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2022-05-09 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0727
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-75.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.1%
in alpha space · 24.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.7172-2.93%1.433-18.99%0.1730✓1.008.8M2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.6478-1.80%1.367-18.53%0.1789✓1.005.3M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5147-1.00%1.13-26.14%0.2882✓0.60528k2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0032-0.77%0.916-9.40%0.0820✓1.13547k2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.120376-0.76%0.0764-37.02%0.4467✓1.003.9M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.570011-0.66%0.4598-19.87%0.2061✓1.1012.4M2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6326-0.64%10.65-22.38%0.2355✓1.432.8M2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.8998-0.64%1.361-28.82%0.3228✓1.365.1M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.3574-0.53%14.58-16.45%0.1643✓1.27608k2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.10243-0.46%0.0887-13.80%0.1372✓0.84152k2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.196199-0.41%0.1178-40.20%0.5047✓0.6821k2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.2171-0.37%4.961-5.26%0.0483✓0.26278k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7522.6701-0.35%20.77-8.70%0.0780✓1.204.4M2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.074396-0.27%0.068-8.85%0.0847✓0.65619k2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.300901-0.20%0.284-5.80%0.0498✓1.002.9M2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.600616-0.20%0.5561-7.59%0.0673✓1.2241.1M2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.7034-0.18%2.54-31.54%0.3711✓0.76470k2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.072474-0.16%0.069019-4.92%0.0423✓0.82402k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010464-0.15%0.008554-18.38%0.1938✓0.9738k2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.076904-0.13%0.0702-8.83%0.0837✓0.95416k2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2260.1643-0.09%53.59-11.01%0.1086✓0.892.0M2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.7682-0.06%1.69-38.99%0.4815✓1.50355k2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.8981-0.05%2.4311-16.15%0.1664✓1.17177k2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00892.0082-0.04%1.7113-14.81%0.1550✓0.6216k2022-05-16
DASHDashDash69.8969.8695-0.03%57.82-17.27%0.1806✓1.091.0M2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.030413-0.02%0.02818-7.36%0.0691✓0.9031k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.334668-0.01%0.2098-37.32%0.4633✓0.46514k2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.5995-0.00%9.27-26.43%0.2966✓1.29134k2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.68145.6821+0.01%5.4363-4.31%0.0405✗0.474.5M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.239001+0.04%0.1736-27.33%0.3094✗1.306.5M2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.919.9152+0.05%8.1-18.26%0.1922✗1.268.0M2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.545331+0.06%0.4618-15.27%0.1554✗1.36296k2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.952.9523+0.08%1.93-34.58%0.4182✗0.87443k2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.051845+0.09%0.0461-11.00%0.1105✗0.8710k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,507.75+0.09%9,743.68-22.03%0.2410✗1.102.5M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4289+0.10%3.9461-10.82%0.1063✗1.15120k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.101885+0.11%0.087881-13.65%0.1398✗1.017.1M2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana62.1362.2003+0.11%53.69-13.58%0.1369✗1.2985.8M2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.692+0.12%1.11-34.32%0.4168✗0.60242k2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.144383+0.13%0.1097-23.93%0.2632✗1.451.8M2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.469772+0.16%0.316-32.62%0.3899✗0.831.1M2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014524+0.17%0.01489+2.69%0.0367✓1.4845.5M2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase24.424.4494+0.20%20.3-16.80%0.1744✗1.45173k2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,233.53+0.23%2,020.58-9.33%0.0922✗1.01437.0M2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002345+0.23%0.00133-43.16%0.5574✗1.253.9M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.140971+0.26%0.136163-3.16%0.0267✗1.0113.6M2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.49e-7+0.26%6.93e-7+7.12%0.0684✓0.28855k2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6480.8534+0.26%68.67-14.84%0.1532✗1.2831k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.209+0.27%1.602-27.28%0.3105✗1.36504k2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.50202+0.27%0.401596-19.78%0.2134✗1.235.6M2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3538+0.28%1.042-22.81%0.2520✗1.23755k2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92218.542+0.29%197.37-9.43%0.0934✗1.074.9M2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010613+0.31%0.00978-7.56%0.0737✗1.011.0M2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.000001434+0.31%0.00000111-22.38%0.2506✗0.737.7M2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.565+0.32%1.41-9.62%0.0959✗1.05134k2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.726012+0.33%0.6732-6.97%0.0650✗1.326.1M2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.006110.00613+0.33%0.00486-20.46%0.2228✗1.19885k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013326+0.35%0.00903-32.00%0.3827✗0.81222k2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.858026+0.35%0.753-11.93%0.1220✗1.083.2M2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.442438+0.36%0.3914-11.22%0.1132✗1.18141k2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.955.9726+0.38%5.03-15.46%0.1627✗1.144.1M2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1976.4834+0.39%67.13-11.89%0.1217✗1.0917.3M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.170881+0.40%0.1577-7.34%0.0674✗1.621.1M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0171+0.41%1.7722-11.78%0.1199✗1.20855k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.265103+0.42%0.1988-24.70%0.2816✗0.792,9402022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.188892+0.42%0.1733-7.87%0.0759✗1.29372k2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2155+0.46%0.92-23.97%0.2723✗0.79151k2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.144707+0.49%0.149+3.47%0.0372✓1.001.1M2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006552+0.49%0.00527-19.17%0.2088✗1.121.7M2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.101502+0.50%0.068-32.67%0.3948✗0.72124k2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.3758+0.51%1.0859-20.66%0.2273✗1.17153k2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.391513+0.54%0.3587-7.88%0.0784✗1.158.1M2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1061+0.56%0.81-26.36%0.3005✗1.40842k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.416732+0.58%0.38073-8.11%0.0798✗1.3347k2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero173.09174.096+0.58%161.82-6.51%0.0651✗1.013.0M2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8509+0.60%1.9-32.96%0.3937✗1.5179k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.481966+0.62%0.307-35.91%0.4391✗1.501.6M2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.133845+0.64%0.1137-14.51%0.1532✗1.251.2M2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.105065+0.64%0.0809-22.51%0.2504✗1.383.7M2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2172+0.65%1.504-31.73%0.3815✗0.83763k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.08518+0.65%0.07067-16.50%0.1799✗0.8618k2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1530.3563+0.68%31.82+5.54%0.0545✓0.9311.7M2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash92.6893.3149+0.69%102.47+10.56%0.1034✓1.235.1M2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.937.9861+0.71%6.06-23.58%0.2669✗1.14666k2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.753328+0.71%0.477-36.23%0.4467✗1.29954k2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.3537+0.72%1.249-7.07%0.0708✗1.2117.4M2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.0697+0.72%8.29-24.57%0.2800✗1.156.6M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.1087+0.73%3.379-17.16%0.1891✗0.801.5M2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.0664+0.73%8.069+0.76%0.0182✓2.2576.4M2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.1584+0.74%2.988-27.62%0.3184✗1.521.8M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.57750.581803+0.75%0.4896-15.22%0.1634✗1.141.5M2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.043784+0.75%0.03791-12.77%0.1345✗1.2070k2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.194073+0.77%0.1872-2.80%0.0248✗1.42634k2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.2572+0.77%1.446-35.45%0.4394✗0.74975k2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum69.8170.3507+0.77%70.49+0.97%0.0101✓1.023.4M2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000053785+0.78%0.00004677-12.37%0.1307✗1.146.7M2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.1253+0.78%13.03-18.56%0.2062✗0.87468k2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2141.5343+0.79%32.49-21.16%0.2353✗1.2944.2M2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.063025+0.79%0.05342-14.57%0.1583✗0.8926k2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.530.534231+0.80%0.37994-28.31%0.3360✗0.6170k2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013439+0.82%0.01387+4.05%0.0390✓0.942.9M2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.8013+0.83%3.52-6.63%0.0716✗0.66804k2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.065444+0.84%0.0537-17.26%0.1899✗0.992.0M2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.7225+0.84%13.821+1.57%0.0139✓0.854.0M2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.14481+0.84%0.1449+0.91%0.0122✓1.45108k2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038522+0.84%0.0317-17.02%0.1852✗1.22179k2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.5447+0.84%2.907-17.30%0.1904✗0.9973k2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.069+0.85%1.1653+9.93%0.0964✓1.28760k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45100.303+0.86%83.79-15.75%0.1687✗1.418.3M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,349.78+0.90%29,839.89-0.79%0.0090✓1.00580.1M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.030887+0.91%0.03061+0.00%0.0017✓0.92227k2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6410.7387+0.93%10.62-0.19%0.0016✓1.1911.7M2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000014081+0.94%0.00001196-14.27%0.1539✗1.181.2M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.772198+0.94%0.699-8.63%0.0887✗1.37327k2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.117407+0.95%0.0795-31.64%0.3761✗1.74232k2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8125.0479+0.96%20.95-15.56%0.1678✗1.363.8M2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.227259+1.00%0.151-32.89%0.3984✗1.314.7M2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.3708+1.01%1.1933-12.06%0.1310✗0.9784k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.104047+1.02%0.0861-16.41%0.1782✗1.40192k2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014149+1.04%0.012762-8.87%0.0977✗0.69195k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.1153+1.11%3.15-22.60%0.2610✗0.79835k2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.650.657356+1.13%0.56-13.85%0.1519✗1.05260k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020642+1.13%0.01902-6.81%0.0772✗0.58405k2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.782861+1.14%0.619-20.03%0.2257✗1.1546k2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.1746+1.14%1.5881-26.13%0.3079✗0.812.5M2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.3685+1.16%2.26-32.13%0.3862✗1.62339k2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.5903+1.16%2.66-25.05%0.2896✗1.30186k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.751+1.21%1.27-26.59%0.3102✗1.373.6M2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.6417+1.21%11.07-11.37%0.1228✗1.2519.4M2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,610.16+1.23%30,058.30-0.60%0.0105✓0.9738k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.1997+1.23%7.41-8.52%0.0913✗1.2518.3M2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.3409+1.24%2.53-23.33%0.2712✗0.86565k2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.6294+1.25%1.976-23.91%0.2722✗1.701.2M2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.73512+1.26%0.61-15.98%0.1761✗1.321.7M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.165454+1.26%0.139-14.93%0.1623✗1.506.0M2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.298317+1.26%0.2463-16.40%0.1831✗1.07305k2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.268071+1.27%0.254-4.04%0.0444✗1.20186k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.3907+1.28%2.298-31.36%0.3764✗1.5819k2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.510038+1.28%0.34-32.49%0.3957✗1.2395k2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.018477+1.29%0.015316-16.04%0.1796✗1.014.2M2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration94.2695.4985+1.31%73.47-22.06%0.2530✗1.161.1M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.674+1.33%1.733-34.33%0.4295✗0.532.2M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.7226+1.33%1.289-24.18%0.2774✗1.58582k2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.632533+1.33%0.53418-14.42%0.1585✗1.3288k2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.300837+1.36%0.3018+1.68%0.0122✓1.13486k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.025653+1.40%0.0152-39.92%0.5076✗1.9922.0M2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.159+1.40%0.872-23.71%0.2732✗1.428.2M2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.3424+1.40%1.805-21.86%0.2506✗1.262.6M2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.006013+1.41%0.00517-12.82%0.1408✗1.30373k2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.284176+1.49%0.19391-30.75%0.3708✗1.43250k2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460527.8898+1.56%23.5002-14.42%0.1602✗1.39188k2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.2898+1.57%2.723-15.93%0.1763✗1.617.1M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.0580.058922+1.59%0.0583+0.52%0.0015✓1.1469k2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3687+1.61%1.178-12.55%0.1432✗0.8624k2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.276542+1.67%0.213-21.69%0.2508✗1.294.2M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.508468+1.69%0.35987-28.03%0.3346✗1.39398k2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.0907+1.72%1.6704-18.73%0.2159✗1.0810.0M2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.2429+1.80%4.54-11.84%0.1338✗1.282.8M2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.4932+1.88%2.5916-24.42%0.2884✗1.287.7M2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.9475+2.02%4.56-33.04%0.4161✗0.632.8M2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.8157+2.03%4.95-25.90%0.3148✗0.631.2M2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005551+2.23%0.00432-20.44%0.2446✗0.7720k2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.892581+2.60%0.628-27.82%0.3415✗1.2732k2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 230.3531.1585+2.66%0.0002-100.00%11.9408✗1.957.1M2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.1091+2.72%1.3834-32.62%0.4153✗0.814.8M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.454355+2.80%0.37002-16.29%0.1939✗1.431.3M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.