2022-02-13 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0011

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.04%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

47.3%

in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-8.76%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.084	0.084061	+0.07%	0.0729	-13.21%	0.0292	✗	1.24	195k	2022-02-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.11	0.109792	-0.19%	0.0988	-10.18%	0.0076	✓	1.07	37k	2022-02-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2688	0.268268	-0.20%	0.2213	-17.67%	0.0494	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.126	19.087	-0.20%	18.962	-0.86%	0.1188	✗	1.37	10.2M	2022-02-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.35	10.3267	-0.22%	9.36	-9.57%	0.0248	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.7	8.6794	-0.24%	8.95	+2.87%	0.1522	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07534	0.075145	-0.26%	0.06754	-10.35%	0.0373	✓	0.76	84k	2022-02-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210311	0.209758	-0.26%	0.194647	-7.45%	0.0211	✗	1.05	23.0M	2022-02-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,074.99	41,957.07	-0.28%	38,389.03	-8.76%	0.0028	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09518	0.094889	-0.31%	0.08575	-9.91%	0.0016	✓	1.09	51k	2022-02-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.60939	0.60745	-0.32%	0.570834	-6.33%	0.0455	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04259	0.04244	-0.35%	0.03914	-8.10%	0.0233	✗	1.14	30k	2022-02-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1144	2.1046	-0.46%	1.9689	-6.88%	0.0456	✗	1.22	486k	2022-02-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.443	0.440911	-0.47%	0.3961	-10.59%	0.0311	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7726	6.7396	-0.49%	6.2563	-7.62%	0.0075	✗	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.3728	-0.50%	7.17	-3.24%	0.0006	✓	0.30	1.2M	2022-02-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1334	1.1276	-0.51%	0.98512	-13.08%	0.0381	✓	1.06	239k	2022-02-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064588	0.064251	-0.52%	0.06201	-3.99%	0.0489	✗	0.92	344k	2022-02-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.01	1.0045	-0.54%	1.1176	+10.66%	0.2167	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,872.84	2,857.20	-0.54%	2,622.47	-8.72%	0.0179	✗	1.13	572.6M	2022-02-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7279	1.7183	-0.56%	1.6203	-6.23%	0.0441	✗	1.12	69k	2022-02-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.97	121.2681	-0.58%	107.71	-11.69%	0.0241	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8076	0.802846	-0.59%	0.70618	-12.56%	0.0104	✗	1.51	299k	2022-02-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.2764	-0.60%	1.82	-20.52%	0.1346	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	333.81	331.7899	-0.61%	302.87	-9.27%	0.0029	✓	1.03	8.9M	2022-02-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	15.0371	-0.61%	12.98	-14.21%	0.0497	✓	1.06	483k	2022-02-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,091.20	41,832.03	-0.62%	38,642.80	-8.19%	0.0098	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.08	57.7219	-0.62%	52.1	-10.30%	0.0117	✗	1.25	8.8M	2022-02-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.6	1.59	-0.62%	1.454	-9.13%	0.0179	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.92	92.32	-0.65%	90.78	-2.30%	0.0994	✗	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.148727	0.147733	-0.67%	0.136714	-8.08%	0.0178	✗	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01036	0.010288	-0.69%	0.00912	-11.97%	0.0255	✓	1.04	489k	2022-02-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.16	39.881	-0.69%	34.75	-13.47%	0.0064	✓	1.57	400k	2022-02-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008177	0.000081202	-0.70%	0.00007437	-9.05%	0.0179	✗	1.15	5.5M	2022-02-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0431	1.0356	-0.72%	0.9319	-10.66%	0.0019	✓	1.13	115.7M	2022-02-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.6136	-0.73%	16.92	-9.76%	0.0302	✗	1.37	34.9M	2022-02-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.052	7.0002	-0.73%	5.697	-19.21%	0.1118	✓	1.03	407k	2022-02-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.5	32.2543	-0.76%	27.23	-16.22%	0.0718	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-02-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05267	0.052257	-0.78%	0.0487	-7.54%	0.0590	✗	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4062	0.402996	-0.79%	0.3917	-3.57%	0.0944	✗	1.34	8.7M	2022-02-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.07	10.9823	-0.79%	9.77	-11.74%	0.0505	✓	0.72	660k	2022-02-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.03	101.2003	-0.81%	98.1	-3.85%	0.0738	✗	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.07081	-0.83%	0.0654	-8.40%	0.0233	✗	1.12	17k	2022-02-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03005	0.029798	-0.84%	0.02715	-9.65%	0.0131	✓	0.87	6.2M	2022-02-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.32	43.9453	-0.85%	40.84	-7.85%	0.0355	✗	1.19	31.6M	2022-02-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.88	0.8724	-0.86%	0.796	-9.55%	0.0355	✗	1.39	2.4M	2022-02-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2009	0.199104	-0.89%	0.1863	-7.27%	0.0639	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.747	0.740289	-0.90%	0.7	-6.29%	0.0456	✗	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1686	0.167077	-0.90%	0.154	-8.66%	0.0155	✓	0.72	388k	2022-02-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.9	1.8828	-0.91%	1.44	-24.21%	0.1594	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5106	6.4498	-0.93%	6.2326	-4.27%	0.0984	✗	1.45	145k	2022-02-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.67	124.4909	-0.94%	110.69	-11.92%	0.0008	✓	1.29	34.8M	2022-02-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8967	0.888286	-0.94%	0.8455	-5.71%	0.0540	✗	1.13	26.7M	2022-02-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.388	2.3656	-0.94%	2.067	-13.44%	0.0358	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.379	0.375416	-0.95%	0.3	-20.84%	0.0990	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.903	5.8469	-0.95%	5.516	-6.56%	0.0223	✗	0.88	72k	2022-02-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003011	0.000029824	-0.95%	0.00002547	-15.41%	0.0278	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2812	0.278516	-0.95%	0.2525	-10.21%	0.0050	✓	1.12	538k	2022-02-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.14	27.8666	-0.97%	27.93	-0.75%	0.0912	✗	0.97	1.1M	2022-02-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.89	51.3853	-0.97%	49.33	-4.93%	0.0901	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-02-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.86	25.6003	-1.00%	23.63	-8.62%	0.0606	✗	1.53	2.0M	2022-02-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1025	0.101393	-1.08%	0.091	-11.22%	0.0366	✗	1.58	1.2M	2022-02-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	163.53	161.6953	-1.12%	138.87	-15.08%	0.0407	✓	1.22	930k	2022-02-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5345	0.528416	-1.14%	0.516	-3.46%	0.0973	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.52	91.461	-1.14%	84.46	-8.71%	0.0033	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-02-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.722	-1.16%	2.5	-9.22%	0.0391	✗	1.35	1.0M	2022-02-20
HIVE	Hive	native	1.072	1.0595	-1.17%	0.9158	-14.57%	0.0099	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.66	4.6043	-1.20%	4.211	-9.64%	0.0112	✓	0.85	369k	2022-02-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.244	1.2286	-1.24%	1.063	-14.55%	0.0291	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.272	7.1805	-1.26%	6.591	-9.36%	0.0535	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00579	0.005717	-1.26%	0.00465	-19.69%	0.0210	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.139	3.0988	-1.28%	2.798	-10.86%	0.0266	✓	0.82	215k	2022-02-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03066	0.030267	-1.28%	0.02116	-30.98%	0.2559	✓	1.11	9.8M	2022-02-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.86	17.6298	-1.29%	14.71	-17.64%	0.1145	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.291	0.287241	-1.29%	0.24	-17.53%	0.0929	✓	0.95	77k	2022-02-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4786	3.4332	-1.30%	3.02	-13.18%	0.0248	✓	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.97	76.9331	-1.33%	77.39	-0.74%	0.1307	✗	1.36	98.5M	2022-02-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7675	3.7166	-1.35%	2.9539	-21.60%	0.1411	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2771	0.273352	-1.35%	0.2401	-13.35%	0.0300	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013431	-1.39%	0.01266	-7.05%	0.0134	✓	0.79	13k	2022-02-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4224	-1.41%	5.01	-8.91%	0.0045	✓	0.81	398k	2022-02-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.52	2.4841	-1.42%	2.28	-9.52%	0.0091	✓	1.04	415k	2022-02-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1611	0.158795	-1.43%	0.1362	-15.46%	0.0571	✓	1.05	470k	2022-02-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.376	-1.44%	14.6	-6.41%	0.0590	✗	1.21	70.2M	2022-02-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.49	6.3946	-1.47%	5.7	-12.17%	0.0376	✓	0.84	441k	2022-02-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01099	0.010823	-1.52%	0.00962	-12.47%	0.0107	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8538	5.7645	-1.53%	5.735	-2.03%	0.0239	✗	0.32	430k	2022-02-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.63	6.5278	-1.54%	6.14	-7.39%	0.0215	✗	0.90	416k	2022-02-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021469	0.021129	-1.58%	0.019255	-10.31%	0.0199	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.43	122.3657	-1.66%	116.98	-5.99%	0.0731	✗	1.29	54k	2022-02-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8231	2.7758	-1.67%	2.6921	-4.64%	0.0630	✗	1.02	2.8M	2022-02-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.37	2.3303	-1.67%	2.48	+4.64%	0.1813	✗	1.30	383k	2022-02-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0866	0.085134	-1.69%	0.0744	-14.09%	0.0071	✓	1.39	608k	2022-02-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.75	2.7033	-1.70%	2.57	-6.55%	0.0411	✗	1.00	748k	2022-02-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.5332	-1.71%	15.23	-9.45%	0.0782	✗	1.75	3.7M	2022-02-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17187	0.168901	-1.73%	0.15607	-9.19%	0.0705	✗	1.63	36k	2022-02-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.737	1.7069	-1.73%	1.532	-11.80%	0.0126	✓	1.32	1.1M	2022-02-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6803	4.5952	-1.82%	4.0929	-12.55%	0.0029	✓	1.23	355k	2022-02-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1475	0.144817	-1.82%	0.1343	-8.95%	0.0501	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-02-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9151	0.898401	-1.82%	0.8239	-9.97%	0.0549	✗	1.54	637k	2022-02-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	3.9853	-1.84%	4.38	+7.88%	0.2093	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.89	5.7815	-1.84%	4.65	-21.05%	0.1168	✓	1.10	599k	2022-02-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.45	5.3468	-1.89%	7.05	+29.36%	0.3760	✗	1.08	701k	2022-02-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6284	-1.90%	1.49	-10.24%	0.0272	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.13	114.8934	-1.91%	108.11	-7.70%	0.0555	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-02-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.46	1.4318	-1.93%	1.23	-15.75%	0.0602	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-02-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1287	-1.94%	6.57	-9.63%	0.0484	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5723	0.561112	-1.95%	0.5119	-10.55%	0.0051	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3168	1.2903	-2.01%	1.8141	+37.77%	0.4863	✗	1.59	120k	2022-02-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.47	4.3794	-2.03%	4.06	-9.17%	0.0375	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	174.01	170.41	-2.07%	153.87	-11.57%	0.0059	✓	1.05	1.2M	2022-02-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.57	4.475	-2.08%	6.97	+52.52%	0.4735	✗	0.33	2.0M	2022-02-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01193	0.011681	-2.09%	0.01078	-9.64%	0.0613	✗	1.54	1.7M	2022-02-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.19	25.6375	-2.11%	26.09	-0.38%	0.1222	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-02-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9571	-2.15%	1.73	-13.50%	0.0024	✓	1.32	2.2M	2022-02-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000212	0.000002074	-2.15%	0.00000197	-7.08%	0.0400	✗	1.00	14.2M	2022-02-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.823	1.7831	-2.19%	2.0176	+10.67%	0.1804	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-02-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.06	1.0364	-2.23%	0.9	-15.09%	0.0119	✓	1.41	655k	2022-02-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.29	154.7361	-2.25%	137.55	-13.10%	0.0115	✓	1.41	8.6M	2022-02-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016324	0.015948	-2.30%	0.01318	-19.26%	0.0816	✓	1.19	573k	2022-02-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.8713	-2.31%	5.36	-10.82%	0.0039	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.927606	-2.36%	0.94	-1.05%	0.1050	✗	1.00	274k	2022-02-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,889.91	22,337.52	-2.41%	20,667.46	-9.71%	0.0105	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-02-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8546	3.7606	-2.44%	3.2624	-15.36%	0.0218	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.437	2.3774	-2.45%	2.039	-16.33%	0.0619	✓	1.00	79k	2022-02-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.56	20.0455	-2.50%	19.82	-3.60%	0.1002	✗	1.22	10.5M	2022-02-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.38	20.8379	-2.54%	18.79	-12.11%	0.0402	✗	1.57	375k	2022-02-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4207	0.409587	-2.64%	0.3785	-10.03%	0.0847	✗	1.78	29.1M	2022-02-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6296	0.612667	-2.69%	0.5079	-19.33%	0.0450	✓	1.55	723k	2022-02-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.499	0.485154	-2.77%	0.471	-5.61%	0.1048	✗	1.47	4.5M	2022-02-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.387	3.2895	-2.88%	3.107	-8.27%	0.0254	✓	0.90	502k	2022-02-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8484	0.823924	-2.88%	0.7859	-7.37%	0.0516	✗	1.08	12.4M	2022-02-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.118	0.114536	-2.94%	0.127	+7.63%	0.1950	✗	1.00	71k	2022-02-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.91	0.882396	-3.03%	0.78	-14.29%	0.0565	✗	1.96	1.0M	2022-02-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4198	3.3116	-3.17%	2.1375	-37.50%	0.3561	✓	0.89	30k	2022-02-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.06	2.9615	-3.22%	2.76	-9.80%	0.0212	✓	1.00	946k	2022-02-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.043319	0.04189	-3.30%	0.051219	+18.24%	0.3148	✗	1.24	7.4M	2022-02-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.75	2.6573	-3.37%	2.55	-7.27%	0.0888	✗	1.42	18.4M	2022-02-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0626	0.060433	-3.46%	0.0531	-15.18%	0.0309	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-02-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.88	1.8026	-4.12%	1.41	-25.00%	0.1183	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.77	18.9412	-4.19%	18.7	-5.41%	0.0944	✗	1.17	24.9M	2022-02-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.03	3.855	-4.34%	3.63	-9.93%	0.0664	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.027679	0.026318	-4.92%	0.025474	-7.97%	0.0857	✗	1.29	102k	2022-02-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	82.6677	77.811	-5.87%	74.3242	-10.09%	0.0882	✗	1.46	315k	2022-02-20
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.0687	-5.97%	1.96	-10.91%	0.1286	✗	1.99	1.0M	2022-02-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5644	0.525783	-6.84%	0.4602	-18.46%	0.0398	✓	1.89	1.8M	2022-02-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0312	0.029	-7.05%	0.028	-10.26%	0.0986	✗	1.46	485k	2022-02-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2947	1.1985	-7.43%	0.95	-26.62%	0.1504	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-02-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04523	0.041733	-7.73%	0.03634	-19.66%	0.0719	✓	0.72	3.4M	2022-02-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.721	4.2732	-9.49%	2.828	-40.10%	0.3285	✓	0.92	779k	2022-02-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.