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2022-01-04 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2569
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.1%
in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1336.011-0.33%28.89-20.04%0.1488✓1.0322.7M2022-01-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.1193-0.57%6.78-5.31%0.0048✓0.64801k2022-01-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.8642-0.66%2.93-24.68%0.2076✓1.003.3M2022-01-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2127-0.69%1.86-16.52%0.0961✓1.122.5M2022-01-11
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02221.4765-0.69%188.96-15.27%0.0797✓1.14211k2022-01-11
XEMNEMnative0.12520.124324-0.70%0.1145-8.55%0.0062✓1.10115k2022-01-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022158-0.71%0.018697-16.22%0.0868✓1.202.4M2022-01-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8119.931-0.72%110.22-8.76%0.0185✓0.953.2M2022-01-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.277275-0.73%0.263177-5.78%0.0184✗1.0224.9M2022-01-11
QNTQuantEthereum179.48178.1258-0.75%169.57-5.52%0.0169✗0.968.3M2022-01-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,455.01-0.78%42,753.44-6.68%0.0079✓1.00727.0M2022-01-11
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075384-0.80%0.064934-14.55%0.0842✓0.94556k2022-01-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.08855-0.81%0.07976-10.65%0.0040✓1.452.9M2022-01-11
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.2084-0.81%0.2062-1.86%0.0303✗0.59441k2022-01-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.167076-0.83%0.153722-8.76%0.0072✓1.104.6M2022-01-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1133.816-0.86%29.69-12.96%0.0582✓1.043.7M2022-01-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0624-0.87%4.814-5.74%0.0086✓0.60549k2022-01-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38423.5679-0.89%369.84-13.46%0.0656✓1.019.0M2022-01-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0045,585.54-0.91%42,770.20-7.03%0.0038✓0.9810k2022-01-11
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2118.0355-0.96%15.98-12.25%0.0323✓1.2814.1M2022-01-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4554-0.99%2.15-13.31%0.0595✓1.064.0M2022-01-11
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.7598-1.01%13.71-13.88%0.0599✓1.153.5M2022-01-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.3946-1.03%25.55-10.94%0.0162✓1.2971.0M2022-01-11
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.2957-1.03%1.1879-9.27%0.0111✓1.0997.2M2022-01-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.4101-1.06%8.1-4.71%0.0152✗0.76773k2022-01-11
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.8984-1.06%7.521-16.38%0.0702✓1.42268k2022-01-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.6658-1.08%8-8.68%0.0381✓0.60828k2022-01-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.8765-1.09%14.78-1.73%0.0409✗0.691.1M2022-01-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.118417-1.09%0.10496-12.33%0.0445✓1.1026k2022-01-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.4572-1.10%4.1768-7.33%0.0243✗1.294.7M2022-01-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,742.96-1.11%3,240.83-14.38%0.0724✓1.04619.8M2022-01-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.197278-1.11%0.1605-19.55%0.1205✓1.244.8M2022-01-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.193435-1.16%0.1778-9.15%0.0216✓0.91506k2022-01-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2730.9016-1.18%28.42-9.11%0.0369✓0.68385k2022-01-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.7364-1.18%20.39-15.11%0.0808✓1.031.2M2022-01-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.3226-1.20%3.766+11.98%0.2354✗1.591.8M2022-01-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.0605-1.25%3.818-7.15%0.0158✓0.66483k2022-01-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0516-1.25%3.1857+3.09%0.1257✗1.202.9M2022-01-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.732-1.26%3.7323-1.25%0.0076✓-0.11364k2022-01-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.403733-1.29%0.361-11.74%0.0613✓0.7339k2022-01-11
SOLSolanaSolana167.72165.5533-1.29%140.27-16.37%0.0920✓1.07211.5M2022-01-11
DASHDashDash134.69132.8542-1.36%141.85+5.32%0.1533✗1.271.9M2022-01-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3434-1.37%3.2-5.60%0.0252✗1.00995k2022-01-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000032002-1.38%0.00002762-14.88%0.0611✓1.251.7M2022-01-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.1252-1.38%7.094-13.90%0.0484✓1.26336k2022-01-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.668971-1.39%0.5691-16.11%0.0727✓1.2911.4M2022-01-11
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000111347-1.39%0.00009356-17.14%0.1060✓0.987.2M2022-01-11
KSMKusamaHydration296.29292.133-1.40%260.77-11.99%0.0368✓1.111.3M2022-01-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.6072-1.41%4.382-6.23%0.0025✓0.761.1M2022-01-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.4111-1.41%10.19-3.50%0.0300✗0.741.2M2022-01-11
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.6616-1.42%3.0312-18.39%0.1157✓1.06798k2022-01-11
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.7316-1.43%19.378-12.10%0.0016✓1.6313.6M2022-01-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.0943-1.43%26.6+13.53%0.2328✗1.3269.2M2022-01-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2052-1.46%1.045-14.55%0.0775✓0.942.4M2022-01-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6535-1.46%1.398-16.69%0.0739✓1.365.7M2022-01-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6158-1.47%1.36-17.07%0.0532✓1.72964k2022-01-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44144.2627-1.49%131.67-10.09%0.0018✓1.3536.7M2022-01-11
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.859844-1.51%0.747-14.43%0.0388✓1.478.1M2022-01-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8891.4751-1.51%72.75-21.67%0.1625✓0.966.3M2022-01-11
XVGVergenative0.017210.016944-1.54%0.01386-19.47%0.1185✓1.192.2M2022-01-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.14.036-1.56%3.54-13.66%0.0620✓1.00967k2022-01-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.683522-1.58%0.6511-6.25%0.0391✗1.275.2M2022-01-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.084239-1.59%0.076-11.21%0.0289✓1.0718k2022-01-11
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.0997-1.60%2.765-12.22%0.0553✓0.8541k2022-01-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.361432-1.60%0.3101-15.57%0.0651✓1.273.0M2022-01-11
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.8853-1.60%8.65-4.21%0.0504✗1.123.9M2022-01-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.097449-1.67%0.0824-16.85%0.0735✓1.361.5M2022-01-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3202-1.67%1.3709+2.10%0.1140✗1.10922k2022-01-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.2278-1.68%29.43-17.86%0.0741✓1.531.1M2022-01-11
XMRMoneroMonero222.22218.3723-1.73%193.01-13.14%0.0537✓1.013.2M2022-01-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.13-1.74%0.96-16.52%0.0939✓1.001.8M2022-01-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.108059-1.76%0.09134-16.96%0.1237✓0.6455k2022-01-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.87269-1.77%0.718632-19.11%0.1165✓1.122.8M2022-01-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.06119-1.78%0.064925+4.21%0.1555✗1.397.4M2022-01-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.117066-1.79%0.077-35.40%0.3498✓1.0033.0M2022-01-11
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96247.3725-1.82%213.29-15.35%0.0696✓1.1414.7M2022-01-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.05412-1.83%0.04765-13.57%0.0512✓1.1015k2022-01-11
BANDBandEthereum5.665.5555-1.85%5.14-9.19%0.0043✓1.192.1M2022-01-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.4331-1.85%1.2365-15.32%0.0813✓0.963.6M2022-01-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7584-1.86%1.5924-11.12%0.0433✓0.81668k2022-01-11
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015182-1.86%0.0135-12.73%0.0513✓0.96783k2022-01-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.356-1.87%2.8-18.13%0.0915✓1.303.0M2022-01-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.048362-1.88%0.04184-15.11%0.0824✓0.908.2M2022-01-11
FTTFTXEthereum41.3540.5675-1.89%39.78-3.80%0.0529✗1.0519.4M2022-01-11
SUSHISushiEthereum8.077.9172-1.89%6.99-13.38%0.0337✓1.3118.2M2022-01-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019354-1.90%0.01644-16.68%0.1184✓0.6535k2022-01-11
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.6497-1.91%3.61-23.84%0.1839✓1.002.5M2022-01-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.2878-1.93%9.73-15.46%0.1600✓-0.172.2M2022-01-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.032752-1.96%0.029265-12.40%0.0417✓1.027.3M2022-01-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6131-2.00%1.273-22.66%0.1478✓1.293.4M2022-01-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.129727-2.02%0.1102-16.77%0.0889✓1.07304k2022-01-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.2924-2.03%2.1025-10.14%0.0088✓1.12100k2022-01-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.190343-2.04%0.1471-24.29%0.1759✓1.182.1M2022-01-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.29632-2.04%0.2641-12.69%0.0251✓1.304.6M2022-01-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2566-2.05%1.0548-17.79%0.0532✓1.761.2M2022-01-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.109-2.06%2.9312-7.66%0.0066✓0.955.7M2022-01-11
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543181.6224-2.07%165.565-10.72%0.0121✓1.16574k2022-01-11
RADRadworksEthereum11.2711.0344-2.09%8.01-28.93%0.2624✓0.841.2M2022-01-11
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06512.0219-2.09%1.4915-27.78%0.1745✓1.881.4M2022-01-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.418-2.10%0.9389-35.18%0.3555✓0.824.4M2022-01-11
ZENHorizenBase64.4263.06-2.11%56.11-12.90%0.0128✓1.50807k2022-01-11
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.9322-2.12%4.1752-17.14%0.0749✓1.334.9M2022-01-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6737.8473-2.13%26.75-30.82%0.2227✓1.805.4M2022-01-11
LUNATerraTerra 284.5682.7609-2.13%73.57-13.00%0.0486✓1.006.3M2022-01-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.385024-2.13%0.3363-14.51%0.0326✓1.493.4M2022-01-11
ZECZcashZcash147.34144.1903-2.14%141.38-4.05%0.0738✗1.3510.1M2022-01-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06175.9304-2.17%5.328-12.10%0.0241✓1.20553k2022-01-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.6174-2.17%3.8424-18.59%0.1362✓0.6917k2022-01-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.082036-2.20%0.07076-15.64%0.0636✓1.2220.9M2022-01-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.452-2.24%5.08-23.03%0.1597✓1.153.3M2022-01-11
GTGateEthereum6.49016.3432-2.26%6.4129-1.19%0.0690✗0.843.9M2022-01-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.019022-2.30%0.01475-24.24%0.1664✓1.272.2M2022-01-11
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6243-2.31%3.45-7.01%0.0251✗1.08626k2022-01-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.6322-2.35%1.4467-13.44%0.0432✓1.1230.0M2022-01-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3100.8514-2.37%89.66-13.20%0.0402✓1.12115.7M2022-01-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4735,422.08-2.37%32,768.96-9.68%0.0356✓0.6117.3M2022-01-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1589-2.39%1.025-13.66%0.0258✓1.401.7M2022-01-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8233.0002-2.42%34.45+1.86%0.1389✗1.3924.2M2022-01-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.1307-2.45%8.221-12.17%0.0627✓0.61299k2022-01-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.645443-2.50%0.516-22.05%0.1370✓1.262.2M2022-01-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6227-2.61%2.311-14.18%0.0555✓1.031.9M2022-01-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2449-2.65%1.141-10.78%0.0217✓0.9521.2M2022-01-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.067623-2.70%0.0574-17.41%0.0670✓1.401.6M2022-01-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03511.007-2.72%0.8921-13.82%0.0520✓1.00145k2022-01-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2911.9509-2.76%9.67-21.32%0.1698✓0.611.2M2022-01-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.693011-2.84%0.5799-18.70%0.0870✓1.322.8M2022-01-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.346808-2.96%0.3228-9.68%0.0027✓1.00293k2022-01-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8341.526-3.04%36.84-13.99%0.0060✓1.642.8M2022-01-11
HIVEHivenative1.59251.5428-3.12%1.3102-17.73%0.0678✓1.385.2M2022-01-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.197581-3.17%0.17303-15.20%0.0247✓1.566,4462022-01-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.020406-3.34%0.01458-30.93%0.2670✓1.0028.5M2022-01-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.7783-3.61%3.57-8.93%0.0340✓1.3110.7M2022-01-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.8529-3.73%4.61-24.18%0.1446✓1.3629.4M2022-01-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.596939-3.81%0.6261+0.89%0.1440✗1.39650k2022-01-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.069-4.02%11.23-28.47%0.2954✓-0.023.9M2022-01-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0540.2507-4.28%38.71-7.94%0.0230✓0.9043.4M2022-01-11
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67214.9939-4.33%11.203-28.52%0.2966✓-0.0786k2022-01-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.798045-4.78%0.6826-18.55%0.0376✓1.7233.4M2022-01-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.