2022-02-09 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1719

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.1%

in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.17%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.775725	-5.42%	0.625	-23.80%	0.1944	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-02-16
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.5919	-5.35%	5.046	-14.59%	0.0909	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.7034	-4.29%	3.7402	-3.34%	0.0203	✓	0.88	28k	2022-02-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.1345	-4.11%	2.348	-28.17%	0.2771	✓	1.00	67k	2022-02-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2966	-4.02%	1.2019	-11.04%	0.0641	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.082566	-3.99%	0.0695	-19.19%	0.1525	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.035992	-3.94%	0.028284	-24.52%	0.2259	✓	1.28	114k	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3322	-3.83%	1.6305	+17.71%	0.2203	✗	1.55	107k	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.032494	-3.58%	0.0335	-0.59%	0.0482	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.056142	-3.52%	0.056084	-3.62%	0.0131	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.6067	-3.22%	4.3	-9.66%	0.0528	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-16
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.3815	-3.19%	2.34	-4.88%	0.0058	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.54926	-3.04%	0.4482	-20.88%	0.1822	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3877	-2.96%	1.12	-21.68%	0.1984	✓	1.35	523k	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2138	-2.90%	1.86	-18.42%	0.1579	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.6098	-2.87%	5.8668	-13.79%	0.1158	✓	0.29	407k	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.6734	-2.85%	4.9	-16.10%	0.1322	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.4413	-2.85%	22.08	-4.42%	0.0027	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.224213	-2.76%	0.17624	-23.57%	0.2220	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	25,575.39	-2.73%	23,690.00	-9.90%	0.0654	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-02-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.045724	-2.69%	0.04583	-2.47%	0.0141	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.124643	-2.62%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0601	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0622	-2.55%	1.05	-3.67%	0.0113	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.0918	-2.54%	8.239	-11.68%	0.0946	✓	0.33	38k	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.9182	-2.53%	2.2822	+15.97%	0.1810	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.7083	-2.49%	16.75	-7.76%	0.0473	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	30.1721	-2.48%	28.51	-7.85%	0.0436	✓	1.11	96.8M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	9.0795	-2.48%	8.24	-11.49%	0.0929	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	104.4435	-2.45%	95.5515	-10.76%	0.0722	✓	1.42	320k	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	0.996976	-2.41%	0.8933	-12.56%	0.0975	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.418	-2.34%	3.17	-9.43%	0.0589	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014737	-2.34%	0.01344	-10.93%	0.0746	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	181.6129	-2.27%	179.36	-3.48%	0.0002	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.3423	-2.26%	4.0382	-9.11%	0.0571	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.084804	-2.19%	0.09	+3.81%	0.0757	✗	1.38	548k	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.2537	-2.12%	24.03	-6.86%	0.0312	✓	1.57	398k	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.751	-2.12%	6.358	-7.81%	0.0493	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	46.9793	-2.07%	46.38	-3.31%	0.0009	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.8984	-2.04%	6.8827	-2.27%	0.0082	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.2568	-1.99%	4.8292	-9.96%	0.0704	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	184.4707	-1.98%	170.44	-9.44%	0.0627	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.1175	-1.97%	1.952	-9.63%	0.0662	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	27.9281	-1.94%	28.31	-0.60%	0.0250	✗	0.97	566k	2022-02-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002276	-1.91%	0.00000218	-6.03%	0.0311	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000032357	-1.89%	0.00003095	-6.16%	0.0279	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.164655	-1.87%	0.1678	+0.00%	0.0312	✗	1.04	412k	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.894	-1.87%	1.81	-6.22%	0.0306	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.8131	-1.85%	3.9514	+1.71%	0.0470	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0504	-1.83%	0.97	-9.35%	0.0678	✓	1.00	286k	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016697	-1.82%	0.016969	-0.22%	0.0300	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1516	-1.81%	1.1125	-5.14%	0.0173	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	88.5564	-1.80%	95.39	+5.78%	0.0902	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7289	-1.77%	3.514	-7.43%	0.0490	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.591109	-1.76%	0.602	+0.05%	0.0309	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-02-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.6898	-1.76%	1.55	-9.88%	0.0746	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.7476	-1.75%	0.6989	-8.15%	0.0493	✓	1.53	938k	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.1194	-1.74%	7.454	-9.79%	0.0736	✓	1.01	460k	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.334	-1.73%	28.63	-15.60%	0.1344	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	137.8099	-1.71%	127.84	-8.82%	0.0597	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8898	-1.71%	2.65	-9.86%	0.0716	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.07805	-1.70%	0.0757	-4.66%	0.0178	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.9715	-1.69%	4.58	+13.37%	0.1464	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.3872	-1.67%	17.14	-8.34%	0.0562	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.2857	-1.67%	3.2632	-2.35%	0.0045	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	141.8562	-1.65%	136.01	-5.70%	0.0271	✓	1.27	65k	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.0233	-1.63%	6.52	-8.68%	0.0648	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.2926	-1.62%	3.217	-3.88%	0.0137	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.407	-1.61%	1.274	-10.91%	0.0847	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.237335	-1.60%	0.2202	-8.71%	0.0585	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	124.0399	-1.59%	125.58	-0.37%	0.0272	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2437	-1.59%	2.13	-6.58%	0.0367	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.313596	-1.54%	0.3067	-3.70%	0.0091	✓	1.11	518k	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.291828	-1.51%	0.2693	-9.11%	0.0676	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007329	-1.50%	0.00601	-19.22%	0.1748	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8407	-1.44%	3.6017	-7.57%	0.0512	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.023885	-1.44%	0.021773	-10.15%	0.0783	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0704	-1.43%	0.983	-9.48%	0.0691	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.0775	-1.43%	6.76	-5.85%	0.0355	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	148.0775	-1.40%	129.55	-13.74%	0.1218	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.3695	-1.39%	32.25	-4.70%	0.0216	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.1739	-1.37%	40.62	-15.07%	0.1314	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.00009588	-1.37%	0.00008539	-12.16%	0.1024	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.5739	-1.35%	2.452	-6.02%	0.0361	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.9952	-1.34%	23.08	-5.10%	0.0248	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.7667	-1.31%	10.78	-1.19%	0.0096	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.5746	-1.28%	6.53	-1.95%	0.0047	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.58352	-1.27%	0.539	-8.80%	0.0624	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	43,937.91	-1.25%	43,960.80	-1.20%	0.0119	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7412	-1.25%	4.803	+0.04%	0.0228	✗	0.83	346k	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	66.7806	-1.24%	63.42	-6.21%	0.0373	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.615576	-1.24%	0.5683	-8.82%	0.0644	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.6982	-1.24%	19.78	-9.97%	0.0766	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.9261	-1.23%	5.47	-8.83%	0.0709	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.122181	-1.23%	0.1052	-14.96%	0.1313	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.141146	-1.23%	0.1562	+9.31%	0.1176	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9736	-1.22%	6.08	-13.88%	0.1241	✓	1.10	733k	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	43,873.86	-1.22%	43,895.56	-1.17%	0.0123	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	56.8595	-1.22%	56.02	-2.68%	0.0017	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2754	-1.19%	1.4263	+10.50%	0.1257	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.534191	-1.19%	0.4754	-12.06%	0.0991	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1209	-1.18%	4.87	+16.79%	0.1819	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.318016	-1.18%	0.285	-11.44%	0.0913	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	113.6219	-1.16%	115.33	+0.33%	0.0283	✗	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3365	-1.14%	1.1915	-11.86%	0.1027	✓	1.03	279k	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,209.26	-1.14%	3,124.45	-3.75%	0.0137	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013091	-1.12%	0.01389	+4.91%	0.0686	✗	0.79	12k	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.284812	-1.11%	0.288	+0.00%	0.0224	✗	0.95	70k	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040551	-1.10%	0.03198	-22.00%	0.2242	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1817	-1.09%	1.0833	-9.32%	0.0739	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8121	-1.08%	1.688	-7.86%	0.0574	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012395	-1.08%	0.01171	-6.54%	0.0408	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	112.8229	-1.07%	101.94	-10.61%	0.0869	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.0153	-1.06%	6.07	-0.16%	0.0213	✗	1.04	773k	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.699299	-1.05%	0.677091	-4.19%	0.0187	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0861	-1.05%	0.9602	-12.52%	0.1050	✓	1.54	672k	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	342.6795	-1.02%	334.55	-3.37%	0.0120	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.8018	-1.00%	2.67	-5.65%	0.0362	✓	1.02	489k	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.120002	-0.99%	0.1142	-5.78%	0.0372	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.093406	-0.95%	0.0851	-9.76%	0.0786	✓	1.23	219k	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9797	-0.92%	1.8241	-8.71%	0.0689	✓	1.10	79k	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.01194	-0.91%	0.01078	-10.54%	0.0904	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0277	-0.90%	0.9791	-5.59%	0.0355	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.185126	-0.90%	0.1747	-6.48%	0.0496	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.483381	-0.89%	0.4872	-0.10%	0.0234	✗	1.32	9.2M	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.0875	-0.86%	17.65	-17.02%	0.1576	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.106955	-0.83%	0.09789	-9.24%	0.0761	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3801	-0.83%	2.2584	-5.90%	0.0385	✓	1.19	845k	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.069371	-0.82%	0.066472	-4.96%	0.0321	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	100.6836	-0.80%	94.6	-6.80%	0.0517	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1464	-0.80%	7.8678	+9.21%	0.1132	✗	1.45	156k	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.933733	-0.79%	0.83537	-11.24%	0.0939	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.157794	-0.79%	0.148737	-6.48%	0.0470	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0592	-0.77%	2.809	-8.89%	0.0694	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.085094	-0.74%	0.08117	-5.32%	0.0383	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	9.9864	-0.73%	11.78	+17.10%	0.1804	✗	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.820986	-0.73%	0.787	-4.84%	0.0294	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.058984	-0.72%	0.05759	-3.06%	0.0070	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.4277	-0.70%	7.24	-3.21%	0.0218	✓	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.403296	-0.67%	0.373	-8.13%	0.0621	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.5689	-0.66%	20.855	+0.72%	0.0296	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.197	-0.59%	1.86	-15.84%	0.1526	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	191.1942	-0.53%	166.77	-13.24%	0.1225	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031035	-0.53%	0.03216	+3.08%	0.0461	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.237636	-0.51%	0.21874	-8.42%	0.0708	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.4339	-0.46%	15.91	-3.63%	0.0200	✓	1.05	590k	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.046603	-0.42%	0.04466	-4.57%	0.0294	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.7983	-0.42%	2.4	-14.59%	0.1426	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.2803	-0.40%	11.22	-9.00%	0.0747	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.