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2022-01-31 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0569
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.6%
in alpha space · 66.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.820.827176+0.88%1.17+42.68%0.3378✓1.53490k2022-02-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43690.44045+0.81%0.4327-0.96%0.0271✗1.602.0M2022-02-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3895.4262+0.69%5.365-0.45%0.0172✗1.001.4M2022-02-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375420.037789+0.66%0.042617+13.52%0.1121✓1.40172k2022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007280.007326+0.63%0.00684-6.04%0.0823✗2.3423.2M2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.947.9884+0.61%8.13+2.39%0.0098✓1.332.8M2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.735403+0.60%0.756+3.42%0.0214✓1.071.7M2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum97.1597.724+0.59%104.95+8.03%0.0652✓1.057.5M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11643.1347+0.59%3.1868+2.26%0.0099✓1.132.9M2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99851.0042+0.57%0.9652-3.34%0.0502✗1.83929k2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum121.39122.0286+0.53%128.16+5.58%0.0414✓1.3165k2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration159.75160.5829+0.52%170.69+6.85%0.0542✓1.181.2M2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3614.4338+0.51%14.66+2.09%0.0098✓0.99814k2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.2766+0.51%5.37+2.29%0.0133✓0.73429k2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.010220.010271+0.50%0.01018-0.39%0.0167✗1.341.6M2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum157.59158.3785+0.50%164.05+4.10%0.0271✓1.4012.7M2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.493448+0.50%0.488-0.61%0.0201✗1.545.0M2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.411036+0.50%0.4393+7.41%0.0589✓1.3110.0M2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61660.619636+0.49%0.7231+17.27%0.1454✓1.541.2M2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021420.000021524+0.49%0.00002176+1.59%0.0027✓1.411.6M2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase75.077575.4367+0.48%76.2874+1.61%0.0038✓1.27410k2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.045860.046069+0.46%0.0446-2.75%0.0389✗1.119.2M2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95040.954628+0.44%0.967+1.75%0.0060✓1.1834.5M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009930.009974+0.44%0.00957-3.63%0.0489✗1.302.1M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029780.029911+0.44%0.03008+1.01%0.0004✓0.908.7M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.013369+0.44%0.01283-3.61%0.0463✗0.9014k2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.319399+0.44%0.328+3.14%0.0186✓1.361.7M2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.546.5683+0.43%6.66+1.83%0.0125✓0.231.1M2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash94.5794.9752+0.43%98.97+4.65%0.0333✓1.356.6M2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase2.13152.1406+0.43%2.1518+0.95%0.0020✓1.24888k2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.16481.1698+0.43%1.1512-1.17%0.0220✗1.02352k2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero147.48148.1069+0.43%146.32-0.79%0.0181✗1.021.9M2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum3.483.4946+0.42%3.49+0.29%0.0087✗1.272.5M2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.951.9582+0.42%1.98+1.54%0.0035✓1.302.8M2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.5299.9325+0.41%110.1+10.63%0.0900✓1.19165.9M2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.256.2758+0.41%6.27+0.32%0.0064✗0.95892k2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative0.96190.965759+0.40%0.9549-0.73%0.0203✗1.542.0M2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.681.6865+0.39%1.7+1.19%0.0004✓1.302.1M2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0392780.039428+0.38%0.03834-2.39%0.0353✗1.259.4M2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3591.3642+0.38%1.316-3.16%0.0433✗1.263.5M2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.692.7002+0.38%2.88+7.06%0.0554✓1.552.2M2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.23286.3107+0.38%287.95+0.95%0.0004✓1.056.8M2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.081505+0.38%0.0822+1.23%0.0013✓1.24317k2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852610.855807+0.37%0.84367-1.05%0.0244✗1.74534k2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.247912+0.37%0.255+3.24%0.0226✓0.9563k2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5471.5527+0.37%1.525-1.42%0.0250✗1.211.6M2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.1520.2235+0.36%19.38-3.82%0.0534✗1.853.9M2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3187.3445+0.36%8.052+10.03%0.0906✓0.2340k2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0591320.059345+0.36%0.059831+1.18%0.0027✓0.93431k2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.8676.8917+0.36%6.9364+1.01%0.0009✓0.954.2M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.035324+0.35%0.0358+1.70%0.0048✓1.47617k2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.09031.0941+0.35%1.1475+5.25%0.0405✓1.232.4M2022-02-01
DASHDashDash94.1894.5089+0.35%97.23+3.24%0.0215✓1.182.9M2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1196.1403+0.35%5.958-2.63%0.0351✗0.86118k2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2514.299+0.34%14.46+1.47%0.0071✓0.70841k2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.55261.5578+0.34%1.6048+3.36%0.0232✓1.1182k2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040450.040586+0.34%0.04034-0.27%0.0126✗1.1229k2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.955.9699+0.33%5.98+0.50%0.0046✗1.092.1M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062107+0.33%0.062+0.16%0.0094✗1.31564k2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,491.9338,618.57+0.33%38,716.88+0.58%0.0033✗1.00717.4M2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.642088+0.33%0.7+9.37%0.0755✓1.861.1M2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,689.722,698.49+0.33%2,789.66+3.72%0.0268✓1.11557.7M2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0227.1068+0.32%26.67-1.30%0.0259✗1.662.6M2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.10220.102525+0.32%0.104+1.76%0.0084✓1.0241k2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.066008+0.32%0.0658+0.00%0.0096✗1.1121k2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.266.2796+0.31%6.24-0.32%0.0110✗0.80504k2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009940.009971+0.31%0.01011+1.71%0.0078✓1.04588k2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54920.550908+0.31%0.565+2.88%0.0175✓1.342.7M2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.18890.189482+0.31%0.1885-0.21%0.0130✗1.343.8M2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.152.1566+0.31%2.1-2.33%0.0356✗1.562.3M2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087840.088105+0.30%0.08902+1.34%0.0040✓1.0946k2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase4141.1219+0.30%39.21-4.37%0.0571✗1.63626k2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2886+0.30%6.28+0.16%0.0064✗0.87529k2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.744+0.29%26.8+4.40%0.0339✓1.093.3M2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9150.917622+0.29%0.932+1.86%0.0075✓1.382.3M2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7811.8138+0.29%11.11-5.69%0.0694✗1.3712.5M2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.3852.5225+0.27%53.47+2.08%0.0111✓1.168.0M2022-02-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416460.14203+0.27%0.142489+0.60%0.0030✗1.077.1M2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83880.841061+0.27%0.8834+5.32%0.0403✓1.51106k2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5120.5649+0.27%20.94+2.10%0.0088✓1.59556k2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4640.465225+0.26%0.4737+2.09%0.0099✓1.402.2M2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1997230.200249+0.26%0.202028+1.15%0.0028✓1.0426.2M2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3962+0.26%2.65+10.88%0.0936✓1.21602k2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210240.021075+0.24%0.020954-0.33%0.0117✗1.023.1M2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5673350.568645+0.23%0.582133+2.61%0.0163✓1.223.3M2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83380.835722+0.23%0.8391+0.64%0.0025✗1.1316.8M2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.3669+0.23%8.06+9.66%0.0883✓0.271.8M2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,589.3038,677.81+0.23%38,691.90+0.27%0.0056✗1.0251k2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1617.199+0.23%17-0.93%0.0187✗1.2288.8M2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.3291.5269+0.23%91.69+0.41%0.0037✗0.951.6M2022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11360.113857+0.23%0.1161+2.20%0.0118✓1.333.8M2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.55109.7969+0.23%115.11+5.08%0.0394✓1.3533.8M2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.162.1648+0.22%2.03-6.02%0.0733✗1.544.2M2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2519+0.22%2.247+0.00%0.0085✗1.0923k2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24230.242823+0.22%0.2456+1.36%0.0045✓1.171.9M2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000076330.000076494+0.22%0.00007722+1.17%0.0029✓1.135.8M2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82232.8281+0.21%2.6803-5.03%0.0593✗0.982.8M2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0423.0481+0.20%3.125+2.73%0.0202✓0.81342k2022-02-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.049850.04995+0.20%0.04829-3.13%0.0396✗1.005.5M2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.505+0.20%2.53+1.20%0.0040✓1.02754k2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0142680.014295+0.19%0.015173+6.34%0.0528✓1.172.7M2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.85.811+0.19%5.6-3.45%0.0431✗1.061.0M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.18360.183949+0.19%0.1825-0.60%0.0119✗0.68495k2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.05241.0544+0.19%1.0965+4.19%0.0325✓1.14113.2M2022-02-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.27781.2802+0.19%1.2044-5.74%0.0669✗1.003.1M2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.06786.0783+0.17%6.1797+1.84%0.0080✓1.46181k2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.8542+0.17%20.15+1.66%0.0074✓1.2834.3M2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.32910.329637+0.16%0.3087-6.20%0.0751✗1.634.2M2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.12150.121697+0.16%0.1189-2.14%0.0320✗1.501.7M2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.01385.0219+0.16%4.8991-2.29%0.0321✗1.26430k2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06653.0709+0.14%3.0959+0.96%0.0020✓1.052.0M2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.273.2746+0.14%3.46+5.81%0.0466✓1.4524.6M2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.9270.0181+0.14%73.37+4.93%0.0389✓1.3485.3M2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2273.2314+0.14%3.337+3.41%0.0272✓0.85819k2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.321.3291+0.14%20.92-1.78%0.0265✗1.2212.6M2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.234.2357+0.14%4.35+2.84%0.0185✓1.409.3M2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.3919.415+0.13%19.58+0.98%0.0003✓1.4050.2M2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13610.136274+0.13%0.1425+4.70%0.0390✓0.98312k2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1084.1132+0.13%4.228+2.92%0.0228✓0.81367k2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.9111+0.12%5.979+1.27%0.0053✓1.04341k2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.27180.272121+0.12%0.2826+3.97%0.0311✓1.15557k2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.413.414+0.12%3.57+4.69%0.0436✓0.191.4M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.71993.7241+0.11%4.2589+14.49%0.1343✓-0.02350k2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.686+0.11%2.683+0.00%0.0100✗1.53986k2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 252.1552.2054+0.11%52.21+0.12%0.0098✗1.698.8M2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.079873+0.10%0.07836-1.79%0.0234✗0.7384k2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.06518.0823+0.10%18.496+2.39%0.0137✓1.5210.6M2022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54030.540626+0.06%0.5296-1.98%0.0316✗1.8948.9M2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8881.8891+0.06%1.837-2.70%0.0352✗1.241.5M2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.629.6253+0.05%9.72+1.04%0.0054✓0.75744k2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0580.058024+0.04%0.05811+0.19%0.0068✗1.431.7M2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos3.49383.4941+0.01%3.7479+7.27%0.0620✓1.402.4M2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.2125.2113+0.01%25.47+1.03%0.0057✓0.78447k2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,852.8524,851.25-0.01%25,472.18+2.49%0.0192✗0.9416.4M2022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0728.0678-0.01%28.86+2.81%0.0211✗1.15120.6M2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum43.5843.5627-0.04%45.2+3.72%0.0297✗1.2337.0M2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.735.7262-0.07%5.37-6.28%0.0718✓1.313.2M2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.190160.189957-0.11%0.20659+8.64%0.0745✗1.6224k2022-02-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5490.548233-0.14%0.5575+1.55%0.0099✗1.172.1M2022-02-01
STXStacksnative1.491.4871-0.20%1.5+0.67%0.0028✗1.002.0M2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17753.1688-0.27%3.2091+0.99%0.0074✗0.9022k2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8871.8818-0.27%1.8742-0.68%0.0083✓0.733.1M2022-02-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.121553-0.37%0.133+9.02%0.0842✗1.00141k2022-02-01
PROPropyEthereum2.312.2948-0.66%2.23-3.46%0.0345✓1.003.4M2022-02-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09750.096422-1.11%0.0861-11.69%0.1287✓2.6524.9M2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.