2022-01-19 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0836

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.42%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

90.6%

in alpha space · 92.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-11.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8466	0.792388	-6.40%	0.6029	-28.79%	0.0539	✓	1.78	46.2M	2022-01-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07511	0.072808	-3.07%	0.052469	-30.14%	0.2043	✓	1.00	719k	2022-01-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19913	0.193636	-2.76%	0.16532	-16.98%	0.0351	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-01-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.1	3.0161	-2.71%	2.3	-25.81%	0.1172	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-01-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.07	36.2372	-2.25%	32.35	-12.73%	0.0062	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-01-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	32.43	31.7181	-2.20%	24.1	-25.69%	0.0691	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-01-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2983	0.292247	-2.03%	0.2242	-24.84%	0.1375	✓	1.03	397k	2022-01-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5784	0.567512	-1.88%	0.4503	-22.15%	0.0602	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07162	0.070312	-1.83%	0.0472	-34.10%	0.2490	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-01-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.27	79.8712	-1.72%	58.8	-27.65%	0.0766	✓	1.86	7.7M	2022-01-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.33	3.2728	-1.72%	1.91	-42.64%	0.3798	✓	1.29	8.5M	2022-01-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.39	3.3323	-1.70%	2.31	-31.86%	0.2324	✓	1.09	808k	2022-01-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5701	0.560732	-1.64%	0.5301	-7.02%	0.1156	✗	1.39	1.5M	2022-01-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0457	1.0287	-1.62%	0.8612	-17.64%	0.0463	✓	1.07	108k	2022-01-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4486	5.364	-1.55%	4.2234	-22.49%	0.0878	✓	1.23	446k	2022-01-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.537	1.5134	-1.54%	1.7265	+12.33%	0.2354	✗	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.35	4.2878	-1.43%	3.78	-13.10%	0.0055	✓	0.98	471k	2022-01-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,142.29	31,690.38	-1.41%	24,190.20	-24.74%	0.1859	✓	0.68	21.5M	2022-01-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.0221	-1.40%	1.6506	-19.52%	0.0658	✓	1.11	89k	2022-01-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051115	0.0504	-1.40%	0.041779	-18.26%	0.0392	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.26	8.148	-1.36%	5.87	-28.93%	0.2096	✓	0.96	4.1M	2022-01-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9271	0.914571	-1.35%	0.5576	-39.86%	0.3221	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9939	3.9401	-1.35%	2.8665	-28.23%	0.2257	✓	0.75	2,257	2022-01-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	120.5322	118.9491	-1.31%	78.4855	-34.88%	0.2766	✓	1.13	489k	2022-01-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.05	5.9724	-1.28%	4.26	-29.59%	0.1782	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-01-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.701	0.692013	-1.28%	0.501	-28.53%	0.1391	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2463	0.243225	-1.25%	0.1727	-29.88%	0.1773	✓	1.34	4.0M	2022-01-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.91	4.8488	-1.25%	3.44	-29.94%	0.2064	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3366	1.3202	-1.23%	1.0784	-19.32%	0.0636	✓	1.13	99.0M	2022-01-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6838	0.675412	-1.23%	0.5015	-26.66%	0.1400	✓	1.28	3.3M	2022-01-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.67	46.1059	-1.21%	36.48	-21.83%	0.0977	✓	1.11	24.3M	2022-01-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.366	0.361715	-1.17%	0.2561	-30.03%	0.1603	✓	1.50	4.1M	2022-01-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1191	0.117782	-1.11%	0.0991	-16.79%	0.0134	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1386	1.1261	-1.10%	0.8673	-23.83%	0.0878	✓	1.41	3.7M	2022-01-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.282	3.246	-1.10%	2.541	-22.58%	0.0323	✓	1.72	1.2M	2022-01-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.469	0.463863	-1.10%	0.322	-31.34%	0.2032	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-01-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	210.15	207.8923	-1.07%	146.64	-30.22%	0.2003	✓	1.21	17.6M	2022-01-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	26.53	26.2451	-1.07%	19.86	-25.14%	0.1033	✓	1.42	34.3M	2022-01-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0492	1.0381	-1.06%	0.8025	-23.51%	0.1354	✓	0.99	23.2M	2022-01-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.87	124.5622	-1.04%	89.84	-28.62%	0.1671	✓	1.30	9.5M	2022-01-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.4917	-1.03%	5.68	-24.97%	0.1822	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.19	4.1467	-1.03%	2.87	-31.50%	0.1939	✓	1.41	32.4M	2022-01-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.219	2.1962	-1.03%	1.552	-30.06%	0.2078	✓	1.13	1.9M	2022-01-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.21	10.1053	-1.03%	7.03	-31.15%	0.3427	✓	0.16	2.8M	2022-01-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026624	0.026355	-1.01%	0.020906	-21.48%	0.1049	✓	1.03	4.4M	2022-01-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04692	0.046455	-0.99%	0.03832	-18.33%	0.0573	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.43	8.3473	-0.98%	5.64	-33.10%	0.3024	✓	0.73	995k	2022-01-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.85	14.7049	-0.98%	12.63	-14.95%	0.0684	✓	0.68	862k	2022-01-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2982	0.295296	-0.97%	0.235	-21.19%	0.0698	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7346	2.708	-0.97%	2.1607	-20.98%	0.0980	✓	1.04	4.5M	2022-01-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1421	3.1118	-0.96%	2.6906	-14.37%	0.0002	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0774	0.076702	-0.90%	0.0645	-16.67%	0.0009	✓	1.40	949k	2022-01-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	26.13	25.8962	-0.89%	18.91	-27.63%	0.1229	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-01-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6546	3.6221	-0.89%	3.594	-1.66%	0.0156	✓	-0.06	371k	2022-01-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.009	6.9471	-0.88%	5.876	-16.16%	0.0080	✓	1.29	271k	2022-01-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	126.8	125.6879	-0.88%	93.16	-26.53%	0.1522	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.34594	-0.88%	0.247	-29.23%	0.2401	✓	0.79	51k	2022-01-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8849	3.8511	-0.87%	2.9426	-24.26%	0.0990	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-01-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.45	108.5083	-0.86%	90.62	-17.20%	0.0628	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.627	3.5962	-0.85%	2.887	-20.40%	0.1322	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2659	1.2552	-0.84%	0.9233	-27.06%	0.1612	✓	1.18	30.5M	2022-01-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4	3.9665	-0.84%	3.0743	-23.14%	0.0995	✓	1.26	4.0M	2022-01-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.859	-0.84%	4.63	-5.51%	0.0992	✗	1.20	3.2M	2022-01-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0486	0.048195	-0.83%	0.034	-30.04%	0.1804	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-01-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.4032	7.3416	-0.83%	5.5942	-24.44%	0.0938	✓	1.44	263k	2022-01-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01172	0.011624	-0.82%	0.0078	-33.45%	0.0984	✓	2.44	23.2M	2022-01-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.684968	0.679395	-0.81%	0.530813	-22.51%	0.1046	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.01	6.9534	-0.81%	5.05	-27.96%	0.2106	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0127	0.012599	-0.79%	0.00956	-24.72%	0.1527	✓	1.00	641k	2022-01-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.22	10.1423	-0.76%	8.86	-13.31%	0.0428	✓	0.75	808k	2022-01-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.91	2.888	-0.75%	2.32	-20.27%	0.0967	✓	0.99	855k	2022-01-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.1	7.0466	-0.75%	6.3615	-10.40%	0.0034	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01394	0.013836	-0.75%	0.01035	-25.75%	0.1286	✓	1.31	2.1M	2022-01-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	172.8	171.5806	-0.71%	125.05	-27.63%	0.1719	✓	1.17	95k	2022-01-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.56	21.4113	-0.69%	15.24	-29.31%	0.1918	✓	1.20	72.8M	2022-01-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.793	4.76	-0.69%	3.788	-20.97%	0.1455	✓	0.67	457k	2022-01-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.274	10.2046	-0.68%	6.982	-32.04%	0.3674	✓	0.10	40k	2022-01-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.93	0.923911	-0.65%	0.67	-27.96%	0.0849	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01585	0.015748	-0.64%	0.01218	-23.15%	0.1650	✓	0.75	22k	2022-01-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01267	0.01259	-0.63%	0.00978	-22.81%	0.0988	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-01-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1712	0.170114	-0.63%	0.115	-32.83%	0.2789	✓	0.91	380k	2022-01-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.956	3.9317	-0.61%	3.038	-23.21%	0.1598	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.36	6.3219	-0.60%	4.91	-22.80%	0.1714	✓	0.66	524k	2022-01-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	136.2	135.4018	-0.59%	107	-21.44%	0.0687	✓	1.35	31.1M	2022-01-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.03	18.9189	-0.58%	13	-31.69%	0.2445	✓	1.06	841k	2022-01-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.623	2.6078	-0.58%	2.086	-20.47%	0.1114	✓	0.91	25k	2022-01-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.27	31.0886	-0.58%	24.34	-22.16%	0.1121	✓	1.08	3.2M	2022-01-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	82.64	82.1808	-0.56%	65.89	-20.27%	0.0739	✓	1.19	92.3M	2022-01-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.1635	-0.55%	0.8	-31.62%	0.1685	✓	1.67	556k	2022-01-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0853	0.084831	-0.55%	0.06885	-19.28%	0.1182	✓	0.73	55k	2022-01-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	8.35	8.3049	-0.54%	6.13	-26.59%	0.3050	✓	-0.01	1.3M	2022-01-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.151	0.150223	-0.51%	0.1184	-21.59%	0.0824	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1012	0.100687	-0.51%	0.0799	-21.05%	0.0923	✓	1.13	240k	2022-01-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.47	2.4575	-0.51%	1.73	-29.96%	0.1879	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	49.93	49.6776	-0.51%	36.62	-26.66%	0.1207	✓	1.49	636k	2022-01-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.95676	0.951947	-0.50%	0.80993	-15.35%	0.0589	✗	1.79	866k	2022-01-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.56	3.543	-0.48%	3	-15.73%	0.0130	✗	1.45	2.2M	2022-01-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	243.71	242.5611	-0.47%	165.32	-32.17%	0.2363	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-01-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.222	1.2166	-0.44%	0.856	-29.95%	0.1828	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-01-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.09	2.0809	-0.43%	1.63	-22.01%	0.1119	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10044	0.100005	-0.43%	0.08331	-17.05%	0.0417	✓	1.14	31k	2022-01-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.33	134.7748	-0.41%	92.18	-31.89%	0.2394	✓	1.14	147.7M	2022-01-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002726	0.000027151	-0.40%	0.00002111	-22.56%	0.0847	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.1	367.6917	-0.38%	289.23	-21.64%	0.1146	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.161705	0.161093	-0.38%	0.143059	-11.53%	0.0165	✗	1.10	6.4M	2022-01-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.67	7.6412	-0.38%	5.62	-26.73%	0.2290	✓	0.63	660k	2022-01-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.951	19.8767	-0.37%	16.167	-18.97%	0.0082	✓	1.61	10.6M	2022-01-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.81	26.7167	-0.35%	20.41	-23.87%	0.1818	✓	0.71	353k	2022-01-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	27.59	27.4965	-0.34%	19.28	-30.12%	0.2205	✓	1.09	14.5M	2022-01-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0555	3.0452	-0.34%	2.3802	-22.10%	0.1068	✓	1.13	665k	2022-01-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5244	0.522671	-0.33%	0.4047	-22.83%	0.0944	✓	1.31	11.3M	2022-01-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01895	0.018888	-0.33%	0.014587	-23.02%	0.1071	✓	1.23	2.7M	2022-01-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	201.62	200.9725	-0.32%	148.42	-26.39%	0.1814	✓	0.99	2.9M	2022-01-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0575	0.057327	-0.30%	0.0439	-23.65%	0.1436	✓	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03718	0.037071	-0.29%	0.02988	-19.63%	0.1030	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.06	23.9979	-0.26%	18.05	-24.98%	0.1177	✓	1.36	58.5M	2022-01-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.245567	0.244985	-0.24%	0.196933	-19.80%	0.0905	✓	1.04	23.9M	2022-01-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2909	-0.24%	1.333	+3.01%	0.2012	✗	1.37	3.8M	2022-01-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,085.27	3,079.10	-0.20%	2,465.00	-20.10%	0.0899	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.96	0.958186	-0.19%	0.746	-22.29%	0.1297	✓	0.98	2.1M	2022-01-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.272	7.259	-0.18%	6.051	-16.79%	0.0960	✓	0.70	170k	2022-01-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009227	0.00009212	-0.16%	0.00007183	-22.15%	0.1234	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1126	0.112474	-0.11%	0.0977	-13.23%	0.0105	✓	1.06	41k	2022-01-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.82	71.7445	-0.11%	49.62	-30.91%	0.2354	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-01-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,724.00	41,680.68	-0.10%	36,316.90	-12.96%	0.0159	✓	0.99	16k	2022-01-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0761	0.076043	-0.08%	0.0618	-18.79%	0.0721	✓	1.10	21k	2022-01-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.709	1.7078	-0.07%	1.401	-18.02%	0.0551	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-01-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07218	0.072161	-0.03%	0.0491	-31.98%	0.2090	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.12	15.1166	-0.02%	10.58	-30.03%	0.1946	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069192	0.069186	-0.01%	0.056164	-18.83%	0.0918	✓	0.95	489k	2022-01-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.462	1.4619	-0.00%	1.068	-26.95%	0.2042	✓	0.89	423k	2022-01-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.59	135.623	+0.02%	97.63	-28.00%	0.2131	✗	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	12.52	12.5323	+0.10%	7.92	-36.74%	0.3179	✗	1.14	2.7M	2022-01-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,674.27	41,736.85	+0.15%	36,840.63	-11.60%	0.0015	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1693	1.172	+0.23%	1.0283	-12.06%	0.0001	✓	1.06	2.4M	2022-01-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1786	0.179064	+0.26%	0.1625	-9.01%	0.0130	✗	0.68	573k	2022-01-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.7592	0.76199	+0.37%	0.4593	-39.50%	0.3772	✗	1.05	2.5M	2022-01-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	22.14	22.2696	+0.59%	17.02	-23.13%	0.0385	✗	1.87	3.9M	2022-01-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1835	1.1915	+0.67%	1.0722	-9.40%	0.1302	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.