8=======>

2022-03-05 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 154 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2538
154 of 154 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.1%
in alpha space · 78.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (154 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
IMXImmutableEthereum1.2821.2858+0.30%1.865+45.48%0.3876✓1.043.4M2022-03-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013950.013917-0.24%0.01355-2.87%0.0045✓1.4712.7M2022-03-12
UNIUniswapEthereum9.028.9833-0.41%8.45-6.32%0.0443✓1.129.0M2022-03-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1803320.179331-0.55%0.18515+2.67%0.0478✗1.0519.8M2022-03-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.2680.6147-0.79%77.75-4.32%0.0237✓0.83908k2022-03-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5007830.496694-0.82%0.494996-1.16%0.0130✗1.092.7M2022-03-12
COMPCompoundEthereum109.66108.6862-0.89%102.32-6.69%0.0426✓1.1857k2022-03-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.77440.767512-0.89%0.7051-8.95%0.0680✓1.1219.5M2022-03-12
XVSVenusEthereum8.848.7609-0.89%8.57-3.05%0.0041✓1.193.6M2022-03-12
KCSKuCoinnative18.5918.4159-0.94%18.015-3.09%0.0068✓1.019.1M2022-03-12
XEMNEMnative0.09780.09684-0.98%0.0933-4.60%0.0237✓0.9040k2022-03-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.21220.210042-1.02%0.1934-8.86%0.0605✓1.462.5M2022-03-12
KSMKusamaHydration122.67121.409-1.03%123.75+0.88%0.0361✗1.13910k2022-03-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038570.038162-1.06%0.039+1.11%0.0355✗0.9229k2022-03-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.35625.2987-1.07%5.8489+9.20%0.1044✗0.37300k2022-03-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024590.00002432-1.10%0.00002213-10.00%0.0757✓1.243.9M2022-03-12
SCSiacoinnative0.008620.008525-1.11%0.00875+1.51%0.0438✗1.17525k2022-03-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1248870.123497-1.11%0.11473-8.13%0.0600✓0.913.7M2022-03-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0183180.018113-1.12%0.014171-22.64%0.2328✓0.84143k2022-03-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash294.47291.1533-1.13%290.92-1.21%0.0135✗0.957.2M2022-03-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066260.06549-1.16%0.07134+7.67%0.1033✗1.1854k2022-03-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.67590.667914-1.18%0.66287-1.93%0.0123✗1.32161k2022-03-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.960310.948749-1.20%1.0261+6.85%0.0975✗1.27151k2022-03-12
DASHDashDash89.6988.6066-1.21%99.09+10.48%0.1281✗1.081.5M2022-03-12
ADACardanoCardano0.86540.854895-1.21%0.7897-8.75%0.0628✓1.1092.2M2022-03-12
TRXTRONTron0.0604170.059674-1.23%0.059631-1.30%0.0105✓0.74307k2022-03-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,402.4338,915.69-1.24%38,813.02-1.50%0.0124✗1.00706.4M2022-03-12
XYMSymbolnative0.140.138252-1.25%0.1353-3.36%0.0093✓0.81299k2022-03-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3470.342649-1.25%0.3185-8.21%0.0533✓1.318.7M2022-03-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1612.9923-1.27%12.71-3.42%0.0054✓1.10331k2022-03-12
AAVEAaveEthereum124.61123.003-1.29%120.43-3.35%0.0015✓1.317.2M2022-03-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.154.0963-1.29%3.76-9.40%0.0633✓1.49430k2022-03-12
RADRadworksEthereum54.9344-1.31%4.32-13.60%0.1181✓0.98862k2022-03-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.06828-1.33%0.0679-1.88%0.0094✓0.99159k2022-03-12
NANOnanopayBase1.81571.7914-1.34%1.7181-5.38%0.0249✓1.12171k2022-03-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.182.1505-1.35%2.126-2.48%0.0013✓0.8521k2022-03-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.1735.1029-1.35%4.615-10.79%0.0858✓0.97166k2022-03-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012330.012162-1.36%0.01176-4.62%0.0222✓0.7613k2022-03-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45830.452058-1.36%0.4107-10.39%0.0747✓1.41452k2022-03-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,665.772,629.39-1.36%2,569.30-3.62%0.0068✓1.08561.7M2022-03-12
QTUMQtumQtum6.07935.9957-1.38%5.817-4.32%0.0111✓1.27226k2022-03-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.277134-1.38%0.263-6.41%0.0334✓1.262.1M2022-03-12
SUSHISushiEthereum3.13.0573-1.38%2.91-6.13%0.0311✓1.216.5M2022-03-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0213.8264-1.38%13.16-6.13%0.0319✓1.1650.0M2022-03-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.346.2524-1.38%5.85-7.73%0.0545✓0.791.1M2022-03-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.8327.4433-1.39%26.29-5.53%0.0272✓1.045.2M2022-03-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2380.234658-1.40%0.2192-7.90%0.0545✓0.902.0M2022-03-12
GITCOINGITCOIN6.0015.9161-1.41%5.344-10.95%0.0813✓1.3625k2022-03-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6870.67726-1.42%0.626-8.88%0.0641✓0.972.6M2022-03-12
XVGVergenative0.009540.009403-1.44%0.00964+1.05%0.0427✗1.181.4M2022-03-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36170.356483-1.44%0.2875-20.51%0.1941✓1.391.1M2022-03-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.027010.026615-1.46%0.02468-8.63%0.0638✓0.784.0M2022-03-12
QNTQuantEthereum120.94119.1644-1.47%115.96-4.12%0.0119✓1.026.2M2022-03-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07090.069843-1.49%0.0665-6.21%0.0302✓1.251.0M2022-03-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.0442-1.49%0.972-8.30%0.0566✓1.001.2M2022-03-12
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.9797-1.51%1.71-14.93%0.1295✓1.12363k2022-03-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.3217.0564-1.52%18.13+4.68%0.0788✗1.1826.3M2022-03-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.9103.3019-1.52%105.58+0.65%0.0380✗1.0729.3M2022-03-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,586.4038,978.99-1.53%39,000.00-1.48%0.0150✓0.9659k2022-03-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4591.4366-1.54%1.467+0.55%0.0374✗1.091.8M2022-03-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0918.7937-1.55%17.68-7.39%0.0457✓1.029.1M2022-03-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.262.2246-1.57%2.16-4.42%0.0144✓1.00220k2022-03-12
ZENHorizenBase34.6934.1421-1.58%37.48+8.04%0.1147✗1.42280k2022-03-12
XECeCashnative0.000072910.000071757-1.58%0.00007339+0.66%0.0384✗1.054.5M2022-03-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8262.781-1.59%9.5289+237.19%1.2466✗1.0011.3M2022-03-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1180.116117-1.60%0.1151-2.46%0.0095✓1.223.2M2022-03-12
SOLSolanaSolana89.6288.187-1.60%81.44-9.13%0.0604✓1.28118.7M2022-03-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.99682.9484-1.61%4.1135+37.26%0.3438✗0.723.6M2022-03-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090150.088694-1.61%0.09108+1.03%0.0412✗0.9742k2022-03-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55022.5087-1.63%2.3104-9.40%0.0630✓1.283.1M2022-03-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3209-1.65%5.69+5.18%0.0794✗0.82592k2022-03-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1621.1428-1.65%1.119-3.70%0.0051✓1.063.0M2022-03-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.3722.9729-1.70%22.97-1.71%0.0203✗1.361.4M2022-03-12
DODODODOEthereum0.4240.41675-1.71%0.377-11.08%0.0824✓1.183.9M2022-03-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2472.2084-1.72%1.978-11.97%0.0887✓1.4312.1M2022-03-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00410.004028-1.75%0.0035-14.63%0.1162✓1.626.0M2022-03-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.648458-1.75%0.59-10.61%0.0692✓1.68988k2022-03-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1460.143433-1.76%0.1478+1.23%0.0453✗1.02318k2022-03-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8262-1.77%2.927+1.74%0.0475✗0.83300k2022-03-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0945.0035-1.78%4.691-7.91%0.0502✓0.9573k2022-03-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8210.80638-1.78%0.777-5.36%0.0181✓1.262.4M2022-03-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2460.241573-1.80%0.225-8.54%0.0591✓0.8066k2022-03-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.7175.3222-1.81%70.94-7.52%0.0390✓1.39123.1M2022-03-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.4277-1.83%4.45-1.33%0.0168✓0.78471k2022-03-12
STXStacksnative1.141.119-1.84%1.32+15.79%0.1828✗1.17498k2022-03-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.28681.2631-1.85%1.1484-10.76%0.0742✓1.393.1M2022-03-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.76070.746648-1.85%0.69-9.29%0.0568✓1.47227k2022-03-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8613.7884-1.88%4.182+8.31%0.1172✗1.222.1M2022-03-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8982.8435-1.88%3.05+5.24%0.0821✗0.79436k2022-03-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0880.086321-1.91%0.0788-10.45%0.0685✓1.51591k2022-03-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98942.9321-1.92%5.032+68.33%0.5508✗0.712.3M2022-03-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3591.3327-1.94%1.329-2.21%0.0127✓1.03917k2022-03-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4191.3915-1.94%1.318-7.12%0.0317✓1.50797k2022-03-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.8750.8642-1.94%46.61-10.14%0.0675✓1.316.3M2022-03-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.065.9423-1.94%5.31-12.38%0.0918✓1.38829k2022-03-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8514.5591-1.96%13.59-8.48%0.0482✓1.372.5M2022-03-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.000001823-1.97%0.00000178-4.30%0.0145✓0.6413.7M2022-03-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0618.683-1.98%17.7-7.14%0.0333✓1.37319k2022-03-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.2680.262657-1.99%0.2576-3.88%0.0008✓1.24252k2022-03-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.3232-2.02%16.07-9.11%0.0585✓1.1019.0M2022-03-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.3459-2.03%11.93+12.97%0.1514✗0.59984k2022-03-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53310.522281-2.03%0.4939-7.35%0.0434✓0.82536k2022-03-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.94091.9014-2.04%2.1318+9.83%0.1290✗0.9782k2022-03-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052030.050965-2.05%0.04815-7.46%0.0393✓1.16605k2022-03-12
FTTFTXEthereum41.1640.3149-2.05%40.93-0.56%0.0317✗1.1019.6M2022-03-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73640.721133-2.07%0.7-4.94%0.0142✓1.039.5M2022-03-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,264.0019,841.47-2.09%18,392.25-9.24%0.0612✓0.975.4M2022-03-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.1488-2.09%6.54+4.14%0.0739✗0.81518k2022-03-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.293.2208-2.10%6.597+100.52%0.7246✗0.511.0M2022-03-12
XTZTezosTezos3.1413.0748-2.11%3.0195-3.87%0.0007✓1.251.7M2022-03-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.866.7148-2.12%5.812-15.28%0.1293✓1.00816k2022-03-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.045060.044103-2.12%0.039692-11.91%0.0897✓1.048.1M2022-03-12
BANDBandEthereum3.813.7289-2.13%3.377-11.36%0.0809✓1.211.6M2022-03-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.221.1939-2.14%1.07-12.30%0.0944✓1.01759k2022-03-12
MOVRMoonriverBase60.029258.7433-2.14%48.5533-19.12%0.1698✓1.37223k2022-03-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152950.149652-2.16%0.14642-4.27%0.0077✓0.9419k2022-03-12
GTGateEthereum6.79676.6498-2.16%6.4519-5.07%0.0197✓0.702.8M2022-03-12
HIVEHivenative0.91610.896254-2.17%0.8661-5.46%0.0158✓1.222.1M2022-03-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72770.711861-2.18%0.6724-7.60%0.0375✓1.302.8M2022-03-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018710.018301-2.19%0.01679-10.26%0.0702✓1.062.1M2022-03-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3341.3048-2.19%1.181-11.47%0.0812✓1.232.4M2022-03-12
AVTAventusEthereum2.592.5332-2.19%2.18-15.83%0.1449✓0.35443k2022-03-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02783.9369-2.26%3.9946-0.82%0.0310✗1.09244k2022-03-12
DIADIAEthereum1.010.987167-2.26%0.9-10.89%0.0875✓0.33277k2022-03-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06890.067337-2.27%0.06846-0.64%0.0305✗0.9213k2022-03-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.929.221-2.27%27.62-7.63%0.0421✓0.941.5M2022-03-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.7683-2.30%1.63-9.94%0.0614✓1.331.9M2022-03-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.10253-2.35%0.109+3.81%0.0702✗0.6044k2022-03-12
ZECZcashZcash116.52113.775-2.36%151.6+30.11%0.3036✗1.107.4M2022-03-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.07790.076049-2.38%0.0644-17.33%0.1512✓1.00847k2022-03-12
XMRMoneroMonero166.09162.0838-2.41%184.77+11.25%0.1460✗0.991.5M2022-03-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011830.011538-2.47%0.01145-3.21%0.0127✓1.352.9M2022-03-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.8530.0631-2.55%27.21-11.80%0.0817✓1.2048.9M2022-03-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.891.8411-2.59%1.65-12.70%0.0961✓0.9068k2022-03-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.80210.781022-2.63%0.7095-11.54%0.0914✓0.311.2M2022-03-12
API3Api3Ethereum6.5136.3407-2.65%5.01-23.08%0.2268✓0.587.0M2022-03-12
PROPropyEthereum1.771.7226-2.68%1.47-16.95%0.1413✓1.15385k2022-03-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9272.8463-2.76%2.375-18.86%0.1643✓1.11660k2022-03-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02750.026739-2.77%0.0232-15.64%0.1237✓1.21503k2022-03-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121090.011772-2.78%0.01151-4.95%0.0074✓1.0012k2022-03-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.34452.2745-2.99%2.7465+17.15%0.2008✗0.812.7M2022-03-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36230.351413-3.00%0.2995-17.33%0.1354✓1.6213.2M2022-03-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37312.2996-3.10%1.9953-15.92%0.1307✓0.7425k2022-03-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05730.05551-3.12%0.0539-5.93%0.0034✓1.7364.3M2022-03-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2716.7279-3.14%13.7-20.67%0.1907✓0.592.9M2022-03-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.43971.3928-3.26%1.3548-5.90%0.0083✓1.29293k2022-03-12
ORCAOrcaSolana2.432.3499-3.30%2.06-15.23%0.1202✓0.76393k2022-03-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.27.9223-3.39%8.14-0.73%0.0388✗0.77490k2022-03-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.23260.224587-3.44%0.2006-13.76%0.0937✓1.272.8M2022-03-12
UMAUMAEthereum9.3138.9878-3.49%7.768-16.59%0.1254✓1.362.2M2022-03-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45610.4397-3.60%0.3897-14.56%0.0897✓2.062.3M2022-03-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038650.037179-3.81%0.04102+6.13%0.1098✗0.761.1M2022-03-12
LUNATerraTerra 287.5384.0525-3.97%86.03-1.71%0.0444✗1.405.3M2022-03-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011170.000001036-7.23%0.000001086-2.77%0.0619✓1.001.1M2022-03-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.