8=======>

2022-06-09 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 171 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0558
171 of 171 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.7%
in alpha space · 73.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (171 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000075060.000070798-5.68%0.000058-22.73%1.1456✗3.452.4M2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8122.702-3.91%1.699-39.58%0.2400✗1.81108k2022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.45041.3951-3.81%0.91995-36.57%0.1221✓0.764,7612022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.684890.659532-3.70%0.49666-27.48%0.5901✗2.243.0M2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.6489-3.43%3.6-25.22%0.0376✗0.756.4M2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3331.293-3.00%0.822-38.33%0.4269✗2.264.0M2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9920.962453-2.98%0.593-40.22%0.3999✗2.272.1M2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.854.7097-2.89%3.57-26.39%0.0273✓0.781.9M2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2670.25979-2.70%0.212-20.60%0.5811✗2.011.3M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0960.093461-2.64%0.0558-41.88%0.0201✓1.27396k2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6853.5908-2.56%2.909-21.06%0.0485✗0.663.4M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.067.8577-2.51%6.05-24.94%0.0186✓0.621.9M2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.33182.2753-2.42%1.7294-25.83%0.1457✗1.083.6M2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9061.8603-2.40%1.31-31.27%0.2909✗1.655.0M2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.314.2073-2.38%3.11-27.84%0.0661✗0.951.5M2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9221.8768-2.35%1.23-36.00%0.3281✗1.93291k2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8437-2.30%3.078-21.76%0.1076✗0.852.1M2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89641.8547-2.20%1.3599-28.29%0.2161✗1.352.2M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.681.6442-2.13%1.47-12.50%0.2653✗0.97153k2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2161.1903-2.11%0.667-45.15%0.1580✓1.081.1M2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.059960.058725-2.06%0.04577-23.67%0.2058✗1.1716k2022-06-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070830.069406-2.01%0.06111-13.72%0.2624✗1.001,4072022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5550.543975-1.99%0.381-31.35%0.3482✗1.814,8372022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7175.6048-1.96%3.372-41.02%0.3577✗2.2218.8M2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.47187-1.90%0.324-32.64%0.1332✗1.3116k2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.393460.386041-1.89%0.27575-29.92%0.2758✗1.5717k2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum10.981442-1.86%0.86-14.00%0.1733✗0.78186k2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.27421.2506-1.85%0.84123-33.98%0.0865✗1.246,7502022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.18020.177049-1.75%0.1219-32.35%0.2963✗1.722.9M2022-06-16
FLOWFlownative2.3862.3445-1.74%1.391-41.70%0.1324✓1.00608k2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3927730.385951-1.74%0.261084-33.53%0.2101✗1.542.3M2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065980.064865-1.69%0.04718-28.49%0.5229✗2.162.2M2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02420.023808-1.62%0.01773-26.74%0.0430✓0.65608k2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17310.170335-1.60%0.1237-28.54%0.0751✗1.01278k2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0694.0044-1.59%2.845-30.08%0.0381✗0.971.8M2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.31077-1.56%0.2314-26.70%0.3024✗1.5331k2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.1383.0895-1.55%2.2619-27.92%0.5223✗2.1415k2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59552.5566-1.50%2.1202-18.31%0.2491✗1.123.6M2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.896876-1.44%0.62-31.87%0.3210✗1.77232k2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011670.011503-1.43%0.00889-23.82%0.3967✗1.6814.5M2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.914.8399-1.43%3.86-21.38%0.1165✗0.881.1M2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05980.058952-1.42%0.043-28.09%0.4178✗1.8830k2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25710.25348-1.41%0.1854-27.89%0.2736✗1.50585k2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9830.970087-1.31%0.685-30.32%0.4157✗1.962.7M2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011860.001171-1.27%0.000783-33.98%0.2688✗1.721.8M2022-06-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2931.2767-1.26%0.833-35.58%0.0373✓1.001.3M2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.65.535-1.16%4.04-27.86%0.0136✗0.841.7M2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum2.0131.9897-1.16%1.348-33.04%0.2981✗1.76342k2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.05349-1.13%0.0345-36.23%0.1441✗1.50443k2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08210.081182-1.12%0.052-36.66%0.0647✗1.31159k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6942.6643-1.10%1.743-35.30%0.3741✗2.053.0M2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.148-1.01%1.52-29.95%0.1659✗1.31268k2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0807680.079952-1.01%0.058994-26.96%0.0536✗0.92715k2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.052805-0.93%0.03838-27.99%0.1054✗1.094,6802022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.6111.5961-0.93%1.284-20.30%0.4639✗1.75826k2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.63210.626601-0.87%0.4756-24.76%0.3652✗1.6449.8M2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.009730.009645-0.87%0.00623-35.97%0.0064✓1.142,4432022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0277020.027471-0.83%0.018988-31.46%0.0985✗1.2011k2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.5111.4168-0.81%8.02-30.32%0.4399✗2.042.9M2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum76.9449-0.79%4.34-38.00%0.1454✗1.58427k2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14790.14674-0.78%0.1134-23.33%0.4208✗1.743.5M2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10210.1013-0.78%0.0817-19.98%0.5367✗1.93445k2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.73212.7108-0.78%1.7941-34.33%0.1657✗1.4868k2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.8912.7909-0.77%10.81-16.14%0.6369✗2.07252k2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004670.004635-0.75%0.003262-30.15%0.1655✗1.335,7382022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.99e-74.95e-7-0.74%3.34e-7-33.08%0.0131✓0.98877k2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86455.4593-0.72%50.901-8.88%0.3256✗1.061.1M2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0564870.056084-0.71%0.0501-11.31%0.2107✗0.8374k2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum3.9093.8812-0.71%2.6461-32.31%0.1331✗1.3239k2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4804-0.64%0.96-35.57%0.2566✗1.771.3M2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42725.3923-0.64%5.0538-6.88%0.0626✗0.33265k2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29650.294605-0.64%0.2052-30.79%0.1574✗1.33105k2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos2.2232.2104-0.57%1.355-39.05%0.0489✗1.38928k2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159690.015878-0.57%0.014896-6.72%0.2440✗0.79268k2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8010.796561-0.55%0.574-28.34%0.1459✗1.22372k2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.321.3136-0.49%0.6-54.55%0.3324✓1.1671k2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40410.402172-0.48%0.3018-25.32%0.2723✗1.4414.6M2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.611.5464-0.46%7.91-31.81%0.0426✗1.08289k2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0792810.078945-0.42%0.055166-30.42%0.1425✗1.291.5M2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.845407-0.42%0.785-7.54%0.4140✗1.251.9M2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392760.391242-0.39%0.32127-18.20%0.3756✗1.47111k2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.723.7061-0.37%2.57-30.91%0.0671✗1.11686k2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.269.2264-0.36%6.352-31.40%0.2194✗1.5232.1M2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18170.181042-0.36%0.124-31.76%0.2388✗1.58183k2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15440.153845-0.36%0.085-44.95%0.0884✗1.753,4822022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29750.296511-0.33%0.158-46.89%0.1007✓1.36268k2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12780.127389-0.32%0.0928-27.39%0.2110✗1.35842k2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum5.49955.4821-0.32%3.9508-28.16%0.0957✓0.593.4M2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.34971.3456-0.31%0.954432-29.29%0.1675✗1.3149k2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.22620.225507-0.31%0.1448-35.99%0.1714✗1.58696k2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.163.1503-0.31%2.29-27.53%0.4934✗2.08294k2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020543-0.28%0.02059-0.05%0.9851✗2.5238.7M2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12530.124952-0.28%0.1049-16.28%0.3323✗1.309,7902022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.672284-0.25%0.5-25.82%0.4006✗1.79886k2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.07663.0693-0.24%2.3926-22.23%0.3296✗1.483.8M2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190430.189991-0.23%0.12518-34.26%0.3143✗1.88276k2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971280.969362-0.20%0.80833-16.78%0.5486✗1.87838k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80.798528-0.18%0.48-40.00%0.0407✓1.2070k2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.068847-0.18%0.04558-33.91%0.1088✗1.3463k2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9862.9807-0.18%2.64-11.59%0.4444✗1.451.3M2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7211.718-0.17%1.105-35.79%0.2313✗1.7376k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash92.1191.9512-0.17%58.94-36.01%0.1114✗1.434.0M2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08950.089368-0.15%0.0581-35.08%0.1566✓0.70313k2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0273.0227-0.14%2.344-22.56%0.1748✗1.1072k2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62160.620754-0.14%0.6143-1.17%0.5659✗1.482.9M2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase1.16511.1636-0.12%0.798118-31.50%0.1608✗1.38144k2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative15.98915.9699-0.12%11.087-30.66%0.0566✗1.086.5M2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51150.510962-0.11%0.362-29.23%0.3550✗1.80159k2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.511060.510523-0.11%0.37966-25.71%0.0350✓0.67240k2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07340.073324-0.10%0.0526-28.34%0.3785✗1.821.7M2022-06-16
DASHDashDash57.6657.6003-0.10%41.86-27.40%0.1986✗1.33862k2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0619.0418-0.10%13.48-29.28%0.3323✗1.7472k2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,087.8030,059.15-0.10%20,300.70-32.53%0.0126✓0.9752k2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.11950.119399-0.08%0.0922-22.85%0.3284✗1.51913k2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.07590.07585-0.07%0.0552-27.27%0.4923✗2.08142k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038176-0.06%0.0275-28.01%0.3223✗1.67269k2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6220.621625-0.06%0.425-31.67%0.2824✗1.70123k2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.011120.011113-0.06%0.00877-21.13%0.2281✗1.191.5M2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008720.008715-0.06%0.00641-26.49%0.1548✗1.19698k2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000051540.00005152-0.04%0.00003702-28.17%0.2775✗1.563.3M2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15580.155762-0.02%0.1016-34.79%0.1880✗1.5855k2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero185.9185.8628-0.02%106.33-42.80%0.1114✓1.152.1M2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1398290.139812-0.01%0.10905-22.01%0.2198✗1.2010.7M2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004210.00421-0.01%0.002801-33.47%0.0794✗1.252.1M2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28180.281796-0.00%0.1959-30.48%0.2160✗1.49330k2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum63.1263.1317+0.02%44.42-29.63%0.1247✓1.222.1M2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8290.829193+0.02%0.593-28.47%0.3782✓1.83604k2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.1421.1481+0.04%13.82-34.63%0.1093✓1.372.7M2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.0498610.049886+0.05%0.038032-23.72%0.3540✓1.6045k2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.13130.131365+0.05%0.0869-33.82%0.2767✓1.771.2M2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.004320.004323+0.06%0.00286-33.80%0.2319✓1.66705k2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8214+0.08%1.27-30.22%0.4108✓1.98603k2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.994.9951+0.10%4.05-18.84%0.5755✓2.021.6M2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037780.037821+0.11%0.02555-32.37%0.2173✓1.5618k2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.53780.538434+0.12%0.3286-38.90%0.0496✓1.39165k2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8612.865+0.14%1.978-30.86%0.3123✓1.75227k2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34630.346801+0.14%0.2551-26.34%0.2687✓1.486.3M2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0147860.01481+0.16%0.011964-19.09%0.2687✓1.242.1M2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.54430.545255+0.18%0.345-36.62%0.1227✓1.491.6M2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4550.455817+0.18%0.278-38.90%0.2561✓1.93627k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.373340.374024+0.18%0.24344-34.79%0.1628✓1.52493k2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,787.551,790.87+0.19%1,066.87-40.32%0.0862✗1.11340.5M2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14770.147982+0.19%0.0973-34.12%0.2734✓1.786.0M2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3819.4204+0.21%13.61-29.77%0.3153✓1.722.6M2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.2247.24+0.22%5.302-26.61%0.3113✓1.602.6M2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum28.5428.6039+0.22%23.28-18.43%0.1866✓1.019.6M2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum55.3955.5146+0.23%30.16-45.55%0.0052✓1.5829k2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash175.48175.8873+0.23%109.37-37.67%0.0224✓1.284.5M2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2691.2721+0.24%0.807-36.41%0.3710✓2.12369k2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,079.6230,155.34+0.25%20,372.00-32.27%0.0025✗1.00602.3M2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005364+0.26%0.00341-36.26%0.2334✓1.76239k2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010560.000010588+0.27%0.00000795-24.72%0.2945✓1.49861k2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027140.027214+0.27%0.01905-29.81%0.0628✓1.08156k2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1461.1494+0.29%0.664-42.06%0.0151✓1.455.2M2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001050.000001053+0.31%7.60e-7-27.62%0.0308✓0.926.4M2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3996.4206+0.34%5.311-17.00%0.5088✓1.7910.9M2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase20.157820.2287+0.35%12.9736-35.64%0.1804✓1.60229k2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008510.00854+0.35%0.006722-21.01%0.1099✓0.90184k2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2289.2634+0.38%7.11-22.95%0.3459✓1.5713.5M2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3560.357445+0.41%0.253-28.93%0.1467✓1.26932k2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana39.9340.0959+0.42%30.1-24.62%0.3485✓1.63112.7M2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration66.3966.6765+0.43%49.2-25.89%0.2201✓1.341.1M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1760.4329+0.44%44.74-25.64%0.2217✓1.3417.9M2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.1277+0.48%7.13-40.93%0.0326✗1.28536k2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1995.224+0.48%3.829-26.35%0.2747✓1.502.6M2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.560830.563663+0.51%0.42782-23.72%0.3902✓1.7163k2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum95.7296.2036+0.51%56.51-40.96%0.1924✓1.868.2M2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.4124.5635+0.63%15.77-35.40%0.2236✓1.7152.5M2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7768.8325+0.64%6.329-27.88%0.2703✓1.5515.2M2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,472.657,539.04+0.89%4,598.44-38.46%0.0164✓1.313.8M2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17170.173566+1.09%0.1494-12.99%0.4790✓1.612,3482022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.