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2022-01-12 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2128
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.0%
in alpha space · 86.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.11%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0681010.068331+0.34%0.069192+1.60%0.0628✓0.96536k2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.91767.9379+0.26%7.4032-6.50%0.0053✓1.43273k2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,920.3743,991.79+0.16%41,674.27-5.11%0.0016✗1.00750.1M2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000098190.000098312+0.12%0.00009227-6.03%0.0104✗1.016.6M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum78.1678.2492+0.11%71.82-8.11%0.0299✗1.066.3M2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9051.9061+0.06%1.709-10.29%0.0488✗1.152.3M2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.019790.019799+0.04%0.01895-4.24%0.0206✓1.232.5M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.081960.081974+0.02%0.07218-11.93%0.0526✗1.422.6M2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero199.2199.2058+0.00%201.62+1.21%0.0664✓1.042.9M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum14.2314.2259-0.03%12.52-12.02%0.0675✓1.153.2M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.7730.7489-0.07%27.59-10.33%0.0525✓1.0716.7M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.11920.119058-0.12%0.1126-5.54%0.0005✓1.0562k2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,982.0043,926.09-0.13%41,724.00-5.13%0.0002✓0.9814k2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0841.0825-0.14%0.96-11.44%0.0697✓0.962.2M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.242.2368-0.14%2.09-6.70%0.0108✓1.093.1M2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59420.593265-0.16%0.5244-11.75%0.0549✓1.3012.2M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.62811.6254-0.16%1.1835-27.31%0.2170✓1.911.4M2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2916.2617-0.17%15.12-7.18%0.0048✓1.2912.7M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1629080.162611-0.18%0.161705-0.74%0.0531✗1.125.4M2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.1531.0915-0.19%31.27+0.39%0.0612✗1.063.0M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash383.83383.0956-0.19%369.1-3.84%0.0162✗1.028.3M2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum168.76168.2926-0.28%135.59-19.66%0.1669✓0.947.3M2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin142.02141.6215-0.28%136.2-4.10%0.0324✗1.3633.4M2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08250.082265-0.29%0.0761-7.76%0.0200✓1.1019k2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.20110.200494-0.30%0.1786-11.19%0.0804✓0.67441k2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,373.643,361.99-0.35%3,085.27-8.55%0.0299✓1.07569.1M2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative20.37220.3013-0.35%19.951-2.07%0.0673✗1.6112.5M2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum41.4341.2829-0.35%46.67+12.65%0.1804✗1.1021.0M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana151.56150.9883-0.38%135.33-10.71%0.0502✓1.13191.4M2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.3227.2169-0.38%24.06-11.93%0.0535✓1.3368.4M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.1591-0.38%7.67-6.35%0.0288✓0.63675k2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18260.181908-0.38%0.1712-6.24%0.0126✓0.92450k2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.9927.8823-0.38%22.14-20.90%0.1345✓1.834.5M2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.6671.6605-0.39%1.462-12.30%0.0818✓0.87581k2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017290.017219-0.41%0.01585-8.33%0.0456✓0.7125k2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.491.4837-0.42%1.294-13.15%0.0651✓1.374.9M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16680.166059-0.44%0.151-9.47%0.0302✓1.244.2M2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11440.11389-0.45%0.1012-11.54%0.0599✓1.11303k2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.35211.346-0.45%1.1693-13.52%0.0860✓1.043.3M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum8.138.0924-0.46%7.01-13.78%0.0969✓0.891.1M2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.8928.7529-0.47%26.81-7.20%0.0331✓0.70360k2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111140.110607-0.48%0.10044-9.63%0.0363✓1.1525k2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase3.28773.2715-0.49%3.0555-7.06%0.0093✓1.12699k2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9223.9026-0.49%3.627-7.52%0.0364✓0.70526k2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2823530.280953-0.50%0.245567-13.03%0.0800✓1.0424.9M2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.042770.042557-0.50%0.03718-13.07%0.0876✓0.908.5M2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.986.9436-0.52%6.36-8.88%0.0532✓0.66643k2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.8820.77-0.53%19.03-8.86%0.0328✓1.041.0M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7528380.748766-0.54%0.684968-9.02%0.0288✓1.152.6M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32690.3251-0.55%0.2982-8.78%0.0198✓1.272.2M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3631.3554-0.56%1.222-10.34%0.0326✓1.352.8M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.733.7092-0.56%3.56-4.56%0.0306✗1.372.3M2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.014750.014667-0.56%0.01267-14.10%0.0819✓1.232.1M2022-01-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08190.081431-0.57%0.0575-29.79%0.2955✓1.0028.2M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.4528.4032-0.58%7.272-13.96%0.1095✓0.67209k2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.64111.9547-0.61%109.45-2.83%0.0274✗0.952.4M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.097540.096936-0.62%0.0853-12.55%0.0904✓0.7148k2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0325.0007-0.62%4.793-4.75%0.0075✓0.67481k2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.435.3957-0.63%4.9-9.76%0.0350✓1.173.3M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum218.61217.1283-0.68%210.15-3.87%0.0285✗1.1717.6M2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum6.88136.8337-0.69%7.1+3.18%0.0835✗0.863.8M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum196.42195.0605-0.69%172.8-12.03%0.0598✓1.17153k2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015420.015308-0.72%0.01394-9.60%0.0247✓1.312.2M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69950.694328-0.74%0.6838-2.24%0.0513✗1.274.4M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00003150.000031264-0.75%0.00002726-13.46%0.0672✓1.331.7M2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.4407-0.75%10.22-2.85%0.0182✗0.75994k2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.8532.8309-0.77%2.623-8.06%0.0288✓0.9027k2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.3131.3027-0.78%1.3366+1.80%0.0852✗1.1395.6M2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3315.2097-0.78%14.85-3.13%0.0116✗0.681.1M2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration275.54273.3734-0.79%243.71-11.55%0.0531✓1.181.3M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.5131.2544-0.81%26.13-17.07%0.0984✓1.541.0M2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.431.4182-0.82%1.17-18.18%0.1043✓1.68657k2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08750.086776-0.83%0.0774-11.54%0.0416✓1.391.2M2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.892.866-0.83%2.47-14.53%0.0795✓1.323.2M2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.24513.2176-0.85%3.1421-3.17%0.0396✗1.212.5M2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.27394.2367-0.87%4-6.41%0.0100✗1.294.1M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche96.0295.1733-0.88%82.64-13.93%0.0798✓1.17110.4M2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3790.375535-0.91%0.349-7.92%0.0340✓0.7540k2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.85953.8234-0.94%3.6546-5.31%0.0487✓-0.07364k2022-01-19
DASHDashDash143.32141.9726-0.94%126.8-11.53%0.0494✓1.212.5M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.27780.27518-0.94%0.2463-11.34%0.0412✓1.334.4M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum8.898.8036-0.97%8.26-7.09%0.0136✓0.964.4M2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.35420.350754-0.97%0.366+3.33%0.1217✗1.513.6M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.4164.3722-0.99%3.956-10.42%0.0587✓0.791.1M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.11581.1045-1.02%0.95676-14.25%0.0503✓1.781.0M2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05070.050181-1.02%0.04692-7.46%0.0076✓1.1418k2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.2362-1.03%2.91-11.01%0.0547✓0.98949k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.8330.824059-1.07%0.701-15.85%0.0844✓1.478.0M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.7797.6952-1.08%7.009-9.90%0.0246✓1.31271k2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN11.90411.7752-1.08%10.274-13.69%0.1316✓0.0954k2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.92793.8854-1.08%3.9939+1.68%0.0671✗0.752,9422022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.7489-1.08%4.35+14.78%0.1879✗0.75481k2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum7.127.0419-1.10%6.05-15.03%0.0835✓1.3017.7M2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.157-1.11%0.93-20.51%0.1188✓1.901.7M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.8955.8284-1.13%5.4486-7.57%0.0028✓1.23446k2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.014010.013851-1.13%0.0127-9.35%0.0350✓0.99730k2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.15540.153621-1.15%0.1191-23.36%0.1884✓1.262.4M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608750.060166-1.16%0.051115-16.03%0.1005✓1.197.4M2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.38434.332-1.19%3.8849-11.39%0.0378✓1.364.6M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.49891.4806-1.22%1.2659-15.54%0.0962✓1.1530.5M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0298420.029474-1.23%0.026624-10.78%0.0479✓1.036.3M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40291.3853-1.25%1.537+9.56%0.1494✗0.87922k2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.198.087-1.26%7.57-7.57%0.0256✓0.77767k2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.645.568-1.28%4.91-12.94%0.0662✓1.142.4M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum26.7626.4172-1.28%21.56-19.43%0.1416✓1.1770.9M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07161.057-1.36%0.9271-13.48%0.0578✓1.401.6M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum3.08973.0476-1.36%2.7346-11.49%0.0558✓1.005.3M2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase59.2558.437-1.37%49.93-15.73%0.0786✓1.50711k2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5212.4841-1.46%2.219-11.98%0.0548✓1.111.9M2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5373-1.47%3.39-5.57%0.0130✓1.06807k2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18831.1708-1.47%1.0492-11.71%0.0580✓0.9823.2M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.079.9193-1.50%8.35-17.08%0.1743✓-0.041.6M2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62280.613353-1.52%0.5701-8.46%0.0019✓1.43736k2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5390.530729-1.53%0.469-12.99%0.0557✓1.292.1M2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.914.8342-1.54%4.19-14.66%0.0689✓1.4130.4M2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.015760.015512-1.57%0.01172-25.63%0.1558✓2.3726.8M2022-01-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.02141.0046-1.64%1.0457+2.38%0.0922✗0.99116k2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.072980.071776-1.65%0.07162-1.86%0.0619✗1.2216.9M2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum34.9934.4116-1.65%26.53-24.18%0.1874✓1.3831.1M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,839.5533,276.59-1.66%32,142.29-5.02%0.0008✓0.6526.4M2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68590.674196-1.71%0.5784-15.67%0.0794✓1.412.7M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.14882.111-1.76%2.0509-4.55%0.0295✗1.1183k2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum1211.7887-1.76%10.21-14.92%0.1358✓0.152.8M2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.18691.1655-1.80%0.7592-36.04%0.3775✓0.973.1M2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash144.49141.7472-1.90%125.87-12.89%0.0499✓1.3110.9M2022-01-19
LUNATerraTerra 281.9380.3704-1.90%81.27-0.81%0.0636✗1.007.4M2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.2110.0147-1.91%8.43-17.43%0.1357✓0.701.1M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.1738.4142-1.93%32.43-17.21%0.0829✓1.652.7M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase169.994166.6512-1.97%120.5322-29.10%0.2649✓1.13540k2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06040.059126-2.11%0.0486-19.54%0.1251✓1.351.5M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.022.952-2.25%3.1+2.65%0.1122✗1.213.2M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6053.5222-2.30%3.282-8.96%0.0203✓1.731.2M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.38071.3473-2.42%1.1386-17.53%0.0955✓1.394.3M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.2539.2589-2.46%37.07-7.90%0.0090✓0.9272.1M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.33840.329652-2.59%0.2983-11.85%0.0468✓1.01397k2022-01-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0818050.079346-3.01%0.07511-8.18%0.0024✓1.002.7M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.753.6339-3.10%3.33-11.20%0.0194✓1.299.1M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.183050.177283-3.15%0.19913+8.78%0.1984✗1.575,3602022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.74220.705991-4.88%0.8466+14.07%0.2756✗1.7938.7M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.