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2022-01-29 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1463
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.2%
in alpha space · 52.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1735.5514-10.07%2.664-56.84%0.8573✓1.001.4M2022-02-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09070.081972-9.62%0.0703-22.49%0.4614✓2.5023.2M2022-02-28
PROPropyEthereum2.312.1031-8.96%1.84-20.35%0.2567✓1.003.5M2022-02-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29361.1814-8.67%0.7584-41.37%0.5663✓1.003.4M2022-02-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.60220.551567-8.41%0.3657-39.27%0.6414✓1.8748.9M2022-02-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,297.6522,431.97-7.68%21,589.29-11.15%0.1518✓0.9219.5M2022-02-28
STXStacksnative1.511.4056-6.92%1.25-17.22%0.2404✓1.002.3M2022-02-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72841.6142-6.61%2.4391+41.12%0.3187✗0.762.8M2022-02-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.120.112335-6.39%0.132+10.00%0.0382✓1.00155k2022-02-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56930.533954-6.21%0.5607-1.51%0.0955✓1.172.1M2022-02-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.055250.051854-6.15%0.03503-36.60%0.5153✓1.006.4M2022-02-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.045150.042387-6.12%0.022655-49.82%0.7953✓1.37266k2022-02-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.127.442-5.70%31.38+7.84%0.0041✓1.12130.3M2022-02-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1819.1669-5.02%20.13-0.25%0.1051✓1.2534.3M2022-02-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.06312.9145-4.85%2.1929-28.41%0.3919✓0.8721k2022-02-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.1461-4.70%4.154-23.07%0.3706✓1.273.1M2022-02-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.992.8508-4.66%2.442-18.33%0.3273✓1.4025.0M2022-02-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186770.17828-4.55%0.16639-10.91%0.2627✓1.5723k2022-02-28
SUSHISushiEthereum4.194.0053-4.41%3.54-15.51%0.2890✓1.3410.7M2022-02-28
API3Api3Ethereum3.693.538-4.12%7.529+104.04%0.7287✗0.22837k2022-02-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.7340.0324-4.07%45.95+10.11%0.0119✓1.2235.1M2022-02-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.0742-3.75%6.79-7.62%0.0773✓0.291.9M2022-02-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.98242.8741-3.63%3.1196+4.60%0.0465✓1.041.9M2022-02-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2415.7007-3.32%15.14-6.77%0.1864✓1.2281.3M2022-02-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1285.9265-3.29%5.875-4.13%0.1307✓0.99320k2022-02-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90370.875152-3.16%1.6754+85.39%0.4626✗1.52107k2022-02-28
LUNATerraTerra 250.9349.3262-3.15%91.38+79.42%0.4157✗1.638.8M2022-02-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.362.2866-3.11%1.352-42.71%0.7145✓1.544.2M2022-02-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.310.300368-3.11%0.2321-25.13%0.4506✓1.574.2M2022-02-28
ADACardanoCardano1.06031.0275-3.10%0.964-9.08%0.2027✓1.13113.2M2022-02-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03620.035099-3.04%0.029-19.89%0.3721✓1.47836k2022-02-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0092.9185-3.01%3.115+3.52%0.0328✓0.80397k2022-02-28
GTGateEthereum6.77366.5852-2.78%6.71-0.94%0.0958✓0.934.2M2022-02-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2425.5142-2.77%30.9+17.76%0.0953✗0.78430k2022-02-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.49880.485133-2.74%0.504+1.04%0.1430✓1.472.1M2022-02-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.178.9214-2.71%10.15+10.69%0.0369✗0.75709k2022-02-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.26710.259983-2.66%0.2945+10.26%0.0152✓1.14604k2022-02-28
BANDBandEthereum3.513.4196-2.57%3.934+12.08%0.0133✓1.252.5M2022-02-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3641.3289-2.57%1.164-14.66%0.2895✓1.283.6M2022-02-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145180.014152-2.52%0.012148-16.32%0.2990✓1.192.7M2022-02-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1431690.139564-2.52%0.133451-6.79%0.1740✓1.057.1M2022-02-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013470.013133-2.51%0.01231-8.61%0.1766✓0.9121k2022-02-28
XEMNEMnative0.10470.102104-2.48%0.1081+3.25%0.0727✓1.0543k2022-02-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06530.063717-2.42%0.0695+6.43%0.0515✓1.1221k2022-02-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7581.7157-2.41%1.566-10.92%0.2514✓1.301.5M2022-02-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2034910.198617-2.40%0.197675-2.86%0.1326✓1.0426.2M2022-02-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2583.1802-2.39%3.233-0.77%0.0902✓0.87884k2022-02-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.96930.946326-2.37%0.8684-10.41%0.2294✓1.1736.8M2022-02-28
XMRMoneroMonero153.67150.0361-2.36%170.31+10.83%0.0019✓1.012.1M2022-02-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.847870.827889-2.36%0.74117-12.58%0.3209✓1.71610k2022-02-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1512.8413-2.35%16.18+23.04%0.1470✗0.68801k2022-02-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6672.606-2.29%3.317+24.37%0.0525✗1.53986k2022-02-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.721.6816-2.23%1.505-12.50%0.2687✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089790.087785-2.23%0.09213+2.61%0.0991✓1.2046k2022-02-28
HIVEHivenative0.9520.930803-2.23%0.9803+2.97%0.1347✓1.522.1M2022-02-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48783.4109-2.21%5.9258+69.90%0.5549✗-0.02350k2022-02-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7320.2749-2.20%21.16+2.07%0.1501✓1.57775k2022-02-28
IMXImmutableEthereum2.832.769-2.16%1.564-44.73%0.7602✓1.542.2M2022-02-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.2919.8578-2.13%21.72+7.05%0.0567✓1.1913.0M2022-02-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.245828-2.06%0.236-5.98%0.1595✓0.9667k2022-02-28
DODODODOEthereum0.5080.49754-2.06%0.461-9.25%0.2657✓1.545.2M2022-02-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83020.81343-2.02%0.7967-4.04%0.1564✓1.1018.7M2022-02-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.790.8581-1.99%88.67-4.35%0.1411✓0.951.7M2022-02-28
UMAUMAEthereum6.085.9612-1.95%7.228+18.88%0.0607✗1.072.3M2022-02-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010198-1.94%0.01099+5.67%0.0826✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46370.455218-1.83%0.3943-14.97%0.3136✓1.382.3M2022-02-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,181.6037,489.46-1.81%43,136.20+12.98%0.0155✓1.0153k2022-02-28
DASHDashDash96.5594.8007-1.81%100.51+4.10%0.0874✓1.193.0M2022-02-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.085.9723-1.77%6.6+8.55%0.0045✓0.85503k2022-02-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.8514.7656-1.76%4.2345-12.71%0.2697✓1.23430k2022-02-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0423.9724-1.72%4.565+12.94%0.0422✗0.79367k2022-02-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.312.2711-1.69%2.21-4.33%0.1730✓1.18602k2022-02-28
MOVRMoonriverBase79.312478.0067-1.65%67.763-14.56%0.2922✓1.23410k2022-02-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.60811.5828-1.58%1.7163+6.72%0.0561✓1.1182k2022-02-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.3424.9412-1.57%30.53+20.48%0.0694✗1.083.3M2022-02-28
QTUMQtumQtum5.96165.8688-1.56%6.4925+8.91%0.0764✓1.44221k2022-02-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06360.062617-1.55%0.078+22.64%0.0441✗1.43577k2022-02-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08170.080472-1.50%0.073-10.65%0.2495✓1.24317k2022-02-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.921.8915-1.48%1.86-3.12%0.1860✓1.372.8M2022-02-28
XTZTezosTezos3.09153.0465-1.46%3.5483+14.78%0.0157✓1.372.5M2022-02-28
XECeCashnative0.000076920.000075815-1.44%0.00007869+2.30%0.1006✓1.125.8M2022-02-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4931.4719-1.42%1.571+5.22%0.0809✓1.191.6M2022-02-28
KCSKuCoinnative17.54217.2958-1.40%20.677+17.87%0.0079✓1.5210.7M2022-02-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,191.1037,670.07-1.36%43,192.66+13.10%0.0137✗1.00717.4M2022-02-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.04791.0338-1.35%1.3278+26.71%0.0918✗1.292.4M2022-02-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1210.119401-1.32%0.1303+7.69%0.0743✓1.313.8M2022-02-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.2452.2166-1.26%2.477+10.33%0.0224✓1.0823k2022-02-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.15733.1185-1.23%3.1104-1.49%0.1378✓1.103.4M2022-02-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0926.7662-1.20%26.36-2.69%0.2224✓1.682.7M2022-02-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.935.8594-1.19%7.55+27.32%0.1570✗0.78470k2022-02-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52510.518906-1.18%0.5696+8.47%0.0745✓1.362.6M2022-02-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.050520.049926-1.18%0.01796-64.45%1.1871✓1.349.2M2022-02-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.9571.1085-1.17%84.59+17.57%0.0094✓1.3385.3M2022-02-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040890.040412-1.17%0.04194+2.57%0.1024✓1.1330k2022-02-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.108825-1.07%0.0857-22.09%0.4243✓1.511.8M2022-02-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.653134-1.04%0.75+13.64%0.0914✓1.871.2M2022-02-28
SCSiacoinnative0.010150.01005-0.98%0.00968-4.63%0.1676✓1.06593k2022-02-28
ZENHorizenBase41.6441.2476-0.94%37.91-8.96%0.2804✓1.59639k2022-02-28
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.2899-0.94%4.85-9.18%0.2088✓0.99978k2022-02-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.16.0429-0.94%4.86-20.33%0.3365✓0.96953k2022-02-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.422.3993-0.85%2.44+0.83%0.1089✓1.02794k2022-02-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,603.742,581.76-0.84%2,923.08+12.26%0.0126✓1.11560.6M2022-02-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.030350.0301-0.82%0.02937-3.23%0.1395✓0.938.7M2022-02-28
AAVEAaveEthereum154.04152.7831-0.82%145.83-5.33%0.2143✓1.3612.7M2022-02-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.3722.3533-0.79%2.8507+20.18%0.0757✗0.942.8M2022-02-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.342.3235-0.71%1.36-41.88%0.7270✓1.562.4M2022-02-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3330.330848-0.65%0.308-7.51%0.2421✓1.391.7M2022-02-28
COMPCompoundEthereum123.06122.2653-0.65%120.75-1.88%0.1695✓1.2868k2022-02-28
KSMKusamaHydration171.16170.0912-0.62%130.28-23.88%0.4146✓1.201.3M2022-02-28
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3247.2835-0.55%6.75-7.84%0.1071✓0.2538k2022-02-28
ZECZcashZcash96.3995.8686-0.54%118.68+23.12%0.0496✗1.337.0M2022-02-28
TRXTRONTron0.0603410.060022-0.53%0.061786+2.39%0.0878✓0.95460k2022-02-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0015.9722-0.48%5.63-6.18%0.1617✓0.83125k2022-02-28
XYMSymbolnative0.17390.173081-0.47%0.1531-11.96%0.2056✓0.67536k2022-02-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.18440.183587-0.44%0.1925+4.39%0.1201✓1.363.9M2022-02-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.165.138-0.43%5.51+6.78%0.0196✓0.73413k2022-02-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.6803-0.37%18.95+1.07%0.1552✓1.3850.2M2022-02-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021660.000021589-0.33%0.00002579+19.07%0.0040✗1.411.7M2022-02-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220290.021972-0.26%0.0214-2.86%0.1657✓1.133.2M2022-02-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5654340.563997-0.25%0.575051+1.70%0.1311✓1.223.7M2022-02-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.063960.063833-0.20%0.04871-23.84%0.4498✓1.461.7M2022-02-28
NANOnanopayBase2.33622.332-0.18%1.9381-17.04%0.3378✓1.24888k2022-02-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.656.639-0.17%6.6-0.75%0.0333✓0.221.2M2022-02-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.1541.1525-0.13%1.0426-9.65%0.2244✓1.01376k2022-02-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41040.409899-0.12%0.3772-8.09%0.2414✓1.2910.2M2022-02-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0399990.039954-0.11%0.049264+23.16%0.0582✗1.2310.1M2022-02-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.1214.1082-0.08%14.2+0.57%0.1156✓0.99886k2022-02-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.5849.5467-0.07%54.42+9.76%0.0496✓1.177.5M2022-02-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24250.242388-0.05%0.2454+1.20%0.1406✓1.241.9M2022-02-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0720.075+0.02%15.37-23.42%0.4937✗1.843.9M2022-02-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007230.007232+0.03%0.00439-39.28%0.7905✗2.3722.6M2022-02-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07270.072733+0.05%0.07201-0.95%0.1071✗0.7967k2022-02-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9240.924984+0.11%0.877-5.09%0.2232✗1.382.4M2022-02-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59680.597553+0.13%0.5007-16.10%0.3658✗1.541.3M2022-02-28
QNTQuantEthereum97.5197.6706+0.16%115.74+18.70%0.0419✓1.047.3M2022-02-28
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1611.1881+0.25%10.53-5.65%0.2250✗1.3412.5M2022-02-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96840.973048+0.48%0.823-15.01%0.4085✗1.961.1M2022-02-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.850.854396+0.52%1.236+45.41%0.1833✓1.51523k2022-02-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12050.121247+0.62%0.1612+33.78%0.1671✓0.96312k2022-02-28
XVGVergenative0.010020.010086+0.66%0.01037+3.49%0.1364✗1.331.6M2022-02-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.73638+0.74%0.697-4.65%0.1909✗1.101.8M2022-02-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.84112.0356+1.08%113.82+2.69%0.1485✗1.3433.8M2022-02-28
SOLSolanaSolana96.2597.6749+1.48%99.74+3.63%0.1258✗1.19164.2M2022-02-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.03305.9318+2.31%339.27+13.46%0.0251✗1.047.6M2022-02-28
XVSVenusEthereum8.228.5677+4.23%9.33+13.50%0.0764✗1.312.8M2022-02-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.