8=======>

2022-03-03 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1495
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.0%
in alpha space · 85.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034350.032306-5.95%0.04023+17.12%0.2829✗0.861.1M2022-03-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36870.34727-5.81%0.3311-10.20%0.0756✗1.6714.6M2022-03-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47220.445385-5.68%0.4126-12.62%0.0726✗2.012.2M2022-03-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0842.9149-5.48%2.532-17.90%0.0489✓1.24612k2022-03-10
PROPropyEthereum1.921.815-5.47%1.6-16.67%0.0402✓1.16411k2022-03-10
ORCAOrcaSolana2.462.3279-5.37%2.11-14.23%0.0380✓0.81402k2022-03-10
MOVRMoonriverBase66.587863.1716-5.13%51.3064-22.95%0.1059✓1.38231k2022-03-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8650.821002-5.09%0.7483-13.49%0.0746✓0.241.2M2022-03-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02830.026888-4.99%0.02397-15.30%0.0175✓1.32503k2022-03-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.88e-76.54e-7-4.88%0.000001307+90.00%0.7659✗1.001.0M2022-03-10
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9761.882-4.76%1.676-15.18%0.0524✓0.8676k2022-03-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06370.060983-4.26%0.0588-7.69%0.0935✗1.7568.8M2022-03-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.241.1882-4.18%1.12-9.68%0.0175✓1.03782k2022-03-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015250.014666-3.83%0.01693+11.02%0.2568✗1.5312.7M2022-03-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0469370.045168-3.77%0.040695-13.30%0.0270✓1.048.1M2022-03-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.693606-3.67%0.61-15.28%0.0020✓1.71988k2022-03-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5451.4893-3.60%1.201-22.27%0.1273✓1.192.3M2022-03-10
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.191-3.30%2.98-9.70%0.0245✓1.256.6M2022-03-10
DODODODOEthereum0.4480.433342-3.27%0.386-13.84%0.0205✓1.294.2M2022-03-10
UMAUMAEthereum9.5989.2905-3.20%7.407-22.83%0.1233✓1.401.9M2022-03-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119530.011571-3.19%0.011453-4.18%0.0664✗1.0414k2022-03-10
LUNATerraTerra 290.5687.7145-3.14%101.21+11.76%0.2484✗1.425.0M2022-03-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75960.736522-3.04%0.732-3.63%0.0750✗1.109.7M2022-03-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202580.019644-3.03%0.015274-24.60%0.1882✓0.86135k2022-03-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.012.9204-2.98%6.6334+120.38%0.8944✗1.0014.1M2022-03-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.4215.938-2.94%13.72-16.44%0.0973✓0.712.6M2022-03-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7719.2048-2.86%18.43-6.78%0.0657✗1.44325k2022-03-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.62065.4624-2.82%5.8363+3.84%0.0891✗0.31335k2022-03-10
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.852-2.78%3.473-12.34%0.0076✓1.301.7M2022-03-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018770.018251-2.76%0.01703-9.27%0.0125✓1.102.2M2022-03-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011990.011662-2.74%0.01209+0.83%0.1376✗1.372.9M2022-03-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.7732.6977-2.72%2.7676-0.19%0.0891✗0.862.9M2022-03-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.9719.4331-2.69%16.62-16.78%0.0723✓1.1420.0M2022-03-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5082.4437-2.57%2.046-18.42%0.0700✓1.4513.2M2022-03-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.346.1822-2.49%5.7-10.09%0.0217✓1.39909k2022-03-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07250.070715-2.46%0.0684-5.66%0.0633✗1.301.0M2022-03-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9412.869-2.45%2.69-8.53%0.0005✓0.86457k2022-03-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.8047-2.45%1.67-9.73%0.0246✓1.382.0M2022-03-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4371.4022-2.42%1.374-4.38%0.0606✗1.09931k2022-03-10
AVTAventusEthereum2.382.3228-2.41%2.29-3.78%0.0598✗1.00443k2022-03-10
XTZTezosTezos3.39373.3125-2.39%3.0579-9.89%0.0148✓1.281.8M2022-03-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.3154-2.37%4.08-7.69%0.0537✗1.48471k2022-03-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64971.6107-2.36%1.4191-13.98%0.0341✓1.25293k2022-03-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,698.8621,196.62-2.31%19,059.42-12.16%0.0339✓0.986.1M2022-03-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.0133.2258-2.31%28.05-17.52%0.0794✓1.2150.3M2022-03-10
AAVEAaveEthereum129.96127.0046-2.27%119.26-8.23%0.0363✗1.346.8M2022-03-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12210.119341-2.26%0.1198-1.88%0.0999✗1.303.2M2022-03-10
ZECZcashZcash129.17126.3051-2.22%157.3+21.78%0.3002✗1.097.4M2022-03-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.266961-2.21%0.23-15.75%0.0878✓0.8366k2022-03-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4791.4465-2.20%1.33-10.07%0.0224✗1.44797k2022-03-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.11543-2.18%0.107-9.32%0.0366✓0.5344k2022-03-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1319.6966-2.15%17.9-11.08%0.0136✓1.119.1M2022-03-10
MINAMina Protocolnative2.041.9961-2.15%1.79-12.25%0.0217✓1.18354k2022-03-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1761.1507-2.15%0.979-16.75%0.0842✓1.051.3M2022-03-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0950.092979-2.13%0.0821-13.58%0.0142✓1.49613k2022-03-10
STXStacksnative1.211.1855-2.03%1.51+24.79%0.3300✗1.19552k2022-03-10
HIVEHivenative0.97960.959817-2.02%0.928-5.27%0.0512✗1.152.1M2022-03-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80580.790106-1.95%0.6973-13.46%0.0243✓1.362.7M2022-03-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3339-1.94%2.2-7.56%0.0146✓1.00254k2022-03-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004560.004472-1.94%0.00366-19.74%0.0801✓1.627.7M2022-03-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55010.539673-1.90%0.5014-8.85%0.0081✓0.88561k2022-03-10
XVGVergenative0.010010.009823-1.87%0.00985-1.60%0.0954✗1.251.4M2022-03-10
COMPCompoundEthereum116.89114.7119-1.86%103.46-11.49%0.0125✓1.2364k2022-03-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8083.7382-1.83%4.473+17.46%0.2720✗1.252.1M2022-03-10
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001865-1.82%0.00000181-4.74%0.0192✗0.6713.5M2022-03-10
API3Api3Ethereum7.3157.1834-1.80%5.224-28.59%0.2818✓0.505.7M2022-03-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.49430.485518-1.78%0.4164-15.76%0.0498✓1.40465k2022-03-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.10752.0702-1.77%2.1814+3.51%0.1270✗1.0179k2022-03-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.0484-1.76%14-2.10%0.1045✗1.462.2M2022-03-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.1824.7395-1.75%24.22-3.81%0.0793✗1.361.4M2022-03-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63682.5916-1.72%2.3707-10.09%0.0019✓1.183.2M2022-03-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.637.4994-1.71%7.54-1.18%0.0744✗0.93480k2022-03-10
DIADIAEthereum1.051.032-1.71%0.91-13.33%0.1074✓0.25279k2022-03-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.4977.195-1.65%73.95-5.78%0.0657✗1.47120.2M2022-03-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95192.9034-1.64%2.8775-2.52%0.0564✗0.882.4M2022-03-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07250.071325-1.62%0.0702-3.17%0.0574✗0.9914k2022-03-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.28992.2535-1.59%2.155-5.89%0.0057✓0.6826k2022-03-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.336.2297-1.58%6.06-4.27%0.0384✗0.89486k2022-03-10
KSMKusamaHydration131.9129.8263-1.57%126.53-4.07%0.0598✗1.15953k2022-03-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.28240.277974-1.57%0.2624-7.08%0.0379✗1.29284k2022-03-10
XMRMoneroMonero172.04169.3697-1.55%178.98+4.03%0.1290✗1.001.3M2022-03-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.78640.774423-1.52%0.7156-9.00%0.0271✗1.43238k2022-03-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050730.049968-1.50%0.0474-6.56%0.0358✗1.20641k2022-03-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.26364.1996-1.50%4.2989+0.83%0.1076✗1.14244k2022-03-10
RADRadworksEthereum5.515.4282-1.49%4.46-19.06%0.1239✓0.98828k2022-03-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.161470.159104-1.47%0.15896-1.55%0.0793✗1.0821k2022-03-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.40911.3885-1.46%1.1927-15.36%0.0535✓1.333.1M2022-03-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.19710.194335-1.40%0.1964-0.36%0.1108✗1.352.7M2022-03-10
SCSiacoinnative0.009020.008896-1.37%0.00902+0.00%0.1055✗1.24563k2022-03-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.704298-1.36%0.618-13.45%0.0526✓1.062.6M2022-03-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.0529.6463-1.34%27.97-6.92%0.0119✓0.951.5M2022-03-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.027530.02716-1.34%0.02578-6.36%0.0045✓0.774.0M2022-03-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0317.7947-1.31%16.97-5.88%0.0424✗1.2127.0M2022-03-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.461.4412-1.29%1.512+3.56%0.1250✗1.043.4M2022-03-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3810.376278-1.24%0.2987-21.60%0.1226✓1.461.3M2022-03-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.71130.702495-1.24%0.68631-3.51%0.0766✗1.35200k2022-03-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.426.3409-1.23%6.04-5.92%0.0057✓0.581.2M2022-03-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2529.8845-1.21%26.7-11.74%0.0337✓1.075.3M2022-03-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8520.841733-1.21%0.827-2.93%0.0842✗1.382.4M2022-03-10
QTUMQtumQtum6.39226.3179-1.16%6.006-6.04%0.0480✗1.33257k2022-03-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5231.5053-1.16%1.536+0.85%0.1062✗1.162.0M2022-03-10
ZENHorizenBase38.1837.7374-1.16%42.28+10.74%0.2197✗1.43280k2022-03-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36470.360484-1.16%0.3255-10.75%0.0010✓1.378.7M2022-03-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15590.154117-1.14%0.1518-2.63%0.0613✗1.03366k2022-03-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.8914.7265-1.10%13.18-11.48%0.0236✓1.1850.4M2022-03-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3211-1.10%5.2-3.35%0.0413✗0.87566k2022-03-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4184.3706-1.07%4.112-6.93%0.0018✓0.85453k2022-03-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.079.9633-1.06%10.26+1.89%0.0776✗0.65928k2022-03-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79670.788729-1.00%0.7308-8.27%0.0067✓1.1219.9M2022-03-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.3152.786-0.98%46.78-12.25%0.0242✓1.306.5M2022-03-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.2122.1904-0.97%2.141-3.21%0.0457✗0.9326k2022-03-10
XECeCashnative0.000074490.000073768-0.97%0.00008054+8.12%0.1687✗1.094.5M2022-03-10
DASHDashDash96.7595.8639-0.92%104.65+8.17%0.1716✗1.131.5M2022-03-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8732.8469-0.91%3.236+12.63%0.1871✗0.80864k2022-03-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.952.9234-0.90%2.8703-2.70%0.0459✗0.873.6M2022-03-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2490.246797-0.88%0.2216-11.00%0.0396✓0.922.0M2022-03-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1741.1637-0.88%1.175+0.09%0.0969✗1.182.9M2022-03-10
SOLSolanaSolana95.6194.7832-0.86%82.92-13.27%0.0414✓1.25127.4M2022-03-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8822.8573-0.86%2.591-10.10%0.0316✓0.89239k2022-03-10
ADACardanoCardano0.90210.89439-0.85%0.807-10.54%0.0209✓1.1194.8M2022-03-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.3213.2067-0.85%12.75-4.28%0.0510✗1.16312k2022-03-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.292505-0.85%0.266-9.83%0.0026✓1.322.2M2022-03-10
FTTFTXEthereum44.8644.4913-0.82%40.75-9.16%0.0087✓1.0720.8M2022-03-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.5845.5388-0.81%4.75-14.94%0.0756✓1.05179k2022-03-10
XYMSymbolnative0.1460.144837-0.80%0.1369-6.23%0.0027✓0.80296k2022-03-10
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3636.3128-0.79%5.737-9.84%0.0060✓1.3726k2022-03-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025070.000024875-0.78%0.00002262-9.77%0.0017✓1.263.9M2022-03-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069830.069286-0.78%0.07709+10.40%0.1979✗1.2364k2022-03-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,833.662,811.88-0.77%2,608.22-7.96%0.0017✓1.04561.7M2022-03-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.04761.0398-0.75%1.0319-1.50%0.0888✗1.30175k2022-03-10
QNTQuantEthereum127.04126.1368-0.71%116.66-8.17%0.0069✓0.966.3M2022-03-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.29313.0818-0.70%289.59-8.15%0.0065✓0.977.3M2022-03-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.22830.226709-0.70%0.2025-11.30%0.0049✓1.462.5M2022-03-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.092802-0.61%0.08882-4.87%0.0330✗1.0442k2022-03-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295790.128849-0.56%0.116797-9.86%0.0285✓0.943.7M2022-03-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.69111.1109-0.52%102.58-8.16%0.0013✓1.1029.3M2022-03-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5346190.531931-0.50%0.503035-5.91%0.0284✗1.142.8M2022-03-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1879010.186962-0.50%0.178633-4.93%0.0343✗1.0819.8M2022-03-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012360.0123-0.49%0.01203-2.67%0.0361✗0.7913k2022-03-10
XVSVenusEthereum9.349.2957-0.47%8.5-8.99%0.0019✓1.233.6M2022-03-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039670.039499-0.43%0.03918-1.24%0.0640✗0.9729k2022-03-10
NANOnanopayBase1.8681.8601-0.42%1.6882-9.63%0.0087✓1.19177k2022-03-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2315.2126-0.35%4.672-10.69%0.0376✓0.9771k2022-03-10
UNIUniswapEthereum9.559.5191-0.32%8.68-9.11%0.0060✓1.179.6M2022-03-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,464.4142,327.44-0.32%39,433.71-7.14%0.0032✗1.00645.2M2022-03-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,572.6042,438.81-0.31%39,505.90-7.20%0.0004✓0.9759k2022-03-10
TRXTRONTron0.0600320.059843-0.31%0.059896-0.23%0.0579✗0.77307k2022-03-10
GTGateEthereum6.79496.7756-0.28%6.3304-6.84%0.0168✓0.692.8M2022-03-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4583.2763-0.21%78.54-5.88%0.0035✗0.84908k2022-03-10
KCSKuCoinnative19.52619.4878-0.20%18.083-7.39%0.0012✓0.999.1M2022-03-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.071883-0.16%0.068-5.56%0.0204✗1.02157k2022-03-10
XEMNEMnative0.10290.102861-0.04%0.0965-6.22%0.0083✗0.9740k2022-03-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.