2022-01-09 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2117

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.39%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

57.6%

in alpha space · 48.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.93%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.89	72.4818	+0.82%	80.29	+11.68%	0.0724	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,876.52	42,112.72	+0.56%	43,104.34	+2.93%	0.0056	✗	1.00	696.0M	2022-01-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066121	0.066486	+0.55%	0.069898	+5.71%	0.0226	✓	0.95	552k	2022-01-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018973	0.01906	+0.46%	0.021066	+11.03%	0.0649	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6651	7.6998	+0.45%	8.0371	+4.85%	0.0017	✓	1.42	263k	2022-01-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009617	0.000096535	+0.38%	0.0001031	+7.21%	0.0370	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-01-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,503.10	42,656.32	+0.36%	43,225.30	+1.70%	0.0151	✗	0.98	10k	2022-01-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5841	0.58593	+0.31%	0.5892	+0.87%	0.0319	✗	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1567	+0.31%	2.44	+13.49%	0.0923	✓	1.08	3.5M	2022-01-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1838	0.184357	+0.30%	0.1951	+6.15%	0.0379	✓	0.65	428k	2022-01-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.150483	0.150874	+0.26%	0.176716	+17.43%	0.1265	✓	1.09	4.7M	2022-01-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	130.91	131.2452	+0.26%	146.49	+11.90%	0.0710	✓	1.35	35.1M	2022-01-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	37.15	37.2431	+0.25%	46.43	+24.98%	0.1891	✓	1.09	19.4M	2022-01-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1152	0.115429	+0.20%	0.1198	+3.99%	0.0069	✓	1.05	67k	2022-01-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.74	29.7943	+0.18%	32.27	+8.51%	0.0497	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-01-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.89	1.8934	+0.18%	1.91	+1.06%	0.0245	✗	1.15	2.4M	2022-01-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.18	30.2334	+0.18%	30.39	+0.70%	0.0252	✗	1.05	20.1M	2022-01-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.36	1.3624	+0.18%	1.489	+9.49%	0.0498	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-01-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,151.66	3,156.74	+0.16%	3,349.46	+6.28%	0.0287	✓	1.06	591.9M	2022-01-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.09	14.1118	+0.15%	14.05	-0.28%	0.0373	✗	1.14	3.4M	2022-01-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.63	24.6631	+0.13%	27.68	+12.38%	0.0778	✓	1.30	71.0M	2022-01-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0073	3.0113	+0.13%	3.1201	+3.75%	0.0038	✓	1.10	699k	2022-01-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.075	0.075098	+0.13%	0.0805	+7.33%	0.0386	✓	1.07	16k	2022-01-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	191	191.2149	+0.11%	224.12	+17.34%	0.1291	✓	1.03	2.9M	2022-01-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10346	0.103565	+0.10%	0.11025	+6.56%	0.0301	✓	1.12	23k	2022-01-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5564	+0.10%	6.68	+1.98%	0.0003	✓	0.64	674k	2022-01-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.065	1.0659	+0.09%	1.056	-0.85%	0.0370	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	376.94	377.2549	+0.08%	388.33	+3.02%	0.0004	✓	1.02	8.5M	2022-01-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.79	15.8016	+0.07%	17.83	+12.92%	0.0834	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-01-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.759	7.7643	+0.07%	7.826	+0.86%	0.0106	✗	0.64	231k	2022-01-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08615	0.086197	+0.05%	0.08284	-3.84%	0.0813	✗	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5757	1.5764	+0.05%	1.3643	-13.42%	0.2002	✗	1.93	1.3M	2022-01-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.98	27.9872	+0.03%	27.65	-1.18%	0.0652	✗	1.84	5.4M	2022-01-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	246.6	246.6471	+0.02%	277.6	+12.57%	0.0849	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.724063	0.724124	+0.01%	0.766499	+5.86%	0.0240	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-01-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.617	4.6173	+0.01%	4.928	+6.74%	0.0468	✓	0.64	481k	2022-01-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0832	0.083183	-0.02%	0.0857	+3.00%	0.0100	✓	1.38	1.1M	2022-01-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.84	7.8377	-0.03%	7.97	+1.66%	0.0009	✓	0.61	760k	2022-01-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.83	140.7623	-0.05%	147.98	+5.08%	0.0179	✗	1.11	198.8M	2022-01-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1126	0.112529	-0.06%	0.1124	-0.18%	0.0332	✓	1.11	280k	2022-01-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01403	0.01402	-0.07%	0.01396	-0.50%	0.0392	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.261	1.2599	-0.09%	1.346	+6.74%	0.0277	✗	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1698	0.169642	-0.09%	0.1684	-0.82%	0.0432	✓	1.24	4.3M	2022-01-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.0474	1.0462	-0.11%	0.9199	-12.17%	0.1549	✓	0.91	3.4M	2022-01-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.32	19.2981	-0.11%	21.156	+9.50%	0.0449	✗	1.63	13.0M	2022-01-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0838	-0.12%	5.39	+5.89%	0.0252	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.749	0.748082	-0.12%	0.807	+7.74%	0.0343	✗	1.44	7.6M	2022-01-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.77	3.7652	-0.13%	3.89	+3.18%	0.0130	✗	0.68	514k	2022-01-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.261185	0.260836	-0.13%	0.259124	-0.79%	0.0360	✓	1.02	24.0M	2022-01-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01643	0.016408	-0.13%	0.01745	+6.21%	0.0418	✗	0.68	29k	2022-01-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3161	0.31566	-0.14%	0.3232	+2.25%	0.0128	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9326	2.9281	-0.15%	3.3295	+13.53%	0.0949	✗	1.16	2.6M	2022-01-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.07	28.027	-0.15%	28.43	+1.28%	0.0058	✓	0.69	370k	2022-01-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1759	0.175618	-0.16%	0.1804	+2.56%	0.0005	✓	0.91	484k	2022-01-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		108.94	108.7612	-0.16%	112.64	+3.40%	0.0076	✗	0.95	2.6M	2022-01-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.27	14.2419	-0.20%	15.18	+6.38%	0.0447	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2503	1.2476	-0.22%	1.31	+4.77%	0.0197	✗	1.01	3.3M	2022-01-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015384	-0.23%	0.01506	-2.33%	0.0589	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.94	29.8694	-0.24%	30.87	+3.11%	0.0110	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	170.38	169.974	-0.24%	167.7	-1.57%	0.0409	✓	0.95	7.6M	2022-01-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6473	0.645674	-0.25%	0.714	+10.30%	0.0644	✗	1.25	4.4M	2022-01-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1707	1.1677	-0.25%	1.4118	+20.59%	0.1581	✗	1.10	95.6M	2022-01-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5581	1.5538	-0.27%	1.663	+6.74%	0.0433	✗	0.85	647k	2022-01-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0428	0.042679	-0.28%	0.04114	-3.88%	0.0632	✓	0.92	8.0M	2022-01-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.9	20.8395	-0.29%	20.72	-0.86%	0.0359	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-01-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	209.53	208.9231	-0.29%	242.5	+15.74%	0.1156	✗	1.16	17.6M	2022-01-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.261	0.260218	-0.30%	0.2698	+3.37%	0.0019	✓	1.32	4.5M	2022-01-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.93	6.9086	-0.31%	6.97	+0.58%	0.0287	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-01-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3537	5.3371	-0.31%	6.5777	+22.86%	0.1745	✗	1.19	446k	2022-01-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.7479	-0.32%	4.17	+10.90%	0.0653	✗	1.43	2.4M	2022-01-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2854	6.2636	-0.35%	7.0621	+12.36%	0.0957	✗	0.84	3.5M	2022-01-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.282	4.2654	-0.39%	4.161	-2.83%	0.0474	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.018	4.0012	-0.42%	4.3216	+7.56%	0.0405	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	193.57	192.7513	-0.42%	192.07	-0.77%	0.0372	✓	1.16	195k	2022-01-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.359	0.357383	-0.45%	0.368	+2.51%	0.0084	✗	0.72	38k	2022-01-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.85	9.8053	-0.45%	10.52	+6.80%	0.0491	✗	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0897	0.089292	-0.45%	0.0799	-10.93%	0.1400	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-01-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.813	6.781	-0.47%	7.659	+12.42%	0.0853	✗	1.26	271k	2022-01-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002828	0.000028147	-0.47%	0.00003053	+7.96%	0.0453	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.46	1.4529	-0.49%	1.38	-5.48%	0.1001	✓	1.68	790k	2022-01-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.56	8.5161	-0.51%	8.2	-4.21%	0.0637	✓	0.90	1.1M	2022-01-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.16	3.1407	-0.61%	3.2	+1.27%	0.0098	✓	0.99	949k	2022-01-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029296	0.029109	-0.64%	0.028848	-1.53%	0.0386	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.87	2.8514	-0.65%	2.849	-0.73%	0.0270	✓	0.91	32k	2022-01-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09282	0.092216	-0.65%	0.09268	-0.15%	0.0148	✓	0.69	48k	2022-01-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.98	8.9212	-0.65%	8.39	-6.57%	0.0890	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-01-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.93	55.563	-0.66%	55.13	-1.43%	0.0509	✓	1.49	772k	2022-01-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9806	0.974127	-0.66%	1.0543	+7.52%	0.0386	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01348	0.01339	-0.67%	0.01413	+4.82%	0.0255	✗	0.98	756k	2022-01-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.87	2.8508	-0.67%	2.7	-5.92%	0.0926	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04947	0.049138	-0.67%	0.05206	+5.24%	0.0252	✗	1.13	16k	2022-01-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3333	0.330939	-0.71%	0.3412	+2.37%	0.0127	✓	1.49	3.8M	2022-01-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	1.0028	-0.71%	1.09	+7.92%	0.0326	✗	1.76	1.6M	2022-01-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8848	0.878354	-0.73%	1.0848	+22.60%	0.1822	✗	1.00	133k	2022-01-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8039	3.7759	-0.73%	4.1507	+9.12%	0.0730	✗	0.75	3,820	2022-01-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.7486	-0.79%	8.06	+3.20%	0.0175	✗	0.76	741k	2022-01-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.34	88.6097	-0.82%	92.34	+3.36%	0.0079	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-01-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4009	1.3893	-0.83%	1.4299	+2.07%	0.0041	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-01-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0347	1.0259	-0.85%	1.0558	+2.04%	0.0227	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0712	1.062	-0.86%	1.1373	+6.17%	0.0403	✗	0.98	21.2M	2022-01-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7652	3.7327	-0.86%	3.7853	+0.53%	0.0163	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-01-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.015	0.01487	-0.87%	0.0159	+6.00%	0.0020	✓	2.39	27.1M	2022-01-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2164	4.1797	-0.87%	4.2914	+1.78%	0.0127	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-01-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.32	5.2718	-0.91%	5.68	+6.77%	0.0424	✗	1.11	2.1M	2022-01-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.823	2.7971	-0.92%	3.303	+17.00%	0.1211	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.82	3.7825	-0.98%	4.79	+25.39%	0.2158	✗	0.70	646k	2022-01-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.526	0.520827	-0.98%	0.544	+3.42%	0.0062	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.301	11.1871	-1.01%	11.314	+0.12%	0.0097	✓	0.06	61k	2022-01-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.3161	-1.01%	3.49	+4.18%	0.0211	✗	1.04	715k	2022-01-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5856	0.579577	-1.03%	0.6613	+12.93%	0.0928	✗	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.298	2.2733	-1.07%	2.51	+9.23%	0.0679	✗	1.08	1.8M	2022-01-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	153.16	151.4956	-1.09%	137.39	-10.30%	0.1338	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-01-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.053	2.0295	-1.15%	2.0834	+1.48%	0.0058	✓	1.11	90k	2022-01-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,662.92	32,286.99	-1.15%	33,593.69	+2.85%	0.0212	✗	0.64	25.2M	2022-01-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1676	0.165654	-1.16%	0.1383	-17.48%	0.2165	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-01-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9369	2.9025	-1.17%	3.1203	+6.24%	0.0433	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064749	0.063968	-1.21%	0.057685	-10.91%	0.1413	✓	1.31	7.1M	2022-01-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.54	27.2062	-1.21%	25.51	-7.37%	0.0994	✓	1.21	69.2M	2022-01-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.01	9.8882	-1.22%	9.71	-3.00%	0.0164	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	74.48	73.5383	-1.26%	87.16	+17.02%	0.1410	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.072	0.07107	-1.29%	0.0706	-1.94%	0.0422	✓	1.23	18.4M	2022-01-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.49	4.4311	-1.31%	5.13	+14.25%	0.1060	✗	1.40	30.4M	2022-01-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	160.3372	158.1877	-1.34%	149.9189	-6.50%	0.0859	✓	1.11	540k	2022-01-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4847	1.4647	-1.35%	1.5381	+3.60%	0.0235	✗	0.88	922k	2022-01-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.28	142.1781	-1.46%	141.5	-1.93%	0.0433	✓	1.33	10.6M	2022-01-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.59	9.4308	-1.66%	9.47	-1.25%	0.0151	✓	0.67	1.1M	2022-01-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	36.14	35.5276	-1.69%	31.18	-13.72%	0.1712	✓	1.41	25.8M	2022-01-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.38	11.1864	-1.70%	11.34	-0.35%	0.0103	✓	0.12	2.8M	2022-01-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0618	0.060748	-1.70%	0.056	-9.39%	0.1203	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-01-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	37.02	36.3805	-1.73%	36.27	-2.03%	0.0502	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.68	3.6065	-2.00%	3.32	-9.78%	0.1202	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3224	0.315737	-2.07%	0.3374	+4.65%	0.0374	✗	1.00	340k	2022-01-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.99	34.2559	-2.10%	43.71	+24.92%	0.2173	✗	0.91	49.1M	2022-01-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3331	1.3042	-2.17%	1.3193	-1.04%	0.0288	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-01-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6539	0.63872	-2.32%	0.6536	-0.05%	0.0196	✓	1.48	650k	2022-01-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.65	3.5536	-2.64%	3.82	+4.66%	0.0362	✗	1.25	9.8M	2022-01-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.098665	0.096055	-2.65%	0.084515	-14.34%	0.1569	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17635	0.171615	-2.68%	0.20111	+14.04%	0.1132	✗	1.57	4,992	2022-01-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6607	0.64032	-3.08%	1.0315	+56.12%	0.4256	✗	1.77	40.0M	2022-01-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.