2022-02-23 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2141

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.0%

in alpha space · 18.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+17.83%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4331	0.412405	-4.78%	0.5029	+16.12%	0.1117	✓	1.89	2.0M	2022-03-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0366	0.035341	-3.44%	0.03397	-7.19%	0.1853	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-03-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.7591	65.4805	-3.36%	71.55	+5.59%	0.1579	✓	1.50	243k	2022-03-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.78	1.7241	-3.14%	1.82	+2.25%	0.2139	✓	1.63	582k	2022-03-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049178	0.047675	-3.06%	0.04679	-4.86%	0.2256	✓	1.26	7.5M	2022-03-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9299	0.901617	-3.04%	0.7242	-22.12%	0.3198	✓	0.61	1.5M	2022-03-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0253	0.024546	-2.98%	0.0268	+5.93%	0.1460	✓	1.43	497k	2022-03-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.144	0.140042	-2.75%	0.116	-19.44%	0.3554	✓	1.02	53k	2022-03-02
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.513	-2.60%	2.52	-2.33%	0.1613	✓	1.00	671k	2022-03-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.357	6.2037	-2.41%	7.3	+14.83%	0.1074	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-03-02
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.1	1.0769	-2.10%	1.02	-7.27%	0.2183	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01214	0.011912	-1.88%	0.012216	+0.63%	0.1627	✓	1.15	39k	2022-03-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0975	5.9857	-1.83%	5.9424	-2.54%	0.0716	✓	0.39	412k	2022-03-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.29	16.9813	-1.79%	19.31	+11.68%	0.0602	✓	1.15	22.3M	2022-03-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	59.54	58.5382	-1.68%	92.43	+55.24%	0.2381	✗	1.33	4.5M	2022-03-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.659006	-1.64%	0.75	+11.94%	0.1885	✓	1.94	1.0M	2022-03-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.655	3.5961	-1.61%	4.016	+9.88%	0.0972	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7484	1.722	-1.51%	1.6226	-7.20%	0.3075	✓	1.51	229k	2022-03-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7207	1.6948	-1.51%	2.7751	+61.28%	0.4078	✗	0.52	2.7M	2022-03-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022758	0.022454	-1.33%	0.021073	-7.40%	0.2366	✓	1.06	111k	2022-03-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018513	-1.32%	0.01892	+0.85%	0.1638	✓	1.13	2.1M	2022-03-02
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.807	1.7853	-1.20%	2.237	+23.80%	0.0615	✗	1.00	76k	2022-03-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0687	0.067877	-1.20%	0.0775	+12.81%	0.0928	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.59	1.5709	-1.20%	1.93	+21.38%	0.0158	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.443	0.437734	-1.19%	0.468	+5.64%	0.1575	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-03-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.119241	-1.13%	0.1299	+7.71%	0.1332	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-03-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.81	18.5999	-1.12%	20.76	+10.37%	0.1435	✓	1.54	334k	2022-03-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0476	0.047097	-1.06%	0.0655	+37.61%	0.0385	✗	1.78	64.3M	2022-03-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.23	4.1884	-0.98%	4.65	+9.93%	0.0755	✓	1.10	456k	2022-03-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4849	0.480205	-0.97%	0.5665	+16.83%	0.0077	✓	0.96	643k	2022-03-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.53	28.2565	-0.96%	30.37	+6.45%	0.0950	✓	1.02	1.5M	2022-03-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012113	-0.96%	0.01235	+0.98%	0.1050	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01006	0.009966	-0.93%	0.01231	+22.37%	0.0390	✓	1.53	2.2M	2022-03-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1538	2.134	-0.92%	2.2311	+3.59%	0.0987	✓	0.87	28k	2022-03-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	25.15	24.9191	-0.92%	32.25	+28.23%	0.0771	✗	1.10	52.8M	2022-03-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0845	0.083736	-0.90%	0.0991	+17.28%	0.0718	✓	1.46	668k	2022-03-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.2648	-0.90%	20.73	+12.48%	0.0730	✓	1.22	9.2M	2022-03-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1509	-0.88%	2.43	+11.98%	0.0443	✓	1.01	275k	2022-03-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0622	0.061659	-0.87%	0.0714	+14.79%	0.0287	✓	1.07	14k	2022-03-02
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001883	-0.87%	0.00000196	+3.16%	0.1242	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-03-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.24	14.1225	-0.82%	15.16	+6.46%	0.1848	✓	1.56	2.3M	2022-03-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,320.95	20,155.07	-0.82%	22,346.94	+9.97%	0.0660	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-03-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.14949	0.148284	-0.81%	0.16542	+10.66%	0.1133	✓	1.36	29k	2022-03-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7513	0.745334	-0.79%	0.8082	+7.57%	0.1713	✓	1.54	317k	2022-03-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.76	5.7144	-0.79%	6.43	+11.63%	0.0257	✓	0.88	425k	2022-03-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1954	1.186	-0.79%	1.389	+16.20%	0.0671	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-03-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.938	0.930685	-0.78%	1.164	+24.09%	0.0218	✗	1.23	934k	2022-03-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.13	1.1212	-0.78%	1.25	+10.62%	0.1077	✓	1.32	725k	2022-03-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1335	0.132462	-0.78%	0.1595	+19.48%	0.0191	✗	1.02	467k	2022-03-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.878	2.8561	-0.76%	3.114	+8.20%	0.0686	✓	0.95	460k	2022-03-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.5	72.9413	-0.76%	83.42	+13.50%	0.1118	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	109.49	108.6825	-0.74%	122.45	+11.84%	0.0926	✓	1.29	64k	2022-03-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7126	0.707349	-0.74%	0.7872	+10.47%	0.0803	✓	1.14	9.7M	2022-03-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.285	2.2682	-0.73%	2.647	+15.84%	0.1027	✓	1.57	13.2M	2022-03-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9331	2.9116	-0.73%	3.494	+19.12%	0.0303	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-03-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.86	4.8245	-0.73%	5.59	+15.02%	0.0154	✓	0.99	682k	2022-03-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8658	3.8376	-0.73%	4.413	+14.16%	0.0583	✓	1.21	283k	2022-03-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.383	1.373	-0.72%	1.496	+8.17%	0.1146	✓	1.22	1.0M	2022-03-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.977	4.9428	-0.69%	8.421	+69.20%	0.3688	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3293	0.327066	-0.68%	0.4033	+22.47%	0.0665	✓	1.68	16.0M	2022-03-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.35	14.2553	-0.66%	16.15	+12.54%	0.0025	✓	0.75	1.8M	2022-03-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.389	1.3802	-0.63%	1.548	+11.45%	0.1274	✓	1.48	928k	2022-03-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5516	2.5357	-0.63%	2.7532	+7.90%	0.1295	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9093	1.8977	-0.61%	1.8782	-1.63%	0.2119	✓	1.23	206k	2022-03-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.01	148.1224	-0.60%	177.46	+19.09%	0.0163	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.18	22.0509	-0.58%	26.56	+19.75%	0.0503	✓	1.44	1.8M	2022-03-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.135	4.1115	-0.57%	4.505	+8.95%	0.0491	✓	0.86	395k	2022-03-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00938	0.009327	-0.56%	0.01037	+10.55%	0.1049	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.85	5.8176	-0.55%	6.64	+13.50%	0.0650	✗	0.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.147	0.146201	-0.54%	0.149	+1.36%	0.1129	✓	0.80	345k	2022-03-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.71	12.6412	-0.54%	13.69	+7.71%	0.0891	✓	1.03	369k	2022-03-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.2627	-0.53%	3.41	+3.96%	0.1843	✓	1.39	7.0M	2022-03-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.748	3.7284	-0.52%	3.976	+6.08%	0.1437	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-03-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.65943	0.656021	-0.52%	0.73047	+10.77%	0.1296	✓	1.45	246k	2022-03-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.28	87.8354	-0.50%	100.9	+14.30%	0.0532	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03744	0.037259	-0.48%	0.04078	+8.92%	0.0891	✓	1.09	31k	2022-03-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.12	2.1098	-0.48%	2.13	+0.47%	0.1931	✓	1.24	324k	2022-03-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.318	2.3075	-0.46%	2.99	+28.99%	0.0515	✗	1.27	772k	2022-03-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7875	2.775	-0.45%	3.0297	+8.69%	0.0783	✓	1.01	2.3M	2022-03-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.78	40.6087	-0.42%	46.16	+13.19%	0.0611	✓	1.15	26.3M	2022-03-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8664	0.86283	-0.41%	0.9394	+8.43%	0.1036	✓	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.28	9.242	-0.41%	10.14	+9.27%	0.0260	✓	0.72	758k	2022-03-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.238626	-0.41%	0.2945	+22.91%	0.0191	✗	1.17	410k	2022-03-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127361	0.126859	-0.39%	0.133081	+4.49%	0.1183	✓	1.01	3.7M	2022-03-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2505	-0.37%	7.94	+50.66%	0.2702	✗	0.87	367k	2022-03-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.779	0.776147	-0.37%	0.917	+17.72%	0.0571	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.294	1.2893	-0.36%	1.359	+5.02%	0.1745	✓	1.38	1.8M	2022-03-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.4397	-0.34%	29.52	+11.27%	0.0686	✓	1.09	4.9M	2022-03-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02593	0.025845	-0.33%	0.02832	+9.22%	0.0356	✓	0.77	4.4M	2022-03-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00444	0.004425	-0.33%	0.00469	+5.63%	0.2512	✓	1.89	12.6M	2022-03-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7853	0.782812	-0.32%	0.8204	+4.47%	0.1560	✓	1.24	22.9M	2022-03-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002484	0.000024761	-0.32%	0.00002591	+4.31%	0.1809	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-03-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.221	0.220302	-0.32%	0.2571	+16.33%	0.0102	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.526579	0.524995	-0.30%	0.570611	+8.36%	0.1077	✓	1.16	3.2M	2022-03-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4922	0.490734	-0.30%	0.7291	+48.13%	0.1741	✗	1.35	2.2M	2022-03-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8185	0.816076	-0.30%	0.9988	+22.03%	0.0237	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-03-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5861	1.5814	-0.29%	1.9592	+23.52%	0.0385	✗	1.07	72k	2022-03-02
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3431	-0.29%	2.35	+0.00%	0.1611	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	97.51	97.2284	-0.29%	125.91	+29.13%	0.0675	✗	1.16	7.6M	2022-03-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.6909	-0.28%	6.71	+0.00%	0.0334	✓	0.22	1.2M	2022-03-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.282	0.28129	-0.25%	0.308	+9.22%	0.1357	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-03-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1703	0.169875	-0.25%	0.197	+15.68%	0.0837	✓	1.41	2.9M	2022-03-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	130.67	130.3481	-0.25%	137.7	+5.38%	0.1824	✓	1.45	6.5M	2022-03-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3536	0.352738	-0.24%	0.3742	+5.83%	0.1732	✓	1.42	8.4M	2022-03-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.858	5.8438	-0.24%	6.7	+14.37%	0.0767	✗	0.37	29k	2022-03-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,524.20	37,436.90	-0.23%	44,262.00	+17.96%	0.0088	✗	0.97	39k	2022-03-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04486	0.04476	-0.22%	0.04875	+8.67%	0.1303	✓	1.31	768k	2022-03-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	84.64	84.4528	-0.22%	100.73	+19.01%	0.0279	✓	1.24	132.7M	2022-03-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.34	13.3113	-0.22%	15.29	+14.62%	0.0610	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6701	-0.21%	5.57	+19.02%	0.0445	✗	0.80	431k	2022-03-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	288.37	287.7877	-0.20%	320.43	+11.12%	0.0563	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.667	0.665675	-0.20%	0.703	+5.40%	0.1274	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-03-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7401	5.7291	-0.19%	6.4867	+13.01%	0.1135	✓	1.45	153k	2022-03-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3651	0.364461	-0.18%	0.397	+8.74%	0.1466	✓	1.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8418	2.8372	-0.16%	3.0322	+6.70%	0.1000	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-03-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.363	5.3546	-0.16%	6.038	+12.59%	0.0508	✓	1.04	241k	2022-03-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08287	0.082751	-0.14%	0.091	+9.81%	0.0870	✓	1.11	47k	2022-03-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.84	32.7938	-0.14%	38.92	+18.51%	0.0877	✓	1.58	309k	2022-03-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.79	48.7275	-0.13%	55.59	+13.94%	0.0853	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-03-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0047	-0.12%	2.298	+14.50%	0.0348	✓	1.04	19k	2022-03-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.181	5.1751	-0.11%	5.551	+7.14%	0.0613	✓	0.80	65k	2022-03-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060784	0.060717	-0.11%	0.061505	+1.19%	0.1267	✓	0.85	286k	2022-03-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	15.97	15.9537	-0.10%	18.61	+16.53%	0.0645	✓	1.33	27.9M	2022-03-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	123.58	123.4955	-0.07%	138.31	+11.92%	0.0824	✓	1.19	930k	2022-03-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.234	0.233876	-0.05%	0.247	+5.56%	0.0909	✓	0.89	59k	2022-03-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.038	1.0375	-0.04%	1.202	+15.80%	0.0592	✓	1.26	2.8M	2022-03-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.749	18.7416	-0.04%	20.355	+8.57%	0.1045	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-03-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	105.41	105.3752	-0.03%	110.35	+4.69%	0.1522	✓	1.21	29.5M	2022-03-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.599	2.5984	-0.02%	2.98	+14.66%	0.0013	✓	0.84	198k	2022-03-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0084	0.008399	-0.01%	0.00957	+13.93%	0.0382	✓	1.03	525k	2022-03-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,580.97	2,580.94	-0.00%	2,948.56	+14.24%	0.0451	✓	1.09	561.7M	2022-03-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1482	6.1487	+0.01%	6.803	+10.65%	0.0327	✗	0.82	3.0M	2022-03-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181888	0.181941	+0.03%	0.193624	+6.45%	0.1100	✗	1.05	21.4M	2022-03-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.19	1.1904	+0.04%	1.27	+6.72%	0.1471	✗	1.29	934k	2022-03-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		82.17	82.2012	+0.04%	86.11	+4.79%	0.1010	✗	0.90	946k	2022-03-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000070254	+0.05%	0.00007594	+8.15%	0.1140	✗	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.331	1.3322	+0.09%	1.59	+19.46%	0.0113	✗	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.35	108.4501	+0.09%	117.95	+8.86%	0.0839	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.34	8.3502	+0.12%	9.78	+17.27%	0.0543	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4391	0.439721	+0.14%	0.5144	+17.15%	0.0817	✗	1.45	572k	2022-03-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06016	0.060282	+0.20%	0.07258	+20.64%	0.0513	✓	0.82	75k	2022-03-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.90329	0.905234	+0.22%	1.0742	+18.92%	0.0094	✗	1.10	160k	2022-03-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0693	0.069454	+0.22%	0.0754	+8.80%	0.0972	✗	1.09	176k	2022-03-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,268.19	37,360.20	+0.25%	43,912.34	+17.83%	0.0025	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2039	0.204625	+0.36%	0.2308	+13.19%	0.1316	✗	1.54	3.3M	2022-03-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0943	0.09466	+0.38%	0.1064	+12.83%	0.0527	✗	1.03	37k	2022-03-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.75	8.7913	+0.47%	10.05	+14.86%	0.0829	✗	1.32	10.8M	2022-03-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01802	0.018129	+0.60%	0.01634	-9.32%	0.3713	✗	1.63	11.1M	2022-03-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.27	2.2848	+0.65%	2.895	+27.53%	0.0091	✓	1.39	579k	2022-03-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.554	1.5659	+0.76%	1.464	-5.79%	0.2501	✗	1.11	3.4M	2022-03-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.