2022-02-19 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2874

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.35%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.7%

in alpha space · 83.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4814	0.452462	-6.01%	0.4281	-11.07%	0.0096	✓	1.88	1.9M	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03967	0.037321	-5.92%	0.03453	-12.96%	0.0605	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.675	3.4771	-5.38%	2.581	-29.77%	0.2707	✓	1.12	579k	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9816	0.929589	-5.30%	0.794	-19.11%	0.1392	✓	0.76	1.5M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.16	2.0475	-5.21%	1.86	-13.89%	0.0525	✓	1.79	708k	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.5568	80.5845	-4.70%	64.8155	-23.35%	0.1819	✓	1.47	305k	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.03	0.028605	-4.65%	0.0274	-8.67%	0.0077	✓	1.45	499k	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059376	0.057108	-3.82%	0.048351	-18.57%	0.1368	✓	1.22	7.5M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.47	7.197	-3.65%	6.528	-12.61%	0.0922	✓	0.22	2.0M	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02609	0.025268	-3.15%	0.02263	-13.26%	0.0825	✓	1.14	89k	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20	19.3877	-3.06%	17.73	-11.35%	0.0612	✓	1.16	23.2M	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.85	0.82578	-2.85%	0.7	-17.65%	0.1173	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.82	2.7402	-2.83%	2.56	-9.22%	0.0437	✓	1.00	698k	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.135	0.131233	-2.79%	0.141	+4.44%	0.0983	✗	1.09	54k	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.8043	-2.55%	3.6	-26.98%	0.2588	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-02-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.186	2.1339	-2.38%	1.808	-17.29%	0.1414	✓	1.00	76k	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0593	0.057969	-2.24%	0.0712	+20.07%	0.2478	✗	1.73	64.3M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.489	0.478657	-2.12%	0.438	-10.43%	0.0550	✓	1.39	4.7M	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015145	0.014826	-2.10%	0.01194	-21.16%	0.1898	✓	1.10	170k	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.419	0.410364	-2.06%	0.3507	-16.30%	0.1168	✓	1.65	17.3M	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9802	1.9401	-2.02%	1.8532	-6.41%	0.0327	✓	0.54	2.9M	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8854	1.8477	-2.00%	1.6235	-13.89%	0.0922	✓	1.52	189k	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.57	1.5395	-1.94%	1.276	-18.73%	0.1546	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1472	0.144369	-1.92%	0.1212	-17.66%	0.1434	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.87	3.7965	-1.90%	3.25	-16.02%	0.1220	✓	1.38	7.4M	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.7569	-1.89%	2.394	-14.80%	0.1044	✓	1.51	15.0M	2022-02-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.99106	-1.88%	1.08	+6.93%	0.1103	✗	1.00	274k	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,669.76	21,269.40	-1.85%	20,876.08	-3.66%	0.0059	✓	1.01	6.2M	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.48	20.1061	-1.83%	21.2	+3.52%	0.0902	✗	1.53	371k	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01191	0.011694	-1.81%	0.00997	-16.29%	0.1215	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.3136	2.2717	-1.81%	2.2359	-3.36%	0.0067	✓	0.93	28k	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.7889	-1.71%	1.67	-8.24%	0.0363	✓	1.34	2.0M	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5485	0.539227	-1.69%	0.5505	+0.36%	0.0426	✗	0.90	741k	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.281	3.2262	-1.67%	2.874	-12.40%	0.0940	✓	0.89	502k	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6074	3.5481	-1.64%	3.4172	-5.27%	0.0070	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0806	0.07929	-1.63%	0.073	-9.43%	0.0501	✓	1.34	1.1M	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020617	0.02029	-1.59%	0.01882	-8.72%	0.0474	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.08	4.9993	-1.59%	4.46	-12.20%	0.0887	✓	1.05	510k	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.827	0.813983	-1.57%	0.7459	-9.81%	0.0611	✓	1.08	10.1M	2022-02-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000202	0.000001989	-1.56%	0.00000191	-5.45%	0.0160	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-02-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.31	1.2897	-1.55%	1.19	-9.16%	0.0493	✓	1.28	845k	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.11	14.8783	-1.53%	14.7	-2.71%	0.0046	✓	0.69	1.7M	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0659	3.0192	-1.52%	2.7384	-10.68%	0.0745	✓	0.95	2.5M	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.69	26.284	-1.52%	29.89	+11.99%	0.1541	✗	1.05	61.0M	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.3137	-1.50%	5.7	-11.08%	0.0814	✓	0.86	430k	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.975253	-1.49%	1.139	+15.05%	0.1859	✗	1.26	818k	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.69	5.6056	-1.48%	4.934	-13.29%	0.1031	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8917	2.8497	-1.45%	2.6813	-7.28%	0.0325	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8878	0.87503	-1.44%	0.7651	-13.82%	0.0988	✓	1.46	453k	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.94	30.5062	-1.40%	30.18	-2.46%	0.0121	✓	0.94	1.3M	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5475	0.540076	-1.36%	0.4599	-16.00%	0.1262	✓	1.42	610k	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.82	20.5423	-1.33%	19.06	-8.45%	0.0452	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	85.07	83.9439	-1.32%	81.79	-3.86%	0.0079	✓	1.39	110.8M	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.06	15.8521	-1.29%	14.09	-12.27%	0.0767	✓	1.69	3.0M	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	161.12	159.0845	-1.26%	157.91	-1.99%	0.0173	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3502	-1.25%	2.3	-3.36%	0.0033	✓	1.02	327k	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.5605	-1.23%	1.437	-9.05%	0.0526	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.74	2.7064	-1.23%	2.35	-14.23%	0.1169	✓	1.00	723k	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.28	5.2155	-1.22%	4.68	-11.36%	0.0898	✓	0.76	415k	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.586	2.5546	-1.21%	2.305	-10.87%	0.0716	✓	1.28	845k	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.31	5.2481	-1.17%	4.47	-15.82%	0.1353	✓	1.03	682k	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012513	-1.16%	0.01217	-3.87%	0.0081	✓	0.81	15k	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.42	2.3918	-1.16%	2.05	-15.29%	0.1248	✓	1.21	383k	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	112.33	111.0577	-1.13%	107.8	-4.03%	0.0001	✓	1.22	7.6M	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2985	4.2506	-1.11%	4.0234	-6.40%	0.0261	✓	1.19	330k	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.3215	-1.11%	3.874	-11.35%	0.0796	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.664	1.6456	-1.11%	1.441	-13.40%	0.0996	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0416	3.0079	-1.11%	2.7102	-10.90%	0.0802	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0963	0.095239	-1.10%	0.0854	-11.32%	0.0725	✓	1.50	903k	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.25	119.9286	-1.09%	113.35	-6.52%	0.0251	✓	1.29	66k	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1444	0.14289	-1.05%	0.1506	+4.29%	0.0775	✗	1.03	470k	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.52	15.3627	-1.01%	14.72	-5.15%	0.0134	✓	1.21	67.7M	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.472	4.4275	-1.00%	4.058	-9.26%	0.0675	✓	0.81	395k	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15998	0.158453	-0.95%	0.15626	-2.33%	0.0212	✗	1.44	32k	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.92	5.864	-0.95%	5.38	-9.12%	0.0660	✓	0.83	398k	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5576	0.552369	-0.94%	0.504	-9.61%	0.0597	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.4	25.162	-0.94%	24.45	-3.74%	0.0078	✓	1.50	1.9M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01032	0.010225	-0.92%	0.00985	-4.55%	0.0058	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.787	6.7256	-0.90%	6.1323	-9.65%	0.0570	✓	1.45	198k	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2512	0.248933	-0.90%	0.226	-10.03%	0.0724	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.7961	5.745	-0.88%	6.0612	+4.57%	0.0628	✗	0.38	441k	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.42	101.5207	-0.88%	93.68	-8.53%	0.0534	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.9	9.8144	-0.86%	9.33	-5.76%	0.0345	✓	0.66	821k	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.99	6.9306	-0.85%	6.27	-10.30%	0.0911	✓	0.37	1.4M	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0679	0.067323	-0.85%	0.0674	-0.74%	0.0274	✗	1.08	16k	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9635	0.955597	-0.82%	0.9533	-1.06%	0.0355	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.196386	-0.82%	0.1751	-11.57%	0.0815	✓	1.36	3.5M	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.273	0.270784	-0.81%	0.2767	+1.36%	0.0483	✗	1.09	538k	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.46	50.0529	-0.81%	78.15	+54.88%	0.4798	✗	1.41	5.3M	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.265	6.2151	-0.80%	5.391	-13.95%	0.1184	✓	0.98	361k	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.18	145.0167	-0.80%	136.67	-6.51%	0.0247	✓	1.42	6.8M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9001	0.893122	-0.78%	0.8598	-4.48%	0.0079	✓	1.24	25.9M	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000275	0.000027288	-0.77%	0.00002435	-11.45%	0.0803	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1581	0.156924	-0.74%	0.1441	-8.86%	0.0684	✓	0.69	362k	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9969	0.98963	-0.73%	0.8873	-10.99%	0.0822	✓	1.11	97.3M	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	151.15	150.0887	-0.70%	124.78	-17.45%	0.1561	✓	1.17	973k	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1527	1.1447	-0.70%	1.2108	+5.04%	0.0870	✗	1.27	2.6M	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.071	2.0566	-0.70%	1.8651	-9.94%	0.0675	✓	1.24	263k	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.85508	-0.69%	0.895	+3.95%	0.0783	✗	1.34	2.4M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.78	42.4863	-0.69%	43.29	+1.19%	0.0471	✗	1.17	28.5M	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141002	0.140036	-0.68%	0.127595	-9.51%	0.0686	✓	1.01	5.2M	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4172	0.414347	-0.68%	0.3486	-16.44%	0.1390	✓	1.39	8.8M	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.59	114.8069	-0.68%	108.29	-6.32%	0.0289	✓	1.21	31.4M	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02878	0.028587	-0.67%	0.02842	-1.25%	0.0147	✗	0.84	5.2M	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.7	28.5167	-0.64%	28.91	+0.73%	0.0397	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.06	13.9707	-0.64%	12.91	-8.18%	0.0539	✓	1.03	483k	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.973	2.9543	-0.63%	2.576	-13.35%	0.1180	✓	0.78	206k	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.64	87.0907	-0.63%	84.76	-3.29%	0.0055	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05154	0.051231	-0.60%	0.04782	-7.22%	0.0356	✓	1.37	951k	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.766	5.7327	-0.58%	5.009	-13.13%	0.1156	✓	0.79	65k	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.58	1.5709	-0.58%	1.24	-21.52%	0.2070	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0051	0.005071	-0.57%	0.00431	-15.49%	0.1152	✓	1.94	13.6M	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75237	0.748236	-0.55%	0.69949	-7.03%	0.0313	✓	1.48	334k	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.132	1.1258	-0.55%	1.148	+1.41%	0.0497	✗	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.27	7.2314	-0.53%	6.27	-13.76%	0.1376	✓	0.21	1.4M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.749	0.745235	-0.50%	0.679	-9.35%	0.0674	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4201	0.418032	-0.49%	0.3655	-13.00%	0.0995	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007811	0.00007773	-0.49%	0.00007538	-3.50%	0.0032	✓	1.13	4.8M	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6691	1.6611	-0.48%	1.5733	-5.74%	0.0271	✓	1.12	75k	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.252804	-0.47%	0.232	-8.66%	0.0635	✓	0.92	73k	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	312.05	310.5926	-0.47%	315.57	+1.13%	0.0397	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.325	0.323503	-0.46%	0.29	-10.77%	0.0769	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.84	54.5885	-0.46%	50.44	-8.02%	0.0481	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.873	6.8428	-0.44%	6.245	-9.14%	0.0828	✓	0.35	36k	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	37.9701	-0.42%	33.26	-12.77%	0.0944	✓	1.56	405k	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00967	0.00963	-0.41%	0.00906	-6.31%	0.0359	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.86	17.7911	-0.39%	18.04	+1.01%	0.0466	✗	1.34	32.4M	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.168	2.1598	-0.38%	2.285	+5.40%	0.0817	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,901.00	39,752.88	-0.37%	39,589.70	-0.78%	0.0196	✗	0.98	51k	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.34	91.0521	-0.32%	90.32	-1.12%	0.0225	✗	1.26	179.7M	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.491	1.4863	-0.31%	1.524	+2.21%	0.0530	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.99	9.9606	-0.29%	8.98	-10.11%	0.0735	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07126	0.071072	-0.26%	0.06611	-7.23%	0.0538	✓	0.76	88k	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04064	0.040536	-0.26%	0.04014	-1.23%	0.0167	✗	1.09	32k	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,764.44	2,757.53	-0.25%	2,780.71	+0.59%	0.0355	✗	1.11	588.4M	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594043	0.592594	-0.24%	0.544581	-8.33%	0.0568	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.839	19.7947	-0.22%	19.708	-0.66%	0.0250	✗	1.21	9.9M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063482	0.063343	-0.22%	0.059459	-6.34%	0.0427	✓	0.84	330k	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6548	6.6402	-0.22%	6.4106	-3.67%	0.0151	✓	0.83	3.6M	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.71	110.5077	-0.18%	110.79	+0.07%	0.0271	✗	1.01	7.2M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08925	0.0891	-0.17%	0.08727	-2.22%	0.0058	✗	1.09	50k	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.204174	0.203917	-0.13%	0.192899	-5.52%	0.0306	✓	1.03	22.0M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0275	1.0266	-0.09%	0.99036	-3.61%	0.0104	✓	1.05	193k	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02516	0.025146	-0.06%	0.01784	-29.09%	0.3097	✓	1.38	10.9M	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.98	1.9791	-0.04%	1.5	-24.24%	0.2519	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,101.94	40,095.05	-0.02%	39,137.80	-2.40%	0.0002	✗	1.00	646.5M	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.246976	-0.01%	0.2129	-13.81%	0.1115	✓	1.52	3.7M	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1018	0.101814	+0.01%	0.101	-0.79%	0.0168	✓	1.02	39k	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.03	10.0481	+0.18%	9.06	-9.67%	0.0717	✗	1.31	11.7M	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0784	0.07855	+0.19%	0.0685	-12.63%	0.1097	✗	1.12	194k	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.