8=======>

2022-03-24 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0955
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.8%
in alpha space · 20.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.83047.2744-7.10%6.8863-12.06%0.0933✓1.1428.1M2022-03-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.653348-6.66%0.82+17.14%0.1754✗1.53413k2022-03-31
ORCAOrcaSolana2.292.1412-6.50%2.3+0.44%0.0483✓0.69192k2022-03-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.4022.27-5.49%2.8148+17.19%0.1900✗0.7413k2022-03-31
API3Api3Ethereum5.144.8786-5.09%5.195+1.07%0.0417✓0.625.1M2022-03-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36330.345115-5.01%0.4968+36.75%0.3149✗1.468.4M2022-03-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0840.079927-4.85%0.0852+1.43%0.0235✓1.19308k2022-03-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010910.000001039-4.76%8.72e-7-20.12%0.1596✓-0.481.3M2022-03-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004184-4.70%0.00431-1.82%0.0150✓1.325.3M2022-03-31
MOVRMoonriverBase62.487159.6957-4.47%66.8749+7.02%0.0681✗1.34154k2022-03-31
BANDBandEthereum4.1193.9375-4.41%4.893+18.79%0.1798✗1.11582k2022-03-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037720.036087-4.33%0.03269-13.34%0.1265✓0.82213k2022-03-31
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1622.0729-4.12%2.352+8.79%0.0940✗0.954.9M2022-03-31
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9081.831-4.03%1.839-3.62%0.0238✓0.8350k2022-03-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum70.3467.5149-4.02%63.53-9.68%0.1051✓1.314.8M2022-03-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.063354-4.01%0.0684+3.64%0.0187✓1.7144.1M2022-03-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.551.4886-3.96%1.41-9.03%0.0913✓1.09553k2022-03-31
XTZTezosTezos3.52813.3907-3.89%3.7255+5.60%0.0573✗1.091.1M2022-03-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2865.0804-3.89%6.001+13.53%0.1347✗0.9493k2022-03-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.9626.8844-3.85%27.75-0.75%0.0114✓1.27735k2022-03-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.161720.155976-3.55%0.16325+0.95%0.0170✓0.8414k2022-03-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0420360.040547-3.54%0.041867-0.40%0.0001✓0.954.1M2022-03-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43370.419143-3.36%0.5827+34.36%0.2678✗1.822.1M2022-03-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.22080.213456-3.33%0.2832+28.26%0.2441✗1.142.2M2022-03-31
DODODODOEthereum0.4580.442795-3.32%0.518+13.10%0.1196✗1.102.9M2022-03-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.497.2414-3.32%7.31-2.40%0.0372✓1.38447k2022-03-31
XECeCashnative0.000084050.000081403-3.15%0.00009285+10.47%0.0990✗0.965.4M2022-03-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.6971.6437-3.14%2.101+23.81%0.2116✗1.001.6M2022-03-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79560.770614-3.14%1.071+34.62%0.3175✗0.34620k2022-03-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14310.138607-3.14%0.2417+68.90%0.5166✗1.172.1M2022-03-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.22725.0682-3.04%5.4868+4.97%0.0480✗0.93264k2022-03-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.1696.9518-3.03%7.52+4.90%0.0447✗1.00462k2022-03-31
LUNATerraTerra 293.8391.0397-2.97%102.96+9.73%0.0780✗1.339.2M2022-03-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.112.048-2.94%2.24+6.16%0.0464✗1.28906k2022-03-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.288.0381-2.92%9.25+11.71%0.1166✗0.702.9M2022-03-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6841.6349-2.92%1.795+6.59%0.0479✗1.35451k2022-03-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.01835.843-2.91%5.834-3.06%0.0154✓0.41179k2022-03-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.8465.6798-2.84%6.639+13.56%0.1222✗1.00542k2022-03-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.040320.03919-2.80%0.03531-12.43%0.1569✓1.5528.1M2022-03-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5907610.574417-2.77%0.773803+30.98%0.2630✗1.031.6M2022-03-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin126.52123.029-2.76%123.87-2.09%0.0275✓1.0125.9M2022-03-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38531.3472-2.75%1.3868+0.11%0.0165✓1.34201k2022-03-31
LRCLoopringEthereum1.08241.053-2.71%1.1619+7.34%0.0535✗1.33111k2022-03-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2825.1403-2.68%6.818+29.08%0.2397✗1.263.3M2022-03-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.31420.305933-2.63%0.3602+14.64%0.1249✗1.13236k2022-03-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.10680.10401-2.61%0.1229+15.07%0.1245✗1.25550k2022-03-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash366.47356.9873-2.59%384.15+4.82%0.0409✗0.967.6M2022-03-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.12363.0431-2.58%3.2595+4.35%0.0415✗0.804.0M2022-03-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.846.665-2.56%6.73-1.61%0.0155✓0.74814k2022-03-31
ADACardanoCardano1.13141.1026-2.54%1.1417+0.91%0.0007✓1.0160.9M2022-03-31
SOLSolanaSolana102.3899.8348-2.49%122.86+20.00%0.1646✗1.2789.9M2022-03-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.021280.020758-2.45%0.02088-1.88%0.0292✓1.031.4M2022-03-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6291.5899-2.40%1.775+8.96%0.0771✗0.97644k2022-03-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38880.37948-2.40%0.4674+20.22%0.1644✗1.301.1M2022-03-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15770.153943-2.38%0.1579+0.13%0.0098✓1.04215k2022-03-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.6419.1728-2.38%24.45+24.49%0.2099✗0.986.0M2022-03-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche87.6185.5294-2.37%97.42+11.20%0.0866✗1.29115.7M2022-03-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.5313.2104-2.36%16.52+22.10%0.2076✗0.472.4M2022-03-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7131.6726-2.36%2.033+18.68%0.1617✗0.992.4M2022-03-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.1417.7122-2.36%18.07-0.39%0.0245✓1.312.8M2022-03-31
ZECZcashZcash193.05188.514-2.35%178.39-7.59%0.0885✓0.9815.0M2022-03-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66970.654167-2.32%0.6676-0.31%0.0234✓1.29447k2022-03-31
MANADecentralandEthereum2.69592.634-2.29%2.6098-3.19%0.0484✓1.161.3M2022-03-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22390.218763-2.29%0.2457+9.74%0.0823✗1.001.5M2022-03-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.16954.0741-2.29%4.2237+1.30%0.0141✓0.654.7M2022-03-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0137050.013391-2.29%0.016106+17.52%0.1537✗0.9112k2022-03-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.856650.837068-2.29%0.86577+1.06%0.0027✓1.08118k2022-03-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.90443.8155-2.28%4.4084+12.91%0.1244✗0.593.8M2022-03-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079710.077901-2.27%0.09501+19.19%0.1629✗1.0568k2022-03-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.8662.8013-2.26%2.998+4.61%0.0340✗1.0053k2022-03-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.260.254268-2.20%0.283+8.85%0.0800✗0.8022k2022-03-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6180.60444-2.19%0.609-1.46%0.0304✓1.122.7M2022-03-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.25150.246173-2.12%0.2541+1.03%0.0022✓1.00181k2022-03-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.2340.229073-2.11%0.2732+16.75%0.1338✗1.251.8M2022-03-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative48.6447.6161-2.11%47.48-2.38%0.0386✓1.053.9M2022-03-31
QNTQuantEthereum136.28133.4135-2.10%137.61+0.98%0.0001✓0.924.2M2022-03-31
ZENHorizenBase45.3744.4167-2.10%48.75+7.45%0.0491✗1.30362k2022-03-31
AVTAventusEthereum2.622.565-2.10%2.68+2.29%0.0299✗0.41341k2022-03-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0981.075-2.10%1.1908+8.45%0.0607✗1.236.4M2022-03-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.581.5473-2.07%1.594+0.89%0.0115✓1.224.0M2022-03-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8462.7884-2.02%3.115+9.45%0.0717✗1.15430k2022-03-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077710.076139-2.02%0.09183+18.17%0.1606✗0.7914k2022-03-31
AAVEAaveEthereum168.07164.7401-1.98%207+23.16%0.1864✗1.249.7M2022-03-31
QTUMQtumQtum7.86747.712-1.98%8.2842+5.30%0.0333✗1.13102k2022-03-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.040320.039526-1.97%0.0405+0.45%0.0016✓0.67985k2022-03-31
MINAMina Protocolnative2.582.5294-1.96%2.65+2.71%0.0117✓1.03368k2022-03-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.440.431403-1.95%0.4698+6.77%0.0463✗1.1510.0M2022-03-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7129.1314-1.95%31.27+5.25%0.0404✗0.90710k2022-03-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89160.874318-1.94%0.9295+4.25%0.0278✗0.9916.8M2022-03-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103470.101483-1.92%0.12603+21.80%0.1867✗0.8827k2022-03-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.3313.0788-1.88%13.89+4.20%0.0462✗0.413.0M2022-03-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.60670.595292-1.88%0.6406+5.59%0.0395✗1.005,0372022-03-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80520.790128-1.87%0.8523+5.85%0.0441✗0.937.1M2022-03-31
GITCOINGITCOIN7.4527.3143-1.85%7.189-3.53%0.0633✓1.3623k2022-03-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9530.935408-1.85%1.212+27.18%0.2137✗1.342.4M2022-03-31
UMAUMAEthereum7.9077.7621-1.83%7.803-1.32%0.0389✓1.306.1M2022-03-31
KSMKusamaHydration162.8159.8338-1.82%188.49+15.78%0.1270✗1.12719k2022-03-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9383.8664-1.82%4.122+4.67%0.0431✗0.621.4M2022-03-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3832.3402-1.79%2.638+10.70%0.0749✗1.339.3M2022-03-31
NANOnanopayBase2.32442.2829-1.79%2.4796+6.68%0.0444✗1.13142k2022-03-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24230.237979-1.78%0.285+17.62%0.1464✗1.00379k2022-03-31
ETHEthereumEthereum3,112.523,057.37-1.77%3,283.08+5.48%0.0354✗1.06501.7M2022-03-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.49370.485048-1.75%0.5527+11.95%0.0967✗1.001.3M2022-03-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.744.657-1.75%6+26.58%0.2059✗1.40412k2022-03-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.726.6043-1.72%7.78+15.77%0.1385✗0.751.6M2022-03-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012380.012167-1.72%0.01361+9.94%0.0707✗1.223.3M2022-03-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.3496.2404-1.71%6.061-4.54%0.0451✓0.477.4M2022-03-31
FTTFTXEthereum49.4748.6416-1.67%48.83-1.29%0.0315✓1.0414.1M2022-03-31
STXStacksnative1.381.3569-1.67%1.44+4.35%0.0277✗0.94481k2022-03-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.2728.7822-1.67%28.9-1.26%0.0337✓1.1141.1M2022-03-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4785.3869-1.66%8.197+49.63%0.3971✗0.671.0M2022-03-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.1715.9028-1.65%16.93+4.70%0.0273✗1.0429.8M2022-03-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.4319.1113-1.64%21+8.08%0.0612✗0.9714.5M2022-03-31
SUSHISushiEthereum3.673.6105-1.62%4.41+20.16%0.1619✗1.126.4M2022-03-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.2520.9073-1.61%21.35+0.47%0.0158✓1.0923.2M2022-03-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026516-1.61%0.02695+0.00%0.0095✓0.762.8M2022-03-31
DASHDashDash130.02127.9489-1.59%127.13-2.22%0.0389✓0.961.8M2022-03-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.27542.2401-1.55%2.5204+10.76%0.0912✗0.79131k2022-03-31
HIVEHivenative1.02481.009-1.54%1.2151+18.57%0.1483✗1.112.0M2022-03-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4215-1.51%6.53+0.15%0.0077✓0.721.6M2022-03-31
XVSVenusEthereum10.4410.2854-1.48%11.81+13.12%0.1025✗1.052.9M2022-03-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.592.552-1.47%2.68+3.47%0.0157✗0.98146k2022-03-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7653.7099-1.46%3.891+3.35%0.0221✗0.751.7M2022-03-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026490.026121-1.39%0.03408+28.65%0.2288✗1.10197k2022-03-31
XVGVergenative0.010650.010503-1.38%0.01339+25.73%0.2042✗1.141.7M2022-03-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7821.4814-1.37%25.7+18.00%0.1349✗1.31246k2022-03-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024690.000024355-1.36%0.00002586+4.74%0.0210✗1.152.3M2022-03-31
RADRadworksEthereum5.024.9536-1.32%5.41+7.77%0.0586✗0.87493k2022-03-31
PROPropyEthereum1.591.569-1.32%1.57-1.26%0.0333✓1.00228k2022-03-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.8415.6324-1.31%15.65-1.20%0.0386✓1.17611k2022-03-31
UNIUniswapEthereum10.7910.6503-1.29%11.29+4.63%0.0238✗1.026.1M2022-03-31
COMPCompoundEthereum119.41117.8848-1.28%149.85+25.49%0.2014✗1.1450k2022-03-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2151050.212398-1.26%0.228422+6.19%0.0397✗0.9817.0M2022-03-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26870.265378-1.24%0.2695+0.30%0.0124✓0.821.9M2022-03-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1369670.13528-1.23%0.138112+0.84%0.0071✓0.822.6M2022-03-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.0689.954-1.21%94.5+3.78%0.0237✗0.761.3M2022-03-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.18191.1678-1.19%1.3386+13.27%0.0983✗1.13112k2022-03-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056480.055817-1.17%0.05488-2.83%0.0526✓1.05541k2022-03-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3521.3372-1.09%1.51+11.69%0.0886✗0.972.9M2022-03-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.3632.3377-1.07%2.756+16.63%0.1380✗0.7920k2022-03-31
DIADIAEthereum1.010.999402-1.05%1.1+8.91%0.0831✗0.38169k2022-03-31
SCSiacoinnative0.010290.010183-1.04%0.01207+17.30%0.1331✗1.09441k2022-03-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3236.2606-0.99%6.029-4.65%0.0700✓0.9585k2022-03-31
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001971-0.98%0.00000214+7.54%0.0610✗0.6312.1M2022-03-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,012.2943,595.73-0.95%45,528.45+3.44%0.0095✓1.00680.6M2022-03-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53680.531973-0.90%0.5966+11.14%0.0900✗0.73376k2022-03-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1150.113996-0.87%0.174+51.30%0.4038✗0.5625k2022-03-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013360.013247-0.85%0.01312-1.80%0.0329✓0.699,5442022-03-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07930.078669-0.80%0.0836+5.42%0.0287✗0.95146k2022-03-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,010.9043,676.68-0.76%45,846.40+4.17%0.0158✗0.9653k2022-03-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.1531.1444-0.75%1.2649+9.71%0.0572✗1.271.5M2022-03-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,219.9721,063.30-0.74%22,229.80+4.76%0.0162✗1.115.9M2022-03-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043490.04317-0.73%0.05271+21.20%0.1713✗0.8422k2022-03-31
XMRMoneroMonero203.77202.3185-0.71%212.94+4.50%0.0199✗0.921.7M2022-03-31
XYMSymbolnative0.14260.141634-0.68%0.1461+2.45%0.0048✓0.78301k2022-03-31
KCSKuCoinnative18.83318.7097-0.65%20.465+8.67%0.0601✗0.875.4M2022-03-31
TRXTRONTron0.0656630.065247-0.63%0.073796+12.39%0.1015✗0.64259k2022-03-31
GTGateEthereum6.49256.4589-0.52%6.6752+2.81%0.0116✗0.634.1M2022-03-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7260.722786-0.44%0.915+26.03%0.2042✗0.932.0M2022-03-31
XEMNEMnative0.10910.108814-0.26%0.1183+8.43%0.0556✗0.8342k2022-03-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.