8=======>

2022-04-05 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0556
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.8%
in alpha space · 87.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013250.013433+1.38%0.01191-10.11%0.0377✗0.6519k2022-04-12
TRXTRONTron0.0692720.069791+0.75%0.059892-13.54%0.0754✗0.61331k2022-04-12
XYMSymbolnative0.14390.144958+0.73%0.1148-20.22%0.1478✗0.67736k2022-04-12
XEMNEMnative0.11470.115431+0.64%0.0987-13.95%0.0461✗0.8755k2022-04-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.4195.6454+0.25%82.88-13.13%0.0458✗0.772.8M2022-04-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.24760.248182+0.24%0.1879-24.11%0.1336✗1.143.1M2022-04-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.051210.05133+0.23%0.04342-15.21%0.0674✗0.7931k2022-04-12
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002124+0.21%0.00000183-13.68%0.0666✗0.6510.9M2022-04-12
MINAMina Protocolnative3.253.2539+0.12%2.4-26.15%0.1706✗1.06877k2022-04-12
SCSiacoinnative0.012630.012644+0.11%0.01007-20.27%0.0851✗1.12540k2022-04-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0754.0786+0.09%3.789-7.02%0.0224✓0.762.5M2022-04-12
KCSKuCoinnative21.06521.0797+0.07%19.16-9.04%0.0158✓0.885.4M2022-04-12
QTUMQtumQtum7.8157.8166+0.02%6.4455-17.52%0.0509✗1.12202k2022-04-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5475.5468-0.00%5.074-8.53%0.0325✗0.9684k2022-04-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.890.889834-0.02%0.782-12.13%0.0147✓0.902.0M2022-04-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.087310.08728-0.03%0.07681-12.03%0.0293✓0.7846k2022-04-12
GTGateEthereum6.98146.9786-0.04%6.3887-8.49%0.0148✓0.584.7M2022-04-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.5038-0.10%5.9-9.37%0.0078✓0.711.7M2022-04-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.6052.6013-0.14%2.219-14.82%0.0646✓0.7420k2022-04-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4491.4467-0.16%1.264-12.77%0.0239✓0.883.1M2022-04-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055950.055854-0.17%0.05116-8.56%0.0421✗1.02572k2022-04-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1474.1395-0.18%3.671-11.48%0.0414✓0.623.1M2022-04-12
XMRMoneroMonero222.25221.8287-0.19%232.3+4.52%0.1605✗0.901.5M2022-04-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,506.5045,406.53-0.22%40,086.23-11.91%0.0022✓1.00643.4M2022-04-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1726890.172262-0.25%0.138099-20.03%0.1215✓0.783.1M2022-04-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,530.8045,415.96-0.25%40,155.10-11.81%0.0019✓0.9630k2022-04-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9515.9047-0.28%13.27-16.80%0.0294✓1.201.2M2022-04-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026760.000026676-0.31%0.00002691+0.56%0.1522✗1.132.4M2022-04-12
XVSVenusEthereum12.612.5576-0.34%9.69-23.10%0.1235✓1.073.9M2022-04-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.6729-0.40%5.99-10.60%0.0095✓0.781.9M2022-04-12
XLMStellarStellar0.2250570.22409-0.43%0.192604-14.42%0.0277✓0.9819.6M2022-04-12
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.072-0.44%3.22-21.27%0.0839✓1.197.6M2022-04-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28980.288514-0.44%0.2456-15.25%0.0543✓0.841.8M2022-04-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72280.71957-0.45%0.6226-13.86%0.0204✗1.30695k2022-04-12
AVTAventusEthereum3.163.1455-0.46%2.55-19.30%0.1559✓0.43376k2022-04-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161740.016098-0.47%0.014431-10.78%0.0006✓0.8620k2022-04-12
LRCLoopringEthereum1.10271.0975-0.47%0.9183-16.72%0.0075✓1.35856k2022-04-12
KSMKusamaHydration179.78178.9112-0.48%153.75-14.48%0.0150✓1.08974k2022-04-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.682.6664-0.51%2.28-14.93%0.0306✓0.99160k2022-04-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11850.117871-0.53%0.1311+10.63%0.2374✗1.03201k2022-04-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash365.33363.385-0.53%304.99-16.52%0.0570✓0.938.5M2022-04-12
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1211.0566-0.57%9.31-16.28%0.0408✓1.037.7M2022-04-12
XECeCashnative0.000110970.000110314-0.59%0.00009105-17.95%0.0731✓0.949.0M2022-04-12
DASHDashDash126.99126.2392-0.59%102.38-19.38%0.0932✓0.922.7M2022-04-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59270.589136-0.60%0.5188-12.47%0.0381✓0.70440k2022-04-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014130.014034-0.68%0.01118-20.88%0.0779✓1.184.1M2022-04-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.45960.456402-0.70%0.373-18.84%0.0579✓1.1312.3M2022-04-12
XVGVergenative0.012680.012589-0.72%0.01015-19.95%0.0693✓1.152.2M2022-04-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.41061.4001-0.75%1.0306-26.94%0.1285✓1.40211k2022-04-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.2087.1519-0.78%5.983-17.00%0.0981✓0.632.0M2022-04-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.147.0831-0.80%6.02-15.69%0.0723✓0.711.1M2022-04-12
QNTQuantEthereum133.48132.3935-0.81%116.24-12.92%0.0157✓0.904.3M2022-04-12
FTTFTXEthereum48.5548.1407-0.84%41.78-13.94%0.0110✓1.0314.3M2022-04-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.027340.027109-0.85%0.02318-15.22%0.0588✓0.774.5M2022-04-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.8352.811-0.85%2.235-21.16%0.1201✓0.8687k2022-04-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.27831.2675-0.85%1.0448-18.27%0.0552✓1.09156k2022-04-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.1340.132834-0.87%0.1148-14.33%0.0038✓1.18987k2022-04-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020990.020806-0.88%0.01763-16.01%0.0386✓1.002.1M2022-04-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.028940.028679-0.90%0.02048-29.23%0.1439✓1.5252.9M2022-04-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,562.7023,348.55-0.91%18,841.76-20.04%0.0758✓1.096.5M2022-04-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.331.0053-0.94%26.41-15.62%0.0472✓0.89690k2022-04-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative44.443.9683-0.97%38.13-14.12%0.0109✓1.0413.3M2022-04-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.0620.8551-0.97%16.61-21.13%0.1011✓1.0018.5M2022-04-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112730.111633-0.97%0.0952-15.55%0.0571✓0.8127k2022-04-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.560.554511-0.98%0.4628-17.36%0.1690✓0.095,2242022-04-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.31250.309425-0.98%0.2498-20.06%0.0538✓1.262.0M2022-04-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840890.832541-0.99%0.72214-14.12%0.0106✓1.04244k2022-04-12
COMPCompoundEthereum153.42151.8926-1.00%129.07-15.87%0.0202✓1.1262k2022-04-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1331.1217-1.00%0.843-25.60%0.1222✓1.292.8M2022-04-12
UMAUMAEthereum7.8417.7618-1.01%6.457-17.65%0.0057✓1.414.7M2022-04-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75025.692-1.01%5.711-0.68%0.0657✗0.49163k2022-04-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.24860.246072-1.02%0.2014-18.99%0.0749✓0.99259k2022-04-12
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3947.3185-1.02%5.944-19.61%0.0273✓1.4322k2022-04-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.35.2457-1.02%4.24-20.00%0.0381✓1.38824k2022-04-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16680.165084-1.03%0.1391-16.61%0.0429✓1.01227k2022-04-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9321.9119-1.04%2.411+24.79%0.3518✗0.953.5M2022-04-12
NANOnanopayBase2.71112.6829-1.04%2.2688-16.31%0.0255✓1.12246k2022-04-12
ZENHorizenBase46.0945.6088-1.04%38.22-17.08%0.0108✓1.31508k2022-04-12
ETHEthereumEthereum3,407.003,370.67-1.07%3,027.82-11.13%0.0282✗1.07491.5M2022-04-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.76121.4293-1.08%104.92-14.53%0.0189✓1.0026.1M2022-04-12
ZECZcashZcash165.55163.7349-1.10%147.35-10.99%0.0135✗0.9415.7M2022-04-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.6314.4687-1.10%13.73-6.15%0.0062✓0.363.0M2022-04-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.7821.5327-1.14%17.77-18.41%0.0576✓1.0622.8M2022-04-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.51430.508405-1.15%0.4197-18.39%0.0649✓1.00858k2022-04-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83480.824978-1.18%0.7262-13.01%0.0077✓0.9418.6M2022-04-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.43352.4044-1.19%2.1208-12.85%0.0231✓0.81166k2022-04-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.469.3463-1.20%8.58-9.30%0.0043✓0.712.4M2022-04-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6026.5223-1.21%4.559-30.95%0.2313✓1.002.6M2022-04-12
STXStacksnative1.41.3829-1.22%1.15-17.86%0.0636✓0.95610k2022-04-12
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5403-1.26%1.3-16.67%0.0416✓1.01167k2022-04-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.1615.9515-1.29%15.42-4.58%0.0235✗0.453.7M2022-04-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.5226.1746-1.30%20.17-23.94%0.0962✓1.30298k2022-04-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.95.8227-1.31%4.807-18.53%0.1455✓0.366.3M2022-04-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum61.6460.8286-1.32%47.29-23.28%0.0918✓1.266.3M2022-04-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8391.8148-1.32%1.516-17.56%0.0590✓0.951.3M2022-04-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.090850.08965-1.32%0.07789-14.27%0.0155✓0.99116k2022-04-12
AAVEAaveEthereum221.05218.0893-1.34%164.52-25.57%0.1243✓1.2414.4M2022-04-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.28491.2676-1.35%1.0452-18.66%0.0255✓1.321.4M2022-04-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.34540.340604-1.39%0.2793-19.14%0.0615✓1.08389k2022-04-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.7516.5166-1.39%13.97-16.60%0.0291✓1.0926.4M2022-04-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.56322.5273-1.40%2.153-16.00%0.0180✓1.121.5M2022-04-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.979280.965433-1.41%0.82448-15.81%0.0310✓1.00398k2022-04-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56664.5016-1.42%4.0322-11.70%0.0327✓0.615.5M2022-04-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.27410.270192-1.43%0.236-13.90%0.0085✓1.00483k2022-04-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.26661.2485-1.43%1.085-14.34%0.0148✗1.2214.9M2022-04-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.8724.5129-1.44%19.46-21.75%0.0970✓1.067.7M2022-04-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.784-1.44%1.359-24.92%0.1213✓1.193.7M2022-04-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8057680.793541-1.52%0.711725-11.67%0.0269✗1.071.9M2022-04-12
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0439-1.52%0.89-16.04%0.1096✓0.39172k2022-04-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.0410.040365-1.55%0.03826-6.68%0.0332✗0.68987k2022-04-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45330.446216-1.56%0.3589-20.83%0.0588✓1.251.7M2022-04-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82310.809849-1.61%0.6654-19.16%0.0702✓1.007.9M2022-04-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2180.214446-1.63%0.265+21.56%0.2844✗0.5730k2022-04-12
HIVEHivenative1.06991.0524-1.64%0.9106-14.89%0.0103✓1.062.1M2022-04-12
ADACardanoCardano1.17051.1512-1.65%0.9545-18.45%0.0634✓0.9863.5M2022-04-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.1316.0238-1.75%4.953-19.21%0.0345✓1.276.1M2022-04-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3180.312314-1.79%0.279-12.26%0.0092✓0.8233k2022-04-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.8618.5216-1.79%14.27-24.34%0.0958✓1.302.9M2022-04-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.328.7627-1.83%24.64-15.90%0.0154✓1.1037.0M2022-04-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5450.534971-1.84%0.462-15.23%0.0107✓1.077.0M2022-04-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.38025.2808-1.85%5.2461-2.49%0.0618✗0.545.7M2022-04-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.97960.961122-1.89%0.817-16.60%0.1116✓0.40676k2022-04-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08750.085843-1.89%0.0676-22.74%0.0914✓1.16447k2022-04-12
DODODODOEthereum0.5050.495439-1.89%0.385-23.76%0.1091✓1.134.2M2022-04-12
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3342.2887-1.94%1.838-21.25%0.0935✓0.9910.0M2022-04-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.25910.254005-1.97%0.2275-12.20%0.0359✗1.153.1M2022-04-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche91.0789.2499-2.00%76.36-16.15%0.0068✓1.28103.7M2022-04-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167510.164147-2.01%0.14203-15.21%0.0408✓0.8218k2022-04-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.342.2928-2.02%1.98-15.38%0.0174✓1.29984k2022-04-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9561.9164-2.02%1.461-25.31%0.1616✓0.8753k2022-04-12
RADRadworksEthereum5.615.4877-2.18%4.67-16.76%0.0438✓0.93533k2022-04-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.034240.033492-2.18%0.02637-22.98%0.1002✓1.09248k2022-04-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.27030.264385-2.19%0.1996-26.16%0.1543✓1.001.2M2022-04-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8062.7438-2.22%2.22-20.88%0.0442✓1.329.4M2022-04-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1736.0284-2.34%4.726-23.44%0.1182✓0.99101k2022-04-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.3526.7056-2.36%23.83-12.87%0.0567✗1.35752k2022-04-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.00932.9354-2.46%3.8387+27.56%0.3625✗0.743.6M2022-04-12
XTZTezosTezos3.67633.5851-2.48%3.064-16.66%0.0250✓1.041.0M2022-04-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005060.004931-2.55%0.00413-18.38%0.0144✓1.287.3M2022-04-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.52840.514441-2.64%0.4132-21.80%0.0125✓1.832.3M2022-04-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.451.4117-2.64%1.08-25.52%0.1242✓1.13978k2022-04-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.46815.3224-2.66%4.4279-19.02%0.0706✓0.89268k2022-04-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.367.1638-2.67%5.95-19.16%0.0020✓1.45665k2022-04-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.63552.563-2.75%2.4671-6.39%0.0527✗0.7212k2022-04-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06190.060183-2.77%0.0524-15.35%0.0718✗1.6644.1M2022-04-12
MOVRMoonriverBase77.525875.3434-2.82%58.2436-24.87%0.0740✓1.45175k2022-04-12
ORCAOrcaSolana2.232.1672-2.82%1.88-15.70%0.0554✓0.68282k2022-04-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3474.2235-2.84%3.674-15.48%0.0077✓1.16417k2022-04-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6971.6478-2.90%1.559-8.13%0.1125✗1.32463k2022-04-12
SOLSolanaSolana126.9123.2062-2.91%103.31-18.59%0.0195✓1.2498.1M2022-04-12
LUNATerraTerra 2116.27112.8504-2.94%84.61-27.23%0.1227✓1.309.3M2022-04-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0415170.040285-2.97%0.035245-15.11%0.0006✓1.053.9M2022-04-12
BANDBandEthereum5.0464.8899-3.09%3.789-24.91%0.1053✓1.18663k2022-04-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5011.4532-3.19%1.129-24.78%0.1382✓0.901.4M2022-04-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0293980.028415-3.34%0.027052-7.98%0.0511✗0.79187k2022-04-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.71937.4596-3.36%5.8174-24.64%0.1262✓0.9728.7M2022-04-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43580.419317-3.78%0.3448-20.88%0.0124✓1.4510.3M2022-04-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.5917.3029-3.80%6.455-14.97%0.0073✓1.03441k2022-04-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.749981-3.85%0.64-17.95%0.0376✓1.55438k2022-04-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.72e-77.40e-7-4.16%8.33e-7+7.85%0.0729✗-0.36959k2022-04-12
API3Api3Ethereum5.6315.3938-4.21%4.104-27.12%0.1993✓0.583.9M2022-04-12
APEApeCoinEthereum11.63111.1357-4.26%11.589-0.36%0.1667✗1.0064.8M2022-04-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.