2022-01-24 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0969

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.61%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.9%

in alpha space · 69.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.90%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4591	0.474275	+3.31%	0.4369	-4.84%	0.1528	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-01-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.75	77.8773	+2.81%	75.0775	-0.89%	0.0960	✗	1.24	465k	2022-01-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.27	5.4068	+2.60%	6.25	+18.60%	0.1014	✓	0.91	968k	2022-01-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.554	0.567725	+2.48%	0.6166	+11.30%	0.0097	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.8841	+2.46%	21.3	+15.57%	0.0623	✓	1.21	14.5M	2022-01-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.034448	+2.22%	0.0352	+4.45%	0.0486	✗	1.47	962k	2022-01-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00795	0.008114	+2.07%	0.00728	-8.43%	0.2233	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.82	2.8779	+2.05%	3.27	+15.96%	0.0615	✓	1.38	30.7M	2022-01-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.4	4.4894	+2.03%	4.23	-3.86%	0.1260	✗	1.39	13.3M	2022-01-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.81612	+2.01%	0.82	+2.50%	0.0726	✗	1.62	569k	2022-01-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.038349	+1.99%	0.0975	+159.31%	0.8402	✓	1.94	23.4M	2022-01-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.1683	+1.94%	5.8	+14.40%	0.0661	✓	1.03	1.1M	2022-01-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036957	0.037661	+1.90%	0.039278	+6.28%	0.0219	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-01-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.73	21.1171	+1.87%	19.82	-4.39%	0.1258	✗	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.7	10.8992	+1.86%	11.78	+10.09%	0.0137	✓	1.34	12.7M	2022-01-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.02	2.0553	+1.75%	2.16	+6.93%	0.0205	✗	1.47	6.0M	2022-01-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.712	6.8284	+1.73%	7.318	+9.03%	0.0544	✓	0.31	37k	2022-01-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8598	0.874694	+1.73%	0.9985	+16.13%	0.0324	✓	2.09	1.1M	2022-01-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.78	126.8586	+1.67%	121.39	-2.72%	0.1062	✗	1.30	80k	2022-01-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	90.49	91.959	+1.62%	94.18	+4.08%	0.0339	✗	1.21	2.9M	2022-01-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.71	6.8183	+1.61%	7.35	+9.54%	0.0578	✓	0.36	2.5M	2022-01-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.61	15.8524	+1.55%	17.16	+9.93%	0.0201	✓	1.24	79.0M	2022-01-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.93	8.0491	+1.50%	7.94	+0.13%	0.0749	✗	1.28	3.1M	2022-01-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.47	16.7157	+1.49%	20.15	+22.34%	0.1001	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-01-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.312	0.316479	+1.44%	0.318	+1.92%	0.0647	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-01-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.49	95.8464	+1.44%	94.57	+0.08%	0.0782	✗	1.35	8.4M	2022-01-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.18	6.2613	+1.32%	6.54	+5.83%	0.0323	✓	0.23	1.2M	2022-01-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.023	1.0362	+1.29%	1.1648	+13.87%	0.0678	✓	1.03	416k	2022-01-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05059	0.05123	+1.27%	0.058	+14.65%	0.0482	✓	1.59	1.9M	2022-01-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.477	0.48267	+1.19%	0.491	+2.94%	0.0577	✗	1.56	8.0M	2022-01-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7802	+1.15%	1.95	+10.80%	0.0252	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-01-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.11	34.5015	+1.15%	41	+20.20%	0.0971	✓	1.58	626k	2022-01-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02733	0.027636	+1.12%	0.02978	+8.96%	0.0285	✓	0.97	8.7M	2022-01-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.335	+1.08%	2.69	+16.45%	0.0674	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-01-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.81	12.9458	+1.06%	14.36	+12.10%	0.0532	✓	1.06	947k	2022-01-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.4054	+1.05%	3.48	+3.26%	0.0373	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.82	0.828615	+1.05%	0.915	+11.59%	0.0315	✓	1.41	2.4M	2022-01-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.02	19.2198	+1.05%	20.51	+7.83%	0.0099	✓	1.56	940k	2022-01-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	102.9	103.9243	+1.00%	97.15	-5.59%	0.1175	✗	1.05	7.3M	2022-01-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.94	5.9991	+0.99%	5.95	+0.17%	0.0590	✗	1.06	3.3M	2022-01-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9125	0.921507	+0.99%	0.9504	+4.15%	0.0255	✗	1.18	37.0M	2022-01-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1111	0.112194	+0.98%	0.1136	+2.25%	0.0524	✗	1.36	4.2M	2022-01-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.41	153.8731	+0.96%	157.59	+3.40%	0.0397	✗	1.33	15.3M	2022-01-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06212	0.062708	+0.95%	0.07979	+28.44%	0.2006	✓	0.84	67k	2022-01-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.00934	0.009425	+0.91%	0.01022	+9.42%	0.0166	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.47	23.6805	+0.90%	27.02	+15.13%	0.0523	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,944.84	24,153.85	+0.87%	24,852.85	+3.79%	0.0162	✗	0.94	20.9M	2022-01-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198106	0.199672	+0.79%	0.199723	+0.82%	0.0511	✗	1.07	25.6M	2022-01-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.96	92.6798	+0.78%	99.52	+8.22%	0.0137	✓	1.20	147.7M	2022-01-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2121	0.213709	+0.76%	0.2718	+28.15%	0.1876	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.504	1.5153	+0.75%	1.888	+25.53%	0.1577	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-01-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.8826	0.889069	+0.73%	1.0903	+23.53%	0.1427	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.708129	+0.73%	0.731	+3.98%	0.0217	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01025	0.010325	+0.73%	0.00993	-3.12%	0.0977	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-01-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0557	0.05609	+0.70%	0.0619	+11.13%	0.0274	✓	1.49	638k	2022-01-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2227	0.224169	+0.66%	0.2423	+8.80%	0.0173	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014337	0.01443	+0.65%	0.014268	-0.48%	0.0696	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.505092	0.508313	+0.64%	0.567335	+12.32%	0.0497	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3932	0.395543	+0.60%	0.409	+4.02%	0.0284	✗	1.29	11.3M	2022-01-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.673958	+0.59%	0.64	-4.48%	0.1422	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-31
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8485	0.853387	+0.58%	0.9619	+13.36%	0.0467	✓	1.53	3.8M	2022-01-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.081	3.0979	+0.55%	3.227	+4.74%	0.0010	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0578	0.058106	+0.53%	0.0658	+13.84%	0.0700	✓	1.14	21k	2022-01-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7906	0.794777	+0.53%	0.8338	+5.46%	0.0062	✗	1.13	22.4M	2022-01-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.255305	+0.51%	0.247	-2.76%	0.0795	✗	0.97	70k	2022-01-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74957	0.753387	+0.51%	0.85261	+13.75%	0.0379	✓	1.79	792k	2022-01-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.86	4.8845	+0.50%	5.25	+8.02%	0.0374	✓	0.73	480k	2022-01-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	174.93	175.7962	+0.50%	159.75	-8.68%	0.1532	✗	1.20	1.4M	2022-01-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9641	2.9786	+0.49%	3.4938	+17.87%	0.0923	✓	1.40	3.1M	2022-01-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.59	5.6159	+0.46%	6.27	+12.16%	0.0693	✓	0.85	591k	2022-01-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.03	18.1109	+0.45%	19.39	+7.54%	0.0015	✓	1.40	60.5M	2022-01-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	63.05	63.3092	+0.41%	69.92	+10.90%	0.0362	✓	1.32	87.3M	2022-01-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002123	0.000021315	+0.40%	0.00002142	+0.89%	0.0631	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00936	0.009397	+0.40%	0.00994	+6.20%	0.0038	✓	1.09	641k	2022-01-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.34	2.349	+0.39%	2.5	+6.84%	0.0129	✓	1.03	819k	2022-01-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.79	20.8665	+0.37%	25.21	+21.26%	0.1530	✓	0.75	360k	2022-01-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2825	2.2907	+0.36%	2.1315	-6.61%	0.1334	✗	1.28	791k	2022-01-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3482	+0.35%	2.39	+2.14%	0.0401	✗	1.21	721k	2022-01-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1023	0.102641	+0.33%	0.1215	+18.77%	0.0972	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-01-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4258	0.42714	+0.31%	0.464	+8.97%	0.0161	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.4487	5.4642	+0.28%	6.0678	+11.36%	0.0346	✓	1.47	251k	2022-01-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137427	0.13776	+0.24%	0.141646	+3.07%	0.0261	✗	1.13	7.0M	2022-01-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05018	0.05029	+0.22%	0.04586	-8.61%	0.1574	✗	1.36	11.1M	2022-01-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.24	51.3517	+0.22%	52.38	+2.22%	0.0383	✗	1.21	6.5M	2022-01-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0759	0.076053	+0.20%	0.0812	+6.98%	0.0066	✓	1.23	317k	2022-01-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,441.74	2,446.60	+0.20%	2,689.72	+10.16%	0.0405	✓	1.13	557.7M	2022-01-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.04	147.2988	+0.18%	147.48	+0.30%	0.0478	✗	1.03	2.5M	2022-01-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.5828	+0.17%	1.68	+6.33%	0.0084	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-01-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.08	2.0833	+0.16%	2.8223	+35.69%	0.2479	✓	1.16	3.7M	2022-01-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.17	24.2046	+0.14%	25.67	+6.21%	0.0055	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020919	0.020949	+0.14%	0.021024	+0.50%	0.0510	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1756	0.17584	+0.14%	0.1889	+7.57%	0.0036	✓	1.42	4.3M	2022-01-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	292.51	292.8286	+0.11%	285.23	-2.49%	0.0777	✗	1.07	7.8M	2022-01-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.5058	+0.11%	6.26	+13.82%	0.0915	✓	0.77	640k	2022-01-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.474	1.475	+0.07%	1.547	+4.95%	0.0110	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.055067	0.055097	+0.05%	0.059132	+7.38%	0.0241	✓	0.97	491k	2022-01-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01192	0.011926	+0.05%	0.01331	+11.66%	0.0682	✓	0.87	20k	2022-01-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,642.30	36,660.33	+0.05%	38,589.30	+5.31%	0.0031	✓	1.01	53k	2022-01-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.591	15.5918	+0.01%	18.065	+15.87%	0.0724	✓	1.56	10.9M	2022-01-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0465	3.0464	-0.00%	3.1164	+2.29%	0.0307	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007195	0.000071934	-0.02%	0.00007633	+6.09%	0.0058	✗	1.12	6.3M	2022-01-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.22	4.2175	-0.06%	5.73	+35.78%	0.2453	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1572	0.157087	-0.07%	0.1836	+16.79%	0.1230	✗	0.69	573k	2022-01-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.7083	-0.07%	4.108	+10.70%	0.0645	✗	0.79	420k	2022-01-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08158	0.081495	-0.10%	0.08784	+7.67%	0.0167	✗	1.22	45k	2022-01-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,693.32	36,644.32	-0.13%	38,491.93	+4.90%	0.0013	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-01-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03766	0.037604	-0.15%	0.04045	+7.41%	0.0181	✗	1.15	28k	2022-01-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2619	0.261423	-0.18%	0.3291	+25.66%	0.1521	✗	1.63	4.6M	2022-01-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.941	2.9352	-0.20%	3.042	+3.43%	0.0030	✓	0.81	514k	2022-01-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.163	1.1605	-0.21%	1.359	+16.85%	0.0958	✗	1.30	3.8M	2022-01-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6091	-0.22%	1.5526	-3.73%	0.0893	✓	1.12	95k	2022-01-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1426	0.142275	-0.23%	0.1361	-4.56%	0.0906	✓	0.97	337k	2022-01-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097454	-0.25%	0.1022	+4.61%	0.0047	✓	1.09	43k	2022-01-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0009	-0.30%	2.247	+11.96%	0.0621	✗	1.13	24k	2022-01-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.568	2.56	-0.31%	2.683	+4.48%	0.0258	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.78	91.431	-0.38%	91.32	-0.50%	0.0484	✓	0.99	1.7M	2022-01-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0664	1.0608	-0.53%	1.0524	-1.31%	0.0633	✓	1.16	109.4M	2022-01-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.65	109.0002	-0.59%	109.55	-0.09%	0.0600	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-01-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.1138	4.0889	-0.61%	5.0138	+21.88%	0.1455	✗	1.22	443k	2022-01-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5079	0.504791	-0.61%	0.5492	+8.13%	0.0210	✗	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.898	5.8617	-0.62%	5.904	+0.10%	0.0419	✓	1.03	320k	2022-01-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.053067	0.052726	-0.64%	0.037542	-29.26%	0.3875	✓	1.00	419k	2022-01-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9084	2.8891	-0.66%	3.1775	+9.25%	0.0537	✗	0.87	3,355	2022-01-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7044	2.686	-0.68%	3.0665	+13.39%	0.0835	✗	1.02	2.1M	2022-01-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.53	12.4445	-0.68%	14.25	+13.73%	0.1017	✗	0.71	806k	2022-01-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.6	2.582	-0.69%	2.15	-17.31%	0.2593	✓	1.59	2.8M	2022-01-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.64	8.5794	-0.70%	9.62	+11.34%	0.0789	✗	0.74	768k	2022-01-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.21	1.2013	-0.72%	1.2778	+5.60%	0.0138	✗	1.00	3.9M	2022-01-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5476	3.5219	-0.72%	3.7199	+4.86%	0.0536	✗	0.02	375k	2022-01-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.417	7.3632	-0.73%	5.389	-27.34%	0.3600	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.128	6.0803	-0.78%	6.119	-0.15%	0.0344	✓	0.85	170k	2022-01-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05626	0.055819	-0.78%	0.04985	-11.39%	0.1609	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.92	65.2579	-1.00%	52.15	-20.89%	0.3097	✓	1.79	8.2M	2022-01-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.59	35.2242	-1.03%	43.58	+22.45%	0.1553	✗	1.20	32.3M	2022-01-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5732	0.566195	-1.22%	0.5403	-5.74%	0.1368	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.56	2.526	-1.33%	2.31	-9.77%	0.1372	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5315	0.523795	-1.45%	0.549	+3.29%	0.0089	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.94	3.8774	-1.59%	3.41	-13.45%	0.1399	✓	0.24	481k	2022-01-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8142	0.800141	-1.73%	0.8388	+3.02%	0.0242	✓	1.49	107k	2022-01-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2431	6.1345	-1.74%	6.867	+9.99%	0.0669	✗	0.96	4.5M	2022-01-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5542	1.5193	-2.24%	1.887	+21.41%	0.1767	✗	0.84	2.2M	2022-01-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16604	0.162297	-2.25%	0.19016	+14.53%	0.0830	✗	1.58	9,020	2022-01-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.03	35.1703	-2.39%	28.07	-22.09%	0.2825	✓	1.19	115.0M	2022-01-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.