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2022-01-31 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1579
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.6%
in alpha space · 56.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum7.948.2447+3.84%9.78+23.17%0.0038✓1.332.8M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.23292.4816+2.54%320.43+12.34%0.0465✗1.056.8M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.55110.7578+1.10%110.35+0.73%0.1814✗1.3533.8M2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana99.52100.6059+1.09%100.73+1.22%0.1549✗1.19165.9M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.737042+0.83%0.703-3.83%0.1879✗1.071.7M2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.820.825271+0.64%1.164+41.95%0.1425✓1.53490k2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010220.010248+0.27%0.01037+1.47%0.1643✗1.341.6M2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.1520.1972+0.23%15.16-24.76%0.5305✗1.853.9M2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0580.058118+0.20%0.04875-15.95%0.3639✗1.431.7M2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007280.007287+0.10%0.00469-35.58%0.7494✗2.3423.2M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum97.1597.188+0.04%117.95+21.41%0.0551✓1.057.5M2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9150.915228+0.02%0.917+0.22%0.1796✗1.382.3M2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.152.1502+0.01%1.27-40.93%0.7316✗1.562.3M2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99850.998005-0.05%0.8082-19.06%0.4525✓1.83929k2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210240.021004-0.09%0.01892-10.01%0.2391✓1.023.1M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61660.615653-0.15%0.5144-16.57%0.3826✓1.541.2M2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.546.5251-0.23%6.71+2.60%0.0020✓0.231.1M2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.16481.1618-0.26%1.0742-7.78%0.2130✓1.02352k2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021420.000021364-0.26%0.00002591+20.96%0.0070✗1.411.6M2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.317029-0.31%0.308-3.14%0.2084✓1.361.7M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.40766-0.33%0.3742-8.51%0.2580✓1.3110.0M2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24230.241491-0.33%0.2571+6.11%0.0916✓1.171.9M2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase2.13152.1242-0.34%1.8782-11.89%0.2865✓1.24888k2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5673350.565342-0.35%0.570611+0.58%0.1514✓1.223.3M2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.3852.171-0.40%55.59+6.13%0.0896✓1.168.0M2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash94.5794.1484-0.45%125.91+33.14%0.1126✗1.356.6M2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration159.75159.0225-0.46%138.31-13.42%0.2948✓1.181.2M2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0591320.058852-0.47%0.061505+4.01%0.0786✓0.93431k2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3187.2803-0.51%6.7-8.44%0.1135✓0.2340k2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1196.0862-0.54%5.551-9.28%0.2048✓0.86118k2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.2211-0.55%5.57+6.10%0.0321✓0.73429k2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.045860.045582-0.61%0.01634-64.37%1.1724✓1.119.2M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3614.271-0.62%13.69-4.67%0.1715✓0.99814k2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7811.7064-0.62%10.05-14.69%0.3325✓1.3712.5M2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.18890.187648-0.66%0.197+4.29%0.1284✓1.343.8M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.635223-0.75%0.75+17.19%0.0785✓1.861.1M2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0392780.038982-0.75%0.04679+19.13%0.0176✗1.259.4M2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040450.04014-0.77%0.04078+0.82%0.1318✓1.1229k2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum121.39120.4434-0.78%122.45+0.87%0.1560✓1.3165k2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.079146-0.81%0.07258-9.04%0.1832✓0.7384k2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.9269.3476-0.82%83.42+19.31%0.0078✓1.3485.3M2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.3919.226-0.85%18.61-4.02%0.2168✓1.4050.2M2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009940.009852-0.88%0.00957-3.72%0.1661✓1.04588k2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13610.134896-0.88%0.1595+17.19%0.0382✗0.98312k2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,689.722,663.27-0.98%2,948.56+9.62%0.0439✓1.11557.7M2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0226.7282-1.08%26.56-1.70%0.2252✓1.662.6M2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.029780.029455-1.09%0.02832-4.90%0.1583✓0.908.7M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54920.54285-1.16%0.7291+32.76%0.1191✗1.342.7M2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.256.1756-1.19%4.65-25.60%0.4083✓0.95892k2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4701-1.20%2.43-2.80%0.1502✓1.02754k2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061143-1.22%0.0775+25.20%0.0639✗1.31564k2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2189-1.25%2.298+2.27%0.1085✓1.0923k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11360.11215-1.28%0.1299+14.35%0.0280✓1.333.8M2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.55261.5325-1.29%1.9592+26.19%0.0989✗1.1182k2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase4140.4568-1.32%38.92-5.07%0.2533✓1.63626k2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative18.06517.8228-1.34%20.355+12.68%0.0679✓1.5210.6M2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11643.072-1.43%3.0297-2.78%0.1621✓1.132.9M2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.080003-1.47%0.0754-7.14%0.2221✓1.24317k2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000076330.000075189-1.49%0.00007594-0.51%0.1385✓1.135.8M2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.12150.119634-1.54%0.0991-18.44%0.3859✓1.501.7M2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.09031.0735-1.54%1.389+27.40%0.0962✗1.232.4M2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,491.9337,896.85-1.55%43,912.34+14.08%0.0156✗1.00717.4M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.266.161-1.58%7.94+26.84%0.1488✗0.80504k2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.06785.9695-1.62%6.4867+6.90%0.1094✓1.46181k2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum157.59154.9993-1.64%137.7-12.62%0.3022✓1.4012.7M2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.2351-1.69%29.52+15.00%0.0134✓1.093.3M2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4640.456108-1.70%0.397-14.44%0.3231✓1.402.2M2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5471.5204-1.72%1.59+2.78%0.1146✓1.211.6M2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1084.0361-1.75%4.505+9.66%0.0035✓0.81367k2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.1541-1.85%6.43+2.55%0.0707✓0.87529k2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82232.7696-1.87%2.7532-2.45%0.1344✓0.982.8M2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009930.009734-1.98%0.01231+23.97%0.0632✗1.302.1M2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,589.3037,808.50-2.02%44,262.00+14.70%0.0237✗1.0251k2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.85.6812-2.05%5.59-3.62%0.1554✓1.061.0M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash94.1892.2478-2.05%100.9+7.14%0.0657✓1.182.9M2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum2.692.6347-2.06%1.464-45.58%0.7923✓1.552.2M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.3289.4369-2.06%86.11-5.71%0.1627✓0.951.6M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.01384.9084-2.10%4.413-11.98%0.2718✓1.26430k2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.626-2.12%2.99+11.44%0.0714✓1.53986k2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.241747-2.13%0.247+0.00%0.1040✓0.9563k2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087840.08591-2.20%0.091+3.60%0.0860✓1.0946k2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83380.81541-2.21%0.7872-5.59%0.1837✓1.1316.8M2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.18360.179517-2.22%0.149-18.85%0.2757✓0.68495k2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.951.9065-2.23%1.93-1.03%0.1595✓1.302.8M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative0.96190.940275-2.25%0.9988+3.84%0.1419✓1.542.0M2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10220.099901-2.25%0.1064+4.11%0.0710✓1.0241k2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.479928-2.25%0.468-4.68%0.2276✓1.545.0M2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2273.154-2.26%3.114-3.50%0.1250✓0.85819k2022-03-02
UMAUMAEthereum5.955.8144-2.28%8.421+41.53%0.2273✗1.092.1M2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3355-2.28%2.13-10.88%0.2509✓1.21602k2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.681.6406-2.34%1.496-10.95%0.2632✓1.302.1M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95040.927853-2.37%0.8204-13.68%0.2781✓1.1834.5M2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3591.3266-2.38%1.202-11.55%0.2653✓1.263.5M2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.012988-2.42%0.01235-7.21%0.1683✓0.9014k2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49383.4091-2.42%3.494+0.01%0.1596✓1.402.4M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852610.831819-2.44%0.73047-14.33%0.3586✓1.74534k2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1997230.194836-2.45%0.193624-3.05%0.1430✓1.0426.2M2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.064154-2.50%0.0714+8.51%0.0391✓1.1121k2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416460.138091-2.51%0.133081-6.05%0.1773✓1.077.1M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83880.817648-2.52%1.6226+93.44%0.4870✗1.51106k2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.2124.5662-2.55%30.37+20.47%0.1092✗0.78447k2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.162.1045-2.57%1.359-37.08%0.6404✓1.544.2M2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.27180.264727-2.60%0.2945+8.35%0.0445✓1.15557k2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.320.7303-2.67%20.73-2.68%0.1602✓1.2212.6M2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum3.483.3867-2.68%4.016+15.40%0.0031✓1.272.5M2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase75.077573.0561-2.69%71.55-4.70%0.1885✓1.27410k2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.71993.6189-2.71%5.9424+59.75%0.4984✗-0.02350k2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.8676.675-2.80%6.803-0.93%0.1060✓0.954.2M2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8881.8348-2.82%1.548-18.01%0.3339✓1.241.5M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5119.9112-2.92%20.76+1.22%0.1673✓1.59556k2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero147.48143.1471-2.94%177.46+20.33%0.0804✗1.021.9M2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.7304-2.94%6.038+2.27%0.0851✓1.04341k2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.629.3165-3.16%10.14+5.41%0.0147✓0.75744k2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43690.423105-3.16%0.5029+15.11%0.0378✓1.602.0M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0422.9453-3.18%2.98-2.04%0.0952✓0.81342k2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.32910.318512-3.22%0.2308-29.87%0.5364✓1.634.2M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano1.05241.0177-3.30%0.9394-10.74%0.2308✓1.14113.2M2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum3.413.2968-3.32%7.3+114.08%0.7700✗0.191.4M2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2513.7673-3.39%16.15+13.33%0.0675✗0.70841k2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.190160.183211-3.65%0.16542-13.01%0.3149✓1.6224k2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0142680.013745-3.67%0.012216-14.38%0.2718✓1.172.7M2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.033899-3.70%0.0268-23.86%0.4284✓1.47617k2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 252.1550.1998-3.74%92.43+77.24%0.3873✗1.698.8M2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06652.9508-3.77%3.0322-1.12%0.1106✓1.052.0M2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.042-4.19%6.64-9.66%0.0948✓0.271.8M2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1616.3799-4.55%15.29-10.90%0.2293✓1.2288.8M2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum43.5841.5826-4.58%46.16+5.92%0.0581✓1.2337.0M2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum4.234.0143-5.10%3.41-19.39%0.3473✓1.409.3M2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5490.517921-5.66%0.5665+3.19%0.0644✓1.172.1M2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.735.4032-5.70%3.976-30.61%0.4787✓1.313.2M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17752.9948-5.75%2.2311-29.78%0.4136✓0.9022k2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375420.035346-5.85%0.021073-43.87%0.7017✓1.40172k2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.273.0732-6.02%2.647-19.05%0.3407✓1.4524.6M2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8218.6044-6.13%19.31-2.57%0.1309✓1.2834.3M2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0726.3045-6.29%32.25+14.89%0.0519✓1.15120.6M2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.049850.046703-6.31%0.03397-31.86%0.4501✓1.005.5M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.113911-6.63%0.116-4.92%0.1136✓1.00141k2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.491.3845-7.08%1.25-16.11%0.2340✓1.002.0M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8871.7423-7.67%2.7751+47.06%0.3697✗0.733.1M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54030.496807-8.05%0.4033-25.36%0.4572✓1.8948.9M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,852.8522,608.15-9.03%22,346.94-10.08%0.1359✓0.9416.4M2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum2.312.0972-9.21%1.82-21.21%0.2735✓1.003.4M2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.27781.1583-9.35%0.7242-43.32%0.6014✓1.003.1M2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09750.087687-10.06%0.0655-32.82%0.6414✓2.6524.9M2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3894.7539-11.79%2.895-46.28%0.6277✓1.001.4M2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.