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2022-03-16 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0990
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
19.2%
in alpha space · 7.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.85568.2034-7.36%8.2965-6.31%0.0309✓1.0043.8M2022-03-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021060.019571-7.07%0.0444+110.83%0.7519✗1.5913.0M2022-03-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10721.9596-7.00%2.4625+16.86%0.1987✗0.7016k2022-03-23
ORCAOrcaSolana2.11.9707-6.16%2.15+2.38%0.0587✓0.67192k2022-03-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001290.000001213-5.95%0.00000116-10.11%0.0874✓1.001.7M2022-03-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.31918-5.23%0.3759+11.61%0.1004✗1.5010.5M2022-03-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.081.0253-5.07%1.39+28.70%0.2611✗1.02532k2022-03-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6111.5319-4.91%1.801+11.79%0.1277✗0.8150k2022-03-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.14730.140159-4.85%0.15722+6.73%0.0790✗0.8515k2022-03-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.590216-4.80%0.7+12.90%0.1084✗1.47547k2022-03-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6461.573-4.44%2.265+37.61%0.3243✗0.963.4M2022-03-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06190.059224-4.32%0.0655+5.82%0.0283✓1.7242.5M2022-03-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.067394-4.13%0.0759+7.97%0.0684✗1.20377k2022-03-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4470.428675-4.10%0.652+45.86%0.3728✗1.101.8M2022-03-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003480.003342-3.97%0.0043+23.56%0.1916✗1.435.2M2022-03-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036220.034814-3.88%0.03928+8.45%0.0903✗0.72979k2022-03-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0116830.011234-3.84%0.013267+13.56%0.1269✗0.9411k2022-03-23
BANDBandEthereum3.6423.5065-3.72%4.028+10.60%0.0925✗1.09637k2022-03-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0407050.039322-3.40%0.04101+0.75%0.0021✓0.955.1M2022-03-23
MOVRMoonriverBase51.812350.0881-3.33%62.4298+20.49%0.1640✗1.33166k2022-03-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71080.68733-3.30%0.7758+9.14%0.1068✗0.34768k2022-03-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.04995.8639-3.07%6.0468-0.05%0.0133✓0.41189k2022-03-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07320.070972-3.04%0.07674+4.84%0.0448✗0.799,6412022-03-23
LUNATerraTerra 289.1786.4652-3.03%94.83+6.35%0.0340✗1.388.8M2022-03-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4882.4128-3.02%2.74+10.13%0.0850✗1.0052k2022-03-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1280.12425-2.93%0.1425+11.33%0.0871✗1.182.4M2022-03-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.282.2133-2.93%2.4+5.26%0.0631✗0.42302k2022-03-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.372518-2.86%0.4731+23.36%0.1578✗1.932.1M2022-03-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4131.3726-2.86%1.442+2.05%0.0084✓1.37289k2022-03-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.23940.232722-2.79%0.2496+4.26%0.0278✓1.00174k2022-03-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.511.468-2.78%1.614+6.89%0.0528✗1.00593k2022-03-23
NANOnanopayBase2.30372.2401-2.76%2.2764-1.19%0.0343✓1.19119k2022-03-23
ZECZcashZcash154.1149.8768-2.74%181.99+18.10%0.1540✗0.959.0M2022-03-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06072.9771-2.73%3.1827+3.99%0.0330✗0.804.9M2022-03-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.1545.9899-2.67%6.941+12.79%0.1052✗1.00462k2022-03-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.8311.5176-2.64%13.31+12.51%0.1225✗0.531.2M2022-03-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011170.010882-2.58%0.01182+5.82%0.0318✗1.213.1M2022-03-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.598.3695-2.57%8.26-3.84%0.0435✓0.721.5M2022-03-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7334.6122-2.55%5.16+9.02%0.0734✗0.92106k2022-03-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1861.156-2.53%1.633+37.69%0.3064✗0.931.0M2022-03-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.7434.6243-2.50%5.084+7.19%0.0684✗0.637.0M2022-03-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.20370.198685-2.46%0.2141+5.11%0.0255✗1.172.3M2022-03-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.08153.9817-2.45%3.9164-4.05%0.0428✓0.623.9M2022-03-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.5722.5096-2.42%2.791+8.51%0.0585✗1.13555k2022-03-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094660.092426-2.36%0.09904+4.63%0.0324✗0.8730k2022-03-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.073080.071362-2.35%0.07641+4.56%0.0240✗1.0560k2022-03-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1312.8304-2.28%13.17+0.30%0.0080✓0.433.1M2022-03-23
XTZTezosTezos3.10133.0307-2.28%3.4569+11.47%0.0856✗1.091.2M2022-03-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.820980.802353-2.27%0.83596+1.82%0.0062✓1.12111k2022-03-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4614.3601-2.26%4.1918-6.03%0.0675✓0.672.8M2022-03-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.49840.487224-2.24%0.59+18.38%0.1492✗1.004,7232022-03-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4550.444874-2.23%0.4244-6.73%0.0974✓1.198.8M2022-03-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9753.887-2.21%4.014+0.98%0.0052✓0.64488k2022-03-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.9728.3341-2.19%28.26-2.45%0.0506✓1.1442.9M2022-03-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.72370.707827-2.19%0.782+8.06%0.0582✗0.987.5M2022-03-23
AAVEAaveEthereum141.71138.6077-2.19%156.07+10.13%0.0655✗1.267.2M2022-03-23
PROPropyEthereum1.461.4283-2.17%1.56+6.85%0.0439✗1.05228k2022-03-23
UMAUMAEthereum7.8087.64-2.15%7.615-2.47%0.0583✓1.306.0M2022-03-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.7716-2.12%2.1+16.02%0.1162✗1.281.3M2022-03-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2164.1281-2.09%5.38+27.61%0.2122✗1.252.4M2022-03-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3223.8244-2.04%28.49+17.15%0.1255✗1.26735k2022-03-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.27130.26587-2.00%0.3077+13.42%0.0982✗1.14183k2022-03-23
STXStacksnative1.281.2546-1.98%1.34+4.69%0.0265✗0.93463k2022-03-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001850.000001813-1.98%0.00000189+2.16%0.0154✓0.6212.9M2022-03-23
XECeCashnative0.000080280.000078699-1.97%0.00008358+4.11%0.0205✗0.944.5M2022-03-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.6871-1.95%7.18+23.79%0.1770✗1.33498k2022-03-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.17634.0951-1.94%5.2022+24.57%0.1999✗0.93204k2022-03-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31850.312424-1.91%0.3829+20.22%0.1484✗1.30866k2022-03-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73470.720844-1.89%1.0351+40.89%0.3106✗1.213.7M2022-03-23
DODODODOEthereum0.3990.391559-1.86%0.453+13.53%0.0996✗1.102.8M2022-03-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3221.2974-1.86%1.538+16.34%0.1170✗1.262.8M2022-03-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.3626.8532-1.85%45.18+65.13%0.4791✗0.984.1M2022-03-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.49222.4461-1.85%2.5377+1.83%0.0130✓1.182.1M2022-03-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,215.3518,859.86-1.85%20,440.44+6.38%0.0399✗0.965.3M2022-03-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.666.5368-1.85%6.71+0.75%0.0052✓0.74789k2022-03-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.496.3706-1.84%6.51+0.31%0.0085✓0.72764k2022-03-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.4016.284-1.83%6.29-1.73%0.0203✓0.503.6M2022-03-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.07622.0385-1.82%2.2526+8.50%0.0655✗0.81123k2022-03-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.144.0658-1.79%4.79+15.70%0.1054✗1.39341k2022-03-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4281.4026-1.78%1.533+7.35%0.0316✗1.36570k2022-03-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.4549.5598-1.76%58.39+15.74%0.1112✗1.255.2M2022-03-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.4414.1878-1.75%18.16+25.76%0.1923✗1.292.3M2022-03-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.22408-1.72%0.256+12.28%0.0985✗0.8236k2022-03-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.35109.4362-1.72%122.51+10.02%0.0708✗1.0026.1M2022-03-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.20510.201578-1.72%0.2289+11.60%0.0727✗1.291.9M2022-03-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4916.2122-1.68%18.98+15.10%0.1152✗1.0114.4M2022-03-23
QTUMQtumQtum6.00755.9072-1.67%7.8748+31.08%0.2400✗1.12127k2022-03-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6794.6017-1.65%5.456+16.61%0.1420✗0.67537k2022-03-23
MINAMina Protocolnative1.861.8294-1.64%2.54+36.56%0.2843✗1.04336k2022-03-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15190.149431-1.63%0.1546+1.78%0.0098✓1.04244k2022-03-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.71510.703561-1.61%1.1722+63.92%0.4552✗1.3199k2022-03-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.08820.086795-1.59%0.0965+9.41%0.0546✗1.22504k2022-03-23
SUSHISushiEthereum3.123.0718-1.54%3.69+18.27%0.1343✗1.165.8M2022-03-23
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7365.6477-1.54%7.157+24.77%0.1815✗1.3125k2022-03-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73710.725817-1.53%0.8391+13.84%0.1028✗1.0018.1M2022-03-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.0912.0597-1.50%2.385+14.06%0.0921✗1.299.5M2022-03-23
KSMKusamaHydration130.7128.766-1.48%161.78+23.78%0.1815✗1.11664k2022-03-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.10345-1.48%0.106+0.95%0.0018✓0.5439k2022-03-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1327.7187-1.46%29.88+6.22%0.0375✗0.89846k2022-03-23
ADACardanoCardano0.83930.827032-1.46%1.1087+32.10%0.2510✗1.0065.6M2022-03-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5114430.503987-1.46%0.589813+15.32%0.1136✗1.041.9M2022-03-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.024740.02438-1.45%0.02566+3.72%0.0067✓1.06304k2022-03-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5723.5202-1.45%3.807+6.58%0.0471✗0.74407k2022-03-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5291.5069-1.44%1.701+11.25%0.0801✗0.971.8M2022-03-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4217.1735-1.41%19.33+10.96%0.0773✗0.976.3M2022-03-23
XYMSymbolnative0.13570.133788-1.41%0.1488+9.65%0.0731✗0.79296k2022-03-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.9354-1.41%6.73+11.79%0.0957✗0.71880k2022-03-23
DIADIAEthereum0.920.907167-1.39%0.97+5.43%0.0514✗0.37279k2022-03-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7319.4596-1.37%22.02+11.61%0.0684✗1.31291k2022-03-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8190.807931-1.35%0.956+16.73%0.1129✗1.312.0M2022-03-23
ZENHorizenBase38.6738.1474-1.35%45.53+17.74%0.1225✗1.29244k2022-03-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.025220.024884-1.33%0.02676+6.11%0.0417✗0.732.8M2022-03-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.322.2893-1.32%2.49+7.33%0.0432✗0.97145k2022-03-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50550.498833-1.32%0.5216+3.18%0.0134✗0.74420k2022-03-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016950.01673-1.30%0.0192+13.27%0.0953✗1.001.3M2022-03-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41940.414079-1.27%0.7088+69.00%0.4840✗1.27416k2022-03-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.1273.1971-1.25%86.01+16.04%0.1080✗1.26116.5M2022-03-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.0418.8042-1.24%21.01+10.35%0.0652✗1.0825.1M2022-03-23
XMRMoneroMonero189.66187.3505-1.22%197.42+4.09%0.0131✗0.931.7M2022-03-23
DASHDashDash98.497.2083-1.21%129.78+31.89%0.2469✗1.001.7M2022-03-23
SOLSolanaSolana87.8286.7649-1.20%94.87+8.03%0.0368✗1.2496.5M2022-03-23
XVGVergenative0.0090.008892-1.20%0.01038+15.33%0.1059✗1.161.6M2022-03-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.84296.3112-1.18%364.09+21.43%0.1669✗0.936.6M2022-03-23
COMPCompoundEthereum110108.7082-1.17%115.23+4.75%0.0118✗1.1046k2022-03-23
QNTQuantEthereum117.28115.9142-1.16%126.9+8.20%0.0519✗0.924.5M2022-03-23
SCSiacoinnative0.008950.008849-1.13%0.0102+13.97%0.0962✗1.09464k2022-03-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1811.1677-1.12%1.325+12.19%0.0854✗0.973.0M2022-03-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.6814.5177-1.11%15.85+7.97%0.0429✗1.0740.4M2022-03-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1169670.115682-1.10%0.1298+10.97%0.0811✗0.812.8M2022-03-23
FTTFTXEthereum42.7242.2535-1.09%46.16+8.05%0.0447✗1.0415.5M2022-03-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022730.000022483-1.09%0.00002445+7.57%0.0346✗1.172.9M2022-03-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049450.048925-1.06%0.05652+14.30%0.0986✗1.08452k2022-03-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,774.892,745.83-1.05%3,038.93+9.52%0.0577✗1.04501.7M2022-03-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0171770.016998-1.04%0.03087+79.72%0.5639✗0.78167k2022-03-23
XLMStellarStellar0.189360.187518-0.97%0.209453+10.61%0.0691✗0.9819.3M2022-03-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040490.0401-0.96%0.04253+5.04%0.0235✗0.8426k2022-03-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24350.241241-0.93%0.2696+10.72%0.0763✗0.832.0M2022-03-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.1741.1633-0.91%1.1317-3.60%0.0817✓1.282.4M2022-03-23
XVSVenusEthereum8.558.4764-0.86%9.48+10.88%0.0685✗1.033.1M2022-03-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.1352.1176-0.81%2.288+7.17%0.0449✗0.7721k2022-03-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07050.069938-0.80%0.0776+10.07%0.0647✗0.93151k2022-03-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,103.1040,775.61-0.80%42,312.20+2.94%0.0033✓0.9652k2022-03-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.0531.0449-0.77%1.1591+10.08%0.0568✗1.11116k2022-03-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2313.1312-0.75%16.4+23.96%0.1758✗1.10359k2022-03-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0054.9709-0.68%6.073+21.34%0.1619✗0.9176k2022-03-23
HIVEHivenative0.87460.868665-0.68%0.9439+7.92%0.0362✗1.111.9M2022-03-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.2377.7015-0.68%90.8+16.07%0.1247✗0.741.0M2022-03-23
GTGateEthereum6.50786.464-0.67%6.5107+0.04%0.0201✓0.653.1M2022-03-23
RADRadworksEthereum4.474.4413-0.64%4.93+10.29%0.0676✗0.87521k2022-03-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,127.9740,867.75-0.63%42,899.71+4.31%0.0063✗1.00700.4M2022-03-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6350.63101-0.63%0.739+16.38%0.1195✗0.912.4M2022-03-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011777-0.62%0.01289+8.78%0.0608✗0.709,5812022-03-23
UNIUniswapEthereum9.099.0386-0.57%10.01+10.12%0.0599✗1.006.2M2022-03-23
TRXTRONTron0.0610660.060742-0.53%0.064378+5.42%0.0307✗0.65303k2022-03-23
KCSKuCoinnative18.29918.2023-0.53%18.559+1.42%0.0184✓0.907.5M2022-03-23
XEMNEMnative0.0990.098727-0.28%0.1089+10.00%0.0628✗0.8439k2022-03-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.