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2022-05-10 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1017
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+75.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.4%
in alpha space · 39.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.855653+2.60%0.64-23.26%0.2664✗1.2531k2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0677+2.59%1.6841-16.45%0.1900✗0.794.6M2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.483353+2.14%0.38048-19.60%0.2116✗1.441.4M2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005471+2.07%0.00443-17.35%0.1965✗0.7620k2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.4033+1.83%2.9271-12.42%0.1265✗1.267.7M2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.8406+1.79%5.86-12.80%0.1427✗0.631.2M2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.9886+1.73%5.35-22.13%0.2553✗0.622.8M2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0217+1.64%2.18+9.59%0.0957✓1.0610.0M2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.491+1.46%3.148+28.23%0.2436✓0.491.9M2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.428+1.46%4.73-11.59%0.1132✗1.272.9M2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.3212+1.29%2.883-12.08%0.1108✗1.597.4M2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.526644+1.28%0.38508-25.95%0.2863✗1.40383k2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011392+1.26%0.00905-19.56%0.2155✗0.76238k2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.4085+1.26%1.231-11.50%0.1180✗0.8725k2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.06080.061548+1.23%0.0614+0.99%0.0195✓1.1469k2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.299486+1.18%0.253-14.53%0.1438✗1.294.1M2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6292+1.16%2.115-18.62%0.1855✗1.671.1M2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1335+1.16%1.9688-6.65%0.0653✗0.782.5M2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3949+1.14%1.905-19.55%0.2048✗1.252.6M2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062901+1.13%0.0562-9.65%0.0941✗0.971.9M2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration93.0394.0612+1.11%82.04-11.81%0.1147✗1.141.1M2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.504228+1.07%0.3614-27.56%0.3096✗1.2297k2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.2047+1.07%0.913-23.41%0.2500✗1.428.3M2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.6503+1.05%24.7107-12.84%0.1214✗1.38195k2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4351+1.03%2.75-19.12%0.1923✗1.5720k2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,359.27+1.03%30,409.80-2.03%0.0123✗0.9640k2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.1017+1.03%3.61-11.08%0.1127✗0.78829k2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.306371+1.01%0.346+14.08%0.1434✓1.13486k2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.307279+1.01%0.2589-14.89%0.1507✗1.07316k2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029713+0.99%0.02971+0.99%0.0171✓0.90227k2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.756422+0.99%0.623-16.82%0.1687✗1.321.7M2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.11259+0.98%0.0803-27.98%0.3055✗1.69232k2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3255+0.97%1.2954-1.32%0.0048✓0.9489k2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7375+0.96%1.399-18.71%0.1865✗1.57582k2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.302853+0.95%0.20963-30.12%0.3403✗1.44250k2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4421+0.94%2.58-24.34%0.2574✗1.61357k2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027251+0.93%0.0167-38.15%0.4515✗1.9923.0M2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006227+0.92%0.00561-9.08%0.0793✗1.30382k2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4917+0.92%2.74-20.81%0.2260✗0.86557k2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.275891+0.91%0.2705-1.06%0.0033✓1.20186k2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.660349+0.91%0.61254-6.40%0.0498✗1.3293k2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.782883+0.89%0.629-18.94%0.1977✗1.1050k2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.510.514312+0.85%0.39763-22.03%0.2460✗0.5970k2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.6518+0.84%7.71-10.14%0.0912✗1.2519.6M2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.4829+0.84%22.4-7.74%0.0630✗1.353.8M2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019276+0.84%0.016233-15.08%0.1525✗1.004.3M2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.168792+0.83%0.1452-13.26%0.1218✗1.496.2M2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021538+0.78%0.0187-12.49%0.1299✗0.59405k2022-05-17
STXStacksnative0.680.685279+0.78%0.58-14.71%0.1465✗1.06260k2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.8035+0.75%1.43-20.11%0.2057✗1.374.0M2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2347+0.75%1.674-24.53%0.2748✗0.73903k2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1497+0.74%1.748-18.09%0.1913✗0.81748k2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014875+0.73%0.015368+4.06%0.0458✓0.69198k2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero163.04164.2244+0.73%172.72+5.94%0.0693✓0.983.0M2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8176+0.70%3.13-17.44%0.1735✗1.31190k2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.9451+0.70%6.53-17.24%0.1744✗1.13666k2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006062+0.70%0.00512-14.95%0.1479✗1.091.7M2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108619+0.67%0.0892-17.33%0.1700✗1.40204k2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5287+0.65%3.057-12.81%0.1247✗0.9881k2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,197.41+0.63%30,412.12-1.90%0.0063✓1.00634.5M2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013523+0.62%0.01407+4.69%0.0576✓0.933.2M2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative13.91914.0044+0.61%14.916+7.16%0.0794✓0.854.1M2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.6528+0.61%11.46-15.55%0.1508✗1.2619.8M2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.0841+0.60%8.877-1.69%0.0206✓2.2777.0M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.761417+0.58%0.593-21.66%0.2257✗1.26869k2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.063243+0.58%0.05523-12.17%0.1186✗0.8826k2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.59690.600333+0.58%0.5411-9.35%0.0819✗1.141.5M2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7486+0.57%2.034-25.58%0.2725✗1.4884k2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.6042+0.56%114.63+23.15%0.2262✓1.225.1M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2166+0.54%3.314-20.98%0.2118✗1.512.2M2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.7731+0.53%74.46+2.86%0.0426✓1.023.5M2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.9626+0.52%13.66-13.98%0.1393✗0.86473k2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.4085+0.52%11.02-2.91%0.0115✗1.2011.8M2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9803+0.51%3.76-5.05%0.0441✗0.67804k2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24105.7666+0.50%92.53-12.08%0.1065✗1.418.6M2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.547+0.45%1.16-24.68%0.2770✗0.57221k2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1475+0.45%4.126-0.07%0.0101✓0.801.4M2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.42362+0.44%0.39337-6.73%0.0488✗1.3244k2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.3869+0.43%1.413+2.32%0.0419✓1.2117.4M2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.239003+0.42%0.168-29.41%0.3273✗1.314.7M2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.155639+0.41%0.1525-1.61%0.0078✓1.47108k2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.818357+0.41%0.74-9.20%0.0742✗1.37344k2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1178+0.40%1.2159+9.21%0.1089✓1.29805k2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.4039+0.39%8.56-24.65%0.2646✗1.167.4M2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.392539+0.37%0.3906-0.13%0.0169✓1.148.5M2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046443+0.35%0.04094-11.54%0.1029✗1.2187k2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.39+0.35%1.1607-16.20%0.1580✗1.16161k2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.18885+0.35%0.1804-4.14%0.0212✗1.28372k2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.206101+0.34%0.2022-1.56%0.0083✓1.43634k2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016192+0.32%0.00001255-22.24%0.2316✗1.211.2M2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041131+0.32%0.0353-13.90%0.1291✗1.24179k2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.6622+0.27%34.38-22.81%0.2367✗1.3045.0M2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002286+0.27%0.00144-36.84%0.4386✗1.233.9M2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.153773+0.24%0.1493-2.67%0.0103✗1.001.1M2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7365+0.24%2.04-25.27%0.2776✗0.84443k2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2728+0.22%0.97-23.62%0.2564✗0.80142k2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000058543+0.21%0.00004936-15.51%0.1484✗1.166.7M2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.505983+0.19%0.342-32.28%0.3629✗1.501.7M2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.14235+0.18%0.12-15.55%0.1467✗1.251.2M2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1519+0.17%0.91-20.87%0.2089✗1.40892k2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.761223+0.12%0.7365-3.13%0.0077✗1.326.1M2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001452+0.12%0.00000113-22.07%0.2366✗0.737.7M2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.2015+0.10%73.04-8.84%0.0725✗1.0917.5M2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.0758+0.10%5.47-9.88%0.0832✗1.144.1M2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1159+0.09%1.8568-12.17%0.1075✗1.20866k2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6213+0.08%1.47-9.26%0.0778✗1.05134k2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.467479+0.05%0.4149-11.20%0.0965✗1.19144k2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.507106+0.05%0.424817-16.19%0.1536✗1.225.7M2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2441+0.05%1.765-21.31%0.2143✗1.35537k2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.0886+0.03%32.03-3.17%0.0144✗0.9412.7M2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.148428+0.02%0.141543-4.62%0.0280✗1.0113.8M2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.00630.006301+0.01%0.00546-13.33%0.1204✗1.18885k2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114005+0.00%0.0913-19.91%0.1954✗1.393.7M2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.279972-0.01%0.2109-24.68%0.2679✓0.802,9402022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.097595-0.05%0.07213-26.13%0.2852✓0.8918k2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053271-0.05%0.04738-11.11%0.1005✓0.879,7632022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9364-0.06%1.6818-13.20%0.1295✓0.6015k2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.908454-0.06%0.817-10.12%0.0852✓1.093.3M2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66231.4765-0.08%206.73-10.76%0.0925✓1.075.2M2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014697-0.09%0.01468-0.20%0.0271✗1.4745.0M2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4286-0.10%1.1-23.08%0.2376✓1.24755k2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,338.13-0.10%2,088.96-10.75%0.0932✓1.01464.2M2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8288-0.10%5.7521-1.42%0.0042✓0.474.7M2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.616-0.11%2.85-21.27%0.2239✓0.74429k2022-05-17
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.292528-0.13%0.2999+2.39%0.0441✗1.002.7M2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.475206-0.17%0.384-19.33%0.1972✓0.831.1M2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.106807-0.18%0.0712-33.46%0.3915✓0.73117k2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8346-0.19%1.83-35.56%0.4089✓1.49371k2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031028-0.20%0.02904-6.59%0.0491✓0.8930k2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.3572-0.21%22.14-12.87%0.1078✓1.45173k2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.107675-0.22%0.090151-16.46%0.1580✓1.027.1M2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.565512-0.23%0.5004-11.71%0.0962✓1.36299k2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana66.8666.6981-0.24%57.02-14.72%0.1318✓1.3087.4M2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.24519-0.25%0.1798-26.85%0.2853✓1.296.8M2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.176552-0.25%0.1418-19.89%0.1879✓1.63902k2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011486-0.30%0.0104-9.72%0.0797✓1.021.0M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.19139-0.32%0.1311-31.72%0.3655✓0.6719k2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.043-0.34%55.75-11.87%0.1056✓0.902.0M2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.334935-0.35%0.2547-24.22%0.2650✓0.46514k2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,644.62-0.35%9,984.13-27.08%0.2908✓1.122.6M2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8188.4817-0.37%74.69-15.90%0.1445✓1.3037k2022-05-17
DASHDashDash73.3373.0576-0.37%60.11-18.03%0.1740✓1.101.0M2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.0843-0.41%2.5786-16.74%0.1565✓1.17188k2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010866-0.42%0.008963-17.86%0.1739✓0.9738k2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076725-0.43%0.072142-6.38%0.0456✓0.83463k2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.081934-0.44%0.0711-13.61%0.1234✓0.96416k2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.5226-0.45%8.62-18.45%0.1750✓1.278.0M2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.155097-0.45%0.121-22.34%0.2203✓1.451.8M2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.625436-0.46%0.577-8.16%0.0571✓1.2242.0M2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7273-0.52%4.2187-11.22%0.0916✓1.16134k2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.101667-0.52%0.0907-11.25%0.0982✓0.83169k2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.3922-0.59%4.98-8.19%0.0742✓0.28284k2022-05-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.127203-0.70%0.0844-34.11%0.3910✓1.004.0M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4001-0.70%1.21-14.18%0.1351✓0.56528k2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.7124-0.74%21.76-8.92%0.0629✓1.204.4M2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.5441-0.77%15.21-13.97%0.1187✓1.25695k2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9606-0.83%1.389-29.74%0.3187✓1.355.3M2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.080585-0.88%0.0697-14.27%0.1322✓0.67619k2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.10e-7-0.91%7.15e-7-12.60%0.1189✓0.351.1M2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.579408-0.92%0.4947-15.41%0.1370✓1.1012.6M2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1313.9971-0.94%12.44-11.96%0.0907✓1.423.5M2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.2579-0.99%10.34-28.19%0.2959✓1.32134k2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0318-1.07%0.958-8.15%0.0525✓1.13574k2022-05-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.708-1.73%1.395-19.74%0.1832✓1.005.2M2022-05-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.7629-2.06%1.58-12.22%0.0903✓1.009.5M2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 217.4116.1633-7.16%0.00019-100.00%11.3172✓1.777.5M2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.