8=======>

2022-01-30 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1321
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.9%
in alpha space · 46.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+17.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7375.117-10.81%2.626-54.23%0.8263✓1.001.4M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum2.272.065-9.03%1.84-18.94%0.2745✓1.003.4M2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.39131.267-8.94%0.7268-47.76%0.7149✓1.003.2M2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.55930.514844-7.95%0.4218-24.58%0.4976✓1.8748.9M2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,834.5921,962.41-7.85%21,756.24-8.72%0.1564✓0.9218.0M2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07740.071935-7.06%0.0703-9.17%0.4210✓2.5023.2M2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.491.3861-6.97%1.29-13.42%0.2310✓1.002.1M2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73861.623-6.65%2.5724+47.96%0.3389✗0.762.8M2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.114126-6.45%0.123+0.82%0.0843✓1.00149k2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.053110.04987-6.10%0.03426-35.49%0.5346✓1.005.9M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54790.516134-5.80%0.5765+5.22%0.0762✓1.172.1M2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1925.6523-5.66%31.14+14.53%0.0148✓1.12127.6M2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.012-5.28%2.546-19.94%0.3910✓1.4024.6M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037430.035568-4.98%0.022682-39.40%0.6688✓1.38199k2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.2818.3287-4.93%19.34+0.31%0.1459✓1.2534.3M2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.02142.8793-4.70%2.2579-25.27%0.3821✓0.8722k2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7716.9831-4.43%15.36-13.56%0.2942✓1.2284.3M2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.9167-4.24%3.47-15.16%0.3355✓1.359.9M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.255.0312-4.17%4.177-20.44%0.3885✓1.273.1M2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum41.0539.4254-3.96%46.25+12.67%0.0341✓1.2235.1M2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.180140.173053-3.93%0.16553-8.11%0.2950✓1.5723k2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.4919-3.80%8.094+122.98%0.8063✗0.221.1M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.287.0145-3.65%6.82-6.32%0.0752✓0.301.9M2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01372.9061-3.57%3.1217+3.58%0.0945✓1.042.0M2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.0213.5396-3.43%15.79+12.62%0.0452✗0.68829k2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.32360.313095-3.25%0.2318-28.37%0.5497✓1.574.2M2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 246.2144.7261-3.21%89.72+94.16%0.4353✗1.648.8M2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano1.03591.0028-3.20%0.9643-6.91%0.2189✓1.13113.2M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.034082-3.17%0.0282-19.89%0.4238✓1.47756k2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140980.013657-3.13%0.01249-11.41%0.2785✓1.192.7M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0672.9729-3.07%3.071+0.13%0.0941✓0.80378k2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4141.3745-2.79%1.224-13.44%0.3190✓1.283.5M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.79156.603-2.78%6.7553-0.53%0.1254✓0.934.1M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.329.0621-2.77%10.14+8.80%0.0067✓0.75744k2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44440.432381-2.70%0.5394+21.38%0.0132✓1.472.0M2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.7525.0581-2.69%30.86+19.84%0.0838✗0.78430k2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393180.135631-2.65%0.133991-3.82%0.1793✓1.057.1M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7895.6377-2.61%5.771-0.31%0.1348✓0.99320k2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.5873.4941-2.59%5.9499+65.87%0.5357✗-0.02323k2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.84830.826618-2.56%1.7018+100.61%0.4802✗1.52106k2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0660.064323-2.54%0.0729+10.45%0.0537✓1.1221k2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.453.3647-2.47%4.227+22.52%0.0298✗1.252.5M2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7881.7439-2.47%1.607-10.12%0.2887✓1.301.5M2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013260.012938-2.43%0.01223-7.77%0.2011✓0.9117k2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero148.16144.5666-2.43%177.8+20.01%0.0454✗1.012.0M2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0519.572-2.38%22.02+9.83%0.1317✓1.57687k2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.10240.10004-2.30%0.1097+7.13%0.0757✓1.0540k2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1953990.190928-2.29%0.198927+1.81%0.1244✓1.0426.2M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.833040.814346-2.24%0.75556-9.30%0.3470✓1.71534k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.132.0837-2.18%1.328-37.65%0.6951✓1.544.2M2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.94470.924322-2.16%0.8569-9.29%0.2614✓1.1734.5M2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.25710.251587-2.14%0.3058+18.94%0.0142✓1.14557k2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6932.6355-2.14%3.193+18.57%0.0521✓1.53986k2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.93750.91755-2.13%1.0352+10.42%0.1205✓1.522.0M2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.925.7945-2.12%9.447+59.58%0.3178✗1.072.3M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088180.086312-2.12%0.09224+4.60%0.1247✓1.2046k2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.24571-2.11%0.242-3.59%0.1689✓0.9761k2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1383.0727-2.08%3.203+2.07%0.0965✓0.87840k2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6257-2.07%1.522-8.31%0.2700✓1.282.1M2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81420.797665-2.03%0.8-1.74%0.1725✓1.1017.8M2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8419.4374-2.03%20.98+5.75%0.1129✓1.1912.6M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4960.48596-2.02%0.479-3.43%0.2594✓1.545.0M2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase75.091873.5878-2.00%66.4156-11.55%0.2986✓1.23410k2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.27813.2172-1.86%3.4918+6.52%0.1352✓1.362.5M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.572.5227-1.84%1.582-38.44%0.7119✓1.542.2M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.3488.6775-1.84%87.68-2.94%0.1623✓0.951.6M2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.0286-1.81%6.51+6.03%0.0582✓0.85529k2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.119762-1.75%0.1048-14.03%0.3729✓1.501.8M2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.83434.7537-1.67%4.2804-11.46%0.3011✓1.23430k2022-03-01
DASHDashDash92.7791.2557-1.63%100.01+7.80%0.0971✓1.192.9M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum5.98845.8908-1.63%6.7053+11.97%0.1000✓1.44204k2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0784.0122-1.61%4.502+10.40%0.0100✓0.79381k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009710.009554-1.61%0.01146+18.02%0.0217✓1.282.1M2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.272.2336-1.60%2.18-3.96%0.2129✓1.18602k2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,655.6037,054.55-1.60%44,139.10+17.22%0.0136✓1.0147k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.9224.5349-1.55%30.35+21.79%0.0409✗1.083.3M2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45190.444925-1.54%0.3996-11.57%0.3273✓1.382.2M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.871-1.52%1.99+4.74%0.1572✓1.372.8M2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.07761.0615-1.49%1.3652+26.69%0.0469✗1.292.4M2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,901.3537,361.40-1.42%44,439.95+17.25%0.0143✓1.00682.8M2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.166.0733-1.41%8.27+34.25%0.1841✗0.78481k2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4861.4655-1.38%1.617+8.82%0.0905✓1.191.6M2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07970.078623-1.35%0.0743-6.78%0.2532✓1.24317k2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.56411.5437-1.30%1.9861+26.99%0.0747✗1.1182k2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative17.40717.1832-1.29%20.746+19.18%0.0528✓1.5210.6M2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000075240.000074276-1.28%0.00007896+4.94%0.1171✓1.125.8M2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061119-1.26%0.0786+26.98%0.0243✗1.43564k2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11530.113889-1.22%0.1362+18.13%0.0304✓1.323.8M2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.51230.506284-1.17%0.7582+48.00%0.1869✗1.362.6M2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.2432.2174-1.14%2.396+6.82%0.0951✓1.0823k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.482.4525-1.11%2.46-0.81%0.1594✓1.02789k2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09593.0617-1.10%3.0922-0.12%0.1651✓1.103.3M2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.50782.4802-1.10%2.8371+13.13%0.0155✓0.942.6M2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2926.0314-0.98%27.26+3.69%0.2216✓1.682.6M2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.17810.176367-0.97%0.1523-14.49%0.2539✓0.67500k2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.079041-0.94%0.07633-4.34%0.1601✓0.7976k2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase40.2239.8497-0.92%39.34-2.19%0.2664✓1.59639k2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,602.892,579.24-0.91%2,977.72+14.40%0.0332✓1.11557.7M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009840.009756-0.85%0.00979-0.51%0.1647✓1.06588k2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029620.029369-0.85%0.02885-2.60%0.1665✓0.938.7M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040350.04001-0.84%0.04187+3.77%0.1350✓1.1329k2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.63466-0.83%0.78+21.88%0.0909✓1.871.2M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.925.8716-0.82%4.86-17.91%0.3428✓0.97953k2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum149.01148.0003-0.68%143.34-3.81%0.2491✓1.3612.7M2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.047090.046789-0.64%0.01656-64.83%1.2526✓1.349.2M2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1016.0632-0.62%5.445-10.75%0.2404✓0.83119k2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.9867.5765-0.59%86.96+27.92%0.0396✗1.3483.8M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.453.1054-0.55%57.19+7.10%0.1110✓1.167.8M2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.2528-0.52%5.52+4.55%0.0660✓0.73429k2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.095.0657-0.48%5.12+0.59%0.1475✓0.991.0M2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase2.23012.2204-0.43%1.9211-13.85%0.3424✓1.24888k2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.0586920.058454-0.41%0.062179+5.94%0.0893✓0.95431k2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration163.11162.4721-0.39%138.55-15.06%0.3510✓1.201.2M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash93.0292.7018-0.34%119.02+27.95%0.0379✗1.336.6M2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.2314.1819-0.34%14.09-0.98%0.1643✓0.99847k2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2337.2098-0.32%6.823-5.67%0.0955✓0.2539k2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.18160.181125-0.26%0.1954+7.60%0.1409✓1.363.8M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.312184-0.26%0.318+1.60%0.2024✓1.391.6M2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0388870.038788-0.25%0.049485+27.25%0.0477✗1.239.4M2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.1581.1557-0.20%1.0846-6.34%0.2239✓1.01369k2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum117.46117.2492-0.18%125.94+7.22%0.1318✓1.2866k2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23980.239412-0.16%0.2576+7.42%0.1248✓1.241.9M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1918.1632-0.15%18.9+3.90%0.1799✓1.3848.0M2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5533130.552507-0.15%0.573577+3.66%0.1574✓1.223.4M2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021090.00002107-0.10%0.00002713+28.64%0.0280✗1.411.6M2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.142.1385-0.07%1.29-39.72%0.7539✓1.562.4M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39970.399807+0.03%0.3753-6.10%0.2679✗1.2910.0M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00740.007405+0.07%0.00471-36.35%0.8288✗2.3622.6M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum1.00171.0026+0.09%0.8359-16.55%0.4945✗1.96984k2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210080.021028+0.10%0.02045-2.66%0.2083✗1.133.1M2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59440.595129+0.12%0.5253-11.63%0.3691✗1.531.3M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05950.059579+0.13%0.04868-18.18%0.4345✗1.461.7M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.376.3792+0.14%6.72+5.49%0.0164✓0.221.2M2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12510.125285+0.15%0.1615+29.10%0.1019✓0.96285k2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.119.1421+0.22%15.26-20.10%0.5198✗1.843.9M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8970.899153+0.24%0.89-0.78%0.2300✗1.382.3M2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum94.7795.0883+0.34%119.35+25.94%0.0619✓1.047.3M2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.009970.010026+0.56%0.01044+4.71%0.1718✗1.331.6M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.810.8626+0.58%10.34-4.26%0.2620✗1.3412.2M2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7320.737464+0.75%0.697-4.78%0.2322✗1.101.7M2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.810.817778+0.96%1.245+53.70%0.1797✓1.51511k2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.59109.8462+1.16%112.65+3.74%0.1874✗1.3433.8M2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana93.3194.795+1.59%98.7+5.78%0.1494✗1.19152.8M2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.04297.1678+2.46%328.78+13.36%0.0652✗1.046.8M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.798.1404+4.50%9.35+20.03%0.0706✗1.312.8M2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.