8=======>

2022-05-01 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0250
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.5%
in alpha space · 90.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40680.409385+0.64%0.37-9.05%0.0703✗0.25605k2022-05-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007790.007812+0.28%0.00674-13.48%0.0719✗0.6229k2022-05-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40270.403554+0.21%0.3396-15.67%0.0382✗1.09535k2022-05-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.30093.3065+0.17%2.6421-19.96%0.1564✗0.556.0M2022-05-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.420.420694+0.17%0.35-16.67%0.0032✗1.47311k2022-05-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1380.138186+0.13%0.125-9.42%0.0454✗0.45148k2022-05-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22770.227847+0.06%0.2084-8.48%0.1217✓1.721.6M2022-05-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.730.729897-0.01%0.66-9.59%0.0334✗1.09482k2022-05-08
UNIUniswapEthereum7.127.1167-0.05%7.1-0.28%0.1258✗1.044.7M2022-05-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5333.5309-0.06%3.223-8.77%0.0516✓0.322.4M2022-05-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0250590.024983-0.30%0.022068-11.94%0.0023✓1.034.3M2022-05-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6127.4946-0.42%26.51-3.98%0.1000✗1.115.0M2022-05-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum31.7931.6508-0.44%30.46-4.18%0.1163✗1.264.4M2022-05-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.23780.23669-0.47%0.2109-11.31%0.0616✗1.447.3M2022-05-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.1215.0477-0.48%13.12-13.23%0.0073✓1.069.2M2022-05-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.5352.5228-0.48%2.108-16.84%0.0119✗1.56732k2022-05-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14730.146588-0.48%0.1298-11.88%0.1428✗2.15278k2022-05-08
MINAMina Protocolnative1.81.7896-0.58%1.65-8.33%0.0534✗1.101.2M2022-05-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.725190.720746-0.61%0.57502-20.71%0.0732✓1.241.4M2022-05-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.66340.659289-0.62%0.6196-6.60%0.0897✗1.24123k2022-05-08
DODODODOEthereum0.3040.302032-0.65%0.275-9.54%0.0480✗1.156.4M2022-05-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.459.3871-0.67%8.17-13.54%0.0880✓0.411.8M2022-05-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.14280.141848-0.67%0.1309-8.33%0.0707✗1.23192k2022-05-08
COMPCompoundEthereum105.47104.7495-0.68%99.67-5.50%0.0907✗1.1439k2022-05-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01750.017379-0.69%0.01396-20.23%0.0960✓1.00309k2022-05-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.53451.5235-0.72%1.33-13.33%0.0004✓1.101.1M2022-05-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.024.9832-0.73%4.75-5.38%0.0344✗0.671.1M2022-05-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.36010.357299-0.78%0.3218-10.64%0.0534✓0.423,8542022-05-08
SUSHISushiEthereum2.392.371-0.79%2.11-11.72%0.0370✗1.254.2M2022-05-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003150.003123-0.84%0.00296-6.03%0.0787✗1.085.1M2022-05-08
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0951.0858-0.84%0.922-15.80%0.0468✓0.9555k2022-05-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.027320.027084-0.86%0.0239-12.52%0.0531✓0.59416k2022-05-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.15163.1238-0.88%2.6832-14.86%0.0772✓0.614.1M2022-05-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1756650.174101-0.89%0.161629-7.99%0.0446✗0.9714.3M2022-05-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9082.8813-0.92%2.646-9.01%0.0101✓0.611.5M2022-05-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5131.4989-0.93%1.363-9.91%0.0324✗1.047.5M2022-05-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.852.8231-0.94%2.63-7.72%0.0150✗0.701.1M2022-05-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4220.418006-0.95%0.3674-12.94%0.0215✓0.88343k2022-05-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2115.0647-0.96%13.44-11.64%0.0530✗1.36153k2022-05-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0951.0844-0.97%0.958-12.51%0.0285✗1.24376k2022-05-08
XEMNEMnative0.08940.088523-0.98%0.0757-15.32%0.0436✓0.9252k2022-05-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122770.012156-0.98%0.012755+3.89%0.1523✗0.8549k2022-05-08
MOVRMoonriverBase41.2740.8635-0.99%32.3833-21.53%0.0561✓1.44195k2022-05-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum13.0512.9211-0.99%11.91-8.74%0.0525✗1.099.0M2022-05-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.041360.04095-0.99%0.03631-12.21%0.0235✓0.79261k2022-05-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05350.052967-1.00%0.0484-9.53%0.0510✗1.15200k2022-05-08
STXStacksnative0.950.940471-1.00%0.78-17.89%0.0697✓0.96338k2022-05-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.58055.523-1.03%5.3183-4.70%0.0209✗0.48249k2022-05-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021560.000021336-1.04%0.00001836-14.84%0.0194✓1.071.4M2022-05-08
XECeCashnative0.000073440.000072667-1.05%0.00006824-7.08%0.0562✗0.978.4M2022-05-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.6111.4831-1.09%8.1-30.23%0.2911✓0.472.8M2022-05-08
KCSKuCoinnative17.8817.6829-1.10%15.896-11.10%0.0107✓0.784.9M2022-05-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.2943.2574-1.11%3.179-3.49%0.0985✗1.003.1M2022-05-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15160.149914-1.11%0.1293-14.71%0.0052✓1.256.2M2022-05-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.8721.8512-1.11%1.57-16.13%0.0743✓0.7424k2022-05-08
XVSVenusEthereum87.91-1.12%6.91-13.62%0.0071✓1.043.4M2022-05-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4641.4473-1.14%1.116-23.77%0.1287✓1.0773k2022-05-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.021.997-1.14%1.8-10.89%0.0183✗1.00135k2022-05-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.011.987-1.15%1.87-6.97%0.0093✓0.57279k2022-05-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5970.590144-1.15%0.542-9.21%0.0093✓0.771.8M2022-05-08
RADRadworksEthereum3.813.7661-1.15%3.33-12.60%0.0200✓0.84600k2022-05-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche58.7658.0594-1.19%51.57-12.24%0.0255✗1.1745.0M2022-05-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9420.930606-1.21%0.855-9.24%0.0465✗1.071.2M2022-05-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.079330.078367-1.21%0.07039-11.27%0.0098✓0.7930k2022-05-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.54490.538185-1.23%0.4659-14.50%0.0238✓0.987.9M2022-05-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.2911.1507-1.23%9.99-11.51%0.0277✗1.1218.9M2022-05-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.20120.198705-1.24%0.1805-10.29%0.0080✓0.851.2M2022-05-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.8472.9193-1.25%70.19-4.94%0.0604✗0.802.2M2022-05-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03820.037723-1.25%0.0349-8.64%0.1148✗1.5725.5M2022-05-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.19590.193412-1.27%0.1809-7.66%0.0917✗1.292.2M2022-05-08
AAVEAaveEthereum146.6144.7272-1.28%126.06-14.01%0.0163✗1.2611.0M2022-05-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.3141-1.28%3.96-9.38%0.0042✓0.73953k2022-05-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.734.6682-1.31%4.43-6.34%0.1300✗1.49339k2022-05-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008170.008063-1.31%0.00786-3.79%0.1130✗1.133.0M2022-05-08
SCSiacoinnative0.008490.008379-1.31%0.00739-12.96%0.0168✗1.16425k2022-05-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.711.5463-1.31%10.01-14.44%0.0165✓1.03985k2022-05-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos1817.763-1.32%15.7-12.78%0.0071✓1.0620.3M2022-05-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.0835.0157-1.32%4.501-11.45%0.0379✗1.19197k2022-05-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.541.5194-1.34%1.34-12.99%0.0358✗1.311.2M2022-05-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.604360.596201-1.35%0.54275-10.19%0.0330✗1.03141k2022-05-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0651.0503-1.38%0.948-10.99%0.0287✗1.073.7M2022-05-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.124060.122348-1.38%0.10457-15.71%0.0684✓0.7217k2022-05-08
XVGVergenative0.008610.008491-1.39%0.0074-14.05%0.0053✓1.081.1M2022-05-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.904340.89167-1.40%0.78125-13.61%0.0094✓1.15101k2022-05-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038370.037827-1.41%0.03465-9.70%0.0132✓0.8246k2022-05-08
GITCOINGITCOIN4.7444.6767-1.42%4.43-6.62%0.1254✗1.4619k2022-05-08
KSMKusamaHydration133.3131.3986-1.43%111.73-16.18%0.0297✓1.081.0M2022-05-08
XYMSymbolnative0.09330.091959-1.44%0.0779-16.51%0.0845✓0.66806k2022-05-08
NANOnanopayBase1.76591.7404-1.45%1.6347-7.43%0.0657✗1.05165k2022-05-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.5883.5351-1.48%3.896+8.58%0.2596✗1.3279k2022-05-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.18210.179407-1.48%0.1629-10.54%0.0436✗1.142.0M2022-05-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28630.282064-1.48%0.2492-12.96%0.0374✗1.31805k2022-05-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2330.229546-1.48%0.21-9.87%0.0047✓0.6925k2022-05-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,172.2037,600.36-1.50%33,986.50-10.97%0.0125✓0.9225k2022-05-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,473.0537,888.17-1.52%34,027.91-11.55%0.0153✗1.00519.1M2022-05-08
QNTQuantEthereum97.2995.8043-1.53%83.22-14.46%0.0412✓0.813.4M2022-05-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194510.019149-1.55%0.016338-16.00%0.0983✓0.49193k2022-05-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.6020.592642-1.55%0.7289+21.08%0.3242✗0.9610.9M2022-05-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.661532-1.56%0.614-8.63%0.0975✗1.401.7M2022-05-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.019210.018911-1.56%0.01783-7.18%0.0286✗0.713.9M2022-05-08
UMAUMAEthereum5.425.3343-1.58%5.32-1.85%0.1712✗1.421.8M2022-05-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.3615.1167-1.58%13.26-13.67%0.0053✓1.0211.7M2022-05-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash284.18279.6694-1.59%261.65-7.93%0.0529✗0.975.5M2022-05-08
DASHDashDash90.0188.5663-1.60%82.93-7.87%0.0599✗1.021.3M2022-05-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.2680.263687-1.61%0.2393-10.71%0.0358✗1.08428k2022-05-08
ZENHorizenBase30.8130.3099-1.62%30.99+0.58%0.1834✗1.31205k2022-05-08
XTZTezosTezos2.57812.5355-1.65%2.5615-0.64%0.1365✗1.03873k2022-05-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.664.5829-1.66%4.34-6.87%0.0276✗0.67685k2022-05-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.063660.062601-1.66%0.05402-15.14%0.0178✓1.06114k2022-05-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.103434-1.68%0.0907-13.78%0.0201✓0.91470k2022-05-08
ADACardanoCardano0.78960.776333-1.68%0.7403-6.24%0.0814✗1.0543.8M2022-05-08
XMRMoneroMonero212.25208.6667-1.69%217.35+2.40%0.1525✗0.913.3M2022-05-08
SGBSongbirdnative0.05540.054463-1.69%0.0533-3.79%0.0344✗0.46158k2022-05-08
ZECZcashZcash124121.8941-1.70%114-8.06%0.0654✗1.086.3M2022-05-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94420.928055-1.71%0.8411-10.92%0.0551✗1.257.6M2022-05-08
DIADIAEthereum0.770.756753-1.72%0.64-16.88%0.1105✓0.4673k2022-05-08
STEEMSteemnative0.40440.397403-1.73%0.383-5.29%0.0859✗1.0010.9M2022-05-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1571.137-1.73%1.301+12.45%0.2614✗1.03501k2022-05-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0741.0554-1.73%0.915-14.80%0.0017✓1.152.2M2022-05-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,824.862,775.90-1.73%2,519.10-10.82%0.0260✗1.00429.7M2022-05-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1326490.130321-1.75%0.124195-6.37%0.0660✗0.937.2M2022-05-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20680.203144-1.77%0.1783-13.78%0.0351✗1.35121k2022-05-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.647620.636121-1.78%0.50648-21.79%0.0892✓1.1399k2022-05-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.9153.8453-1.78%3.157-19.36%0.0177✓1.751.6M2022-05-08
QTUMQtumQtum5.6085.508-1.78%5.0387-10.15%0.0507✗1.14134k2022-05-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74480.730899-1.87%0.6594-11.47%0.0533✗1.27369k2022-05-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12910.126679-1.88%0.1142-11.54%0.0101✓0.93169k2022-05-08
BANDBandEthereum3.1133.0535-1.91%2.731-12.27%0.0398✗1.23572k2022-05-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.35460.347789-1.92%0.3144-11.34%0.0596✗1.31215k2022-05-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06650.065209-1.94%0.05849-12.05%0.0140✓0.7719k2022-05-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.835.715-1.97%4.2-27.96%0.2409✓0.55946k2022-05-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.80011.7643-1.99%1.597-11.29%0.0066✓0.8796k2022-05-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001720.000001686-2.00%0.00000161-6.40%0.0409✗0.717.8M2022-05-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4610.451746-2.01%0.36-21.91%0.1016✓1.024.3M2022-05-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014930.014626-2.03%0.01312-12.12%0.0006✓0.891.3M2022-05-08
SOLSolanaSolana89.6587.8041-2.06%75.34-15.96%0.0044✓1.2193.7M2022-05-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin99.2797.2116-2.07%93.83-5.48%0.0892✗1.0117.5M2022-05-08
HIVEHivenative0.8010.784137-2.11%0.7088-11.51%0.0195✓0.981.6M2022-05-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.8204-2.13%1.4-24.73%0.1741✓0.72175k2022-05-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,039.8516,675.59-2.14%15,574.12-8.60%0.0527✗0.992.9M2022-05-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.91554.8103-2.14%4.4856-8.75%0.0718✗1.159.1M2022-05-08
FTTFTXEthereum39.1138.2612-2.17%33.83-13.50%0.0145✓0.8813.5M2022-05-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.0662.0211-2.17%2.346+13.55%0.3091✗1.305.3M2022-05-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1096-2.22%3.95-6.02%0.0762✗0.9467k2022-05-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.8543.7681-2.23%3.5428-8.07%0.0584✗0.98214k2022-05-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31530.308064-2.30%0.2993-5.07%0.1192✗1.217.9M2022-05-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.7123.1638-2.30%19.08-19.53%0.0834✓0.90478k2022-05-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09670.094463-2.31%0.0827-14.48%0.0314✓0.833.0M2022-05-08
GTGateEthereum6.23436.0883-2.34%6.1332-1.62%0.0621✗0.454.6M2022-05-08
PROPropyEthereum1.581.5421-2.40%1.63+3.16%0.1262✗0.58422k2022-05-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0682.0184-2.40%1.645-20.45%0.0815✓1.0015.4M2022-05-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7168420.699609-2.40%0.626475-12.61%0.0096✓0.985.2M2022-05-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum43.9006-2.48%3.52-12.00%0.0675✗1.39385k2022-05-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.0122.4333-2.51%20.3-11.78%0.0531✗1.25644k2022-05-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018880.018389-2.60%0.01556-17.58%0.0094✓1.4447.4M2022-05-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.40452.3418-2.61%2.1361-11.16%0.0157✓0.6214k2022-05-08
LUNATerraTerra 282.380.1171-2.65%64.2-21.99%0.0631✓1.298.2M2022-05-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.8224.6909-2.72%4.216-12.57%0.0652✗1.408.0M2022-05-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.40e-79.14e-7-2.80%8.06e-7-14.29%0.1324✓-0.05580k2022-05-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6835.5193-2.88%5.034-11.42%0.0189✓0.601.6M2022-05-08
TRXTRONTron0.0707640.068653-2.98%0.088013+24.38%0.3252✗0.63273k2022-05-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.51744.3666-3.34%2.4108-46.63%0.5032✓0.7410.0M2022-05-08
APEApeCoinEthereum15.86515.0307-5.26%11.227-29.23%0.0401✓2.0545.9M2022-05-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum24.2822.9512-5.47%16.99-30.02%0.1413✓1.302.2M2022-05-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.