8=======>

2022-03-04 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2110
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.2%
in alpha space · 67.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.11%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.412944-5.72%0.3924-10.41%0.0282✓2.052.3M2022-03-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-76.99e-7-5.20%0.000001164+57.99%0.5219✗1.001.0M2022-03-11
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.2526-4.55%2.09-11.44%0.0665✓0.76393k2022-03-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.026462-4.47%0.02301-16.93%0.1263✓1.21503k2022-03-11
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232757.6049-4.36%48.7591-19.05%0.1515✓1.37223k2022-03-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.331623-4.27%0.3152-9.01%0.0328✓1.6214.3M2022-03-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.054259-4.14%0.0576+1.77%0.0790✗1.7366.8M2022-03-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.033108-4.06%0.04078+18.17%0.2168✗0.751.1M2022-03-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.7266-4.02%1.662-7.62%0.0282✓0.8968k2022-03-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.416.7235-3.89%13.84-20.46%0.1826✓0.602.8M2022-03-11
PROPropyEthereum1.761.6962-3.63%1.51-14.20%0.1035✓1.15411k2022-03-11
LUNATerraTerra 283.4980.5131-3.57%88.28+5.74%0.1077✗1.405.0M2022-03-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.627093-3.52%0.59-9.23%0.0422✓1.68988k2022-03-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.6368-3.51%8.8928+225.43%1.2268✗1.0012.7M2022-03-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.092.9844-3.42%2.42-21.68%0.1972✓1.11660k2022-03-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.04269-3.30%0.040059-9.26%0.0520✓1.048.1M2022-03-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.135-2.99%1.06-9.40%0.0571✓1.00770k2022-03-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.689355-2.91%0.7111+0.15%0.0425✗1.029.6M2022-03-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.759124-2.89%0.7156-8.46%0.0556✓0.311.2M2022-03-11
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.400172-2.87%0.385-6.55%0.0255✓1.184.1M2022-03-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.011072-2.80%0.011862+4.13%0.0800✗1.0013k2022-03-11
UMAUMAEthereum9.2168.9607-2.77%7.075-23.23%0.2212✓1.352.0M2022-03-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.518.2823-2.68%7.84-7.87%0.0462✓0.78480k2022-03-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.4398-2.67%2.5749+2.72%0.0629✗0.812.9M2022-03-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2117.7398-2.58%17.81-2.20%0.0192✓1.37325k2022-03-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.014058-2.58%0.0143-0.90%0.0334✗1.4712.7M2022-03-11
ZECZcashZcash117.05114.0982-2.52%153.51+31.15%0.3089✗1.107.4M2022-03-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3143-2.50%1.321-2.00%0.0165✓1.03917k2022-03-11
BANDBandEthereum3.723.6272-2.49%3.44-7.53%0.0396✓1.201.7M2022-03-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.6757-2.48%5.57-4.30%0.0035✓1.37829k2022-03-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.6774-2.47%1.64-4.65%0.0078✓1.321.9M2022-03-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.010836-2.47%0.01151+3.60%0.0754✗1.342.9M2022-03-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.4016-2.46%5.8362+5.39%0.0816✗0.38300k2022-03-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.067503-2.45%0.0661-4.48%0.0072✓1.241.0M2022-03-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.114182-2.33%0.1144-2.14%0.0154✓1.213.2M2022-03-11
SUSHISushiEthereum3.042.9695-2.32%2.89-4.93%0.0137✓1.206.5M2022-03-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.017203-2.31%0.01714-2.67%0.0080✓1.052.2M2022-03-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5129.8139-2.28%27.47-9.96%0.0686✓1.1952.8M2022-03-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8118-2.27%2.869-0.28%0.0291✗0.80457k2022-03-11
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.6583-2.27%2.19-19.49%0.1826✓1.00443k2022-03-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.0159-2.23%0.959-7.70%0.0465✓0.991.2M2022-03-11
XTZTezosTezos3.07893.0106-2.22%2.9889-2.92%0.0067✓1.241.7M2022-03-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.1327-2.19%6.28+0.16%0.0329✗0.82518k2022-03-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.9307-2.16%13.72-10.09%0.0693✓1.372.4M2022-03-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.4153-2.15%17.37-7.70%0.0471✓1.029.1M2022-03-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.147429-2.13%0.15536+3.14%0.0628✗0.9321k2022-03-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.3294-2.11%1.307-3.76%0.0003✓1.49797k2022-03-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3178-2.10%1.157-14.04%0.1165✓1.222.4M2022-03-11
HIVEHivenative0.90480.886392-2.03%0.8661-4.28%0.0097✓1.212.1M2022-03-11
API3Api3Ethereum6.3116.1826-2.03%4.776-24.32%0.2517✓0.587.0M2022-03-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.51845-2.03%0.5009-5.35%0.0253✓0.82545k2022-03-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.78156.5485-2.02%170.68+6.82%0.0975✗0.991.4M2022-03-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.102884-2.02%0.111+5.71%0.0826✗0.6044k2022-03-11
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3121.7955-2.01%116.61-6.19%0.0290✓1.307.2M2022-03-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.8882-2.01%4.0628+2.39%0.0560✗1.09244k2022-03-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.207-2.00%1.97-12.52%0.0977✓1.4312.7M2022-03-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8274.3524-1.94%71.25-6.03%0.0272✓1.39123.1M2022-03-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.053.9721-1.92%3.82-5.68%0.0225✓1.48458k2022-03-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03041.9915-1.91%2.0529+1.11%0.0385✗0.7325k2022-03-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2538-1.91%5.761+73.68%0.5771✗0.52955k2022-03-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.3974-1.89%1.4867+4.38%0.0763✗1.29293k2022-03-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1788-1.86%2.16-2.70%0.0025✓1.00242k2022-03-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.021.9828-1.84%1.75-13.37%0.1124✓1.12354k2022-03-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.296-1.84%16.01-9.14%0.0650✓1.1019.5M2022-03-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.066653-1.84%0.06831+0.60%0.0348✗0.9213k2022-03-11
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.4327-1.83%2.3033-7.05%0.0405✓1.273.1M2022-03-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.9548-1.81%3.707+23.18%0.2351✗0.742.4M2022-03-11
XVGVergenative0.009440.009269-1.81%0.00939-0.53%0.0261✗1.181.4M2022-03-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.257575-1.80%0.2585-1.45%0.0173✓1.23284k2022-03-11
DIADIAEthereum0.970.95261-1.79%0.93-4.12%0.0204✓0.33277k2022-03-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0119,503.44-1.79%18,538.11-6.65%0.0400✓0.975.8M2022-03-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6828.1738-1.76%27.91-2.68%0.0011✓0.941.5M2022-03-11
STXStacksnative1.111.0904-1.76%1.36+22.52%0.2339✗1.17517k2022-03-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.083617-1.74%0.0787-7.52%0.0439✓1.50592k2022-03-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.191854-1.71%0.1931-1.08%0.0205✗1.262.7M2022-03-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018283-1.67%0.01489-19.92%0.1959✓0.84143k2022-03-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003933-1.67%0.00353-11.75%0.0902✓1.616.6M2022-03-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.2368-1.65%1.1514-8.44%0.0561✓1.393.1M2022-03-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.2915-1.64%5.49+2.04%0.0460✗0.82584k2022-03-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.2001-1.64%10.59+2.12%0.0441✗0.59984k2022-03-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8783-1.61%2.1155+10.81%0.1297✗0.9682k2022-03-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001801-1.60%0.00000178-2.73%0.0045✓0.6413.7M2022-03-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.718766-1.59%0.6706-8.19%0.0549✓1.292.7M2022-03-11
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008337-1.57%0.00879+3.78%0.0660✗1.17546k2022-03-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.5078-1.54%22.89+0.13%0.0320✗1.351.4M2022-03-11
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79107.1233-1.53%102.07-6.18%0.0352✓1.1757k2022-03-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.236326-1.53%0.226-5.83%0.0359✓0.7966k2022-03-11
RADRadworksEthereum5.074.995-1.48%4.44-12.43%0.1068✓0.98862k2022-03-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.5651-1.46%4.165+15.12%0.1690✗1.212.1M2022-03-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.3739-1.44%4.326-2.52%0.0023✓0.78463k2022-03-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.680087-1.44%0.636-7.83%0.0563✓0.962.6M2022-03-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0135-1.42%5.85-4.10%0.0189✓0.781.1M2022-03-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.345041-1.42%0.2924-16.46%0.1501✓1.381.2M2022-03-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.725093-1.40%0.6978-5.11%0.0221✓1.45227k2022-03-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.145137-1.40%0.1489+1.15%0.0369✗1.01330k2022-03-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.444138-1.39%0.4152-7.82%0.0517✓1.40452k2022-03-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.046695-1.38%0.0472-0.32%0.0236✗1.15605k2022-03-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.769555-1.34%0.807+3.46%0.0614✗1.252.4M2022-03-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.3944-1.32%1.464+3.61%0.0608✗1.081.8M2022-03-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.3026-1.32%1.705+29.17%0.2808✗1.043.4M2022-03-11
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.8486-1.30%5.8755-0.84%0.0187✗1.26226k2022-03-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.026271-1.24%0.02468-7.22%0.0538✓0.774.0M2022-03-11
ZENHorizenBase33.6133.1937-1.24%37.86+12.65%0.1473✗1.41280k2022-03-11
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000069756-1.21%0.0000731+3.53%0.0585✗1.054.5M2022-03-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.646138-1.20%0.65584+0.28%0.0296✗1.32180k2022-03-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.5904-1.19%17.7+5.42%0.0778✗1.1726.4M2022-03-11
SOLSolanaSolana88.3287.2721-1.19%80.7-8.63%0.0641✓1.27121.6M2022-03-11
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.835213-1.16%0.7884-6.70%0.0455✓1.0992.2M2022-03-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01772.9832-1.14%3.4608+14.68%0.1568✗0.743.6M2022-03-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.232314-1.14%0.2186-6.98%0.0508✓0.902.0M2022-03-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8508-1.12%2.741-4.93%0.0300✓0.83276k2022-03-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6327.3212-1.12%26.5-4.09%0.0189✓1.045.2M2022-03-11
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.13894-1.11%0.1335-4.98%0.0309✓0.81299k2022-03-11
KSMKusamaHydration120.67119.3462-1.10%124.19+2.92%0.0523✗1.12910k2022-03-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.063681-1.09%0.07118+10.56%0.1244✗1.1760k2022-03-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.1109-1.08%2.114-0.94%0.0108✓0.8423k2022-03-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.749.1653-1.08%45.9-7.65%0.0542✓1.306.3M2022-03-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.088002-1.04%0.09115+2.50%0.0459✗0.9742k2022-03-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.271278-0.99%0.262-4.38%0.0209✓1.252.1M2022-03-11
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.7934-0.98%5.556-5.04%0.0268✓1.3525k2022-03-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67287.8247-0.98%287.73-1.01%0.0102✗0.947.3M2022-03-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.1032-0.97%1.113-0.09%0.0206✗1.053.0M2022-03-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,597.77-0.96%2,556.42-2.54%0.0039✓1.08561.7M2022-03-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000023315-0.91%0.00002206-6.25%0.0416✓1.243.9M2022-03-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.121291-0.90%0.11539-5.72%0.0398✓0.903.7M2022-03-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.753689-0.90%0.7014-7.77%0.0594✓1.1219.7M2022-03-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.336967-0.89%0.3189-6.21%0.0405✓1.318.7M2022-03-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.207152-0.88%0.1962-6.12%0.0381✓1.452.5M2022-03-11
FTTFTXEthereum40.540.1424-0.88%40.81+0.77%0.0287✗1.1019.7M2022-03-11
QNTQuantEthereum118.5117.5217-0.83%113.22-4.46%0.0260✓1.016.3M2022-03-11
DASHDashDash89.5988.8522-0.82%94.95+5.98%0.0784✗1.071.5M2022-03-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.2791-0.81%12.74+2.91%0.0491✗1.10312k2022-03-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.96-0.80%4.594-8.12%0.0659✓0.96166k2022-03-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.037517-0.77%0.03906+3.31%0.0505✗0.9129k2022-03-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.942086-0.77%0.96652+1.80%0.0397✗1.27162k2022-03-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.012018-0.76%0.01186-2.06%0.0048✓0.7613k2022-03-11
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.7398-0.75%1.6874-3.74%0.0181✓1.12171k2022-03-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.05100.3366-0.71%104.55+3.46%0.0530✗1.0729.3M2022-03-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.6454-0.69%13.05-5.02%0.0317✓1.1550.1M2022-03-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.491832-0.66%0.48841-1.35%0.0051✓1.082.8M2022-03-11
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.17492-0.65%0.183591+4.28%0.0601✗1.0519.8M2022-03-11
GTGateEthereum6.68186.6433-0.58%6.328-5.29%0.0409✓0.692.8M2022-03-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3678.9697-0.49%78.04-1.66%0.0027✓0.82908k2022-03-11
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.5388-0.48%8.54-0.47%0.0133✗1.183.6M2022-03-11
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.057993-0.47%0.060203+3.33%0.0457✗0.74307k2022-03-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9039,411.55-0.46%38,852.80-1.87%0.0035✓0.9659k2022-03-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5138,988.35-0.45%38,732.04-1.11%0.0046✓1.00706.4M2022-03-11
KCSKuCoinnative18.23818.164-0.41%18.17-0.37%0.0115✗1.009.1M2022-03-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.9502-0.40%4.778-3.86%0.0249✓0.9472k2022-03-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.7815-0.32%8.51-3.41%0.0189✓1.129.2M2022-03-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.06689-0.31%0.0696+3.73%0.0507✗0.99159k2022-03-11
XEMNEMnative0.0960.095766-0.24%0.0935-2.60%0.0140✓0.8940k2022-03-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.