8=======>

2022-02-26 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0752
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.6%
in alpha space · 58.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42810.403768-5.68%0.4561+6.54%0.1076✗2.112.1M2022-03-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.98e-76.62e-7-5.12%0.000001117+60.03%0.5160✗1.001.3M2022-03-05
MOVRMoonriverBase64.815561.6823-4.83%60.0292-7.38%0.0375✓1.54223k2022-03-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.033111-4.11%0.03865+11.93%0.1488✗0.871.4M2022-03-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02740.026295-4.03%0.0275+0.36%0.0348✓1.48479k2022-03-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07120.068438-3.88%0.0573-19.52%0.1906✓1.9276.7M2022-03-05
PROPropyEthereum1.861.7901-3.76%1.77-4.84%0.0223✓1.63539k2022-03-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0483510.046756-3.30%0.04506-6.81%0.0450✓1.208.1M2022-03-05
ORCAOrcaSolana2.562.4776-3.22%2.43-5.08%0.0261✓1.00518k2022-03-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7940.770605-2.95%0.8021+1.02%0.0362✗0.571.4M2022-03-05
LUNATerraTerra 278.1575.9017-2.88%87.53+12.00%0.1332✗1.394.5M2022-03-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.137079-2.78%0.105-25.53%0.2730✓0.9547k2022-03-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.022630.022027-2.66%0.018318-19.05%0.1915✓1.06114k2022-03-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35070.342048-2.47%0.3623+3.31%0.0458✗1.7515.2M2022-03-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.682924-2.44%0.66-5.71%0.0471✓1.92995k2022-03-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.06125.9202-2.33%5.3562-11.63%0.1027✓0.38433k2022-03-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8081.7669-2.27%1.89+4.54%0.0610✗0.9576k2022-03-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0730.07135-2.26%0.0709-2.88%0.0159✓1.431.0M2022-03-05
DODODODOEthereum0.4380.428169-2.24%0.424-3.20%0.0191✓1.384.2M2022-03-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.011940.011679-2.19%0.012109+1.42%0.0286✗1.1233k2022-03-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.220.7561-2.09%19.06-10.09%0.0962✓1.63325k2022-03-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.7317.3602-2.09%17.68-0.28%0.0103✓1.1822.1M2022-03-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018820.018439-2.02%0.01871-0.58%0.0072✓1.102.2M2022-03-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1391.1162-2.00%1.06-6.94%0.0601✓1.251.1M2022-03-05
API3Api3Ethereum6.5286.4011-1.94%6.513-0.23%0.0148✓0.372.1M2022-03-05
DIADIAEthereum1.081.0603-1.82%1.01-6.48%0.0488✓0.02286k2022-03-05
BANDBandEthereum3.63.5353-1.80%3.81+5.83%0.0657✗1.361.9M2022-03-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74590.733037-1.72%0.7364-1.27%0.0031✓1.149.4M2022-03-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.671.6416-1.70%1.81+8.38%0.0885✗1.362.0M2022-03-05
XTZTezosTezos3.41723.3597-1.68%3.141-8.08%0.0766✓1.382.1M2022-03-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1829.6953-1.61%29.9-0.93%0.0002✓1.041.6M2022-03-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0618.7543-1.60%19.09+0.16%0.0090✓1.308.6M2022-03-05
UMAUMAEthereum4.9344.855-1.60%9.313+88.75%0.6446✗1.001.9M2022-03-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.241.2203-1.59%1.22-1.61%0.0089✓1.28885k2022-03-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.464.3908-1.55%4.15-6.95%0.0674✓1.63432k2022-03-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4371.4148-1.54%1.359-5.43%0.0486✓1.23940k2022-03-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12120.119342-1.53%0.118-2.64%0.0204✓1.352.9M2022-03-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.8929.4327-1.53%30.85+3.21%0.0394✗1.1452.8M2022-03-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62351.5987-1.53%1.4397-11.32%0.1144✓1.44251k2022-03-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8743.815-1.52%3.861-0.34%0.0029✓1.342.3M2022-03-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.276.177-1.48%6.06-3.35%0.0292✓1.491.2M2022-03-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009970.009825-1.45%0.01183+18.66%0.1756✗1.502.7M2022-03-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8742.8335-1.41%2.898+0.84%0.0160✗0.96477k2022-03-05
COMPCompoundEthereum113.35111.7664-1.40%109.66-3.26%0.0277✓1.2958k2022-03-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4411.421-1.39%1.419-1.53%0.0118✓1.54928k2022-03-05
SUSHISushiEthereum3.253.2051-1.38%3.1-4.62%0.0422✓1.327.0M2022-03-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2761.2586-1.37%1.334+4.55%0.0490✗1.371.9M2022-03-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2687-1.36%2.26-1.74%0.0107✓1.02263k2022-03-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.5812.5459-1.36%2.927+13.41%0.1300✗1.40579k2022-03-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.7980.6796-1.36%76.71-6.21%0.0609✓1.55110.8M2022-03-05
ZECZcashZcash107.8106.337-1.36%116.52+8.09%0.0836✗1.167.4M2022-03-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.08540.084243-1.36%0.088+3.04%0.0329✗1.59647k2022-03-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85321.8284-1.34%2.3445+26.51%0.2439✗0.702.6M2022-03-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.0913.9018-1.34%14.85+5.39%0.0557✗1.532.5M2022-03-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23592.2067-1.31%2.3731+6.14%0.0668✗0.8826k2022-03-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55050.543338-1.30%0.5331-3.16%0.0256✓0.97684k2022-03-05
XVGVergenative0.009850.009727-1.25%0.00954-3.15%0.0282✓1.311.2M2022-03-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001910.000001887-1.22%0.00000186-2.62%0.0190✓0.6914.4M2022-03-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15060.148806-1.19%0.146-3.05%0.0263✓1.08420k2022-03-05
HIVEHivenative0.95330.941962-1.19%0.9161-3.90%0.0366✓1.301.9M2022-03-05
STXStacksnative1.191.1758-1.19%1.14-4.20%0.0397✓1.30646k2022-03-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047820.047252-1.19%0.05203+8.80%0.0876✗1.29703k2022-03-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.6347-1.15%6.28+10.18%0.1027✗0.85425k2022-03-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.21081.197-1.14%1.2868+6.28%0.0625✗1.462.6M2022-03-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.699490.691608-1.13%0.6759-3.37%0.0331✓1.51216k2022-03-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.76510.756666-1.10%0.7607-0.58%0.0051✓1.55295k2022-03-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.68132.652-1.09%2.5502-4.89%0.0478✓1.293.1M2022-03-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.714.54-1.09%17.27+17.48%0.1671✗0.731.9M2022-03-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8950.885315-1.08%0.821-8.27%0.0849✓1.412.1M2022-03-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156260.154575-1.08%0.15295-2.12%0.0197✓1.3628k2022-03-05
RADRadworksEthereum4.474.4219-1.08%5+11.86%0.1161✗1.01651k2022-03-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012170.01204-1.07%0.01233+1.31%0.0184✗0.8014k2022-03-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.2852.2608-1.06%2.18-4.60%0.0437✓1.0920k2022-03-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02343.9818-1.03%4.0278+0.11%0.0032✓1.23284k2022-03-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3942.3697-1.02%2.247-6.14%0.0637✓1.5613.2M2022-03-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06740.06672-1.01%0.0689+2.23%0.0248✗1.0913k2022-03-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,876.0820,666.77-1.00%20,264.00-2.93%0.0265✓1.015.7M2022-03-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.052.0296-0.99%2.01-1.95%0.0181✓1.25343k2022-03-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.4524.2083-0.99%23.37-4.42%0.0455✓1.531.7M2022-03-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.3271-0.98%8.2+52.42%0.4254✗0.88398k2022-03-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6790.672342-0.98%0.687+1.18%0.0135✗1.192.2M2022-03-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.028420.028145-0.97%0.02701-4.96%0.0465✓0.794.3M2022-03-05
XMRMoneroMonero157.91156.4108-0.95%166.09+5.18%0.0533✗1.00960k2022-03-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.27670.274075-0.95%0.268-3.14%0.0322✓1.46413k2022-03-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45990.455569-0.94%0.4583-0.35%0.0039✓1.46559k2022-03-05
KSMKusamaHydration124.78123.6223-0.93%122.67-1.69%0.0159✓1.21930k2022-03-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.276.2132-0.91%6.34+1.12%0.0171✗0.471.1M2022-03-05
AAVEAaveEthereum136.67135.4381-0.90%124.61-8.82%0.0933✓1.486.4M2022-03-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71022.6868-0.86%2.9894+10.30%0.0999✗1.002.2M2022-03-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9112.7993-0.86%13.16+1.94%0.0207✗1.06340k2022-03-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017840.017687-0.86%0.01395-21.80%0.2485✓1.6612.7M2022-03-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004310.004273-0.85%0.0041-4.87%0.0538✓1.8512.0M2022-03-05
SCSiacoinnative0.009060.008984-0.83%0.00862-4.86%0.0506✓1.36563k2022-03-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.17510.17368-0.81%0.2326+32.84%0.2824✗1.452.7M2022-03-05
DASHDashDash93.6892.9425-0.79%89.69-4.26%0.0435✓1.171.5M2022-03-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1481.1392-0.76%1.162+1.22%0.0108✗1.332.8M2022-03-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.7214.6089-0.75%14.02-4.76%0.0496✓1.2656.1M2022-03-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0417.9041-0.75%17.32-3.99%0.0423✓1.3626.4M2022-03-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5762.5568-0.75%2.877+11.68%0.1122✗0.86213k2022-03-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.57331.5616-0.74%1.9409+23.37%0.2105✗1.0469k2022-03-05
QTUMQtumQtum6.13236.0872-0.73%6.0793-0.86%0.0111✓1.45184k2022-03-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2320.230304-0.73%0.246+6.03%0.0600✗0.8857k2022-03-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2260.224352-0.73%0.238+5.31%0.0521✗1.031.9M2022-03-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0584.0294-0.70%4.51+11.14%0.1069✗0.86395k2022-03-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.9128.7092-0.69%27.83-3.74%0.0388✓1.145.1M2022-03-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85980.853873-0.69%0.7744-9.93%0.1060✓1.2422.5M2022-03-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.57313.422-0.68%294.47-6.69%0.0693✓1.027.2M2022-03-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.684.6485-0.67%5.41+15.60%0.1464✗0.78459k2022-03-05
XYMSymbolnative0.14410.143136-0.67%0.14-2.85%0.0279✓0.85301k2022-03-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.290.28806-0.67%0.281-3.10%0.0344✓1.432.0M2022-03-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5241.5139-0.66%1.459-4.27%0.0453✓1.231.8M2022-03-05
ADACardanoCardano0.88730.881511-0.65%0.8654-2.47%0.0264✓1.1796.0M2022-03-05
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2456.2045-0.65%6.001-3.91%0.0431✓1.4528k2022-03-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040140.039882-0.64%0.03857-3.91%0.0409✓1.1030k2022-03-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5445810.541263-0.61%0.500783-8.04%0.0860✓1.232.9M2022-03-05
FTTFTXEthereum43.2943.0301-0.60%41.16-4.92%0.0522✓1.1520.8M2022-03-05
SOLSolanaSolana90.3289.7846-0.59%89.62-0.78%0.0106✓1.30131.2M2022-03-05
ZENHorizenBase33.2633.0631-0.59%34.69+4.30%0.0378✗1.53281k2022-03-05
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3361-0.59%2.59+10.21%0.0964✗1.00584k2022-03-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.339.2751-0.59%10.56+13.18%0.1251✗0.69853k2022-03-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5040.501097-0.58%0.7277+44.38%0.3640✗1.362.1M2022-03-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34860.346662-0.56%0.347-0.46%0.0089✓1.478.3M2022-03-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3052.2923-0.55%3.29+42.73%0.3529✗1.25687k2022-03-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36550.363486-0.55%0.3617-1.04%0.0151✓1.511.3M2022-03-05
NANOnanopayBase1.86511.8555-0.51%1.8157-2.65%0.0302✓1.26185k2022-03-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087270.086831-0.50%0.09015+3.30%0.0299✗1.1346k2022-03-05
XECeCashnative0.000075380.000075007-0.49%0.00007291-3.28%0.0364✓1.204.5M2022-03-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024350.000024237-0.46%0.00002459+0.99%0.0053✗1.353.8M2022-03-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,589.7039,409.11-0.46%39,586.40-0.01%0.0020✓0.9749k2022-03-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.4450.2144-0.45%51.87+2.84%0.0233✗1.356.8M2022-03-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,780.712,768.36-0.44%2,665.77-4.13%0.0450✓1.08540.3M2022-03-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.988.9408-0.44%8.84-1.56%0.0201✓1.303.2M2022-03-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1275950.127107-0.38%0.124887-2.12%0.0245✓1.023.7M2022-03-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3915.3729-0.34%5.173-4.04%0.0448✓1.02202k2022-03-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.990360.987047-0.33%0.96031-3.03%0.0372✓1.45165k2022-03-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066110.065912-0.30%0.06626+0.23%0.0035✓1.3069k2022-03-05
QNTQuantEthereum110.79110.4655-0.29%120.94+9.16%0.0835✗1.056.3M2022-03-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0094.9949-0.28%5.094+1.70%0.0140✗0.8465k2022-03-05
TRXTRONTron0.0594590.059307-0.26%0.060417+1.61%0.0129✗0.84270k2022-03-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1928990.192424-0.25%0.180332-6.51%0.0726✓1.1419.8M2022-03-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.29108.0477-0.22%104.9-3.13%0.0377✓1.2129.3M2022-03-05
GTGateEthereum6.41066.3976-0.20%6.7967+6.02%0.0552✗0.792.9M2022-03-05
KCSKuCoinnative19.70819.6688-0.20%18.59-5.67%0.0637✓1.099.5M2022-03-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.7684.6071-0.18%81.26-4.13%0.0464✓0.89915k2022-03-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.51.4975-0.16%1.282-14.53%0.1628✓1.103.4M2022-03-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.73842.7341-0.16%2.9968+9.44%0.0853✗0.962.9M2022-03-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.21290.212611-0.14%0.2122-0.33%0.0124✓1.553.0M2022-03-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06850.068472-0.04%0.0692+1.02%0.0033✗1.08163k2022-03-05
UNIUniswapEthereum9.069.0636+0.04%9.02-0.44%0.0139✗1.3510.8M2022-03-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,137.8039,154.36+0.04%39,402.43+0.68%0.0004✓1.00630.5M2022-03-05
XEMNEMnative0.1010.101148+0.15%0.0978-3.17%0.0408✗1.0738k2022-03-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.