2022-03-02 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1309

152 of 152 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.66%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

60.5%

in alpha space · 80.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XEM	NEM	native	0.1064	0.106654	+0.24%	0.101	-5.08%	0.0101	✗	0.97	40k	2022-03-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		86.11	86.1028	-0.01%	83.31	-3.25%	0.0054	✗	0.84	905k	2022-03-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.803	6.8004	-0.04%	6.654	-2.19%	0.0103	✗	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.355	20.3454	-0.05%	18.777	-7.75%	0.0351	✓	0.99	9.1M	2022-03-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8782	1.8769	-0.07%	1.7476	-6.95%	0.0176	✓	1.18	179k	2022-03-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.35	110.2618	-0.08%	106.99	-3.04%	0.0209	✗	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0754	0.075337	-0.08%	0.0713	-5.44%	0.0098	✓	0.99	157k	2022-03-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133081	0.132936	-0.11%	0.121511	-8.69%	0.0469	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.091	0.090896	-0.11%	0.09322	+2.44%	0.0736	✗	1.06	43k	2022-03-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061505	0.06143	-0.12%	0.060814	-1.12%	0.0250	✗	0.77	307k	2022-03-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04078	0.04072	-0.15%	0.04098	+0.49%	0.0516	✗	0.99	29k	2022-03-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.05	10.0332	-0.17%	9.21	-8.36%	0.0315	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,912.34	43,835.47	-0.18%	41,953.97	-4.46%	0.0018	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193624	0.193257	-0.19%	0.188762	-2.51%	0.0254	✗	1.07	19.8M	2022-03-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.551	5.5376	-0.24%	5.1	-8.12%	0.0401	✓	0.92	71k	2022-03-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,262.00	44,134.12	-0.29%	41,967.60	-5.18%	0.0059	✓	0.97	53k	2022-03-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2308	0.230127	-0.29%	0.2116	-8.32%	0.0170	✓	1.47	2.5M	2022-03-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	117.95	117.5784	-0.32%	118.86	+0.77%	0.0560	✗	0.99	6.3M	2022-03-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01235	0.012305	-0.36%	0.01282	+3.81%	0.0747	✗	0.74	13k	2022-03-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.43	319.0691	-0.42%	307.25	-4.11%	0.0066	✗	0.97	7.3M	2022-03-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570611	0.568127	-0.44%	0.524645	-8.06%	0.0280	✓	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9394	0.935157	-0.45%	0.8495	-9.57%	0.0448	✓	1.12	96.3M	2022-03-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0742	1.0687	-0.51%	0.98649	-8.17%	0.0194	✓	1.33	187k	2022-03-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.149	0.148228	-0.52%	0.1415	-5.03%	0.0094	✓	0.81	294k	2022-03-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07258	0.072191	-0.54%	0.07646	+5.35%	0.1146	✗	1.25	69k	2022-03-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,948.56	2,932.72	-0.54%	2,727.60	-7.49%	0.0249	✓	1.04	581.4M	2022-03-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	100.73	100.1803	-0.55%	88.1	-12.54%	0.0711	✓	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.78	9.725	-0.56%	8.93	-8.69%	0.0299	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-03-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002591	0.000025763	-0.57%	0.00002383	-8.03%	0.0209	✓	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.397	0.394703	-0.58%	0.3204	-19.29%	0.1436	✓	1.42	1.3M	2022-03-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.308	0.306217	-0.58%	0.279	-9.42%	0.0335	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	45.8907	-0.58%	42.75	-7.39%	0.0222	✓	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.7	6.6599	-0.60%	6.28	-6.27%	0.0047	✓	1.39	27k	2022-03-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007594	0.000075466	-0.62%	0.00007564	-0.40%	0.0524	✗	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.57	5.5351	-0.63%	5.23	-6.10%	0.0178	✓	0.85	540k	2022-03-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.298	2.283	-0.65%	2.232	-2.87%	0.0190	✗	0.91	23k	2022-03-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.98	2.9603	-0.66%	2.732	-8.32%	0.0398	✓	0.89	223k	2022-03-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	55.2115	-0.68%	48.63	-12.52%	0.0677	✓	1.30	6.5M	2022-03-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.69	13.5944	-0.70%	13.1	-4.31%	0.0131	✗	1.10	331k	2022-03-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2571	0.255265	-0.71%	0.2319	-9.80%	0.0544	✓	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.9	100.1665	-0.73%	99.72	-1.17%	0.0470	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.202	1.1929	-0.76%	1.185	-1.41%	0.0475	✗	1.19	2.9M	2022-03-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.52	29.2942	-0.76%	28.04	-5.01%	0.0054	✓	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0322	3.0082	-0.79%	2.9836	-1.60%	0.0317	✗	0.87	3.6M	2022-03-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.038	5.9887	-0.82%	5.029	-16.71%	0.1269	✓	1.05	166k	2022-03-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.92	38.602	-0.82%	41.61	+6.91%	0.1410	✗	1.45	280k	2022-03-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.4867	6.4319	-0.85%	6.0487	-6.75%	0.0002	✓	1.34	257k	2022-03-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.99	2.9639	-0.87%	3.427	+14.62%	0.1880	✗	0.94	792k	2022-03-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.505	4.4655	-0.88%	4.263	-5.37%	0.0081	✓	0.84	453k	2022-03-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8204	0.813195	-0.88%	0.7672	-6.48%	0.0067	✓	1.13	19.9M	2022-03-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.244812	-0.89%	0.237	-4.05%	0.0066	✓	0.85	66k	2022-03-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.464	1.4509	-0.89%	1.602	+9.43%	0.1472	✗	1.06	3.4M	2022-03-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16542	0.163941	-0.89%	0.15435	-6.69%	0.0063	✓	1.18	22k	2022-03-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.0473	-0.91%	10.46	+3.16%	0.0704	✗	0.66	928k	2022-03-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1595	0.158027	-0.92%	0.1627	+2.01%	0.0760	✗	1.03	420k	2022-03-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.59	1.575	-0.94%	1.586	-0.25%	0.0594	✗	1.15	2.0M	2022-03-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.413	4.3708	-0.96%	3.9867	-9.66%	0.0401	✓	1.14	244k	2022-03-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3742	0.370582	-0.97%	0.3463	-7.46%	0.0059	✓	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.6447	-0.97%	6.19	-7.75%	0.0477	✓	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.917	0.90795	-0.99%	0.921	+0.44%	0.0728	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-03-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00957	0.009471	-1.04%	0.00949	-0.84%	0.0596	✗	1.26	563k	2022-03-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.695537	-1.06%	0.662	-5.83%	0.0003	✓	1.08	2.6M	2022-03-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.3613	-1.07%	6.1	-5.13%	0.0017	✓	0.88	478k	2022-03-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.37	30.0451	-1.07%	28.87	-4.94%	0.0026	✓	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.389	1.3741	-1.08%	1.2223	-12.00%	0.0554	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-03-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02832	0.028011	-1.09%	0.02596	-8.33%	0.0408	✓	0.77	4.0M	2022-03-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.61	18.4055	-1.10%	17.86	-4.03%	0.0253	✗	1.21	28.4M	2022-03-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.29	15.1218	-1.10%	14.02	-8.31%	0.0219	✓	1.18	50.8M	2022-03-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0297	2.9963	-1.10%	2.9949	-1.15%	0.0398	✗	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9592	1.9372	-1.12%	2.007	+2.44%	0.0828	✗	1.04	77k	2022-03-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.73047	0.722274	-1.12%	0.68283	-6.52%	0.0063	✓	1.37	200k	2022-03-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.197	0.194679	-1.18%	0.2005	+1.78%	0.0917	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.46	175.3267	-1.20%	188.71	+6.34%	0.1193	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-09
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0067	-1.30%	0.94	-7.84%	0.0559	✓	0.28	282k	2022-03-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.31	136.5005	-1.31%	135.22	-2.23%	0.0430	✗	1.15	1.0M	2022-03-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2311	2.2017	-1.32%	2.1758	-2.48%	0.0206	✗	0.71	26k	2022-03-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.42	82.2927	-1.35%	77.65	-6.92%	0.0070	✓	1.43	120.2M	2022-03-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7532	2.716	-1.35%	2.4947	-9.39%	0.0301	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04875	0.048089	-1.36%	0.04842	-0.68%	0.0617	✗	1.20	641k	2022-03-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.070424	-1.37%	0.073	+2.24%	0.0820	✗	1.01	13k	2022-03-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.16	14.9488	-1.39%	14.69	-3.10%	0.0499	✗	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8082	0.796709	-1.42%	0.741	-8.31%	0.0065	✓	1.45	270k	2022-03-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5665	0.558383	-1.43%	0.5284	-6.73%	0.0134	✓	0.92	607k	2022-03-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2945	0.29014	-1.48%	0.2736	-7.10%	0.0014	✓	1.32	317k	2022-03-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01037	0.010213	-1.51%	0.01052	+1.45%	0.0865	✗	1.25	1.3M	2022-03-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.3	7.1889	-1.52%	5.441	-25.47%	0.2558	✓	0.50	4.1M	2022-03-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7291	0.71769	-1.56%	0.7336	+0.62%	0.0859	✗	1.40	2.5M	2022-03-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	122.45	120.4426	-1.64%	108.96	-11.02%	0.0445	✓	1.22	58k	2022-03-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.25	31.714	-1.66%	30.07	-6.76%	0.0009	✓	1.15	50.3M	2022-03-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.43	2.3894	-1.67%	2.3	-5.35%	0.0075	✓	1.00	268k	2022-03-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.56	26.1142	-1.68%	25.07	-5.61%	0.0220	✗	1.38	1.5M	2022-03-09
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000196	0.000001926	-1.73%	0.00000186	-5.10%	0.0046	✓	0.66	13.7M	2022-03-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.13	2.0919	-1.79%	1.89	-11.27%	0.0484	✓	1.16	354k	2022-03-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.59	5.4897	-1.79%	4.63	-17.17%	0.1249	✓	1.00	828k	2022-03-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5144	0.505108	-1.81%	0.4455	-13.39%	0.0629	✓	1.37	484k	2022-03-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.7	135.1998	-1.82%	127.5	-7.41%	0.0025	✓	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-09
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9988	0.980557	-1.83%	0.9131	-8.58%	0.0172	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-03-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.91	123.5787	-1.85%	141.65	+12.50%	0.1876	✗	1.12	7.4M	2022-03-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.73	20.3409	-1.88%	18.83	-9.17%	0.0262	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.976	3.9013	-1.88%	4.727	+18.89%	0.2484	✗	1.24	2.2M	2022-03-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00469	0.004602	-1.88%	0.0039	-16.84%	0.0908	✓	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.496	1.4675	-1.90%	1.376	-8.02%	0.0137	✓	1.11	939k	2022-03-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.25	1.2261	-1.91%	1.12	-10.40%	0.0358	✓	1.20	585k	2022-03-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.548	1.5183	-1.92%	1.394	-9.95%	0.0195	✓	1.45	842k	2022-03-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1299	0.127284	-2.01%	0.1245	-4.16%	0.0370	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.164	1.1399	-2.07%	1.024	-12.03%	0.0586	✓	1.07	1.4M	2022-03-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.494	3.4215	-2.08%	3.1801	-8.98%	0.0148	✓	1.28	1.9M	2022-03-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.93	1.8897	-2.09%	1.79	-7.25%	0.0065	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.773	-2.10%	8	+0.76%	0.0707	✗	0.92	461k	2022-03-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,346.94	21,874.08	-2.12%	20,404.96	-8.69%	0.0249	✓	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.113545	-2.12%	0.104	-10.34%	0.0626	✓	0.55	44k	2022-03-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6226	1.5879	-2.14%	1.5521	-4.34%	0.0351	✗	1.27	293k	2022-03-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.114	3.0455	-2.20%	2.89	-7.19%	0.0140	✓	0.84	477k	2022-03-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.64	6.4937	-2.20%	6.31	-4.97%	0.0357	✗	1.41	942k	2022-03-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.5454	-2.25%	4.25	-8.60%	0.0018	✓	1.51	471k	2022-03-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.096799	-2.32%	0.0841	-15.14%	0.0727	✓	1.49	613k	2022-03-09
ALPINE	Alpine F1 Team Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.292	3.2149	-2.34%	5.1595	+56.73%	0.5187	✗	1.00	19.7M	2022-03-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.647	2.5844	-2.36%	2.159	-18.44%	0.1135	✓	1.45	13.6M	2022-03-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.15	15.7522	-2.46%	14.6	-9.60%	0.0438	✓	0.70	2.3M	2022-03-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.76	20.2389	-2.51%	20.31	-2.17%	0.0693	✗	1.44	328k	2022-03-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7872	0.767179	-2.54%	0.7395	-6.06%	0.0135	✓	1.10	9.7M	2022-03-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.7751	2.7023	-2.62%	3.1069	+11.96%	0.1795	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-09
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.2882	-2.63%	2.39	+1.70%	0.0891	✗	1.00	422k	2022-03-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.016	3.9092	-2.66%	3.737	-6.95%	0.0149	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-03-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.31	18.792	-2.68%	17.47	-9.53%	0.0203	✓	1.15	20.0M	2022-03-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	92.43	89.8609	-2.78%	99.22	+7.35%	0.1643	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01231	0.011966	-2.79%	0.01242	+0.89%	0.1005	✗	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0775	0.07533	-2.80%	0.0717	-7.48%	0.0099	✓	1.30	1.0M	2022-03-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01892	0.01839	-2.80%	0.01738	-8.14%	0.0067	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.421	8.1805	-2.86%	8.061	-4.28%	0.0502	✗	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.468	0.454634	-2.86%	0.407	-13.03%	0.0518	✓	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.359	1.3192	-2.93%	1.287	-5.30%	0.0333	✗	1.27	2.0M	2022-03-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012216	0.011858	-2.93%	0.011931	-2.33%	0.0534	✗	1.04	14k	2022-03-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9424	5.747	-3.29%	5.8487	-1.58%	0.0317	✓	0.31	385k	2022-03-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.41	3.2948	-3.38%	3.19	-6.45%	0.0252	✓	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04679	0.045158	-3.49%	0.041988	-10.26%	0.0240	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01634	0.015748	-3.62%	0.01383	-15.36%	0.0604	✓	1.52	12.7M	2022-03-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.75	0.722205	-3.71%	0.66	-12.00%	0.0118	✓	1.72	1.0M	2022-03-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021073	0.020281	-3.76%	0.015975	-24.19%	0.1992	✓	0.87	135k	2022-03-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.27	1.2216	-3.81%	1.23	-3.15%	0.0544	✗	1.04	824k	2022-03-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0655	0.062942	-3.91%	0.0648	-1.07%	0.1098	✗	1.77	72.8M	2022-03-09
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.29e-7	6.01e-7	-4.50%	0.000001482	+135.47%	0.9481	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7242	0.691112	-4.57%	0.76	+4.94%	0.1106	✗	0.34	1.2M	2022-03-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	71.55	68.1486	-4.75%	54.9209	-23.24%	0.1528	✓	1.38	231k	2022-03-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5029	0.477712	-5.01%	0.4297	-14.56%	0.0142	✓	2.01	2.2M	2022-03-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0268	0.025455	-5.02%	0.024	-10.45%	0.0017	✓	1.33	500k	2022-03-09
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.237	2.1215	-5.16%	1.786	-20.16%	0.1363	✓	0.79	76k	2022-03-09
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.52	2.3828	-5.45%	2.2	-12.70%	0.0342	✓	1.00	445k	2022-03-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.82	1.7185	-5.58%	1.67	-8.24%	0.0264	✓	1.21	411k	2022-03-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4033	0.380468	-5.66%	0.3619	-10.27%	0.0248	✓	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.895	2.7248	-5.88%	2.61	-9.84%	0.0164	✓	1.30	584k	2022-03-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03397	0.031773	-6.47%	0.0398	+17.16%	0.2660	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.