2022-02-20 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2179

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.83%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.7%

in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.75%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.436126	-5.23%	0.4116	-10.56%	0.0236	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-02-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.8752	-4.33%	1.81	-7.65%	0.0035	✓	1.81	690k	2022-02-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	71.1382	-4.29%	61.5448	-17.19%	0.1182	✓	1.51	281k	2022-02-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.034794	-4.26%	0.03182	-12.44%	0.0766	✓	0.72	1.9M	2022-02-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.911667	-4.04%	0.7935	-16.47%	0.1257	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-02-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.026974	-3.67%	0.0267	-4.64%	0.0157	✓	1.46	499k	2022-02-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.049529	-3.30%	0.046151	-9.89%	0.0479	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-02-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.7613	-2.99%	6.6	-5.31%	0.0196	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-02-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.687	-2.64%	2.41	-12.68%	0.0911	✓	1.00	696k	2022-02-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.123708	-2.59%	0.14	+10.24%	0.1430	✗	1.09	51k	2022-02-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.8796	-2.42%	4.3	-39.01%	0.4542	✓	0.89	682k	2022-02-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.761497	-2.37%	0.67	-14.10%	0.0932	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.2568	-2.37%	17.24	-7.81%	0.0367	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.024917	-2.19%	0.022401	-12.06%	0.0871	✓	1.09	89k	2022-02-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.2846	-2.18%	3.452	-21.19%	0.1941	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.9759	-2.07%	1.897	-5.98%	0.0317	✓	0.51	2.8M	2022-02-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.012915	-2.01%	0.011286	-14.37%	0.1147	✓	1.14	81k	2022-02-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	1.9994	-1.94%	1.681	-17.56%	0.1558	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7819	-1.77%	1.541	-15.05%	0.1186	✓	1.51	189k	2022-02-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.052162	-1.77%	0.0605	+13.94%	0.1792	✗	1.75	64.3M	2022-02-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.463062	-1.69%	0.416	-11.68%	0.0827	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.132171	-1.59%	0.115	-14.37%	0.1162	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.925299	-1.56%	0.99	+5.32%	0.0852	✗	1.00	277k	2022-02-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.372729	-1.52%	0.3174	-16.14%	0.1312	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-02-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7037	-1.52%	1.6	-7.51%	0.0393	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.504526	-1.44%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0368	✗	0.91	724k	2022-02-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.5198	-1.44%	19.91	+5.96%	0.0996	✗	1.54	350k	2022-02-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.1081	-1.37%	2.23	+4.33%	0.0729	✗	0.94	28k	2022-02-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.5154	-1.36%	2.185	-14.31%	0.1127	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-02-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010636	-1.34%	0.00965	-10.48%	0.0696	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.073404	-1.34%	0.0698	-6.18%	0.0265	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.2136	-1.34%	1.12	-8.94%	0.0577	✓	1.28	817k	2022-02-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.0601	-1.30%	5.65	-7.98%	0.0547	✓	0.87	430k	2022-02-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	25.7578	-1.27%	26.8	+2.72%	0.0586	✗	1.07	57.6M	2022-02-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,404.68	-1.27%	19,385.43	-6.20%	0.0332	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-02-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.019013	-1.26%	0.01839	-4.49%	0.0130	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001945	-1.25%	0.00000184	-6.60%	0.0381	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.793	-1.24%	2.358	-16.62%	0.1466	✓	1.28	579k	2022-02-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.776259	-1.23%	0.7097	-9.70%	0.0699	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-02-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2231	-1.20%	3.1219	-4.31%	0.0093	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.5334	-1.20%	14.64	-0.48%	0.0199	✗	0.71	1.8M	2022-02-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0709	-1.16%	3.002	-3.38%	0.0067	✓	0.91	492k	2022-02-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6609	-1.16%	2.5576	-5.00%	0.0177	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.5883	-1.15%	3.12	-14.05%	0.1155	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-02-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.81458	-1.13%	0.7266	-11.81%	0.0874	✓	1.52	417k	2022-02-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.3003	-1.11%	4.795	-10.54%	0.0827	✓	0.99	1.8M	2022-02-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	76.5315	-1.11%	75.09	-2.97%	0.0066	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-02-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.5988	-1.10%	4.21	-9.46%	0.0692	✓	1.08	510k	2022-02-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.6073	-1.07%	20.38	+2.83%	0.0604	✗	1.23	10.5M	2022-02-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2558	-1.06%	2.17	-4.82%	0.0207	✓	1.02	299k	2022-02-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.5429	-1.05%	2.14	-16.73%	0.1548	✓	1.00	681k	2022-02-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4743	-1.03%	3.224	+28.96%	0.2871	✗	1.27	845k	2022-02-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.4547	-1.02%	1.97	-20.56%	0.1990	✓	1.19	359k	2022-02-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.0746	-1.02%	13.22	-13.20%	0.1013	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-02-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9239	-1.02%	2.859	-3.21%	0.0050	✓	0.98	2.5M	2022-02-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012534	-0.99%	0.01158	-8.53%	0.0648	✓	0.82	15k	2022-02-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.3966	-0.95%	1.197	-15.11%	0.1299	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	152.4151	-0.95%	150.62	-2.11%	0.0059	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.090167	-0.92%	0.0773	-15.05%	0.1273	✓	1.51	807k	2022-02-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.6826	-0.91%	5.951	+3.77%	0.0529	✗	0.38	430k	2022-02-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0555	-0.91%	3.8286	-6.46%	0.0366	✓	1.19	327k	2022-02-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	115.9281	-0.90%	108.08	-7.61%	0.0476	✓	1.27	66k	2022-02-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5184	-0.89%	1.377	-10.12%	0.0726	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	107.1505	-0.89%	102.66	-5.04%	0.0217	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.8991	-0.87%	72.51	+46.99%	0.4184	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-02-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	2.9938	-0.87%	2.8883	-4.36%	0.0184	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.064843	-0.85%	0.0644	-1.53%	0.0120	✗	1.07	15k	2022-02-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.135045	-0.85%	0.1447	+6.24%	0.0872	✗	1.03	470k	2022-02-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4776	-0.84%	1.384	-7.11%	0.0437	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.154769	-0.83%	0.15123	-3.10%	0.0021	✓	1.43	30k	2022-02-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.503691	-0.83%	0.4426	-12.86%	0.1042	✓	1.42	610k	2022-02-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9689	-0.82%	4.64	-7.39%	0.0547	✓	0.78	431k	2022-02-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	97.298	-0.82%	88.3	-9.99%	0.0775	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.7124	-0.78%	29.13	+4.30%	0.0669	✗	0.97	1.4M	2022-02-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.0292	-0.76%	3.741	-7.86%	0.0525	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-02-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.893164	-0.76%	1.179	+31.00%	0.3002	✗	1.28	878k	2022-02-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1792	-0.76%	4.06	-3.59%	0.0141	✓	0.84	395k	2022-02-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.152875	-0.73%	0.141	-8.44%	0.0675	✓	0.76	350k	2022-02-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.23843	-0.70%	0.2326	-3.12%	0.0070	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7032	-0.68%	9.35	-4.30%	0.0253	✓	0.67	821k	2022-02-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9556	-0.68%	1.7425	-11.50%	0.0933	✓	1.25	233k	2022-02-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.473	-0.66%	23.96	+1.40%	0.0472	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6622	-0.66%	6.32	+10.88%	0.1248	✗	0.84	398k	2022-02-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.5067	-0.64%	13.65	-6.51%	0.0397	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-02-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.250891	-0.64%	0.2684	+6.30%	0.0872	✗	1.12	518k	2022-02-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009559	-0.64%	0.00923	-4.05%	0.0121	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.926001	-0.63%	0.8569	-8.05%	0.0578	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-02-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.1107	-0.62%	1.1719	+4.86%	0.0773	✗	1.34	2.5M	2022-02-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.1943	-0.61%	5.8667	-5.87%	0.0285	✓	1.47	172k	2022-02-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.135878	-0.61%	0.123115	-9.95%	0.0809	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-02-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.512945	-0.59%	0.4859	-5.83%	0.0309	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	12.9055	-0.57%	12	-7.55%	0.0545	✓	1.03	448k	2022-02-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	40.6092	-0.57%	41.51	+1.64%	0.0425	✗	1.16	27.9M	2022-02-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000025329	-0.55%	0.00002342	-8.05%	0.0539	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.840854	-0.55%	0.7983	-5.58%	0.0300	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-02-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.18529	-0.54%	0.1674	-10.14%	0.0772	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6662	-0.54%	5.036	-11.60%	0.0995	✓	1.04	327k	2022-02-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.389673	-0.52%	0.3363	-14.14%	0.1227	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-02-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.0894	-0.52%	27.37	+0.51%	0.0293	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.911148	-0.51%	0.8849	-3.37%	0.0016	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.5367	-0.51%	5.93	-9.74%	0.0902	✓	0.41	1.4M	2022-02-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	110.1309	-0.51%	103.05	-6.90%	0.0451	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-02-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	138.1866	-0.49%	117.66	-15.27%	0.1401	✓	1.17	930k	2022-02-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	136.8893	-0.48%	131.61	-4.32%	0.0139	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-02-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.702835	-0.47%	0.66823	-5.37%	0.0241	✓	1.49	298k	2022-02-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.792233	-0.47%	0.812	+2.01%	0.0488	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.027025	-0.46%	0.02689	-0.96%	0.0102	✗	0.86	5.0M	2022-02-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.434	-0.42%	1.31	-9.03%	0.0687	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	84.1085	-0.42%	81.71	-3.26%	0.0133	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.1406	-0.41%	6.06	-15.48%	0.1606	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004631	-0.41%	0.00404	-13.12%	0.1023	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-02-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.494	-0.40%	4.682	-15.12%	0.1459	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	301.748	-0.37%	304.19	+0.44%	0.0253	✗	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.04852	-0.37%	0.04436	-8.91%	0.0652	✓	1.38	903k	2022-02-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.039005	-0.34%	0.03926	+0.31%	0.0259	✗	1.10	32k	2022-02-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	51.9274	-0.33%	47.98	-7.91%	0.0564	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-02-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6151	-0.32%	1.5293	-5.61%	0.0345	✓	1.14	75k	2022-02-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.394871	-0.31%	0.3419	-13.68%	0.1188	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,525.54	-0.30%	37,686.70	-2.47%	0.0050	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.5715	-0.30%	5.854	-11.18%	0.1090	✓	0.38	35k	2022-02-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	90.5388	-0.27%	85.7	-5.60%	0.0332	✓	1.23	171.7M	2022-02-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.299223	-0.26%	0.28	-6.67%	0.0430	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.6644	-0.25%	32.64	-6.07%	0.0327	✓	1.56	364k	2022-02-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000074188	-0.25%	0.00007235	-2.72%	0.0051	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-02-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.569479	-0.24%	0.521555	-8.63%	0.0678	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.8803	-0.23%	17.5	+3.43%	0.0597	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-02-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.067403	-0.20%	0.06333	-6.23%	0.0486	✓	0.78	84k	2022-02-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7924	-0.20%	2.647	-5.40%	0.0393	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.698721	-0.18%	0.648	-7.43%	0.0566	✓	1.06	2.0M	2022-02-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.061898	-0.18%	0.058112	-6.29%	0.0484	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.0856	-0.17%	0.08363	-2.47%	0.0041	✓	1.08	49k	2022-02-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0612	-0.17%	1.081	+1.69%	0.0405	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0638	-0.15%	2.379	+15.09%	0.1606	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.9334	-0.15%	19.035	+0.38%	0.0265	✗	1.20	9.8M	2022-02-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009108	-0.13%	0.00867	-4.93%	0.0311	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.239686	-0.13%	0.217	-9.58%	0.0828	✓	0.94	68k	2022-02-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4521	-0.13%	1.43	-1.65%	0.0049	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-02-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2504	-0.09%	6.3355	+1.27%	0.0285	✗	0.85	3.5M	2022-02-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,620.02	-0.09%	2,618.01	-0.17%	0.0189	✗	1.12	581.4M	2022-02-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.194534	-0.06%	0.181008	-7.01%	0.0538	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-02-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	107.6847	-0.02%	105.8	-1.77%	0.0001	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9483	-0.02%	8.4	-6.15%	0.0402	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.985545	+0.04%	0.9359	-5.00%	0.0329	✗	1.06	180k	2022-02-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.098893	+0.09%	0.1	+1.21%	0.0289	✓	1.01	38k	2022-02-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,426.26	+0.10%	37,717.08	-1.75%	0.0010	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8234	+0.19%	1.412	-22.42%	0.2371	✗	1.06	3.2M	2022-02-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.22177	+0.21%	0.1985	-10.30%	0.0837	✗	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.073077	+0.24%	0.0675	-7.41%	0.0594	✗	1.13	194k	2022-02-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021229	+0.33%	0.01609	-23.96%	0.2488	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-02-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.3918	+0.34%	9.77	+4.38%	0.0628	✓	1.32	11.4M	2022-02-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.