%0.2007✓1.662.6M2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.5819.3966-0.94%18.03-7.92%0.2023✓1.4048.3M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72310.716451-0.92%0.4943-31.64%0.5153✓1.561.2M2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.010110.01002-0.89%0.00902-10.78%0.2014✓1.04565k2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration170.69169.2681-0.83%131.9-22.73%0.3590✓1.191.3M2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.375.3281-0.78%5.38+0.19%0.0585✓0.74429k2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43930.435877-0.78%0.3647-16.98%0.3000✓1.3210.0M2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4753.1035-0.69%53.31-0.30%0.1037✓1.168.0M2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase2.15182.1373-0.67%1.868-13.19%0.2493✓1.24888k2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash98.9798.309-0.67%129.17+30.51%0.1477✗1.366.6M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum104.95104.3225-0.60%127.04+21.05%0.0990✗1.067.5M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.18850.187383-0.59%0.1971+4.56%0.0735✓1.343.7M2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.6614.5743-0.58%13.32-9.14%0.1813✓0.99795k2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04460.044344-0.57%0.01525-65.81%1.1700✓1.119.1M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0598310.059553-0.46%0.060032+0.34%0.0781✓0.93411k2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021760.00002166-0.46%0.00002507+15.21%0.0156✗1.411.6M2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.666.6297-0.46%6.42-3.60%0.0534✓0.231.1M2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3280.3267-0.40%0.295-10.06%0.2283✓1.371.8M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040340.040187-0.38%0.03967-1.66%0.1163✓1.1229k2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5821330.579967-0.37%0.534619-8.16%0.1944✓1.223.3M2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24560.24469-0.37%0.249+1.38%0.0909✓1.171.9M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078360.07812-0.31%0.06983-10.89%0.1797✓0.7380k2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0209540.020936-0.09%0.01877-10.42%0.2035✓1.023.0M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.15121.1503-0.08%1.0476-9.00%0.1877✓1.02346k2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9585.9538-0.07%5.231-12.20%0.2081✓0.85118k2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9320.931586-0.04%0.852-8.58%0.2168✓1.382.3M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1111.1151+0.05%9.55-14.04%0.2771✗1.3612.9M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.12.1015+0.07%1.24-40.95%0.6709✗1.552.3M2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96520.966009+0.08%0.7864-18.52%0.3745✗1.83852k2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058110.058187+0.13%0.05073-12.70%0.2690✗1.431.6M2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010180.010199+0.19%0.01001-1.67%0.1422✗1.341.6M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.3819.438+0.30%14.3-26.21%0.4771✗1.843.9M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006840.006872+0.46%0.00456-33.33%0.6251✗2.3323.2M2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana110.1110.6289+0.48%95.61-13.16%0.2565✗1.20181.0M2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7560.761226+0.69%0.714-5.56%0.1630✗1.071.8M2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.11116.1555+0.91%111.69-2.97%0.1643✗1.3533.8M2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.95294.9157+2.42%315.29+9.49%0.0299✗1.056.8M2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.138.4088+3.43%9.34+14.88%0.0177✓1.332.8M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.