2022-02-24 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1153

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.60%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

61.6%

in alpha space · 9.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.74%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.2376	+2.64%	3.084	+41.47%	0.1822	✓	1.36	579k	2022-03-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.017317	+2.29%	0.01525	-9.92%	0.2895	✗	1.59	11.9M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.5322	+1.87%	1.46	-2.93%	0.1597	✗	1.09	3.5M	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1433	+1.17%	1.24	+9.73%	0.0473	✗	1.26	934k	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	8.8595	+0.33%	9.55	+8.15%	0.0608	✗	1.33	11.0M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.196036	+0.22%	0.2283	+16.72%	0.0013	✓	1.51	3.3M	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.182521	+0.06%	0.187901	+3.01%	0.0831	✗	1.10	21.4M	2022-03-03
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.7179	+0.05%	1.976	+15.08%	0.0380	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.34516	-0.01%	0.381	+10.37%	0.0496	✓	1.45	1.3M	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.5143	-0.06%	30.25	+14.02%	0.0193	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.1864	-0.08%	2.873	+31.31%	0.1472	✗	1.24	772k	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.43071	-0.14%	0.4943	+14.61%	0.0118	✓	1.47	572k	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.0911	-0.15%	6.42	+5.25%	0.0123	✗	0.40	1.3M	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.060632	-0.16%	0.06983	+14.98%	0.0170	✗	1.22	77k	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.273425	-0.21%	0.295	+7.66%	0.0644	✓	1.38	2.2M	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	2.113	-0.22%	2.2899	+8.13%	0.0090	✓	0.88	27k	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.2048	-0.26%	1.545	+27.90%	0.1108	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.000023825	-0.27%	0.00002507	+4.94%	0.0867	✓	1.35	3.7M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.004118	-0.28%	0.00456	+10.41%	0.0857	✓	1.84	12.6M	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.638192	-0.28%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0729	✓	1.90	1.0M	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.3341	-0.29%	1.523	+13.83%	0.0119	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.092714	-0.31%	0.1029	+10.65%	0.0014	✓	1.04	38k	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	5.0004	-0.31%	5.584	+11.32%	0.0126	✗	0.96	241k	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	108.3891	-0.31%	127.04	+16.84%	0.0546	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.508039	-0.34%	0.534619	+4.88%	0.0698	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.4041	-0.36%	5.38	+21.72%	0.1218	✗	0.77	459k	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.6156	-0.37%	2.95	+12.36%	0.0266	✗	0.92	2.9M	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.21816	-0.38%	0.273	+24.66%	0.1361	✗	0.86	59k	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.892078	-0.39%	1.0476	+16.97%	0.0180	✗	1.40	165k	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.328885	-0.40%	0.3687	+11.66%	0.0589	✓	1.70	16.0M	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	117.4572	-0.40%	131.9	+11.85%	0.0070	✓	1.21	930k	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	81.5594	-0.40%	83.45	+1.90%	0.0667	✓	0.88	946k	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.12356	-0.45%	0.129579	+4.40%	0.0541	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.008299	-0.49%	0.00902	+8.15%	0.0473	✓	1.28	546k	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.77404	-0.50%	0.7967	+2.42%	0.0950	✓	1.21	22.9M	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.393	-0.50%	6.33	+16.79%	0.0755	✗	0.83	430k	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	11.9295	-0.50%	13.32	+11.09%	0.0056	✗	1.03	369k	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	18.0737	-0.55%	19.526	+7.45%	0.0300	✓	1.05	9.6M	2022-03-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.901	-0.55%	9.34	+4.36%	0.0840	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.848547	-0.56%	0.9021	+5.72%	0.0564	✓	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.212874	-0.57%	0.249	+16.30%	0.0541	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.656405	-0.58%	0.7113	+7.74%	0.0722	✓	1.50	246k	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008888	-0.58%	0.01001	+11.97%	0.0121	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064218	-0.59%	0.072	+11.46%	0.0081	✗	1.04	176k	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,582.07	-0.59%	2,833.66	+9.10%	0.0159	✓	1.07	561.7M	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	102.1051	-0.60%	129.17	+25.75%	0.1215	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.235635	-0.62%	0.2824	+19.11%	0.0407	✗	1.38	469k	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.163085	-0.62%	0.1971	+20.11%	0.0467	✗	1.40	2.9M	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.4124	-0.62%	5.51	+24.10%	0.1196	✗	1.01	696k	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.2132	-0.63%	4.42	+4.25%	0.1051	✓	1.50	456k	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.5273	-0.64%	2.1075	+37.10%	0.2200	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.7553	-0.65%	6.363	+9.84%	0.0333	✓	1.31	29k	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	87.3074	-0.65%	96.75	+10.09%	0.0110	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.081501	-0.68%	0.09337	+13.78%	0.0232	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.078455	-0.69%	0.095	+20.25%	0.0340	✗	1.54	668k	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.150272	-0.69%	0.16147	+6.71%	0.0675	✓	1.37	29k	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.043297	-0.69%	0.05073	+16.35%	0.0301	✗	1.26	768k	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.6016	-0.71%	2.9519	+12.66%	0.0275	✗	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	38,073.28	-0.71%	42,464.41	+10.74%	0.0072	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.454581	-0.75%	0.8058	+75.94%	0.4370	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	124.3637	-0.75%	129.96	+3.72%	0.1017	✓	1.43	6.5M	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	107.9569	-0.75%	116.89	+7.47%	0.0527	✓	1.30	64k	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.635198	-0.75%	0.714	+11.56%	0.0009	✓	1.16	2.2M	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	1.9879	-0.75%	2.212	+10.43%	0.0010	✓	1.04	20k	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	298.6603	-0.76%	315.29	+4.77%	0.0477	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.7601	-0.77%	1.868	+5.31%	0.0644	✓	1.21	206k	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	33.9514	-0.78%	38.18	+11.57%	0.0354	✓	1.50	309k	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.00007058	-0.79%	0.00007449	+4.71%	0.0657	✓	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.8581	-0.80%	16.42	+17.54%	0.0978	✗	0.70	1.9M	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	8.8966	-0.82%	10.07	+12.26%	0.0555	✗	0.67	853k	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	103.3811	-0.82%	111.69	+7.15%	0.0429	✓	1.18	29.5M	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.036552	-0.84%	0.03967	+7.62%	0.0280	✓	1.08	31k	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	88.6585	-0.84%	95.61	+6.93%	0.0553	✓	1.28	132.7M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.222	-0.85%	2.508	+11.91%	0.0329	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-03-03
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.1712	-0.86%	2.38	+8.68%	0.0102	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	13.1561	-0.86%	14.89	+12.21%	0.0006	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.7905	-0.87%	6.3922	+9.43%	0.0479	✓	1.44	172k	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.56	-0.87%	2.6368	+2.11%	0.1026	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.4592	-0.88%	2.882	+16.16%	0.0746	✗	0.82	205k	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	16.0374	-0.88%	18.03	+11.43%	0.0175	✓	1.32	27.9M	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.025925	-0.90%	0.02753	+5.24%	0.0195	✓	0.78	4.4M	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.7419	-0.90%	9.598	+100.59%	0.6069	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.9087	-0.92%	4.418	+11.99%	0.0382	✗	0.83	414k	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.3472	-0.94%	1.479	+8.75%	0.0600	✓	1.50	970k	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	18.2442	-0.95%	20.13	+9.28%	0.0318	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1093	-0.96%	1.21	+8.04%	0.0455	✓	1.30	725k	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.358339	-0.96%	0.3647	+0.80%	0.1327	✓	1.47	8.4M	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	22.1952	-0.96%	25.18	+12.36%	0.0236	✓	1.47	1.8M	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	3.0098	-0.96%	3.3937	+11.68%	0.0156	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.129125	-0.98%	0.1559	+19.56%	0.0829	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	48.3424	-0.98%	53.31	+9.20%	0.0387	✓	1.34	7.5M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.067823	-0.99%	0.0725	+5.84%	0.0747	✓	1.39	1.1M	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.060486	-1.00%	0.060032	-1.74%	0.0933	✓	0.84	286k	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.0929	-1.00%	1.174	+6.34%	0.0604	✓	1.29	2.8M	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9502	-1.01%	2.04	+3.55%	0.0794	✓	1.22	343k	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.6588	-1.04%	5.6206	-1.70%	0.0482	✓	0.41	433k	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.138443	-1.04%	0.146	+4.36%	0.0299	✓	0.81	345k	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	4.9772	-1.05%	7.63	+51.69%	0.3407	✗	0.85	398k	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.107	-1.05%	3.3	+5.10%	0.0767	✓	1.34	7.1M	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	75.5997	-1.06%	78.49	+2.72%	0.1156	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.5744	-1.06%	14.3	+4.23%	0.1059	✓	1.55	2.7M	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.009666	-1.07%	0.01199	+22.72%	0.0650	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.1665	-1.07%	2.38	+8.68%	0.0086	✓	1.01	275k	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.021421	-1.13%	0.020258	-6.49%	0.1609	✓	1.03	114k	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.119119	-1.15%	0.1221	+1.33%	0.1084	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.731496	-1.15%	0.7864	+6.27%	0.0835	✓	1.53	317k	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.8955	-1.15%	3.808	-3.37%	0.1565	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3283	-1.17%	1.437	+6.92%	0.0412	✓	1.18	1.1M	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.1443	-1.17%	1.4091	+21.69%	0.0606	✗	1.45	2.6M	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.804606	-1.19%	0.9796	+20.30%	0.0677	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.7141	-1.20%	2.941	+7.06%	0.0144	✓	0.93	477k	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.5412	-1.20%	1.85	+18.59%	0.0467	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.474686	-1.21%	0.5501	+14.48%	0.0548	✗	0.91	643k	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.686879	-1.21%	0.7596	+9.25%	0.0104	✓	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.816774	-1.24%	0.852	+3.02%	0.0971	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.011729	-1.27%	0.01236	+4.04%	0.0253	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.6872	-1.28%	4.2636	+14.15%	0.0237	✗	1.19	291k	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.685	-1.31%	5.231	+10.20%	0.0268	✗	0.82	65k	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.511	-1.32%	3.962	+11.35%	0.0142	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.06008	-1.35%	0.0725	+19.05%	0.0805	✗	1.05	14k	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.41728	-1.35%	0.448	+5.91%	0.0693	✓	1.38	4.7M	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.809	-1.37%	6.34	+7.64%	0.0503	✓	1.35	1.3M	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.052467	-1.38%	0.0637	+19.74%	0.0089	✓	1.81	67.8M	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.032769	-1.39%	0.03435	+3.37%	0.0378	✓	0.83	1.6M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	37,779.79	-1.39%	42,572.60	+11.12%	0.0217	✗	0.96	39k	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.01131	-1.40%	0.011953	+4.21%	0.0580	✓	1.11	37k	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.6661	-1.41%	1.92	+13.61%	0.0185	✓	1.57	539k	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	16.3625	-1.43%	19.97	+20.30%	0.0818	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.789238	-1.44%	0.865	+8.02%	0.0387	✗	0.52	1.5M	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.1421	-1.49%	6.7949	+8.98%	0.0206	✗	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-03
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.000001782	-1.53%	0.0000019	+4.97%	0.0043	✓	0.67	14.4M	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.016915	-1.55%	0.01877	+9.25%	0.0090	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	19,101.23	-1.67%	21,698.86	+11.70%	0.0262	✗	0.99	5.7M	2022-03-03
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.6347	-1.69%	2.46	-8.21%	0.1706	✓	1.00	608k	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	24.4333	-1.72%	34.01	+36.81%	0.2195	✗	1.09	52.8M	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.7808	-1.78%	2.773	+52.94%	0.3741	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	19.1313	-1.79%	19.77	+1.49%	0.1281	✓	1.58	334k	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	40.5484	-1.82%	44.86	+8.62%	0.0155	✓	1.14	26.3M	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	144.1813	-1.92%	172.04	+17.03%	0.0754	✗	0.99	966k	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	61.7739	-1.96%	66.5878	+5.68%	0.0760	✓	1.48	243k	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.044828	-2.24%	0.046937	+2.36%	0.0788	✓	1.22	8.6M	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.383901	-2.44%	0.4722	+20.00%	0.0021	✓	2.05	2.1M	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	30.0083	-2.44%	30.05	-2.31%	0.1047	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-03
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.993523	-2.60%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0527	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.156	-2.62%	1.176	-0.93%	0.1097	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	63.4879	-2.69%	90.56	+38.81%	0.2168	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.027276	-2.93%	0.0283	+0.71%	0.1140	✓	1.48	513k	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.122138	-3.07%	0.118	-6.35%	0.1278	✓	0.91	53k	2022-03-03
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.78e-7	-3.39%	6.88e-7	-2.03%	0.0880	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.3742	-3.61%	1.6497	+15.71%	0.0398	✗	1.40	238k	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.7028	-4.26%	7.315	+4.49%	0.0496	✗	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.