8=======>

2022-05-18 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2757
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.5%
in alpha space · 76.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000150.000122995-18.00%0.00019+26.67%0.3576✗2.717.8M2022-05-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4494.2102-5.37%4.696+5.55%0.0904✗0.662.3M2022-05-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.729.2828-4.50%8.16-16.05%0.1469✓0.631.2M2022-05-25
DIADIAEthereum0.740.71628-3.21%0.45862-38.02%0.4650✓0.6770k2022-05-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.232.1722-2.59%2.1481-3.67%0.0476✓1.278.8M2022-05-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6224.5466-1.63%3.812-17.52%0.2052✓1.021.6M2022-05-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.5684-1.42%4.06+12.15%0.1033✗0.90503k2022-05-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3421.3254-1.24%1.391+3.65%0.0078✓1.4214.1M2022-05-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8931.871-1.16%2.5249+33.38%0.2716✗0.984.3M2022-05-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16990.168121-1.05%0.1688-0.65%0.0245✓1.004,6042022-05-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8632.8333-1.04%2.949+3.00%0.0115✗1.00194k2022-05-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.63651.6211-0.94%1.6245-0.73%0.0151✓0.6014k2022-05-25
GMTGMTEthereum1.3841.3713-0.92%1.374-0.72%0.0266✓1.006.3M2022-05-25
STEEMSteemnative0.25150.24927-0.89%0.2579+2.54%0.0055✓1.001.5M2022-05-25
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2961.2852-0.83%1.286-0.77%0.0280✓1.004.3M2022-05-25
PROPropyEthereum1.171.1622-0.67%1.06-9.40%0.1119✓0.69417k2022-05-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.83e-76.79e-7-0.66%6.44e-7-5.72%0.0745✓0.781.4M2022-05-25
TRXTRONTron0.0709770.070548-0.60%0.084706+19.34%0.1602✗0.791.2M2022-05-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173930.017316-0.45%0.01699-2.32%0.0389✓0.70198k2022-05-25
XYMSymbolnative0.06580.065553-0.38%0.0602-8.51%0.1068✓0.76525k2022-05-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.456.4286-0.33%5.92-8.22%0.1057✓0.812.8M2022-05-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08732.0825-0.23%2.5703+23.14%0.1803✗1.062.5M2022-05-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.97534.9668-0.17%4.9103-1.31%0.0180✓0.23294k2022-05-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.014.0075-0.06%4.65+15.96%0.1234✗0.89798k2022-05-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.053113+0.02%0.0529-0.38%0.0399✗1.261.5M2022-05-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.025540.025566+0.10%0.02754+7.83%0.0450✓1.0324k2022-05-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050160.050229+0.14%0.05634+12.32%0.0854✓1.0324k2022-05-25
ZECZcashZcash99.4699.6055+0.15%95.54-3.94%0.0799✗1.345.7M2022-05-25
GTGateEthereum5.49555.5062+0.20%5.5974+1.85%0.0010✓0.545.0M2022-05-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9040.906019+0.22%0.967+6.97%0.0335✓1.11769k2022-05-25
APEApeCoinEthereum7.9697.9881+0.24%7.33-8.02%0.1590✗2.5694.8M2022-05-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08850.088766+0.30%0.0878-0.79%0.0343✗0.82183k2022-05-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.013310.013351+0.31%0.01278-3.98%0.0741✗1.063.2M2022-05-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068616+0.32%0.0693+1.32%0.0186✗1.003.0M2022-05-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011630.011667+0.32%0.01238+6.45%0.0156✓1.5343.5M2022-05-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0084880.008521+0.38%0.009336+9.99%0.0619✓1.0413k2022-05-25
KCSKuCoinnative14.37514.4316+0.39%16.114+12.10%0.0824✓0.985.0M2022-05-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.8119.8957+0.43%23.79+20.09%0.1423✓1.283.9M2022-05-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4810.5274+0.45%12.26+16.98%0.1071✓1.596.4M2022-05-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32580.327289+0.46%0.2923-10.28%0.1508✗1.32463k2022-05-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7470.75051+0.47%0.793+6.16%0.0234✓1.113.2M2022-05-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43280.434872+0.48%0.4053-6.35%0.1057✗1.2315.4M2022-05-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0829840.083398+0.50%0.082855-0.16%0.0390✗1.146.3M2022-05-25
ADACardanoCardano0.50530.507948+0.52%0.5139+1.70%0.0273✗1.3648.2M2022-05-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.972.9859+0.53%4.36+46.80%0.3494✓1.02553k2022-05-25
FTTFTXEthereum29.6429.7988+0.54%29-2.16%0.0548✗0.9712.7M2022-05-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021485+0.54%0.02708+26.72%0.2144✓0.60400k2022-05-25
XMRMoneroMonero155.14156.0209+0.57%204.07+31.54%0.2373✓1.093.2M2022-05-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1275440.128269+0.57%0.132074+3.55%0.0023✓1.1113.1M2022-05-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.0650.3669+0.61%53.342+6.56%0.0294✓0.981.7M2022-05-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03171.0383+0.64%1.0553+2.29%0.0288✗1.581.2M2022-05-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06463.0851+0.67%3.5129+14.63%0.0851✓1.5710.0M2022-05-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.11830.119099+0.68%0.1199+1.35%0.0321✗1.361.1M2022-05-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.25810.259857+0.68%0.2576-0.19%0.0488✗1.40172k2022-05-25
QNTQuantEthereum64.7765.2202+0.69%67.06+3.54%0.0027✓1.073.6M2022-05-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12730.12819+0.70%0.1281+0.63%0.0329✗1.131.2M2022-05-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,911.981,925.42+0.70%1,940.83+1.51%0.0216✗1.04464.2M2022-05-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.543.5655+0.72%3.31-6.50%0.0988✗0.86774k2022-05-25
SOLSolanaSolana49.8750.2349+0.73%47.94-3.87%0.0883✗1.4693.8M2022-05-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.35+0.75%1.34+0.00%0.0390✗1.10138k2022-05-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.679135+0.76%0.649-3.71%0.0899✗1.561.8M2022-05-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.653731+0.78%0.6487+0.00%0.0500✗1.485.9M2022-05-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.16530.166591+0.78%0.1738+5.14%0.0020✓1.41386k2022-05-25
XTZTezosTezos1.6761.6895+0.80%2.1289+27.02%0.1944✓1.291.1M2022-05-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.7713.8829+0.82%13.32-3.27%0.0789✗1.31822k2022-05-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.8431.8582+0.82%2.531+37.33%0.2794✓1.04714k2022-05-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043580.043944+0.83%0.04828+10.78%0.0660✓0.987,7862022-05-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372320.37548+0.85%0.38953+4.62%0.0006✓1.31208k2022-05-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009130.009208+0.86%0.00979+7.23%0.0282✓1.161.3M2022-05-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7633+0.88%2.628+50.34%0.3720✓0.95793k2022-05-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,672.9428,926.43+0.88%29,503.49+2.90%0.0088✓1.00676.2M2022-05-25
COMPCompoundEthereum63.764.2779+0.91%66.82+4.90%0.0017✓1.4228k2022-05-25
DASHDashDash55.5956.1019+0.92%62.12+11.75%0.0675✓1.201.1M2022-05-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.80223.8372+0.92%4.0707+7.06%0.0250✓1.19133k2022-05-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.336370.339498+0.93%0.45588+35.53%0.2465✓1.6926k2022-05-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.337532+0.94%0.3344+0.00%0.0469✗1.329.0M2022-05-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.827765+0.95%0.87+6.10%0.0055✓1.55767k2022-05-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash186.73188.512+0.95%190.03+1.77%0.0255✗1.185.3M2022-05-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.479.5615+0.97%9.87+4.22%0.0069✓1.3513.7M2022-05-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18130.183101+0.99%0.1867+2.98%0.0228✗1.48649k2022-05-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.649492+1.01%0.683+6.22%0.0074✓1.50315k2022-05-25
XVGVergenative0.004810.004859+1.02%0.00508+5.61%0.0039✓1.42949k2022-05-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070270.070996+1.03%0.0708+0.75%0.0327✗1.0518k2022-05-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.497.5686+1.05%7.75+3.47%0.0183✗1.478.0M2022-05-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05780.058415+1.06%0.0612+5.88%0.0121✓1.21407k2022-05-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3352.3602+1.08%2.5303+8.36%0.0337✓1.26145k2022-05-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin65.8766.5868+1.09%68.16+3.48%0.0102✓1.1719.3M2022-05-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011470.000011595+1.09%0.0000116+1.13%0.0378✗1.341.2M2022-05-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.639.7351+1.09%9.44-1.97%0.0750✗1.55154k2022-05-25
CBKCobakEthereum1.0821.0939+1.10%1.245+15.06%0.1003✓1.0220k2022-05-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3712980.375522+1.14%0.419069+12.87%0.0697✓1.406.1M2022-05-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.5921.8384+1.15%20.88-3.29%0.0859✗1.443.4M2022-05-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,786.0029,119.13+1.16%29,838.20+3.66%0.0034✓0.9776k2022-05-25
NANOnanopayBase1.05871.071+1.16%1.0864+2.61%0.0222✗1.28161k2022-05-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150.015177+1.18%0.021686+44.57%0.3251✓1.114.0M2022-05-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11040.111712+1.19%0.1164+5.43%0.0102✓1.80684k2022-05-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027970.028314+1.23%0.02834+1.32%0.0273✗0.99192k2022-05-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4510.456591+1.24%0.6112+35.52%0.2478✓1.54299k2022-05-25
UNIUniswapEthereum4.884.9406+1.24%5.62+15.16%0.0934✓1.243.5M2022-05-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5650.572065+1.25%0.53-6.19%0.1106✗1.2037k2022-05-25
STXStacksnative0.510.516422+1.26%0.59+15.69%0.1001✓1.16296k2022-05-25
XECeCashnative0.000044390.000044969+1.30%0.00004919+10.81%0.0516✓1.336.2M2022-05-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.218826+1.31%0.223+3.24%0.0257✗1.563.2M2022-05-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.249628+1.31%0.2692+9.25%0.0395✓1.26292k2022-05-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.936.0078+1.31%6.35+7.08%0.0156✓1.39717k2022-05-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.13441.1494+1.32%1.277+12.57%0.0736✓1.1191k2022-05-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13030.132026+1.32%0.1473+13.05%0.0621✓1.66109k2022-05-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7312.9025+1.36%12.51-1.73%0.0578✗0.94583k2022-05-25
UMAUMAEthereum3.0493.091+1.38%3.37+10.53%0.0379✓1.702.4M2022-05-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.842.8791+1.38%2.82-0.70%0.0519✗1.09102k2022-05-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2281.2451+1.39%1.233+0.41%0.0518✗1.477.1M2022-05-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.22580.228986+1.41%0.2104-6.82%0.1003✗0.55392k2022-05-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07830.079405+1.41%0.0827+5.62%0.0073✓1.683.4M2022-05-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004110.004168+1.42%0.00442+7.54%0.0304✓0.9919k2022-05-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001106+1.45%0.00000113+3.67%0.0008✓0.797.7M2022-05-25
MOVRMoonriverBase21.817422.1352+1.46%24.0075+10.04%0.0394✓1.47207k2022-05-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.796.889+1.46%6.95+2.36%0.0297✗1.3518.8M2022-05-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004610.004677+1.46%0.00435-5.64%0.1076✗1.231.9M2022-05-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9770.991345+1.47%0.976-0.10%0.0576✗1.47775k2022-05-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.534940.542831+1.48%0.56044+4.77%0.0109✓1.5091k2022-05-25
ZENHorizenBase18.9919.2703+1.48%20.29+6.85%0.0064✓1.58171k2022-05-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0812.1118+1.48%2.078-0.14%0.0623✗1.6299k2022-05-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008980.009114+1.49%0.00903+0.56%0.0323✗0.81195k2022-05-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.345102+1.50%0.394+15.88%0.1012✓1.091.1M2022-05-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6941.7194+1.50%1.67-1.42%0.0744✗1.582.1M2022-05-25
KSMKusamaHydration75.9277.0685+1.51%79.21+4.33%0.0089✓1.271.5M2022-05-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035610.036153+1.52%0.03816+7.16%0.0141✓1.4087k2022-05-25
XEMNEMnative0.05370.054522+1.53%0.0519-3.35%0.0878✗1.3597k2022-05-25
HIVEHivenative0.4720.479329+1.55%0.4895+3.71%0.0161✗1.301.6M2022-05-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.107556+1.56%0.1203+13.60%0.0652✓1.641.7M2022-05-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,070.749,215.06+1.59%8,462.79-6.70%0.1195✗1.203.1M2022-05-25
BANDBandEthereum1.5661.5911+1.60%1.687+7.73%0.0163✓1.48484k2022-05-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.597.7122+1.61%8.17+7.64%0.0214✓1.275.7M2022-05-25
AAVEAaveEthereum81.7683.0777+1.61%101.87+24.60%0.1600✓1.549.0M2022-05-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.07730.078547+1.61%0.08+3.49%0.0309✗1.72215k2022-05-25
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.39+1.62%4.6+6.48%0.0024✓1.552.7M2022-05-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.126626+1.63%0.1393+11.80%0.0492✓1.625.9M2022-05-25
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.921+1.64%3.37+78.31%0.5323✓1.04304k2022-05-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9462.9946+1.65%2.862-2.85%0.0896✗1.55263k2022-05-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.110.2679+1.66%10.73+6.24%0.0023✓1.4620.1M2022-05-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2212.2579+1.66%2.581+16.21%0.0836✓1.7622k2022-05-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.060.061009+1.68%0.067+11.67%0.0596✓1.19102k2022-05-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.139+1.69%1.14+1.79%0.0214✗0.78204k2022-05-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03130.031847+1.75%0.0346+10.54%0.0428✓1.40221k2022-05-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5370.546523+1.77%0.684+27.37%0.1811✓1.5216k2022-05-25
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004968+1.80%0.00535+9.63%0.0302✓1.54378k2022-05-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.492.5354+1.83%2.551+2.45%0.0441✗1.766.7M2022-05-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9131.9484+1.85%2.13+11.34%0.0326✓1.98863k2022-05-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.189135+1.85%0.1942+4.58%0.0048✓1.092,5552022-05-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.120798+1.85%0.1355+14.25%0.0854✓1.0319k2022-05-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.5730.1256+1.88%27.21-7.98%0.1447✗1.5046.9M2022-05-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8010.816598+1.95%0.934+16.60%0.0895✓1.577.0M2022-05-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1051.1269+1.98%1.299+17.56%0.0917✓1.77582k2022-05-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15710.160244+2.00%0.1511-3.82%0.1029✗1.558.9M2022-05-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07020.071607+2.00%0.106+51.00%0.3409✓1.80166k2022-05-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.184250.187959+2.01%0.21127+14.66%0.0702✓1.64269k2022-05-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.514193+2.02%0.592+17.46%0.0962✓1.56967k2022-05-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33710.344097+2.08%0.3875+14.95%0.0817✓1.3088k2022-05-25
DODODODOEthereum0.1470.150053+2.08%0.171+16.33%0.0870✓1.533.9M2022-05-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.857558+2.09%0.85+1.19%0.0378✗1.01117k2022-05-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.261.2872+2.16%1.65+30.95%0.2049✓1.523.3M2022-05-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.358510.366345+2.19%0.37157+3.64%0.0263✗1.421.3M2022-05-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2960.30258+2.22%0.396+33.78%0.2182✓1.781.8M2022-05-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6571+2.29%1.91+17.90%0.0929✓1.72455k2022-05-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01450.014836+2.32%0.0239+64.83%0.4121✓2.2623.0M2022-05-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001270.0013+2.38%0.00137+7.87%0.0090✓1.513.5M2022-05-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329880.337777+2.39%0.78513+138.00%0.7938✓1.74328k2022-05-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.3081+2.58%2.61+16.00%0.0727✓1.76390k2022-05-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.