8=======>

2022-03-15 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0619
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-9.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
21.8%
in alpha space · 2.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XEMNEMnative0.09450.094367-0.14%0.1082+14.50%0.0741✗0.8339k2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,298.1039,090.64-0.53%42,378.26+7.84%0.0053✗1.00645.2M2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.728.6715-0.56%9.76+11.93%0.0423✗1.016.1M2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.0817.9783-0.56%18.261+1.00%0.0528✓0.917.5M2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.8475.3779-0.61%91.76+20.99%0.1407✗0.74974k2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,353.6039,098.59-0.65%42,512.10+8.03%0.0115✗0.9652k2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.0605530.060152-0.66%0.063447+4.78%0.0035✓0.66282k2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.3056.2618-0.69%6.4277+1.95%0.0228✓0.653.0M2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.612.5099-0.72%16.17+28.33%0.1751✗1.08388k2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011758-0.77%0.01287+8.61%0.0371✗0.719,6662022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.303-0.85%4.97+14.52%0.0789✗0.86521k2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06820.067618-0.85%0.0759+11.29%0.0458✗0.92151k2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,619.152,596.49-0.87%2,970.51+13.42%0.0569✗1.03501.7M2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.83410.826736-0.88%0.9224+10.59%0.0256✗1.111.8M2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.498.4148-0.89%9.38+10.48%0.0298✗1.043.2M2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.12061.1105-0.91%1.1525+2.84%0.0601✓1.292.4M2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum10.990808-0.92%1.1249+12.49%0.0439✗1.10112k2022-03-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6110.605305-0.93%0.722+18.17%0.1073✗0.912.4M2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum110.23109.1675-0.96%127.12+15.32%0.0830✗0.924.6M2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021620.000021408-0.98%0.00002344+8.42%0.0024✓1.172.9M2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9414.8906-1.02%5.986+21.15%0.1325✗0.9276k2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.0240.5967-1.03%45.28+10.39%0.0307✗1.0415.5M2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040090.039671-1.04%0.04222+5.31%0.0018✓0.8526k2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23480.23233-1.05%0.253+7.75%0.0230✗0.822.0M2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1826270.180677-1.07%0.20689+13.29%0.0604✗0.9918.9M2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1125620.111348-1.08%0.122365+8.71%0.0332✗0.812.8M2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1341.1216-1.09%1.26+11.11%0.0443✗0.962.9M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.44286.2709-1.09%375.54+29.75%0.2014✗0.936.6M2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.713.5492-1.10%15.43+12.63%0.0500✗1.0642.8M2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.8369.0501-1.12%83.98+20.26%0.1005✗1.26116.5M2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045530.04502-1.12%0.05567+22.27%0.1324✗1.06440k2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1062.0823-1.13%2.255+7.08%0.0214✗0.7721k2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1955-1.16%4.168+28.92%0.2119✗0.71344k2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum104.05102.8412-1.16%114.7+10.24%0.0266✗1.0946k2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.37550.371094-1.17%0.758+101.86%0.6198✗1.25397k2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase35.9335.5-1.20%45.47+26.55%0.1515✗1.27244k2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.79920.789462-1.22%0.9753+22.03%0.1358✗1.0066.9M2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana82.8581.8164-1.25%90.48+9.21%0.0075✓1.2496.5M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016170.015965-1.27%0.01899+17.44%0.0985✗0.991.3M2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.126.7535-1.28%29.9+10.33%0.0436✗0.90846k2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8117.5816-1.28%20.22+13.53%0.0585✗1.0824.2M2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.024520.024199-1.31%0.02633+7.38%0.0289✗0.743.0M2022-03-22
DASHDashDash95.1493.8919-1.31%130.57+37.24%0.2542✗1.001.6M2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3635.2926-1.31%6.962+29.82%0.1773✗1.2825k2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9521.9264-1.31%2.268+16.19%0.0672✗1.279.4M2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4811.4613-1.33%1.626+9.79%0.0333✗0.971.7M2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4906420.484106-1.33%0.561881+14.52%0.0710✗1.031.9M2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.19170.189106-1.35%0.218+13.72%0.0454✗1.281.9M2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.7704-1.36%6.67+14.02%0.0911✗0.71927k2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.8646.2147-1.38%52.46+11.95%0.0331✗1.244.9M2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71630.70642-1.38%0.8268+15.43%0.0814✗1.0118.1M2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.907166-1.40%1.719+86.85%0.5765✗0.831.0M2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8225.4591-1.40%51.65+100.04%0.6342✗0.974.3M2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1593-1.40%2.44+11.42%0.0497✗0.96140k2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1991.1821-1.41%1.582+31.94%0.1979✗1.242.5M2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.13170.129828-1.42%0.1371+4.10%0.0048✓0.79296k2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum2.922.8774-1.46%3.45+18.15%0.0942✗1.165.7M2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero183.37180.6918-1.46%193.89+5.74%0.0002✓0.931.7M2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4524.3866-1.47%5.543+24.51%0.1837✗0.67522k2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.008670.008541-1.49%0.0096+10.73%0.0344✗1.09472k2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.67740.667183-1.51%0.8086+19.37%0.0932✗1.31106k2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14510.142893-1.52%0.1543+6.34%0.0009✓1.03244k2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08630.084975-1.54%0.0905+4.87%0.0298✓1.23522k2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.94105.2967-1.54%122.81+14.84%0.0784✗1.0025.9M2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7710.758928-1.57%0.91+18.03%0.0826✗1.311.9M2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.890.876-1.57%0.95+6.74%0.0541✗0.36271k2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.718.4058-1.57%20.78+11.12%0.0231✗1.30291k2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.008720.008582-1.58%0.00999+14.56%0.0643✗1.161.5M2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3595.2738-1.59%6.234+16.33%0.1336✗0.453.4M2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative1.641.6139-1.59%2.15+31.10%0.2106✗1.01336k2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase1.71271.6854-1.59%2.2499+31.37%0.2070✗1.09118k2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration125.47123.4674-1.60%158.4+26.25%0.1656✗1.11664k2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.27292.2366-1.60%2.4316+6.98%0.0047✓1.172.1M2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin16.8116.5382-1.62%18.31+8.92%0.0285✗0.976.2M2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.813.7483-1.62%4.5+18.11%0.0797✗1.37341k2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.099352-1.63%0.105+3.96%0.0158✓0.5239k2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49960.491354-1.65%0.5151+3.10%0.0091✓0.75436k2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3251.3028-1.68%1.457+9.96%0.0098✓1.35565k2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5593.499-1.69%4.136+16.21%0.1212✗0.61457k2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31170.306445-1.69%0.3622+16.20%0.0682✗1.31857k2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.25360.249313-1.69%0.31+22.24%0.1327✗1.13192k2022-03-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.6754.5952-1.71%4.907+4.96%0.0196✗0.617.0M2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0196930.019356-1.71%0.025067+27.29%0.1948✗0.84143k2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2372.1986-1.72%2.762+23.47%0.1468✗1.08534k2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001760.00000173-1.73%0.00000186+5.68%0.0273✗0.6013.2M2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023950.023529-1.76%0.026+8.56%0.0207✗1.05319k2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0191.9832-1.77%2.188+8.37%0.0369✗0.81117k2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.211.1884-1.79%1.3+7.44%0.0201✗0.92444k2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9373.8666-1.79%5.175+31.45%0.1975✗1.242.3M2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.421.394-1.83%1.54+8.45%0.0199✗1.06242k2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.8415.549-1.84%18.02+13.76%0.0710✗1.0114.4M2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2210.216939-1.84%0.253+14.48%0.0919✗0.8242k2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.3413.0864-1.90%17.58+31.78%0.2000✗1.262.2M2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.0622.6214-1.90%27.98+21.34%0.1183✗1.25749k2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.365.2563-1.93%6.98+30.22%0.1855✗1.30534k2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71260.698798-1.94%1.1707+64.29%0.4234✗1.233.4M2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000079530.000077975-1.96%0.00008348+4.97%0.0040✓0.964.5M2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,500.0418,133.48-1.98%20,305.82+9.76%0.0435✗0.925.0M2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88733.8101-1.99%4.2393+9.06%0.0597✗0.622.6M2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.36947-2.00%0.446+18.30%0.1065✗1.082.8M2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62073.5477-2.02%3.8754+7.03%0.0437✗0.593.9M2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.7712.5109-2.03%13.32+4.31%0.0303✗0.433.1M2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.536.3969-2.04%6.75+3.37%0.0029✓0.75789k2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5024.4097-2.05%5.07+12.62%0.0697✗0.93107k2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42590.416987-2.09%0.4105-3.62%0.1054✓1.198.4M2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos2.97672.9142-2.10%3.302+10.93%0.0423✗1.101.2M2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.6387.4775-2.10%7.622-0.21%0.0797✓1.316.0M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.7215.6002-2.11%7.6005+32.85%0.2204✗1.13102k2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.19140.187331-2.13%0.2091+9.25%0.0224✗1.162.3M2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.784470.767684-2.14%0.80946+3.19%0.0310✓1.11111k2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.866.7102-2.18%6.43-6.27%0.0994✓0.75764k2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091710.089697-2.19%0.09728+6.07%0.0153✓0.8730k2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum122.06119.3776-2.20%152.91+25.27%0.1561✗1.217.0M2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.711.6719-2.23%1.93+12.87%0.0480✗1.271.3M2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2210.9697-2.23%13.41+19.52%0.1615✗0.521.2M2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02643.9363-2.24%4.8022+19.27%0.1289✗0.93198k2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.7414-2.25%8.37+5.68%0.0250✗0.701.4M2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9126.2979-2.27%28.03+4.16%0.0215✓1.1341.1M2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.312.2564-2.32%2.21-4.33%0.0538✓0.44288k2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.351.3181-2.36%1.466+8.59%0.0007✓1.40289k2022-03-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.43220.421925-2.38%0.5639+30.47%0.2146✗1.004,6242022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072110.070373-2.41%0.07561+4.85%0.0084✓1.0660k2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3541.3211-2.43%1.547+14.25%0.0853✗0.96593k2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70310.685228-2.54%0.7746+10.17%0.0489✗0.987.4M2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash136.27132.7863-2.56%174.59+28.12%0.2040✗0.928.6M2022-03-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7735.6217-2.62%6.545+13.37%0.0766✗1.00460k2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11950.116368-2.62%0.1349+12.89%0.0591✗1.172.5M2022-03-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.21510.209363-2.67%0.2408+11.95%0.0644✗1.00168k2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.05542.9726-2.71%3.292+7.74%0.0398✗0.834.7M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9055.7432-2.74%6.1887+4.80%0.0438✗0.41186k2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011060.010748-2.82%0.01179+6.60%0.0006✓1.223.1M2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 288.5786.0316-2.87%93.09+5.10%0.0276✓1.418.4M2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase49.27147.8448-2.89%66.9272+35.83%0.2360✗1.32160k2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6990.678454-2.94%0.78+11.59%0.1147✗0.33799k2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074590.072369-2.98%0.07627+2.25%0.0087✓0.819,6412022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum3.4463.3425-3.00%3.81+10.56%0.0487✗1.09658k2022-03-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4022.3295-3.02%2.669+11.12%0.0606✗1.0052k2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003343-3.11%0.00429+24.35%0.1399✗1.455.3M2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.37340.361792-3.11%0.4064+8.84%0.0305✓1.952.1M2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06530.063233-3.17%0.0724+10.87%0.0486✗1.15402k2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.039170.037882-3.29%0.040562+3.55%0.0036✓0.955.1M2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.011450.011035-3.62%0.013307+16.22%0.1158✗0.9511k2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05440.052356-3.76%0.0657+20.77%0.0994✗1.6942.5M2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035420.034014-3.97%0.03923+10.76%0.0887✗0.71979k2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.565878-4.09%0.67+13.56%0.0569✗1.48550k2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.020.977366-4.18%1.31+28.43%0.2185✗0.99553k2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5111.447-4.24%2.315+53.21%0.3999✗0.933.4M2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5961.5282-4.25%1.793+12.34%0.0976✗0.8255k2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4620.441508-4.44%0.693+50.00%0.3654✗1.131.8M2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33440.319353-4.50%0.3714+11.06%0.0369✓1.5110.5M2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143610.13701-4.60%0.15608+8.68%0.0683✗0.8215k2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.011.9076-5.09%2.16+7.46%0.0746✗0.66192k2022-03-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011290.000001061-6.04%0.000001193+5.63%0.0417✓1.001.7M2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.04681.9201-6.19%2.6489+29.42%0.2689✗0.7016k2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017620.016468-6.54%0.03998+126.90%0.7692✗1.5612.7M2022-03-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.2327.6359-7.24%8.8344+7.32%0.0703✓1.0031.1M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.