8=======>

2022-02-06 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2955
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.7%
in alpha space · 81.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1435.532-9.95%4.721-23.15%0.1505✓1.001.4M2022-02-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58260.538915-7.50%0.5644-3.12%0.0608✓1.821.8M2022-02-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048880.045371-7.18%0.04523-7.47%0.0049✓1.005.3M2022-02-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.32661.2366-6.78%1.2947-2.40%0.0540✓1.002.5M2022-02-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03530.032907-6.78%0.0312-11.61%0.0410✓1.53490k2022-02-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383920.035939-6.39%0.027679-27.90%0.2510✓1.27117k2022-02-13
SUSHISushiEthereum4.814.5334-5.75%4.03-16.22%0.1066✓1.388.3M2022-02-13
MOVRMoonriverBase91.457586.666-5.24%82.6677-9.61%0.0360✓1.39319k2022-02-13
PROPropyEthereum2.132.02-5.16%2.2+3.29%0.0934✗1.001.8M2022-02-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3622.185-5.03%19.77-15.37%0.1058✓1.1726.9M2022-02-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.172.0686-4.67%1.88-13.36%0.0846✓1.363.4M2022-02-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.393.2577-3.90%2.75-18.88%0.1581✓1.4120.8M2022-02-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09290.089422-3.74%0.0626-32.62%0.3425✓1.7526.7M2022-02-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46683.3431-3.57%3.4198-1.36%0.0296✓0.8626k2022-02-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53050.512438-3.40%0.4207-20.70%0.1829✓1.7942.5M2022-02-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.12282-3.29%0.118-7.09%0.0320✓1.0096k2022-02-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.815.6208-3.26%4.47-23.06%0.2190✓1.252.7M2022-02-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95920.928945-3.15%0.8484-11.55%0.0822✓1.0513.5M2022-02-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.588.3165-3.07%7.27-15.27%0.1317✓0.351.6M2022-02-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.6523.8984-3.05%21.38-13.27%0.0987✓1.57411k2022-02-13
AAVEAaveEthereum173.57168.3933-2.98%158.29-8.80%0.0506✓1.4010.2M2022-02-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77520.753522-2.80%0.6296-18.78%0.1672✓1.551.1M2022-02-13
DODODODOEthereum0.5560.540525-2.78%0.499-10.25%0.0683✓1.454.6M2022-02-13
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2412.1791-2.76%2.437+8.75%0.1199✗1.0066k2022-02-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6373.5381-2.72%3.387-6.87%0.0367✓0.86649k2022-02-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,634.4123,977.73-2.67%22,889.91-7.08%0.0389✓0.9412.3M2022-02-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0070.006819-2.59%0.00579-17.29%0.1473✓2.0220.0M2022-02-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.221.1892-2.53%1.06-13.11%0.1041✓1.35490k2022-02-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3130.5271-2.50%26.19-16.35%0.1440✓1.15103.8M2022-02-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04080.039789-2.48%0.03066-24.85%0.2517✓1.119.0M2022-02-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.446.2841-2.42%6.01-6.68%0.0365✓1.001.9M2022-02-13
BTTCBTTC0.000002280.000002225-2.40%0.00000212-7.02%0.0404✓1.0014.9M2022-02-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.182.1286-2.36%2-8.26%0.0518✓1.312.2M2022-02-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.235560.230013-2.35%0.17187-27.04%0.2783✓1.6334k2022-02-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.4621.9353-2.34%20.56-8.46%0.0553✓1.1710.4M2022-02-13
DIADIAEthereum1.010.986904-2.29%0.95-5.94%0.0301✓1.00298k2022-02-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.042.9708-2.28%2.37-22.04%0.2160✓1.24407k2022-02-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397480.038846-2.27%0.043319+8.98%0.1183✗1.158.4M2022-02-13
COMPCompoundEthereum140.8137.6682-2.22%124.43-11.63%0.0907✓1.2959k2022-02-13
XTZTezosTezos3.92563.8389-2.21%3.8546-1.81%0.0147✓1.322.3M2022-02-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0762.0311-2.16%1.823-12.19%0.1028✓0.663.2M2022-02-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.830.812153-2.15%0.91+9.64%0.1289✗1.88996k2022-02-13
ZECZcashZcash124.6121.9253-2.15%117.13-6.00%0.0298✓1.286.6M2022-02-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.12221.0984-2.12%0.9151-18.45%0.1704✓1.52672k2022-02-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01260.012336-2.09%0.01193-5.32%0.0221✓1.421.7M2022-02-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168350.016498-2.00%0.016324-3.04%0.0010✓1.192.3M2022-02-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.1290.126431-1.99%0.1025-20.54%0.1970✓1.601.6M2022-02-13
STXStacksnative1.681.6471-1.96%1.46-13.10%0.1125✓1.001.2M2022-02-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.0617.707-1.95%15.6-13.62%0.1172✓1.1876.9M2022-02-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0632.024-1.89%1.737-15.80%0.1424✓1.301.2M2022-02-13
XMRMoneroMonero173.8170.5307-1.88%174.01+0.12%0.0286✗1.041.6M2022-02-13
RADRadworksEthereum5.795.6823-1.86%5.45-5.87%0.0333✓1.05802k2022-02-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8255-1.85%1.66-10.75%0.0849✓1.271.8M2022-02-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61910.607776-1.83%0.5723-7.56%0.0514✓1.081.4M2022-02-13
GITCOINGITCOIN8.4668.3146-1.79%7.272-14.10%0.1313✓0.3339k2022-02-13
MANADecentralandEthereum3.30033.2425-1.75%2.8231-14.46%0.1305✓0.992.8M2022-02-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.916.7902-1.73%5.89-14.76%0.1340✓1.02818k2022-02-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.10731.0882-1.72%1.3168+18.92%0.2027✗1.50103k2022-02-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.5682-1.70%4.57+25.90%0.2498✗0.301.5M2022-02-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum31.3330.8308-1.59%25.86-17.46%0.1640✓1.472.0M2022-02-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.07007-1.59%0.0866+21.63%0.2223✗1.30540k2022-02-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.31940.314436-1.55%0.2812-11.96%0.1026✓1.13533k2022-02-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.265805-1.55%0.291+7.78%0.0982✗0.9567k2022-02-13
KSMKusamaHydration195.98192.9572-1.54%163.53-16.56%0.1556✓1.231.0M2022-02-13
BANDBandEthereum3.973.9094-1.53%4.06+2.27%0.0481✗1.282.0M2022-02-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.6884-1.52%2.52-7.69%0.0566✓1.01542k2022-02-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3267.3112-1.48%58.08-14.99%0.1375✓1.247.8M2022-02-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.8620.5563-1.46%16.82-19.37%0.1867✓1.733.8M2022-02-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022030.021714-1.43%0.021469-2.55%0.0016✓1.212.5M2022-02-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.2320.228698-1.42%0.2009-13.41%0.1184✓1.393.6M2022-02-13
HIVEHivenative1.21771.2004-1.42%1.072-11.97%0.1012✓1.481.9M2022-02-13
LUNATerraTerra 256.1355.3348-1.42%51.89-7.55%0.0530✓1.408.4M2022-02-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08785.0161-1.41%5.8538+15.06%0.1567✗0.28376k2022-02-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02591.0116-1.39%0.8967-12.59%0.1118✓1.0929.2M2022-02-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2164-1.37%3.139-3.74%0.0178✓0.81206k2022-02-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2816.0597-1.35%17.86+9.71%0.1119✗0.70908k2022-02-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.5832.5481-1.35%2.388-7.55%0.0563✓1.0722k2022-02-13
XVGVergenative0.011520.011366-1.34%0.01099-4.60%0.0231✓1.311.3M2022-02-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002850.000028128-1.31%0.00003011+5.65%0.0790✗1.351.3M2022-02-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8627.5012-1.29%28.14+1.01%0.0309✗0.98513k2022-02-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.16365.0974-1.28%4.6803-9.36%0.0754✓1.23406k2022-02-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4708-1.22%1.244-16.45%0.1571✓1.283.4M2022-02-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1540.152125-1.22%0.1611+4.61%0.0656✗1.03337k2022-02-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1310.129406-1.22%0.1475+12.60%0.1420✗1.383.2M2022-02-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.56.4218-1.20%6.49-0.15%0.0170✗0.80441k2022-02-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.332.3031-1.15%1.9-18.45%0.1828✓1.192.3M2022-02-13
FTTFTXEthereum46.6546.1318-1.11%44.32-4.99%0.0305✓1.1933.0M2022-02-13
QTUMQtumQtum7.12577.0473-1.10%6.5106-8.63%0.0675✓1.46156k2022-02-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.465.4002-1.10%5.5+0.73%0.0245✗0.77356k2022-02-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013480.013333-1.09%0.01362+1.04%0.0279✗0.8213k2022-02-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.24723.2119-1.09%3.7675+16.02%0.1671✗0.932.0M2022-02-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.646.5687-1.07%6.63-0.15%0.0163✗0.88444k2022-02-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9121.6759-1.07%18.75-14.42%0.1340✓1.3741.9M2022-02-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7842.7543-1.07%2.754-1.08%0.0106✓1.33911k2022-02-13
SCSiacoinnative0.01160.011476-1.07%0.01036-10.69%0.0942✓1.01550k2022-02-13
DASHDashDash108.83107.6822-1.05%102.03-6.25%0.0448✓1.132.5M2022-02-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.0578.2429-1.02%77.97-1.37%0.0073✓1.3485.1M2022-02-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2927.2183-1.01%7.052-3.29%0.0151✓1.01341k2022-02-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5334.4876-1.00%4.66+2.80%0.0444✗0.84351k2022-02-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.188518-0.99%0.1686-11.45%0.1058✓0.72423k2022-02-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.942620.933671-0.95%0.8076-14.32%0.1329✓1.51334k2022-02-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059740.059181-0.94%0.05267-11.83%0.1050✓1.431.5M2022-02-13
ZENHorizenBase47.4947.0467-0.93%40.16-15.43%0.1456✓1.57531k2022-02-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0161.0066-0.93%0.88-13.39%0.1233✓1.382.3M2022-02-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.032080.031794-0.89%0.03005-6.33%0.0492✓0.897.4M2022-02-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59760.592339-0.88%0.5345-10.56%0.0922✓1.312.6M2022-02-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.85211.8361-0.86%1.7279-6.70%0.0518✓1.1172k2022-02-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4730.469031-0.84%0.4062-14.12%0.1332✓1.329.3M2022-02-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash324.8322.0821-0.84%333.81+2.77%0.0439✗1.026.8M2022-02-13
QNTQuantEthereum135.95134.8289-0.82%121.97-10.28%0.0924✓0.977.5M2022-02-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.07618-0.81%0.0714-7.03%0.0560✓1.1021k2022-02-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.822.7974-0.80%2.29-18.79%0.1927✓0.932.3M2022-02-13
ADACardanoCardano1.14361.1346-0.79%1.0431-8.79%0.0751✓1.11108.7M2022-02-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV98.6597.8734-0.79%92.52-6.21%0.0489✓0.911.5M2022-02-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2796.2298-0.78%5.903-5.99%0.0468✓0.8881k2022-02-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088120.087442-0.77%0.07534-14.50%0.1427✓0.7886k2022-02-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.100298-0.76%0.09518-5.83%0.0439✓1.0547k2022-02-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3670.364279-0.74%0.379+3.27%0.0503✗1.331.7M2022-02-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,058.223,035.99-0.73%2,872.84-6.06%0.0463✓1.11544.5M2022-02-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6599060.655164-0.72%0.60939-7.66%0.0631✓1.163.3M2022-02-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26070.258846-0.71%0.2771+6.29%0.0764✗1.031.7M2022-02-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8160.810234-0.71%0.747-8.46%0.0724✓1.091.6M2022-02-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40893.3855-0.69%3.4786+2.04%0.0360✗1.102.5M2022-02-13
GTGateEthereum7.16247.1152-0.66%6.7726-5.44%0.0422✓0.894.0M2022-02-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.3110.308965-0.65%0.2688-13.57%0.1266✓1.574.1M2022-02-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.34791.3392-0.64%1.1334-15.91%0.1585✓1.05326k2022-02-13
SOLSolanaSolana115.32114.583-0.64%92.92-19.42%0.1995✓1.25181.0M2022-02-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.1971.1894-0.63%1.01-15.63%0.1540✓1.192.3M2022-02-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,902.9041,639.48-0.63%42,091.20+0.45%0.0185✗0.9636k2022-02-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.68126.8906-0.62%125.67-1.57%0.0006✓1.2730.6M2022-02-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2610.1966-0.62%11.07+7.89%0.0878✗0.70627k2022-02-13
UNIUniswapEthereum11.711.6287-0.61%10.35-11.54%0.1059✓1.3112.2M2022-02-13
XECeCashnative0.000086130.00008561-0.60%0.00008177-5.06%0.0367✓1.145.4M2022-02-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5615.4672-0.60%15.13-2.76%0.0138✓1.03616k2022-02-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045030.044767-0.58%0.04259-5.42%0.0408✓1.1329k2022-02-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15380.15297-0.54%0.148727-3.30%0.0199✓1.037.1M2022-02-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7781.7684-0.54%1.6-10.01%0.0908✓1.161.5M2022-02-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.8929.7306-0.53%32.5+8.73%0.0974✗1.043.5M2022-02-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.257.2158-0.47%7.41+2.21%0.0291✗0.321.1M2022-02-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.50740.505142-0.44%0.443-12.69%0.1197✓1.432.0M2022-02-13
NANOnanopayBase2.23812.2295-0.39%2.1144-5.53%0.0436✓1.17845k2022-02-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.00119.9299-0.36%19.126-4.37%0.0303✓1.3510.4M2022-02-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,415.1642,273.08-0.33%42,074.99-0.80%0.0034✓1.00638.9M2022-02-13
TRXTRONTron0.0662560.066035-0.33%0.064588-2.52%0.0149✓0.90362k2022-02-13
XEMNEMnative0.11210.111743-0.32%0.11-1.87%0.0073✓1.0535k2022-02-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2239260.22333-0.27%0.210311-6.08%0.0519✓1.0224.4M2022-02-13
XVSVenusEthereum8.918.9028-0.08%8.7-2.36%0.0129✓1.272.3M2022-02-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08940.089339-0.07%0.084-6.04%0.0518✓1.22244k2022-02-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.