8=======>

2022-02-25 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1578
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.95%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.5%
in alpha space · 68.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4190.394381-5.88%0.438+4.53%0.1087✗2.072.1M2022-03-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.00e-76.66e-7-4.87%7.37e-7+5.26%0.1030✗1.001.4M2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase67.124963.8839-4.83%60.2327-10.27%0.0561✓1.49231k2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035460.033944-4.28%0.03451-2.68%0.0181✓0.871.5M2022-03-04
PROPropyEthereum1.961.8791-4.13%1.76-10.20%0.0625✓1.63539k2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.026559-4.12%0.0277+0.00%0.0447✗1.46497k2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88330.850292-3.74%0.7817-11.50%0.0831✓0.571.4M2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06960.067022-3.70%0.0566-18.68%0.1655✓1.9272.8M2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0486660.047041-3.34%0.044148-9.28%0.0612✓1.228.1M2022-03-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.732.6493-2.96%2.36-13.55%0.1138✓1.00544k2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1380.134153-2.79%0.105-23.91%0.2433✓0.9551k2022-03-04
LUNATerraTerra 273.271.3057-2.59%83.49+14.06%0.1603✗1.394.5M2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227120.02215-2.47%0.018594-18.13%0.1731✓1.06114k2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1681.1419-2.23%1.039-11.04%0.0922✓1.241.0M2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.703964-2.23%0.65-9.72%0.0762✓1.92995k2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.2862-2.23%17.62-0.34%0.0212✓1.1522.7M2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4470.437252-2.18%0.412-7.83%0.0570✓1.384.6M2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0117130.011458-2.18%0.011391-2.75%0.0038✓1.1135k2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35130.343755-2.15%0.3464-1.39%0.0108✓1.7015.9M2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum7.096.9436-2.06%6.311-10.99%0.0948✓0.372.0M2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.7266-2.05%18.21-13.94%0.1265✓1.59325k2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07340.071947-1.98%0.0692-5.72%0.0364✓1.401.0M2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018130.017778-1.94%0.01761-2.87%0.0074✓1.112.2M2022-03-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8341.7987-1.92%1.799-1.91%0.0020✓1.0076k2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.6793.6105-1.86%3.72+1.11%0.0323✗1.301.9M2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.91735.8086-1.84%5.5379-6.41%0.0470✓0.42433k2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.661.6318-1.70%1.72+3.61%0.0551✗1.332.0M2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0173.9535-1.58%3.618-9.93%0.0863✓1.312.4M2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.624.5482-1.56%4.05-12.34%0.1132✓1.54432k2022-03-04
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0042-1.55%0.97-4.90%0.0346✓0.03286k2022-03-04
UMAUMAEthereum4.9384.8619-1.54%9.216+86.63%0.6412✗0.931.9M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12920.127214-1.54%0.1169-9.52%0.0821✓1.313.1M2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9418.6526-1.52%18.82-0.63%0.0112✓1.269.1M2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3151.2951-1.52%1.346+2.36%0.0411✗1.371.8M2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010160.010006-1.51%0.01111+9.35%0.1074✗1.502.5M2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.21313.165-1.50%3.0789-4.18%0.0251✓1.352.1M2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.2629.8224-1.45%28.68-5.22%0.0372✓1.021.7M2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73860.728058-1.43%0.71-3.87%0.0231✓1.109.6M2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85951.8337-1.39%2.5067+34.81%0.3139✗0.672.7M2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8714.6636-1.39%15.26+2.62%0.0427✗1.522.3M2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.233-1.38%5.82-7.91%0.0660✓1.411.2M2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4531.4331-1.37%1.348-7.23%0.0590✓1.19963k2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64421.6226-1.31%1.4243-13.37%0.1277✓1.44251k2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2504-1.30%2.22-2.63%0.0118✓1.01270k2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5330.526208-1.27%0.5292-0.71%0.0074✓0.93643k2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum112.66111.2417-1.26%108.79-3.44%0.0199✓1.3058k2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2587-1.25%3.04-7.88%0.0670✓1.357.1M2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0820.080979-1.24%0.0851+3.78%0.0525✗1.55668k2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.451.432-1.24%1.358-6.34%0.0502✓1.53941k2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.326.9644-1.23%30.51+11.76%0.1256✗1.1252.8M2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.0580.0608-1.22%75.82-6.45%0.0517✓1.49106.7M2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.009530.009419-1.16%0.00944-0.94%0.0046✓1.291.2M2022-03-04
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001878-1.15%0.00000183-3.68%0.0246✓0.6914.7M2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.92.8666-1.15%2.877-0.79%0.0054✓0.94477k2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1964-1.12%1.17-3.31%0.0200✓1.28885k2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.2724.9886-1.11%22.86-9.54%0.0863✓1.481.8M2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.12012.0967-1.11%2.0304-4.23%0.0305✓0.8827k2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14680.145192-1.10%0.1472+0.27%0.0157✗1.06446k2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.029220.028902-1.09%0.0266-8.97%0.0815✓0.794.4M2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012020.011891-1.08%0.01211+0.75%0.0197✗0.7615k2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.77330.765017-1.07%0.7354-4.90%0.0367✓1.53299k2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.90190.892244-1.07%0.9048+0.32%0.0163✗1.271.8M2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5898-1.07%6.27+10.97%0.1164✗0.84430k2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046090.0456-1.06%0.04735+2.73%0.0399✗1.24703k2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.24741.2343-1.05%1.2576+0.81%0.0213✗1.442.6M2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.151.1379-1.05%1.11-3.48%0.0224✓1.30695k2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash106.72105.6198-1.03%117.05+9.68%0.1048✗1.137.6M2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.158690.157061-1.03%0.15063-5.08%0.0393✓1.3728k2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3652.3408-1.02%2.252-4.78%0.0359✓1.5313.2M2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.70230.695123-1.02%0.65401-6.88%0.0583✓1.44224k2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0691-1.00%2.02-3.35%0.0218✓1.23343k2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73672.7094-1.00%2.4781-9.45%0.0868✓1.313.2M2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,170.9619,974.24-0.98%19,859.01-1.55%0.0040✓1.005.7M2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.873401-0.97%0.78-11.56%0.1106✓1.372.1M2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.35.251-0.93%8.51+60.57%0.4844✗0.86435k2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum4.514.4685-0.92%5.07+12.42%0.1280✗0.91696k2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.93923.9036-0.90%3.9678+0.73%0.0185✗1.20284k2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.6103-0.88%17.4+18.05%0.1761✗0.711.9M2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero153.74152.3903-0.88%159.78+3.93%0.0492✗1.00966k2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum139.7138.5324-0.84%124.3-11.02%0.1057✓1.466.5M2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06460.064062-0.83%0.0679+5.11%0.0601✗1.0713k2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration124.6123.5876-0.81%120.67-3.15%0.0217✓1.20930k2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8312.7258-0.81%12.38-3.51%0.0257✓1.02340k2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.336.2791-0.80%6.1-3.63%0.0282✓0.421.2M2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.648802-0.79%0.69+5.50%0.0637✗1.162.0M2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6005-0.76%1.9091+18.38%0.1781✗1.0072k2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.392.372-0.75%3.09+29.29%0.2670✗1.41572k2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72992.7094-0.75%3.0093+10.23%0.1068✗0.982.3M2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.3914.2853-0.73%13.74-4.52%0.0366✓1.2459.6M2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.1872.1712-0.72%2.134-2.42%0.0153✓1.0519k2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.17410.172855-0.72%0.1952+12.12%0.1242✗1.412.8M2022-03-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004340.004309-0.71%0.004-7.83%0.0711✓1.8512.3M2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.00880.008738-0.70%0.00847-3.75%0.0288✓1.29546k2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.26320.261364-0.70%0.2623-0.34%0.0061✓1.39451k2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1451.137-0.70%1.114-2.71%0.0181✓1.302.8M2022-03-04
DASHDashDash92.992.2543-0.70%89.59-3.56%0.0272✓1.131.5M2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2970.294974-0.68%0.274-7.74%0.0712✓1.392.1M2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2826.2401-0.67%5.851-6.86%0.0619✓1.3828k2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.14690.145924-0.66%0.1405-4.36%0.0364✓0.81321k2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.5804-0.64%5.38+16.70%0.1623✗0.78459k2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0914.0647-0.64%4.438+8.48%0.0894✗0.82414k2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22330.22187-0.64%0.235+5.24%0.0593✗1.001.9M2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46340.460444-0.64%0.4504-2.81%0.0193✓1.48572k2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018190.01808-0.60%0.01443-20.67%0.2226✓1.6012.7M2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83120.82621-0.60%0.7605-8.51%0.0806✓1.2222.9M2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36110.358953-0.59%0.34-5.84%0.0516✓1.438.4M2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.13266.0962-0.59%5.9254-3.38%0.0258✓1.45184k2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.2817.1779-0.59%16.79-2.84%0.0204✓1.3326.4M2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2290.227684-0.57%0.24+4.80%0.0542✗0.8557k2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase34.7334.5313-0.57%33.61-3.22%0.0243✓1.49309k2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano0.89970.894569-0.57%0.845-6.08%0.0549✓1.1697.3M2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03890.038679-0.57%0.03781-2.80%0.0208✓1.0730k2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3362.3228-0.56%3.317+41.99%0.3586✗1.25727k2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0127.8564-0.55%27.63-1.36%0.0061✓1.124.9M2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5395390.536593-0.55%0.495114-8.23%0.0783✓1.173.1M2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash309.04307.376-0.54%290.67-5.94%0.0540✓1.007.3M2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5712.5576-0.52%2.883+12.14%0.1213✗0.83207k2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum43.0942.8709-0.51%40.5-6.01%0.0548✓1.1523.5M2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana92.8492.373-0.50%88.32-4.87%0.0425✓1.29132.7M2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase1.87731.8681-0.49%1.7529-6.63%0.0614✓1.23196k2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.379.3252-0.48%10.37+10.67%0.1074✗0.68853k2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,386.5039,201.88-0.47%39,591.90+0.52%0.0117✗0.9649k2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.48210.479868-0.46%0.7304+51.50%0.4225✗1.332.0M2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4384-0.46%1.413-2.21%0.0156✓1.201.6M2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024718-0.45%0.00002353-5.24%0.0468✓1.353.8M2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1650.9342-0.44%49.7-2.85%0.0221✓1.357.3M2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37270.371137-0.42%0.35-6.09%0.0559✓1.471.3M2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.29.1617-0.42%8.58-6.74%0.0632✓1.293.2M2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085970.085631-0.39%0.08893+3.44%0.0398✗1.1146k2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000075230.000074946-0.38%0.00007061-6.14%0.0574✓1.184.5M2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6355.6151-0.35%5-11.27%0.1142✓0.99223k2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277810.127364-0.33%0.122392-4.22%0.0380✓1.003.7M2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,769.522,761.26-0.30%2,623.07-5.29%0.0494✓1.08561.7M2022-03-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.232.224-0.27%2.72+21.97%0.2031✗1.00639k2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9334.9232-0.20%4.97+0.75%0.0110✗0.8365k2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.955960.954121-0.19%0.94943-0.68%0.0023✓1.41165k2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum112.52112.3055-0.19%118.5+5.31%0.0556✗1.036.4M2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1911420.190811-0.17%0.17606-7.89%0.0784✓1.1120.5M2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0594790.059379-0.17%0.058264-2.04%0.0174✓0.83286k2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.33109.1505-0.16%101.05-7.57%0.0749✓1.1929.5M2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06490.064795-0.16%0.06438-0.80%0.0042✓1.2374k2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.46619.4463-0.10%18.238-6.31%0.0622✓1.079.6M2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.31346.3078-0.09%6.6818+5.84%0.0590✗0.793.0M2022-03-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.884.7282-0.08%79.36-6.42%0.0638✓0.89946k2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.73112.7291-0.07%3.0177+10.49%0.1022✗0.932.9M2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5361.5357-0.02%1.32-14.06%0.1493✓1.103.4M2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.21210.212084-0.01%0.209-1.46%0.0118✓1.533.3M2022-03-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06890.068896-0.01%0.0671-2.61%0.0245✓1.05168k2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.259.2552+0.06%8.81-4.76%0.0468✗1.3410.8M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,238.4839,293.59+0.14%39,166.51-0.18%0.0014✗1.00632.3M2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.09850.098769+0.27%0.096-2.54%0.0265✗1.0538k2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.