8=======>

2022-04-09 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0753
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.0%
in alpha space · 86.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0639890.064251+0.41%0.061862-3.32%0.0012✓0.64316k2022-04-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3391.3432+0.31%1.343+0.30%0.0546✓0.963.4M2022-04-16
XEMNEMnative0.10610.106371+0.26%0.1011-4.71%0.0007✓0.9055k2022-04-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.3782.3788+0.03%2.24-5.80%0.0161✗0.7721k2022-04-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.425.4179-0.04%4.972-8.27%0.0284✓1.0081k2022-04-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.8026.7983-0.05%6.234-8.35%0.0486✓0.662.1M2022-04-16
SCSiacoinnative0.011310.011303-0.06%0.01067-5.66%0.0092✗1.17540k2022-04-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.7786.6985-0.08%87.28+0.59%0.0520✗0.793.3M2022-04-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.822.8168-0.12%2.42-14.18%0.1259✓0.45592k2022-04-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001987-0.15%0.00000196-1.51%0.0253✗0.6810.5M2022-04-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,766.9342,701.14-0.15%40,387.60-5.56%0.0015✓1.00593.1M2022-04-16
GTGateEthereum6.64036.6286-0.18%6.51-1.96%0.0161✗0.604.6M2022-04-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54020.539146-0.20%0.5068-6.18%0.0205✓0.72376k2022-04-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011950.011925-0.21%0.01056-11.63%0.0537✓1.194.1M2022-04-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012530.012503-0.21%0.01185-5.43%0.0162✓0.6632k2022-04-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2049270.204322-0.30%0.205349+0.21%0.0627✗1.0119.4M2022-04-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046910.04677-0.30%0.04535-3.33%0.0171✗0.8438k2022-04-16
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0610.0276-0.32%9.67-3.88%0.0244✗1.068.8M2022-04-16
KCSKuCoinnative20.19920.1304-0.34%20.314+0.57%0.0592✗0.885.4M2022-04-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.552.5405-0.37%2.28-10.59%0.0509✓1.00160k2022-04-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20210.201344-0.37%0.1874-7.27%0.0030✓1.204.9M2022-04-16
AAVEAaveEthereum184.67183.9278-0.40%172.4-6.64%0.0096✗1.3017.5M2022-04-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1443570.143769-0.41%0.143644-0.49%0.0482✗0.863.6M2022-04-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9963.9793-0.42%3.684-7.81%0.0403✓0.643.5M2022-04-16
DASHDashDash114.77114.2898-0.42%108.28-5.65%0.0028✓0.992.5M2022-04-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052630.052408-0.42%0.04981-5.36%0.0087✗1.04574k2022-04-16
HIVEHivenative0.94870.94461-0.43%0.9196-3.07%0.0353✗1.082.0M2022-04-16
QNTQuantEthereum121.95121.4203-0.43%113.05-7.30%0.0178✓0.943.9M2022-04-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7653.7486-0.43%3.761-0.11%0.0488✗0.792.9M2022-04-16
XVSVenusEthereum11.2711.2201-0.44%10.14-10.03%0.0381✓1.104.7M2022-04-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.126.0928-0.44%5.55-9.31%0.0479✓0.792.0M2022-04-16
XVGVergenative0.011020.010968-0.47%0.01082-1.81%0.0532✗1.172.0M2022-04-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,690.0042,486.46-0.48%40,617.60-4.85%0.0097✗0.9530k2022-04-16
XMRMoneroMonero240.29239.1364-0.48%236.58-1.54%0.0414✗0.911.6M2022-04-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28180.280364-0.51%0.2476-12.14%0.0752✓0.862.1M2022-04-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9130.908286-0.52%0.767-15.99%0.1183✓0.892.8M2022-04-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9350.929989-0.54%0.857-8.34%0.0038✓1.362.7M2022-04-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.4145.3846-0.54%5.214-3.69%0.0421✗1.306.2M2022-04-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash326.08324.2127-0.57%342.9+5.16%0.1109✗0.968.3M2022-04-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3725.3412-0.57%4.827-10.15%0.0791✓0.397.3M2022-04-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13540.134616-0.58%0.1136-16.10%0.1075✓1.09241k2022-04-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.1020.101395-0.59%0.09601-5.87%0.0061✓0.8529k2022-04-16
ZENHorizenBase42.0541.7896-0.62%38.43-8.61%0.0071✓1.34487k2022-04-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7811.77-0.62%1.953+9.66%0.1547✗0.983.4M2022-04-16
KSMKusamaHydration178.05176.8756-0.66%174.1-2.22%0.0450✗1.061.1M2022-04-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3814.2804-0.69%13.65-5.08%0.0228✗1.191.4M2022-04-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.14571.1375-0.71%1.0904-4.83%0.0221✗1.13156k2022-04-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0164970.016375-0.74%0.014732-10.70%0.0559✓0.8735k2022-04-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40550.402474-0.75%0.3622-10.68%0.0386✓1.1712.7M2022-04-16
XECeCashnative0.000101780.000101011-0.76%0.00009277-8.85%0.0296✓0.979.4M2022-04-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7719.6186-0.77%18.62-5.82%0.0092✗1.0722.8M2022-04-16
QTUMQtumQtum7.08087.0238-0.81%6.944-1.93%0.0549✗1.16206k2022-04-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.30410.30164-0.81%0.2964-2.53%0.0483✗1.15495k2022-04-16
FTTFTXEthereum45.6145.2366-0.82%41.82-8.31%0.0199✓1.0214.0M2022-04-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,652.1120,481.10-0.83%19,119.13-7.42%0.0043✓1.135.9M2022-04-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5811.5678-0.84%1.35-14.61%0.0772✓1.263.9M2022-04-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024620.000024407-0.86%0.00002562+4.06%0.1142✗1.152.6M2022-04-16
SUSHISushiEthereum3.573.539-0.87%3.33-6.72%0.0100✗1.247.2M2022-04-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.7322.5312-0.87%20.95-7.83%0.0048✓1.35266k2022-04-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.7111.7098-0.88%114.34+1.46%0.0821✗1.0325.4M2022-04-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,258.993,230.20-0.88%3,060.35-6.10%0.0068✓1.06483.3M2022-04-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.3391.3271-0.89%1.248-6.80%0.0057✓0.971.6M2022-04-16
ZECZcashZcash169.16167.6092-0.92%143.85-14.96%0.0983✓0.9513.0M2022-04-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.52010.515203-0.94%0.4873-6.31%0.0468✓0.166,2412022-04-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1612.1406-0.94%1.857-14.07%0.0843✓1.018.2M2022-04-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.7880.780388-0.97%0.7433-5.67%0.0061✓0.9619.0M2022-04-16
STXStacksnative1.281.2671-1.01%1.18-7.81%0.0149✓0.98608k2022-04-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.4315.2745-1.01%14.15-8.30%0.0121✓1.1225.7M2022-04-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.3718.1847-1.01%17.57-4.35%0.0253✗1.0418.5M2022-04-16
GITCOINGITCOIN6.6926.6244-1.01%6.15-8.10%0.0099✓1.4720k2022-04-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.70120.694113-1.01%0.5695-18.78%0.1263✓1.25797k2022-04-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12751.116-1.02%1.0961-2.78%0.0554✗1.2815.0M2022-04-16
XYMSymbolnative0.12430.122997-1.05%0.1164-6.36%0.0151✓0.70806k2022-04-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.3020.298805-1.06%0.2495-17.38%0.1053✓1.312.5M2022-04-16
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.2056-1.06%2.43-25.00%0.2167✓1.051.2M2022-04-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.815.6292-1.08%15.16-4.05%0.0025✓0.493.8M2022-04-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.5995-1.09%4.27-8.17%0.0072✓1.42824k2022-04-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.12460.12323-1.10%0.1157-7.14%0.0038✓1.17989k2022-04-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.1295.0705-1.14%5.143+0.27%0.1123✗1.712.5M2022-04-16
UMAUMAEthereum7.2777.1938-1.14%6.393-12.15%0.0355✓1.444.1M2022-04-16
LSKLiskEthereum2.22222.1965-1.16%2.1349-3.93%0.0206✗0.86122k2022-04-16
NANOnanopayBase2.4512.4224-1.17%2.1411-12.65%0.0592✓1.12275k2022-04-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.24520.242325-1.17%0.2347-4.28%0.0362✗1.193.2M2022-04-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05870.058004-1.19%0.0524-10.73%0.0048✓1.6940.5M2022-04-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2650.261794-1.21%0.243-8.30%0.0405✓0.5937k2022-04-16
ADACardanoCardano1.04531.0326-1.21%0.9514-8.98%0.0240✓1.0163.0M2022-04-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.0655-1.21%5.82-5.21%0.0000✓0.721.8M2022-04-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.7751.1416-1.21%47.41-8.42%0.0013✓1.308.6M2022-04-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.87995.8083-1.22%5.8604-0.33%0.0350✗0.46165k2022-04-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.027130.026797-1.23%0.01885-30.52%0.2678✓1.4757.1M2022-04-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.6215.4283-1.23%14.3-8.45%0.0009✓1.342.8M2022-04-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15270.150821-1.23%0.1379-9.69%0.0310✓1.02227k2022-04-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.079790.078806-1.23%0.07699-3.51%0.0237✗0.8246k2022-04-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38640.381624-1.24%0.3554-8.02%0.0040✓1.311.9M2022-04-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.46130.455493-1.26%0.4295-6.89%0.0208✗1.39794k2022-04-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.36-1.30%7.43-12.28%0.0756✓0.742.4M2022-04-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07910.078039-1.34%0.07608-3.82%0.0342✗1.04116k2022-04-16
PROPropyEthereum1.421.4009-1.34%2.05+44.37%0.4385✗1.01150k2022-04-16
COMPCompoundEthereum135.46133.5955-1.38%144.04+6.33%0.1408✗1.1462k2022-04-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.9741.3711-1.43%38.12-9.17%0.0189✓1.1016.0M2022-04-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4752.4397-1.43%2.235-9.70%0.0102✓1.359.1M2022-04-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74570.735043-1.43%0.6748-9.51%0.0265✓1.037.9M2022-04-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.019080.018797-1.49%0.0178-6.71%0.0027✓1.002.1M2022-04-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.025040.024655-1.54%0.02259-9.78%0.0424✓0.794.7M2022-04-16
LRCLoopringEthereum1.00960.994052-1.54%0.908-10.06%0.0120✓1.37870k2022-04-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7421.4049-1.54%21.65-0.41%0.0744✗1.108.9M2022-04-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5683.2447-1.56%77.78-8.02%0.0055✓1.28108.2M2022-04-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6671.6408-1.57%1.511-9.36%0.0254✓1.001.3M2022-04-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.802740.789953-1.59%0.727498-9.37%0.0200✓1.092.2M2022-04-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.2826.8369-1.62%24.18-11.36%0.0402✓1.1232.2M2022-04-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038070.037451-1.63%0.03601-5.41%0.0004✓0.68916k2022-04-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.3814.1454-1.63%14.87+3.41%0.0730✗0.402.6M2022-04-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.062.0261-1.64%2.06+0.00%0.0931✗1.341.2M2022-04-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.296005-1.66%0.267-11.30%0.0543✓0.8536k2022-04-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6428.162-1.67%26.85-6.25%0.0039✓0.90663k2022-04-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60534.5282-1.67%4.1373-10.16%0.0545✓0.639.1M2022-04-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24710.242875-1.71%0.2429-1.70%0.0729✗1.27383k2022-04-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.33872.2964-1.81%2.1507-8.04%0.0002✓1.141.5M2022-04-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.482.4346-1.83%2.2-11.29%0.0476✓0.94114k2022-04-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.9553.8825-1.83%4.238+7.16%0.1573✗1.22464k2022-04-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8031.7693-1.87%1.508-16.36%0.0833✓1.34479k2022-04-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.49665.3937-1.87%5.5774+1.47%0.0670✗0.597.0M2022-04-16
SOLSolanaSolana112.99110.8319-1.91%102.08-9.66%0.0105✓1.25112.7M2022-04-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.13621.1144-1.92%0.97354-14.32%0.0601✓1.311.4M2022-04-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.77040.755507-1.93%0.77427+0.50%0.0852✗1.06244k2022-04-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44410.435481-1.94%0.3996-10.02%0.0209✗1.872.3M2022-04-16
DIADIAEthereum0.930.911674-1.97%0.9-3.23%0.0126✓0.44186k2022-04-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.336.204-1.99%5.87-7.27%0.0140✓0.721.1M2022-04-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.15560.152464-2.02%0.14796-4.91%0.0156✓0.8016k2022-04-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00490.0048-2.03%0.00416-15.10%0.0705✓1.279.6M2022-04-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.165.0526-2.08%4.8-6.98%0.0018✓0.93650k2022-04-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.87864.7759-2.10%4.7844-1.93%0.0564✗0.95268k2022-04-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.880660.861968-2.12%0.82508-6.31%0.0135✓1.00342k2022-04-16
XTZTezosTezos3.20923.1358-2.29%3.2816+2.26%0.1069✗1.071.0M2022-04-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.89720.876509-2.31%0.7546-15.89%0.1212✓0.50690k2022-04-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24410.238441-2.32%0.2094-14.22%0.0012✓2.29872k2022-04-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.22580.220516-2.34%0.2033-9.96%0.0196✓1.08276k2022-04-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.70773.6208-2.34%4.4723+20.62%0.2585✗0.833.6M2022-04-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.09691.0709-2.37%1.017-7.28%0.0298✗1.42231k2022-04-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.2724.6619-2.41%22.92-9.30%0.0044✓1.36833k2022-04-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.02660.025958-2.41%0.027847+4.69%0.1103✗0.70194k2022-04-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.281.2491-2.42%1.1-14.06%0.0623✓1.13738k2022-04-16
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6811.6402-2.43%1.493-11.18%0.0397✓0.9561k2022-04-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.62362.5578-2.51%2.517-4.06%0.0262✗0.7411k2022-04-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2275.0875-2.67%4.731-9.49%0.0132✓1.04104k2022-04-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.666.4819-2.67%6.11-8.26%0.0258✓1.48665k2022-04-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36490.354779-2.77%0.3368-7.70%0.0321✗1.479.4M2022-04-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.35446.1741-2.84%5.5971-11.92%0.0350✓1.1021.4M2022-04-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.029120.028288-2.86%0.02381-18.23%0.1061✓1.16326k2022-04-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.586456-2.90%0.544-9.93%0.0103✓1.137.9M2022-04-16
ORCAOrcaSolana21.9416-2.92%1.9-5.00%0.0188✓0.71268k2022-04-16
LUNATerraTerra 297.4894.5783-2.98%81-16.91%0.0812✓1.299.5M2022-04-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.8176.5938-3.27%6.766-0.75%0.0902✗1.13435k2022-04-16
DODODODOEthereum0.4160.402044-3.35%0.41-1.44%0.0889✗1.216.6M2022-04-16
APEApeCoinEthereum10.97610.5943-3.48%11.666+6.29%0.1536✗1.0058.2M2022-04-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07410.071522-3.48%0.0682-7.96%0.0210✓1.20429k2022-04-16
BANDBandEthereum4.1864.0358-3.59%3.75-10.42%0.0038✓1.22733k2022-04-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.039150.037632-3.88%0.035963-8.14%0.0149✓1.054.1M2022-04-16
MOVRMoonriverBase66.43463.7428-4.05%62.2516-6.30%0.0598✗1.46192k2022-04-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.699336-4.20%0.66-9.59%0.0298✓1.53510k2022-04-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.7164.5099-4.37%4.52-4.16%0.0356✓0.583.7M2022-04-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.86e-78.46e-7-4.59%9.58e-7+8.10%0.1003✗-0.43715k2022-04-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.